Description of bargaining measures

Max Sample of Cities (All Non-Imputed Census of Govt Payroll Cities)

Regressions without Controls

2000-2017 Percent Change (Bargaining Measure is for 2017 but this is largely stable)

Note: Intercepts are not shown

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -0.049 0.017 0.005
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.014 0.023 0.538
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.109 0.100 0.278
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.034 0.019 0.075
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.107 0.021 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.092 0.024 0.000
Police Employment
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs rtw rtwYes -0.022 0.021 0.290
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.036 0.030 0.230
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement -0.007 0.040 0.867
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_state union_state -0.008 0.022 0.700
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.018 0.024 0.460
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.008 0.028 0.775
Fire Salaries
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -0.070 0.021 0.001
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.000 0.029 0.990
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.123 0.072 0.094
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.047 0.023 0.040
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.136 0.025 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.125 0.029 0.000
Fire Employment
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs rtw rtwYes 0.068 0.026 0.010
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.094 0.038 0.014
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement -0.091 0.071 0.207
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_state union_state -0.049 0.027 0.072
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.060 0.030 0.050
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.063 0.035 0.074

2017 Level

Note: Intercepts are not shown

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -1418.185 62.524 0.000
police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 577.130 91.006 0.000
police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 1142.667 359.969 0.002
police_salaries vs union_state union_state 1274.846 69.515 0.000
police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 1383.405 77.053 0.000
police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 1232.521 93.460 0.000
Police Employment
fte_police_pc vs rtw rtwYes -0.001 0.001 0.200
fte_police_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.001 0.001 0.486
fte_police_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.000 0.000 0.509
fte_police_pc vs union_state union_state -0.001 0.001 0.515
fte_police_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.001 0.001 0.183
fte_police_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.002 0.001 0.126
Fire Salaries
ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -1453.213 77.170 0.000
ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 519.555 107.571 0.000
ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 1160.148 455.480 0.013
ff_salaries vs union_state union_state 1372.228 86.123 0.000
ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 1569.128 94.435 0.000
ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 1414.680 113.520 0.000
Fire Employment
fte_fire_pc vs rtw rtwYes -0.001 0.001 0.221
fte_fire_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.000 0.001 1.000
fte_fire_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.000 0.000 0.393
fte_fire_pc vs union_state union_state 0.000 0.001 0.963
fte_fire_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.001 0.001 0.603
fte_fire_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.001 0.001 0.521

Regressions with Simple Controls

2000-2017 Percent Change WITHOUT Population or HH Income Change

Note: Intercepts are not shown. Bargaining Measure is for 2017 but this is largely stable

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
Right to Work
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -0.096 0.046 0.039
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw pct_change_hpi 0.242 0.089 0.007
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.180 0.129 0.166
Right to Strike
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.183 0.052 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi 0.472 0.073 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi -0.492 0.164 0.003
City Police Agreement
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.452 0.729 0.537
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 1.163 1.784 0.517
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi -0.861 1.803 0.635
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.116 0.054 0.034
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state pct_change_hpi 0.544 0.132 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi -0.238 0.153 0.119
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.109 0.057 0.058
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi 0.363 0.156 0.020
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi -0.048 0.172 0.781
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.133 0.068 0.052
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi 0.481 0.186 0.010
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi -0.146 0.199 0.465
Police Employment
Right to Work
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs rtw rtwYes -0.087 0.057 0.129
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs rtw pct_change_hpi -0.201 0.109 0.065
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.175 0.158 0.268
Right to Strike
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike -0.017 0.064 0.792
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi -0.114 0.088 0.197
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi 0.167 0.204 0.415
City Police Agreement
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.374 0.288 0.200
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 0.812 0.704 0.255
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi -0.949 0.713 0.189
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_state union_state -0.121 0.064 0.058
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_state pct_change_hpi -0.348 0.154 0.024
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi 0.333 0.178 0.062
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.082 0.068 0.230
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi -0.272 0.185 0.142
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi 0.218 0.205 0.286
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.077 0.081 0.343
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi -0.290 0.220 0.189
pct_change_police_employment_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi 0.218 0.235 0.354
Fire Salaries
Right to Work
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -0.067 0.054 0.217
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw pct_change_hpi 0.618 0.103 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.068 0.150 0.650
Right to Strike
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.242 0.060 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi 0.836 0.084 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi -0.659 0.190 0.001
City Police Agreement
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement -0.207 0.504 0.682
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi -0.300 1.232 0.808
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi 0.819 1.246 0.513
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.030 0.063 0.631
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state pct_change_hpi 0.648 0.151 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi 0.059 0.175 0.738
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.046 0.066 0.485
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi 0.475 0.179 0.008
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi 0.202 0.197 0.306
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.067 0.078 0.386
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi 0.552 0.212 0.009
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi 0.139 0.226 0.541
Fire Employment
Right to Work
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs rtw rtwYes -0.119 0.071 0.094
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs rtw pct_change_hpi -0.490 0.135 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.521 0.196 0.008
Right to Strike
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike -0.046 0.081 0.575
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi -0.319 0.109 0.004
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi 0.429 0.256 0.095
City Police Agreement
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 1.087 0.499 0.034
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 2.839 1.218 0.024
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi -2.940 1.233 0.021
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_state union_state -0.057 0.080 0.478
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_state pct_change_hpi -0.302 0.193 0.118
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi 0.019 0.223 0.931
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.054 0.085 0.525
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi -0.279 0.232 0.229
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi 0.018 0.256 0.943
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.102 0.100 0.310
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi -0.396 0.272 0.146
pct_change_ff_employment_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi 0.137 0.291 0.638

