Modeling more than 40,000 Species of Denmark Goal to model them at 10 meter resolution including Climatic data (Chelsa Downscaling algorithm) Soil data (Soilgrids for EU) Landuse (Either corine or google earth dynamic world) Projections for present and at least 4 future scenarios
Passed it through the taxize r package to get the GBIF closest match and exclude synonimia Filtered out species with lower than 0.9 in a match Used rgbif package to download presences Max 10.000 species that had coordinates
With CoordinateCleaner r package: Presences from 1960 onwards Eliminated prescences in Country, county or regions centroids (Known way to create coordinates of occurrences where there are no known coordinates) Eliminated equal lat and long Eliminated environmental and geografical outliers With spThin Made sure that presences are at least 5 kms form each other (Spatial Autocorrelation)
Using AMPL written and tested models to prioritize: Denmark or EU as a whole, by region, or by commune Maximize shannon divesity (or other alpha div) Select possible landuse changes Minimum Carbon storage Goals for red list species Consider cities, landuse change, and climate change
Using prioritizr for optimization two approaches Minimum cost to approach goals Maximum gain given a certain budget (better to get to target areas) 987 species as target features
From BIEN, we looked for all the presences of species present in Denmark Native: 987 Invasive: 208 (more introduced species have also been modeled) Model current and 4 future scenarios
Present richness vs concensus richness Better options with migrations, artscore, and other metrics Other taxa
Naidoo and Iwamura (2007) Based on potential crop and livestock production Does not consider climate change (We can do better)