#1- What is the probability of rolling a sum of 12 on three rolls of six-sided dice? Express your answer as a decimal number only. Show your R code.
dice_rolls <- expand.grid(1:6, 1:6, 1:6)
dice_rolls_matrix <- as.matrix(dice_rolls)
roll_12 <- dice_rolls[rowSums(dice_rolls_matrix)==12,]
prob_roll_12 <- nrow(roll_12)/(6^3)
prob_roll_12
## [1] 0.1157407
result <- prob_roll_12 * 100
result
## [1] 11.57407
data <- c("200","200","100","200","200","300","100","200","100","100")
m <- matrix(data, nrow = 5, ncol = 2)
m
## [,1] [,2]
## [1,] "200" "300"
## [2,] "200" "100"
## [3,] "100" "200"
## [4,] "200" "100"
## [5,] "200" "100"
dimnames(m) <- list(c("Aparment","Dorm","With parents","fraternity","other"), c("male","female"))
m
## male female
## Aparment "200" "300"
## Dorm "200" "100"
## With parents "100" "200"
## fraternity "200" "100"
## other "200" "100"
#probability of females
Prob_of_female <- 100 / 1700
Prob_of_female
## [1] 0.05882353
#Probability of mens
Prob_of_male <- 200 / 1700
Prob_of_male
## [1] 0.1176471
#final probabilities
final_prob <- Prob_of_female + Prob_of_male
final_prob
## [1] 0.1764706
#3 Two cards are drawn without replacement from a standard deck of 52
playing cards.
What is the probability of choosing a diamond for the second card drawn,
if the first
card, drawn without replacement, was a diamond?
Express your answer as a decimal number only. Show your R code.
#deck has 52 cards (one is already out)
deck <- 52-1
#they are a total of 13 cards for symbol (1 diamond is out)
get_diamond <- 12/deck
get_diamond
## [1] 0.2352941
#4 - A coordinator will select 10 songs from a list of 20 songs to
compose an event’s
musical entertainment lineup. How many different lineups are
possible?
Show your R code.
#Combination result
?choose
choose(20,10)
## [1] 184756
#Permutation result
factorial(20) / (factorial(20 - 10))
## [1] 670442572800
#5You are ordering a new home theater system that consists of a TV,
surround sound
system, and DVD player. You can choose from 20 different TVs, 20 types
of surround
sound systems, and 18 types of DVD players. How many different home
theater
systems can you build?
#combination
Tv <- 20
Ss <- 20
Dvd <- 18
total_systems <- Tv * Ss * Dvd
total_systems
## [1] 7200
#6 A doctor visits her patients during morning rounds. In how many
ways can the doctor visit 10 patients during the morning rounds?
Show your R code.
factorial(10)
## [1] 3628800
#7 If a coin is tossed 7 times, and then a standard six-sided die is
rolled 3 times, and finally
a group of four cards are drawn from a standard deck of 52 cards without
replacement,
how many different outcomes are possible?
Show your R code.
coin <- 2^7
dice <- 6^3
#cards <- choose(52,4) not correct
perm_without_replacement <- function(n, r){
return(factorial(n)/factorial(n - r))
}
cards2 <- perm_without_replacement(53,4)
outcomes <- coin * dice * cards2
outcomes
## [1] 194304614400
#8 In how many ways may a party of four women and four men be seated
at a round table
if the women and men are to occupy alternate seats.
Show your R code.
mens <- factorial(4-1)
women <- factorial(4)
seats <- mens * women
seats
## [1] 144
#9 An opioid urinalysis test is 95% sensitive for a 30-day period,
meaning that if a person
has actually used opioids within 30 days, they will test positive 95% of
the time P( + |
User) =.95. The same test is 99% specific, meaning that if they did not
use opioids within
30 days, they will test negative P( - | Not User) = .99. Assume that 3%
of the population
are users. Then what is the probability that a person who tests positive
is actually a user
P(User | +)?
# user
u <- 0.03
# non user
nu <- 0.97
# user and positive
up <- 0.95
#non user and postive
nup <- 0.01
#Bayes
P_up <- ((u * up)/((up*u)+(nu*nup)))
P_up
## [1] 0.7460733
#10 You have a hat in which there are three pancakes. One is golden
on both sides, one is
brown on both sides, and one is golden on one side and brown on the
other. You
withdraw one pancake and see that one side is brown. What is the
probability that the
other side is brown? Explain.
gb <- 1/3
bb <- 1/3
bg <- 1/3
#since you know that 1 side is brown you dont need to use gb beccause is not posible.
result <- 1/3 + 1/3
result
## [1] 0.6666667