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Included this week:

  • Inflation
  • Agriculture Input and Output: Price Indices
  • Services Index
  • Industrial Production
  • Vehicles Registrations

Inflation

HICP

Eurostat data shows that inflation for the Euro Area continues its upward trend. Stateside inflation was lower than expected, but still almost 4 times target, at 7.7%. Food and Energy are running at over 10% and 17% respectively in the US. So while markets may be optimistic policy makers still have to tame inflation. It may mean 75 bps hikes are shelved but to be replaced by 50 bps. The pressures are more acute in Europe.

Eurostat data shows that inflation for the Euro Area continues its upward trend. Stateside inflation was lower than expected, but still almost 4 times target, at 7.7%. Food and Energy are running at over 10% and 17% respectively in the US. So while markets may be optimistic policy makers still have to tame inflation. It may mean 75 bps hikes are shelved but to be replaced by 50 bps. The pressures are more acute in Europe.

CPI

See below, CPI is the top panel and percentage change year on year by Commodity Group makes up the panels.

Inflation by sub index shows broad based issues. Energy increased 27.8% on the year, materially higher than the past 6 months which hovered around 20%. Food is still increasing year on year running at 10s.

Inflation by sub index shows broad based issues. Energy increased 27.8% on the year, materially higher than the past 6 months which hovered around 20%. Food is still increasing year on year running at 10s.

Contribution to Inflation

Contribution to inflation sum to the latest headline inflation print. As seen previoiusly inflation is broad based with particular pressures in energy - Energy alone accounted for 4.54 percentage points of the 9.2% CPI print for October.

Contribution to inflation sum to the latest headline inflation print. As seen previoiusly inflation is broad based with particular pressures in energy - Energy alone accounted for 4.54 percentage points of the 9.2% CPI print for October.

Agri Prices

Considering food inflation in the previous section the agri price index was assumed to be up. Regardless the trend line is still stark. To see a breakdown by all 'Agricultural Products' as defined by the CSO, see the appendix. - Fertiliser is impacted by energy, so its a given that that will have increased substantially. The inflation is broader than fertilisers as you will see.

Considering food inflation in the previous section the agri price index was assumed to be up. Regardless the trend line is still stark. To see a breakdown by all ‘Agricultural Products’ as defined by the CSO, see the appendix. - Fertiliser is impacted by energy, so its a given that that will have increased substantially. The inflation is broader than fertilisers as you will see.

Services Index

Where value is exceeding volume this is inflationary

Where value is exceeding volume this is inflationary

Industrial Index

This series has many blank categories, all blanks removed.

This series has many blank categories, all blanks removed.

Vehicle Registrations

I will have to make an index out of this to infer anything meaningful

I will have to make an index out of this to infer anything meaningful

Appendix