A. Time-Series Charts

A1. On average, city budgets have gone up 120% from 2000-2017

A2. On average, police and fire salaries have gone up 15-20%

Meanwhile, overall real wages have only gone up about 2% in that same time.

A3. On average, police employment is slightly down and fire employment is slightly up

A4. The police and fire shares of the budget have declined by 30%

A5. Other parts of the city budget must be going up, though we are still identifying precisely what

B. Pct Change Correlations/Regressions

B1. Employment and salaries are not very correlated with crime or fires, but house prices are

Police

Employment

Salaries

Fire

Employment

Salaries

B2. Cities with Biggest Budget Increases Decreased Police Share the Most

B3. Change in Payroll is Highly Correlated with Outlays, but Not Perfectly

Police Outlays vs. Police Payroll

### Fire Outlays vs. Fire Payroll

B4. Few Cities Have Increased Police Outlays More than Total Municipal Outlays

B5. Percent Change in Home Prices is Pretty Predictive of Total Municipal Outlays

C. Levels Correlations

C1. 2017 Crime per Capita vs Police FTE/Salaries

FTE

Salaries

C2. 2017 Fires per Capita vs. Firefighter FTE/Salaries

FTE

Salaries