Question 2: Carefully explain the differences between the KNN classifier and KNN regression methods.

Question 9: This question involves the use of multiple linear regression on the Auto data set. 124 3. Linear Regression

Part A: Produce a scatterplot matrix which includes all of the variables in the data set.

library(ISLR)
pairs(Auto)

Part B: Compute the matrix of correlations between the variables using the function cor(). You will need to exclude the name variable, which is qualitative.

cor(subset(Auto, select = -name))
##                     mpg  cylinders displacement horsepower     weight
## mpg           1.0000000 -0.7776175   -0.8051269 -0.7784268 -0.8322442
## cylinders    -0.7776175  1.0000000    0.9508233  0.8429834  0.8975273
## displacement -0.8051269  0.9508233    1.0000000  0.8972570  0.9329944
## horsepower   -0.7784268  0.8429834    0.8972570  1.0000000  0.8645377
## weight       -0.8322442  0.8975273    0.9329944  0.8645377  1.0000000
## acceleration  0.4233285 -0.5046834   -0.5438005 -0.6891955 -0.4168392
## year          0.5805410 -0.3456474   -0.3698552 -0.4163615 -0.3091199
## origin        0.5652088 -0.5689316   -0.6145351 -0.4551715 -0.5850054
##              acceleration       year     origin
## mpg             0.4233285  0.5805410  0.5652088
## cylinders      -0.5046834 -0.3456474 -0.5689316
## displacement   -0.5438005 -0.3698552 -0.6145351
## horsepower     -0.6891955 -0.4163615 -0.4551715
## weight         -0.4168392 -0.3091199 -0.5850054
## acceleration    1.0000000  0.2903161  0.2127458
## year            0.2903161  1.0000000  0.1815277
## origin          0.2127458  0.1815277  1.0000000

Part C: Use the lm() function to perform a multiple linear regression with mpg as the response and all other variables except name as the predictors. Use the summary() function to print the results. Comment on the output. i. Is there a relationship between the predictors and the response? ii. Which predictors appear to have a statistically significant relationship to the response? iii. What does the coefficient for the year variable suggest?

model1 <-  lm(mpg ~ .-name, data=Auto)
summary(model1)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = mpg ~ . - name, data = Auto)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -9.5903 -2.1565 -0.1169  1.8690 13.0604 
## 
## Coefficients:
##                Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)  -17.218435   4.644294  -3.707  0.00024 ***
## cylinders     -0.493376   0.323282  -1.526  0.12780    
## displacement   0.019896   0.007515   2.647  0.00844 ** 
## horsepower    -0.016951   0.013787  -1.230  0.21963    
## weight        -0.006474   0.000652  -9.929  < 2e-16 ***
## acceleration   0.080576   0.098845   0.815  0.41548    
## year           0.750773   0.050973  14.729  < 2e-16 ***
## origin         1.426141   0.278136   5.127 4.67e-07 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 3.328 on 384 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.8215, Adjusted R-squared:  0.8182 
## F-statistic: 252.4 on 7 and 384 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

In the model above, Yes, there is a relationship between the predictors and the response by testing the null hypothesis, since the f-stat is far from 1 it indicates against the null. By looking at the p-values associated with each predictor’s t-statistic, we see that displacement, weight, year, and origin have a statistically significant relationship, while cylinders, horsepower, and acceleration do not. The regression coefficient for year, 0.7507727, suggests that for every one year, mpg increases by the coefficient.

