Many college courses conclude by giving students the opportunity to evaluate the course and the instructor anonymously. However, the use of these student evaluations as an indicator of course quality and teaching effectiveness is often criticized because these measures may reflect the influence of non-teaching related characteristics, such as the physical appearance of the instructor. The article titled, “Beauty in the classroom: instructors’ pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity” by Hamermesh and Parker found that instructors who are viewed to be better looking receive higher instructional ratings.
Here, you will analyze the data from this study in order to learn what goes into a positive professor evaluation.
In this lab, you will explore and visualize the data using the tidyverse suite of packages. The data can be found in the companion package for OpenIntro resources, openintro.
Let’s load the packages.
library(tidyverse)
library(openintro)
library(GGally)This is the first time we’re using the GGally package.
You will be using the ggpairs function from this package
later in the lab.
The data were gathered from end of semester student evaluations for a
large sample of professors from the University of Texas at Austin. In
addition, six students rated the professors’ physical appearance. The
result is a data frame where each row contains a different course and
columns represent variables about the courses and professors. It’s
called evals.
glimpse(evals)## Rows: 463
## Columns: 23
## $ course_id <int> 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 1…
## $ prof_id <int> 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5,…
## $ score <dbl> 4.7, 4.1, 3.9, 4.8, 4.6, 4.3, 2.8, 4.1, 3.4, 4.5, 3.8, 4…
## $ rank <fct> tenure track, tenure track, tenure track, tenure track, …
## $ ethnicity <fct> minority, minority, minority, minority, not minority, no…
## $ gender <fct> female, female, female, female, male, male, male, male, …
## $ language <fct> english, english, english, english, english, english, en…
## $ age <int> 36, 36, 36, 36, 59, 59, 59, 51, 51, 40, 40, 40, 40, 40, …
## $ cls_perc_eval <dbl> 55.81395, 68.80000, 60.80000, 62.60163, 85.00000, 87.500…
## $ cls_did_eval <int> 24, 86, 76, 77, 17, 35, 39, 55, 111, 40, 24, 24, 17, 14,…
## $ cls_students <int> 43, 125, 125, 123, 20, 40, 44, 55, 195, 46, 27, 25, 20, …
## $ cls_level <fct> upper, upper, upper, upper, upper, upper, upper, upper, …
## $ cls_profs <fct> single, single, single, single, multiple, multiple, mult…
## $ cls_credits <fct> multi credit, multi credit, multi credit, multi credit, …
## $ bty_f1lower <int> 5, 5, 5, 5, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 7, 7,…
## $ bty_f1upper <int> 7, 7, 7, 7, 4, 4, 4, 2, 2, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 9, 9,…
## $ bty_f2upper <int> 6, 6, 6, 6, 2, 2, 2, 5, 5, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 9, 9,…
## $ bty_m1lower <int> 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 7, 7,…
## $ bty_m1upper <int> 4, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6,…
## $ bty_m2upper <int> 6, 6, 6, 6, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 6, 6,…
## $ bty_avg <dbl> 5.000, 5.000, 5.000, 5.000, 3.000, 3.000, 3.000, 3.333, …
## $ pic_outfit <fct> not formal, not formal, not formal, not formal, not form…
## $ pic_color <fct> color, color, color, color, color, color, color, color, …
We have observations on 21 different variables, some categorical and some numerical. The meaning of each variable can be found by bringing up the help file:
?evalsWJ Response:
This is an observational study given that the experiment has no control or “treatment” groups. Given that observational studies use a sample of data to draw inferences about the general population, I think the research question could be rephrased as: does the attractiveness of a school professor have any influence on the ratings they recieve by students?
score. Is the distribution
skewed? What does that tell you about how students rate courses? Is this
what you expected to see? Why, or why not?WJ Response:
The chunk below creates a histogram of the score
variable:
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = score)) +
geom_histogram() +
labs(
x = "Average Student Score Given to Professor",
y = "Count"
)The distribution is skewed to the right, indicating that the majority of students tend to rate professors on the upper end of the 0-5 scale.