2017 Level

Note: Intercepts are not shown

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
Right to Work
police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes 364.168 268.661 0.176
police_salaries vs rtw hpi_2000_base 14.384 1.162 0.000
police_salaries vs rtw median_hh_income 0.018 0.001 0.000
police_salaries vs rtw total_population 0.000 0.000 0.449
police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:hpi_2000_base -9.825 1.699 0.000
Right to Strike
police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 2905.976 416.839 0.000
police_salaries vs right_to_strike hpi_2000_base 17.148 1.189 0.000
police_salaries vs right_to_strike median_hh_income 0.018 0.001 0.000
police_salaries vs right_to_strike total_population 0.000 0.000 0.738
police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:hpi_2000_base -15.318 2.955 0.000
City Police Agreement
police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 770.834 1941.172 0.693
police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement hpi_2000_base 10.045 11.785 0.398
police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement median_hh_income 0.025 0.006 0.000
police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement total_population 0.000 0.000 0.002
police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:hpi_2000_base 3.379 11.660 0.773
State Employee Collect. Barg.
police_salaries vs union_state union_state 809.478 313.164 0.010
police_salaries vs union_state hpi_2000_base 9.834 1.811 0.000
police_salaries vs union_state median_hh_income 0.019 0.001 0.000
police_salaries vs union_state total_population 0.000 0.000 0.172
police_salaries vs union_state union_state:hpi_2000_base 2.207 2.000 0.270
Local Police Collect. Barg.
police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 505.096 375.041 0.178
police_salaries vs union_localpol hpi_2000_base 5.517 2.354 0.019
police_salaries vs union_localpol median_hh_income 0.020 0.001 0.000
police_salaries vs union_localpol total_population 0.000 0.000 0.142
police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:hpi_2000_base 4.275 2.513 0.089
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 266.920 454.726 0.557
police_salaries vs union_localfire hpi_2000_base 6.275 2.867 0.029
police_salaries vs union_localfire median_hh_income 0.020 0.001 0.000
police_salaries vs union_localfire total_population 0.000 0.000 0.186
police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:hpi_2000_base 5.189 2.989 0.083
Police Employment
Right to Work
fte_Police vs rtw rtwYes 554.722 132.869 0.000
fte_Police vs rtw hpi_2000_base 0.670 0.575 0.244
fte_Police vs rtw median_hh_income -0.001 0.001 0.167
fte_Police vs rtw total_population 0.005 0.000 0.000
fte_Police vs rtw rtwYes:hpi_2000_base -3.790 0.840 0.000
Right to Strike
fte_Police vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 318.127 182.213 0.081
fte_Police vs right_to_strike hpi_2000_base -0.476 0.520 0.359
fte_Police vs right_to_strike median_hh_income -0.001 0.001 0.095
fte_Police vs right_to_strike total_population 0.005 0.000 0.000
fte_Police vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:hpi_2000_base -2.158 1.292 0.095
City Police Agreement
fte_Police vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement -2343.040 3970.984 0.558
fte_Police vs city_police_union_agreement hpi_2000_base -4.249 24.107 0.861
fte_Police vs city_police_union_agreement median_hh_income -0.008 0.013 0.550
fte_Police vs city_police_union_agreement total_population 0.006 0.000 0.000
fte_Police vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:hpi_2000_base 12.298 23.852 0.608
State Employee Collect. Barg.
fte_Police vs union_state union_state -694.258 152.161 0.000
fte_Police vs union_state hpi_2000_base -4.521 0.880 0.000
fte_Police vs union_state median_hh_income -0.001 0.001 0.318
fte_Police vs union_state total_population 0.005 0.000 0.000
fte_Police vs union_state union_state:hpi_2000_base 4.654 0.972 0.000
Local Police Collect. Barg.
fte_Police vs union_localpol union_localpol -329.114 176.351 0.062
fte_Police vs union_localpol hpi_2000_base -2.246 1.107 0.043
fte_Police vs union_localpol median_hh_income -0.001 0.001 0.254
fte_Police vs union_localpol total_population 0.005 0.000 0.000
fte_Police vs union_localpol union_localpol:hpi_2000_base 1.751 1.182 0.139
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
fte_Police vs union_localfire union_localfire -344.568 204.933 0.093
fte_Police vs union_localfire hpi_2000_base -2.673 1.292 0.039
fte_Police vs union_localfire median_hh_income -0.001 0.001 0.239
fte_Police vs union_localfire total_population 0.005 0.000 0.000
fte_Police vs union_localfire union_localfire:hpi_2000_base 1.999 1.347 0.138