Part D: Use the plot() function to produce diagnostic plots of the linear regression fit. Comment on any problems you see with the fit. Do the residual plots suggest any unusually large outliers? Does the leverage plot identify any observations with unusually high leverage?

par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(model1)

In the model above, there looks to be a non-linear pattern. Therefore, the linear model is not the best fit. While looking at the Leverage plot, plot 14 has the highest leverage but not a high magnitude residual. With the code below we can identify outliers seem in the plot of studentized residuals due to the fact of a value greater than 3.

plot(predict(model1), rstudent(model1))

Part E: Use the * and : symbols to fit linear regression models with interaction effects. Do any interactions appear to be statistically significant?

model2 <- lm(mpg ~ cylinders * displacement + displacement * weight, data=Auto)
summary(model2)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = mpg ~ cylinders * displacement + displacement * 
##     weight, data = Auto)
## 
## Residuals:
##      Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max 
## -13.2934  -2.5184  -0.3476   1.8399  17.7723 
## 
## Coefficients:
##                          Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)             5.262e+01  2.237e+00  23.519  < 2e-16 ***
## cylinders               7.606e-01  7.669e-01   0.992    0.322    
## displacement           -7.351e-02  1.669e-02  -4.403 1.38e-05 ***
## weight                 -9.888e-03  1.329e-03  -7.438 6.69e-13 ***
## cylinders:displacement -2.986e-03  3.426e-03  -0.872    0.384    
## displacement:weight     2.128e-05  5.002e-06   4.254 2.64e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 4.103 on 386 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.7272, Adjusted R-squared:  0.7237 
## F-statistic: 205.8 on 5 and 386 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

The interaction above between displacement and weight is statistically significant but the interaction between cylinders and displacement is not significant.

Question 10: This question should be answered using the Carseats data set.

Part A: Fit a multiple regression model to predict Sales using Price, Urban, and US.

data(Carseats)
summary(Carseats)
##      Sales          CompPrice       Income        Advertising    
##  Min.   : 0.000   Min.   : 77   Min.   : 21.00   Min.   : 0.000  
##  1st Qu.: 5.390   1st Qu.:115   1st Qu.: 42.75   1st Qu.: 0.000  
##  Median : 7.490   Median :125   Median : 69.00   Median : 5.000  
##  Mean   : 7.496   Mean   :125   Mean   : 68.66   Mean   : 6.635  
##  3rd Qu.: 9.320   3rd Qu.:135   3rd Qu.: 91.00   3rd Qu.:12.000  
##  Max.   :16.270   Max.   :175   Max.   :120.00   Max.   :29.000  
##    Population        Price        ShelveLoc        Age          Education   
##  Min.   : 10.0   Min.   : 24.0   Bad   : 96   Min.   :25.00   Min.   :10.0  
##  1st Qu.:139.0   1st Qu.:100.0   Good  : 85   1st Qu.:39.75   1st Qu.:12.0  
##  Median :272.0   Median :117.0   Medium:219   Median :54.50   Median :14.0  
##  Mean   :264.8   Mean   :115.8                Mean   :53.32   Mean   :13.9  
##  3rd Qu.:398.5   3rd Qu.:131.0                3rd Qu.:66.00   3rd Qu.:16.0  
##  Max.   :509.0   Max.   :191.0                Max.   :80.00   Max.   :18.0  
##  Urban       US     
##  No :118   No :142  
##  Yes:282   Yes:258  
##                     
##                     
##                     
## 
model1 <- lm(Sales ~ Price + Urban + US, data = Carseats)
summary(model1)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = Sales ~ Price + Urban + US, data = Carseats)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -6.9206 -1.6220 -0.0564  1.5786  7.0581 
## 
## Coefficients:
##              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept) 13.043469   0.651012  20.036  < 2e-16 ***
## Price       -0.054459   0.005242 -10.389  < 2e-16 ***
## UrbanYes    -0.021916   0.271650  -0.081    0.936    
## USYes        1.200573   0.259042   4.635 4.86e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 2.472 on 396 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.2393, Adjusted R-squared:  0.2335 
## F-statistic: 41.52 on 3 and 396 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

Part B: Provide an interpretation of each coefficient in the model. Be careful, some of the variables in the model are qualitative!

Part C: Write out the model in equation form, being careful to handle the qualitative variables properly.

Part D: For which of the predictors can you reject the null hypothesis H0:βj=0?