score, select two other variables and
describe their relationship with each other using an appropriate
visualization.WJ Response:
The code chunk below shows the relationship between the age of the
professor (age) and their average beauty rating
(bty_avg) by means of a scatterplot:
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = age, y= bty_avg)) +
geom_point() +
labs(
x = 'Age of Professor',
y = 'Average Beauty Rating Given to Professor'
)The plot above appears to show a slight negative correlation between the two variables. We can check for sure by looking at the correlation coefficient:
cor(evals$age, evals$bty_avg)## [1] -0.3046034
The fundamental phenomenon suggested by the study is that better looking teachers are evaluated more favorably. Let’s create a scatterplot to see if this appears to be the case:
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = bty_avg, y = score)) +
geom_point()Before you draw conclusions about the trend, compare the number of observations in the data frame with the approximate number of points on the scatterplot. Is anything awry?
geom_jitter
as your layer. What was misleading about the initial scatterplot?WJ Response:
Replotting the scatterplot:
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = bty_avg, y = score)) +
geom_jitter()Yes. The score and beauty_average field
have all of their values rounded to the nearest tenth, meaning that the
first scatter plot likely had many overlapping points and giving it the
appearance of not showing the full dataset. The geom_jitter
function adds a small amount of random noise to the data so that it can
be better visualized and prevent this “overplotting” feature.
m_bty to
predict average professor score by average beauty rating. Write out the
equation for the linear model and interpret the slope. Is average beauty
score a statistically significant predictor? Does it appear to be a
practically significant predictor?Add the line of the bet fit model to your plot using the following:
WJ Response:
The code chunk below creates a linear model to relate
avg_bty and score:
m_bty <- lm(score ~ bty_avg, data = evals)
b_1 <- unname(coefficients(m_bty)[2])
b_0 <- unname(coefficients(m_bty)[1])
eqn <- sprintf("$\\hat{y} = %.2f + (%.2f \\beta_1$)", b_0, b_1)
summary(m_bty)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.9246 -0.3690 0.1420 0.3977 0.9309
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.88034 0.07614 50.96 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.06664 0.01629 4.09 5.08e-05 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5348 on 461 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.03502, Adjusted R-squared: 0.03293
## F-statistic: 16.73 on 1 and 461 DF, p-value: 5.083e-05
Based on the output of the above model summary, the equation relating
score (\(\hat{y}\)) and
avg_bty (\(\beta_1\)) is
as follows:
The positive slope indicates that higher bty_avg scores
tend to result in higher score values. This is further
confirmed in model summary output, which indicates that the predictive
effect of bty_avg on score is statistically
significant.
The chunk below replots the scatterplot with this newly created model:
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = bty_avg, y = score)) +
geom_jitter() +
geom_smooth(method = "lm")WJ Response:
The three conditions for least squares regression are linearity, nearly normal residuals, and constant variability. Each are evaluated below:
Linearity:
While we already checked the linearity between score and
avg_bty by looking at a scatterplot, we can also check by
plotting the residual values against the predicted values:
ggplot(data = m_bty, aes(x = .fitted, y = .resid)) +
geom_jitter() +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
xlab("Fitted values") +
ylab("Residuals")There appears to be no correlation in the residual plot, indicating that we do indeed have a linear relationship between our two variables.
Nearly normal residuals:
We can check this condition by making a normal probability plot of the residuals:
ggplot(data = m_bty, aes(sample = .resid)) +
stat_qq()While there is a slightly “curved over” structure apparent on the right side of the plot, the line is still quite linear. Overall, the slight deviation from a linearity does not seem enough to warrant the nearly normal residual condition as invalid.
Constant variability:
Observing the residual plot created to determine linearity, we see that the spread of the residuals at each of the predicted values is relatively similar. This indicates that the constant variability condition is satisfied.
The data set contains several variables on the beauty score of the professor: individual ratings from each of the six students who were asked to score the physical appearance of the professors and the average of these six scores. Let’s take a look at the relationship between one of these scores and the average beauty score.