Fire Salaries
Right to Work
ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes 873.785 325.920 0.007
ff_salaries vs rtw hpi_2000_base 21.712 1.410 0.000
ff_salaries vs rtw median_hh_income 0.020 0.001 0.000
ff_salaries vs rtw total_population 0.000 0.000 0.451
ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:hpi_2000_base -13.568 2.061 0.000
Right to Strike
ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 4201.080 486.746 0.000
ff_salaries vs right_to_strike hpi_2000_base 24.674 1.391 0.000
ff_salaries vs right_to_strike median_hh_income 0.019 0.002 0.000
ff_salaries vs right_to_strike total_population 0.000 0.000 0.308
ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:hpi_2000_base -23.983 3.450 0.000
City Police Agreement
ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 210.459 2572.256 0.935
ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement hpi_2000_base 14.060 15.616 0.372
ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement median_hh_income 0.028 0.008 0.001
ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement total_population -0.001 0.000 0.001
ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:hpi_2000_base 6.534 15.450 0.674
State Employee Collect. Barg.
ff_salaries vs union_state union_state 228.573 380.626 0.548
ff_salaries vs union_state hpi_2000_base 12.278 2.200 0.000
ff_salaries vs union_state median_hh_income 0.021 0.001 0.000
ff_salaries vs union_state total_population 0.000 0.000 0.947
ff_salaries vs union_state union_state:hpi_2000_base 6.490 2.430 0.008
Local Police Collect. Barg.
ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.807 449.542 0.999
ff_salaries vs union_localpol hpi_2000_base 7.460 2.821 0.008
ff_salaries vs union_localpol median_hh_income 0.021 0.002 0.000
ff_salaries vs union_localpol total_population 0.000 0.000 0.922
ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:hpi_2000_base 8.471 3.011 0.005
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire -271.070 538.998 0.615
ff_salaries vs union_localfire hpi_2000_base 7.898 3.395 0.020
ff_salaries vs union_localfire median_hh_income 0.022 0.002 0.000
ff_salaries vs union_localfire total_population 0.000 0.000 0.980
ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:hpi_2000_base 9.719 3.539 0.006
Fire Employment
Right to Work
fte_Firefighter vs rtw rtwYes 71.588 29.867 0.017
fte_Firefighter vs rtw hpi_2000_base -0.140 0.129 0.279
fte_Firefighter vs rtw median_hh_income 0.000 0.000 0.008
fte_Firefighter vs rtw total_population 0.002 0.000 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs rtw rtwYes:hpi_2000_base -0.482 0.189 0.011
Right to Strike
fte_Firefighter vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 77.523 40.588 0.056
fte_Firefighter vs right_to_strike hpi_2000_base -0.276 0.116 0.017
fte_Firefighter vs right_to_strike median_hh_income 0.000 0.000 0.005
fte_Firefighter vs right_to_strike total_population 0.002 0.000 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:hpi_2000_base -0.620 0.288 0.031
City Police Agreement
fte_Firefighter vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement -510.089 923.147 0.583
fte_Firefighter vs city_police_union_agreement hpi_2000_base -3.152 5.604 0.576
fte_Firefighter vs city_police_union_agreement median_hh_income -0.001 0.003 0.846
fte_Firefighter vs city_police_union_agreement total_population 0.002 0.000 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:hpi_2000_base 3.073 5.545 0.582
State Employee Collect. Barg.
fte_Firefighter vs union_state union_state -145.882 34.093 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs union_state hpi_2000_base -1.054 0.197 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs union_state median_hh_income 0.000 0.000 0.027
fte_Firefighter vs union_state total_population 0.002 0.000 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs union_state union_state:hpi_2000_base 0.916 0.218 0.000
Local Police Collect. Barg.
fte_Firefighter vs union_localpol union_localpol -58.931 39.307 0.134
fte_Firefighter vs union_localpol hpi_2000_base -0.486 0.247 0.049
fte_Firefighter vs union_localpol median_hh_income 0.000 0.000 0.016
fte_Firefighter vs union_localpol total_population 0.002 0.000 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs union_localpol union_localpol:hpi_2000_base 0.230 0.263 0.383
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
fte_Firefighter vs union_localfire union_localfire -45.106 45.785 0.325
fte_Firefighter vs union_localfire hpi_2000_base -0.484 0.288 0.094
fte_Firefighter vs union_localfire median_hh_income 0.000 0.000 0.014
fte_Firefighter vs union_localfire total_population 0.002 0.000 0.000
fte_Firefighter vs union_localfire union_localfire:hpi_2000_base 0.170 0.301 0.572

