I enjoyed this Guillotine league so much, I thought I’d do a quick
analysis of how the season went! What follows is a bunch of ways to view
how every team did each week as well as how the waivers process went. I
believe this was a new format for everyone involved, so I’m sure you all
learned a lot. Jeff and I are down to run this again next year with 18
managers.
Here’s the waterfall chart of how it all went down. We started in
Week 4 with Jimmy being the first team eliminated (sorry!). All it took
was a few bad games for any one of us to be in danger, and the chart
shows all the near-misses for the managers that made it further in the
league. Jonathan, Adam, Harry and I made it to the “Final Four” when
waivers were shut off. At that point, every team was loaded and nobody
could be comfortable. I ended up securing the victory over Adam in the
two-week championship, but it was close the entire way!
| Week | HeyJimmy6 | Blawrence12 | Idrayer | Mell2real | UncleLeo | Quinney141 | Jnuzzi08 | Charminclean | CJThompson33 | Brandon5592 | Goreadaplaybook | CircletheWagon60 | Hoffman123 | Mswatek |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 77.48 | 133 | 135.82 | 139.74 | 131.88 | 144.1 | 110.94 | 111.12 | 109.2 | 97.26 | 85.64 | 97.32 | 112.86 | 160.38 |
| 5 | 72.82 | 131.26 | 132.3 | 97.82 | 123.32 | 135.08 | 113.84 | 73.6 | 94.82 | 110.7 | 123.36 | 177.84 | 115.4 | |
| 6 | 69.78 | 77.46 | 106.54 | 119.74 | 112.04 | 123.42 | 100.06 | 126.96 | 102.9 | 89.74 | 135.08 | 103.14 | ||
| 7 | 80.02 | 124.92 | 120.58 | 118.16 | 123.9 | 90.98 | 114.92 | 80.94 | 144.6 | 155.82 | 84.32 | |||
| 8 | 111.82 | 149.9 | 134.26 | 113.28 | 142.76 | 132.48 | 137.98 | 157.74 | 150.76 | 141.64 | ||||
| 9 | 77.96 | 114.94 | 135.86 | 79.64 | 130 | 124 | 137 | 160 | 143.46 | |||||
| 10 | 106.98 | 114.82 | 124.72 | 131.26 | 108.7 | 162.74 | 134.68 | 130.76 | ||||||
| 11 | 99.92 | 116.02 | 134.66 | 162.82 | 125.26 | 126.92 | 127.48 | |||||||
| 12 | 113.46 | 136.4 | 129.68 | 135.44 | 117.08 | 194.74 | ||||||||
| 13 | 109.28 | 129 | 128.62 | 144.88 | 186.64 | |||||||||
| 14 | 118.64 | 144.36 | 129.28 | 121.42 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 149.86 | 174.34 | 155.74 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 138.74 | 145.08 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 145.16 | 158.38 |
Jeff put together a google sheet to track a lot of metrics
throughout the season. This chart is pretty interesting, as it shows how
the Median, Average, and Lowest points each week converged as the season
went on and teams were eliminated. The Highest score each week peaked in
Weeks 12 and 13 (I had a couple crazy weeks) but otherwise stayed within
the range of 160-170.
I’m curious what you all think of this visual representation.
The size of the stream shows the points scored each week by each
manager, with the lowest-scoring manager dropped after being eliminated.
Adam had most of the top weeks earlier in the season, but Jonathan and I
also had some highest-scoring weeks mixed in. I think this is a pretty
interesting way of tracking how the season went.
This next chart shows a 3-week rolling average of points
scored, which results in less fluctuation. Adam posted high scores every
week for the first half of the season and then had some lower-scoring
weeks before punching his ticket to the championship. Jonathan made some
key early acquisitions and you can see how his team steadily got better
throughout the season. My team started out hot before barely escaping
elimination in Weeks 7-8, and then surged after making several waiver
claims. CJ’s team had the lowest rolling average for a number of weeks
but managed to do enough to survive until Week 12.
Waivers were extremely interesting in this league, as everyone had to
balance position needs and roster strength with how much and when to go
big on the best players that were dropped from eliminated teams. CJ wins
the award for most expensive week, as he spent $730(!) in Week 6. Adam
($630) and Harry ($565) also had big-spending weeks to bolster their
teams for the long run.
It’s a big advantage to have the most money in the league, as
you can afford to put in really high bids for the top guys or place a
bunch of mid-sized claims to overhaul your roster. Adam and I swapped
spots for “biggest budget” early on, and then Jeff and Jon had that
honor later in the season. But perhaps they should have spent a bit more
earlier in the season, as they both were eliminated the week after
securing the top budget spot! Jonathan’s team hung around until managers
with big budgets spent theirs or were eliminated, and he was able to
clean up during the last waiver period.
You can view all acquisition-related data in the table below.
All columns are sortable. What else stands out?
The following charts show a breakdown of acquisitions by position.
The position with the most acquisitions and money spent was Wide
Receivers, but Running Backs had the highest average price per
acquisition. Good Tight Ends were tough to find on waivers, so we saw a
couple of big spikes the two times Travis Kelce was available.
You can see some more position-based acquisition stats in the table below.
Here’s a table of all the players that were picked up through
waivers. DK Metcalf didn’t seem to stick with any team for that long, as
he leads the way with 5 pick-ups. Deebo Samuel comes in second at 4
acquisitions. A total of $581 was spent on Tee Higgins across three
different waiver periods. In addition to Travis Kelce, Dalvin Cook and
CeeDee Lamb each had average acquisition prices above $200 across
multiple waiver periods.
The drop list is similar to the acquired list, with Deebo
Samuel, Kirk Cousins, and DK Metcalf leading the way with 4.