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = bty_f1lower, y = bty_avg)) +
geom_point()evals %>%
summarise(cor(bty_avg, bty_f1lower))## # A tibble: 1 × 1
## `cor(bty_avg, bty_f1lower)`
## <dbl>
## 1 0.844
As expected, the relationship is quite strong—after all, the average score is calculated using the individual scores. You can actually look at the relationships between all beauty variables (columns 13 through 19) using the following command:
evals %>%
select(contains("bty")) %>%
ggpairs()These variables are collinear (correlated), and adding more than one of these variables to the model would not add much value to the model. In this application and with these highly-correlated predictors, it is reasonable to use the average beauty score as the single representative of these variables.
In order to see if beauty is still a significant predictor of professor score after you’ve accounted for the professor’s gender, you can add the gender term into the model.
m_bty_gen <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_gen)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + gender, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8305 -0.3625 0.1055 0.4213 0.9314
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.74734 0.08466 44.266 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.07416 0.01625 4.563 6.48e-06 ***
## gendermale 0.17239 0.05022 3.433 0.000652 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5287 on 460 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.05912, Adjusted R-squared: 0.05503
## F-statistic: 14.45 on 2 and 460 DF, p-value: 8.177e-07
WJ Response:
The code chunk below creates two plots, one of the residuals vs. their predicted values, and a Q-Q plot of the residuals:
ggplot(data = m_bty_gen, aes(x = .fitted, y = .resid)) +
geom_jitter() +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
xlab("Fitted values") +
ylab("Residuals")ggplot(data = m_bty_gen, aes(sample = .resid)) +
stat_qq()The lack of structure and even spread of the first plot indicates that we have satisfied our linearity and near-constant variability conditions, while the linear appearance of the residual Q-Q plot indicates that we have satisfied our nearly-normal residuals condition.
bty_avg still a significant predictor of
score? Has the addition of gender to the model
changed the parameter estimate for bty_avg?WJ Response:
Yes, both bty_avg and gender are both
significant predictors of score. The addition of
gender as a variable has slightly increased the value of
the bty_avg parameter estimate indicating that the new
model attributes more of an effect of bty_avg on score.
Note that the estimate for gender is now called
gendermale. You’ll see this name change whenever you
introduce a categorical variable. The reason is that R recodes
gender from having the values of male and
female to being an indicator variable called
gendermale that takes a value of \(0\) for female professors and a value of
\(1\) for male professors. (Such
variables are often referred to as “dummy” variables.)
As a result, for female professors, the parameter estimate is multiplied by zero, leaving the intercept and slope form familiar from simple regression.
\[ \begin{aligned} \widehat{score} &= \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg + \hat{\beta}_2 \times (0) \\ &= \hat{\beta}_0 + \hat{\beta}_1 \times bty\_avg\end{aligned} \]
–
ggplot(data = evals, aes(x = bty_avg, y = score, color = pic_color)) +
geom_smooth(method = "lm", formula = y ~ x, se = FALSE)WJ Response:
m_test <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
b_0 <- unname(coefficients(m_test)[1])
b_1 <- unname(coefficients(m_test)[2])
b_2 <- unname(coefficients(m_test)[3])
eqn1 <- sprintf(
"$\\hat{y} = %.2f + (%.2f \\beta_1) + (%.2f \\beta_2$)", b_0, b_1, b_2)
eqn2 <- sprintf("$\\hat{y} = %.2f + (%.2f \\beta_1$)", b_0, b_1)
summary(m_test)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8892 -0.3690 0.1293 0.4023 0.9125
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.06318 0.10908 37.249 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.05548 0.01691 3.282 0.00111 **
## pic_colorcolor -0.16059 0.06892 -2.330 0.02022 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5323 on 460 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.04628, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04213
## F-statistic: 11.16 on 2 and 460 DF, p-value: 1.848e-05
Based on the results above, if \(\beta_1\) = bty_avg and \(\beta_2\) = pic_color, the
equation for professors with a color photo is:
Thus, for professors with the same beauty rating, those with black and white photos on average were rated more highly.