2000-2017 Log Level Time Series (with City and Year Fixed Effects)

Note: Intercepts are not shown

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
Right to Work
log_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes 0.099 0.037 0.007
log_police_salaries vs rtw log_housing_index 0.231 0.012 0.000
log_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:log_housing_index -0.081 0.018 0.000
Right to Strike
log_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.585 0.056 0.000
log_police_salaries vs right_to_strike log_housing_index 0.231 0.010 0.000
log_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:log_housing_index -0.256 0.027 0.000
State Employee Collect. Barg.
log_police_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.306 0.042 0.000
log_police_salaries vs union_state log_housing_index 0.262 0.017 0.000
log_police_salaries vs union_state union_state:log_housing_index -0.091 0.020 0.000
Local Police Collect. Barg.
log_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.231 0.048 0.000
log_police_salaries vs union_localpol log_housing_index 0.231 0.020 0.000
log_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:log_housing_index -0.055 0.023 0.015
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
log_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.204 0.057 0.000
log_police_salaries vs union_localfire log_housing_index 0.241 0.025 0.000
log_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:log_housing_index -0.053 0.027 0.049
Police Employment
Right to Work
log_police_pc vs rtw rtwYes 0.246 0.124 0.047
log_police_pc vs rtw log_housing_index 0.117 0.041 0.004
log_police_pc vs rtw rtwYes:log_housing_index -0.084 0.059 0.158
Right to Strike
log_police_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike -0.422 0.197 0.032
log_police_pc vs right_to_strike log_housing_index 0.043 0.033 0.191
log_police_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:log_housing_index 0.119 0.094 0.206
State Employee Collect. Barg.
log_police_pc vs union_state union_state -1.233 0.141 0.000
log_police_pc vs union_state log_housing_index -0.265 0.056 0.000
log_police_pc vs union_state union_state:log_housing_index 0.482 0.067 0.000
Local Police Collect. Barg.
log_police_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -1.081 0.159 0.000
log_police_pc vs union_localpol log_housing_index -0.225 0.067 0.001
log_police_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol:log_housing_index 0.396 0.076 0.000
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
log_police_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.987 0.184 0.000
log_police_pc vs union_localfire log_housing_index -0.239 0.080 0.003
log_police_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire:log_housing_index 0.361 0.087 0.000
Fire Salaries
Right to Work
log_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes 0.045 0.039 0.252
log_ff_salaries vs rtw log_housing_index 0.230 0.013 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:log_housing_index -0.054 0.019 0.004
Right to Strike
log_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.435 0.060 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike log_housing_index 0.229 0.011 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:log_housing_index -0.178 0.029 0.000
State Employee Collect. Barg.
log_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.323 0.045 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs union_state log_housing_index 0.287 0.018 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state:log_housing_index -0.095 0.021 0.000
Local Police Collect. Barg.
log_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.217 0.051 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs union_localpol log_housing_index 0.241 0.022 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:log_housing_index -0.039 0.024 0.110
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
log_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.205 0.061 0.001
log_ff_salaries vs union_localfire log_housing_index 0.258 0.027 0.000
log_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:log_housing_index -0.043 0.029 0.132
Fire Employment
Right to Work
log_fire_pc vs rtw rtwYes 0.183 0.197 0.354
log_fire_pc vs rtw log_housing_index 0.101 0.065 0.122
log_fire_pc vs rtw rtwYes:log_housing_index -0.055 0.094 0.561
Right to Strike
log_fire_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 1.685 0.317 0.000
log_fire_pc vs right_to_strike log_housing_index 0.141 0.052 0.007
log_fire_pc vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:log_housing_index -0.937 0.152 0.000
State Employee Collect. Barg.
log_fire_pc vs union_state union_state -0.884 0.227 0.000
log_fire_pc vs union_state log_housing_index -0.152 0.090 0.091
log_fire_pc vs union_state union_state:log_housing_index 0.308 0.107 0.004
Local Police Collect. Barg.
log_fire_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.864 0.261 0.001
log_fire_pc vs union_localpol log_housing_index -0.154 0.111 0.165
log_fire_pc vs union_localpol union_localpol:log_housing_index 0.299 0.124 0.016
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
log_fire_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.602 0.300 0.045
log_fire_pc vs union_localfire log_housing_index -0.094 0.131 0.473
log_fire_pc vs union_localfire union_localfire:log_housing_index 0.187 0.142 0.187