Part E: On the basis of your response to the previous question, fit a smaller model that only uses the predictors for which there is evidence of association with the outcome.

model2 <-  lm(Sales ~ Price + US, data = Carseats)
summary(model2)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = Sales ~ Price + US, data = Carseats)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -6.9269 -1.6286 -0.0574  1.5766  7.0515 
## 
## Coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept) 13.03079    0.63098  20.652  < 2e-16 ***
## Price       -0.05448    0.00523 -10.416  < 2e-16 ***
## USYes        1.19964    0.25846   4.641 4.71e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 2.469 on 397 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.2393, Adjusted R-squared:  0.2354 
## F-statistic: 62.43 on 2 and 397 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

Part F: How well do the models in (a) and (e) fit the data?

Part G: Using the model from (e), obtain 95% confidence intervals for the coefficient(s).

confint(model2)
##                   2.5 %      97.5 %
## (Intercept) 11.79032020 14.27126531
## Price       -0.06475984 -0.04419543
## USYes        0.69151957  1.70776632

Part H: Is there evidence of outliers or high leverage observations in the model from (e)?

plot(predict(model2), rstudent(model2))

par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(model2)

Question 12: 12. This problem involves simple linear regression without an intercept.

Part A: Recall that the coefficient estimate βˆ for the linear regression of Y onto X without an intercept is given by (3.38). Under what circumstance is the coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y the same as the coefficient estimate for the regression of Y onto X?

*The coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y is β̂ ′=∑ixiyi∑jy2j.

*The coefficients are the same iff ∑jx2j=∑jy2j

Part B: Generate an example in R with n = 100 observations in which the coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y is different from the coefficient estimate for the regression of Y onto X.

set.seed(1)
x <- 1:100
sum(x^2)
## [1] 338350
y <- 2 * x + rnorm(100, sd = 0.1)
sum(y^2)
## [1] 1353606
fit.Y <- lm(y ~ x + 0)
fit.X <- lm(x ~ y + 0)
summary(fit.Y)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ x + 0)
## 
## Residuals:
##       Min        1Q    Median        3Q       Max 
## -0.223590 -0.062560  0.004426  0.058507  0.230926 
## 
## Coefficients:
##    Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## x 2.0001514  0.0001548   12920   <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 0.09005 on 99 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:      1,  Adjusted R-squared:      1 
## F-statistic: 1.669e+08 on 1 and 99 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
summary(fit.X)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = x ~ y + 0)
## 
## Residuals:
##       Min        1Q    Median        3Q       Max 
## -0.115418 -0.029231 -0.002186  0.031322  0.111795 
## 
## Coefficients:
##   Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## y 5.00e-01   3.87e-05   12920   <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 0.04502 on 99 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:      1,  Adjusted R-squared:      1 
## F-statistic: 1.669e+08 on 1 and 99 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

Part C: Generate an example in R with n = 100 observations in which the coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y is the same as the coefficient estimate for the regression of Y onto X.

x <- 1:100
sum(x^2)
## [1] 338350
y <- 100:1
sum(y^2)
## [1] 338350
fit.Y <- lm(y ~ x + 0)
fit.X <- lm(x ~ y + 0)
summary(fit.Y)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ x + 0)
## 
## Residuals:
##    Min     1Q Median     3Q    Max 
## -49.75 -12.44  24.87  62.18  99.49 
## 
## Coefficients:
##   Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## x   0.5075     0.0866    5.86 6.09e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 50.37 on 99 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.2575, Adjusted R-squared:   0.25 
## F-statistic: 34.34 on 1 and 99 DF,  p-value: 6.094e-08
summary(fit.X)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = x ~ y + 0)
## 
## Residuals:
##    Min     1Q Median     3Q    Max 
## -49.75 -12.44  24.87  62.18  99.49 
## 
## Coefficients:
##   Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## y   0.5075     0.0866    5.86 6.09e-08 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 50.37 on 99 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.2575, Adjusted R-squared:   0.25 
## F-statistic: 34.34 on 1 and 99 DF,  p-value: 6.094e-08