The decision to call the indicator variable gendermale
instead of genderfemale has no deeper meaning. R simply
codes the category that comes first alphabetically as a \(0\). (You can change the reference level of
a categorical variable, which is the level that is coded as a 0, using
therelevel() function. Use ?relevel to learn
more.)
m_bty_rank with
gender removed and rank added in. How does R
appear to handle categorical variables that have more than two levels?
Note that the rank variable has three levels: teaching,
tenure track, tenured.WJ Response:
m_bty_rank <- lm(score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
summary(m_bty_rank)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ bty_avg + rank, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.8713 -0.3642 0.1489 0.4103 0.9525
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.98155 0.09078 43.860 < 2e-16 ***
## bty_avg 0.06783 0.01655 4.098 4.92e-05 ***
## ranktenure track -0.16070 0.07395 -2.173 0.0303 *
## ranktenured -0.12623 0.06266 -2.014 0.0445 *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5328 on 459 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.04652, Adjusted R-squared: 0.04029
## F-statistic: 7.465 on 3 and 459 DF, p-value: 6.88e-05
It appears that for a categorical variable with \(n\) categories, lm will create
\(n-1\) binary dummy variables. In this
case, it created two: ranktenure track and
ranktenured. Having two binary variables actually provides
information about all three categories, because if
ranktenuretrack and ranktenured are both 0 we
know that the only remaining value is teaching.
The interpretation of the coefficients in multiple regression is
slightly different from that of simple regression. The estimate for
bty_avg reflects how much higher a group of professors is
expected to score if they have a beauty rating that is one point higher
while holding all other variables constant. In this case, that
translates into considering only professors of the same rank with
bty_avg scores that are one point apart.
We will start with a full model that predicts professor score based on rank, gender, ethnicity, language of the university where they got their degree, age, proportion of students that filled out evaluations, class size, course level, number of professors, number of credits, average beauty rating, outfit, and picture color.
WJ Response:
I would expect ethnicity to have the highest \(p\)-value. In other words, I expect it to be the predictor variable that has the least effect on a professor’s overall score.
Let’s run the model…
m_full <- lm(score ~ rank + gender + ethnicity + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_full)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + gender + ethnicity + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_profs + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.77397 -0.32432 0.09067 0.35183 0.95036
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0952141 0.2905277 14.096 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1475932 0.0820671 -1.798 0.07278 .
## ranktenured -0.0973378 0.0663296 -1.467 0.14295
## gendermale 0.2109481 0.0518230 4.071 5.54e-05 ***
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1234929 0.0786273 1.571 0.11698
## languagenon-english -0.2298112 0.1113754 -2.063 0.03965 *
## age -0.0090072 0.0031359 -2.872 0.00427 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0053272 0.0015393 3.461 0.00059 ***
## cls_students 0.0004546 0.0003774 1.205 0.22896
## cls_levelupper 0.0605140 0.0575617 1.051 0.29369
## cls_profssingle -0.0146619 0.0519885 -0.282 0.77806
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5020432 0.1159388 4.330 1.84e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0400333 0.0175064 2.287 0.02267 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1126817 0.0738800 -1.525 0.12792
## pic_colorcolor -0.2172630 0.0715021 -3.039 0.00252 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.498 on 448 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1871, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1617
## F-statistic: 7.366 on 14 and 448 DF, p-value: 6.552e-14
WJ Response:
Based on the model output, ethnicity was not a statistically significant predictor of professor score. However, there were other variables with higher \(p\) values.
WJ Response:
The ethnicity field was transformed to the
ethnicity_not_minority field, which is 1 if the professor
is not a minority and 0 if the professor is. Given the positive value of
this coefficient, the data suggests that non-minority professors were
given higher scores. However, as stated previously,
ethnicity was not categorized as being a statistically
significant predictor.