2000-2017 Percent Change WITH Population Change

Note: Intercepts are not shown. Bargaining Measure is for 2017 but this is largely stable

regression term est se p_val
Police Salaries
Right to Work
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -0.077 0.049 0.113
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw pct_change_hpi 0.073 0.107 0.496
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw pct_change_hh_income 0.490 0.137 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw pct_change_pop -0.039 0.067 0.563
pct_change_police_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.193 0.135 0.155
Right to Strike
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.157 0.054 0.004
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi 0.276 0.095 0.004
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_hh_income 0.475 0.133 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_pop -0.027 0.064 0.673
pct_change_police_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi -0.440 0.173 0.011
City Police Agreement
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.591 0.799 0.463
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 1.227 1.909 0.523
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hh_income 0.454 0.543 0.407
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_pop 0.004 0.262 0.988
pct_change_police_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi -1.214 1.975 0.541
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.114 0.054 0.035
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state pct_change_hpi 0.353 0.143 0.014
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state pct_change_hh_income 0.484 0.134 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state pct_change_pop -0.017 0.066 0.799
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi -0.247 0.151 0.103
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.097 0.057 0.087
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi 0.135 0.166 0.418
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_hh_income 0.477 0.132 0.000
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_pop -0.001 0.064 0.983
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi -0.015 0.171 0.929
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.109 0.068 0.110
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi 0.249 0.197 0.207
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_hh_income 0.449 0.134 0.001
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_pop -0.009 0.064 0.887
pct_change_police_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi -0.093 0.198 0.640
Police Employment
Right to Work
pct_change_police_employment vs rtw rtwYes -0.124 0.061 0.042
pct_change_police_employment vs rtw pct_change_hpi -0.258 0.133 0.053
pct_change_police_employment vs rtw pct_change_hh_income 0.109 0.171 0.523
pct_change_police_employment vs rtw pct_change_pop 0.967 0.083 0.000
pct_change_police_employment vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.365 0.169 0.032
Right to Strike
pct_change_police_employment vs right_to_strike right_to_strike -0.007 0.069 0.917
pct_change_police_employment vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi -0.107 0.119 0.369
pct_change_police_employment vs right_to_strike pct_change_hh_income 0.118 0.168 0.483
pct_change_police_employment vs right_to_strike pct_change_pop 0.988 0.080 0.000
pct_change_police_employment vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi 0.181 0.218 0.406
City Police Agreement
pct_change_police_employment vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.370 0.404 0.364
pct_change_police_employment vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 0.569 0.964 0.557
pct_change_police_employment vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hh_income 0.185 0.274 0.503
pct_change_police_employment vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_pop 1.163 0.132 0.000
pct_change_police_employment vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi -0.957 0.997 0.342
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_employment vs union_state union_state -0.092 0.067 0.173
pct_change_police_employment vs union_state pct_change_hpi -0.212 0.179 0.237
pct_change_police_employment vs union_state pct_change_hh_income 0.130 0.169 0.442
pct_change_police_employment vs union_state pct_change_pop 0.961 0.083 0.000
pct_change_police_employment vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi 0.158 0.190 0.405
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.072 0.072 0.319
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi -0.214 0.212 0.314
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localpol pct_change_hh_income 0.114 0.168 0.497
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localpol pct_change_pop 0.981 0.081 0.000
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi 0.159 0.217 0.465
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.093 0.086 0.280
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi -0.271 0.249 0.277
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localfire pct_change_hh_income 0.130 0.169 0.442
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localfire pct_change_pop 0.980 0.081 0.000
pct_change_police_employment vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi 0.200 0.250 0.423
Fire Salaries
Right to Work
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes -0.041 0.056 0.467
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw pct_change_hpi 0.462 0.125 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw pct_change_hh_income 0.382 0.157 0.016
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw pct_change_pop 0.065 0.077 0.404
pct_change_ff_salaries vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.013 0.156 0.935
Right to Strike
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike 0.235 0.063 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi 0.638 0.109 0.000
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_hh_income 0.401 0.153 0.009
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike pct_change_pop 0.055 0.074 0.454
pct_change_ff_salaries vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi -0.671 0.200 0.001
City Police Agreement
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.153 0.504 0.763
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 0.154 1.204 0.899
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hh_income 0.081 0.343 0.813
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_pop 0.428 0.165 0.012
pct_change_ff_salaries vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi 0.015 1.245 0.991
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state 0.032 0.062 0.609
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state pct_change_hpi 0.440 0.165 0.008
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state pct_change_hh_income 0.392 0.155 0.012
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state pct_change_pop 0.082 0.077 0.289
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi 0.061 0.174 0.725
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol 0.041 0.065 0.526
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi 0.242 0.192 0.207
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_hh_income 0.418 0.152 0.006
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol pct_change_pop 0.075 0.073 0.310
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi 0.224 0.196 0.253
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire 0.051 0.078 0.512
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi 0.322 0.225 0.152
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_hh_income 0.379 0.154 0.014
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire pct_change_pop 0.068 0.074 0.360
pct_change_ff_salaries vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi 0.180 0.226 0.425
Fire Employment
Right to Work
pct_change_ff_employment vs rtw rtwYes -0.104 0.063 0.098
pct_change_ff_employment vs rtw pct_change_hpi -0.260 0.139 0.063
pct_change_ff_employment vs rtw pct_change_hh_income -0.354 0.176 0.044
pct_change_ff_employment vs rtw pct_change_pop 0.969 0.086 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment vs rtw rtwYes:pct_change_hpi 0.462 0.174 0.008
Right to Strike
pct_change_ff_employment vs right_to_strike right_to_strike -0.033 0.072 0.642
pct_change_ff_employment vs right_to_strike pct_change_hpi -0.107 0.123 0.386
pct_change_ff_employment vs right_to_strike pct_change_hh_income -0.418 0.174 0.016
pct_change_ff_employment vs right_to_strike pct_change_pop 1.039 0.083 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment vs right_to_strike right_to_strike:pct_change_hpi 0.317 0.227 0.162
City Police Agreement
pct_change_ff_employment vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement 0.917 0.460 0.051
pct_change_ff_employment vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hpi 2.474 1.098 0.029
pct_change_ff_employment vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_hh_income -0.220 0.312 0.485
pct_change_ff_employment vs city_police_union_agreement pct_change_pop 1.050 0.151 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment vs city_police_union_agreement city_police_union_agreement:pct_change_hpi -2.434 1.136 0.037
State Employee Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_state union_state -0.070 0.070 0.320
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_state pct_change_hpi -0.095 0.185 0.608
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_state pct_change_hh_income -0.403 0.174 0.021
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_state pct_change_pop 0.992 0.086 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_state union_state:pct_change_hpi 0.033 0.196 0.868
Local Police Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localpol union_localpol -0.061 0.075 0.416
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localpol pct_change_hpi -0.059 0.220 0.788
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localpol pct_change_hh_income -0.435 0.174 0.013
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localpol pct_change_pop 1.022 0.084 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localpol union_localpol:pct_change_hpi 0.019 0.225 0.931
Local Fire Collect. Barg.
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localfire union_localfire -0.091 0.088 0.303
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localfire pct_change_hpi -0.166 0.256 0.516
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localfire pct_change_hh_income -0.409 0.175 0.020
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localfire pct_change_pop 1.025 0.084 0.000
pct_change_ff_employment vs union_localfire union_localfire:pct_change_hpi 0.109 0.257 0.672