WJ Response:
Refitting the model, but dropping the cls_profs column
(number of professors teaching the class), since it had the highest
\(p\)-value:
m_full <- lm(score ~ rank + gender + ethnicity + language + age + cls_perc_eval
+ cls_students + cls_level + cls_credits + bty_avg
+ pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_full)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ rank + gender + ethnicity + language + age +
## cls_perc_eval + cls_students + cls_level + cls_credits +
## bty_avg + pic_outfit + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.7836 -0.3257 0.0859 0.3513 0.9551
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.0872523 0.2888562 14.150 < 2e-16 ***
## ranktenure track -0.1476746 0.0819824 -1.801 0.072327 .
## ranktenured -0.0973829 0.0662614 -1.470 0.142349
## gendermale 0.2101231 0.0516873 4.065 5.66e-05 ***
## ethnicitynot minority 0.1274458 0.0772887 1.649 0.099856 .
## languagenon-english -0.2282894 0.1111305 -2.054 0.040530 *
## age -0.0089992 0.0031326 -2.873 0.004262 **
## cls_perc_eval 0.0052888 0.0015317 3.453 0.000607 ***
## cls_students 0.0004687 0.0003737 1.254 0.210384
## cls_levelupper 0.0606374 0.0575010 1.055 0.292200
## cls_creditsone credit 0.5061196 0.1149163 4.404 1.33e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.0398629 0.0174780 2.281 0.023032 *
## pic_outfitnot formal -0.1083227 0.0721711 -1.501 0.134080
## pic_colorcolor -0.2190527 0.0711469 -3.079 0.002205 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.4974 on 449 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.187, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1634
## F-statistic: 7.943 on 13 and 449 DF, p-value: 2.336e-14
When removing the cls_profs variable, both a number of
\(p\) values decreasesed, and the
adjusted \(R^2\) value actually
increased. This indicates that the cls_profs column was
likely collinear with a number of other explanatory columns, and
provided no additional information to the model (in fact, it actually
made it worse).
WJ Response:
The model below uses the \(p\)-value
to select only those explanatory variables that have a statistically
significant effect on score.
m_final <- lm(score ~ gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval +
cls_credits + bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
summary(m_final)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = score ~ gender + language + age + cls_perc_eval +
## cls_credits + bty_avg + pic_color, data = evals)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.81919 -0.32035 0.09272 0.38526 0.88213
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.967255 0.215824 18.382 < 2e-16 ***
## gendermale 0.221457 0.049937 4.435 1.16e-05 ***
## languagenon-english -0.281933 0.098341 -2.867 0.00434 **
## age -0.005877 0.002622 -2.241 0.02551 *
## cls_perc_eval 0.004295 0.001432 2.999 0.00286 **
## cls_creditsone credit 0.444392 0.100910 4.404 1.33e-05 ***
## bty_avg 0.048679 0.016974 2.868 0.00432 **
## pic_colorcolor -0.216556 0.066625 -3.250 0.00124 **
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.5014 on 455 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.1631, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1502
## F-statistic: 12.67 on 7 and 455 DF, p-value: 6.996e-15
In addition, the following `ggpairs plot confirms that
none of our explanatory variables seem to have overwhelming high levels
of collinearity:
evals %>%
select(gender, language, age, cls_perc_eval,
cls_credits, bty_avg, pic_color) %>%
ggpairs()WJ Response:
The code chunk below creates two plots, one of the residuals vs. their predicted values, and a Q-Q plot of the residuals:
ggplot(data = m_final, aes(x = .fitted, y = .resid)) +
geom_jitter() +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
xlab("Fitted values") +
ylab("Residuals")ggplot(data = m_final, aes(sample = .resid)) +
stat_qq()The lack of structure and even spread of the first plot indicates that we have satisfied our linearity and near-constant variability conditions, while the linear appearance of the residual Q-Q plot indicates that we have satisfied our nearly-normal residuals condition.
WJ Response:
Yes, this could pose an issue in which scores are replicated even though they come from the same professor. The same professor is likely to get evaluated similarly for all courses that they teach, meaning that the dataset can be skewed by these repeated scores for the same professor. A better approach might have been to average all the professor class scores before we created the model.
WJ Response:
Based off the results of the model, a professor at the University of Texas at Austin who is most likely to have a high evaluation score would be one who:
WJ Response:
I would not. The data represents those scores from students and professors from only a single university. I would be much more inclined to apply the model more generally if it was based off random samplings of data from other universities across the country.