1 Set Up

Crunch numbers and generate figures for the Hector v3 manuscript.

1.1 Load Hector Results

2 Comparison with data calibrated to

2.1 Atmospheric CO2

2.2 Global Mean Surface Temp

## Warning in mask$eval_all_mutate(quo): NAs introduced by coercion

2.3 Global Land Project

2.4 Comparison with other observations

3 CMIP6 Comparison

4 Recreating IPCC SPM10

Why are we so far off here? I suspect it is because we are not using the same inputs, looking at the emissions it loos like we are missing anywhere between 75 to 100 Gt/CO2 emissions in Hector which I suspect could make up the difference in temperatures.

  • Use the AR6 inputs?
IPCC cumlative CO2 emission summary stats
scenario min_co2 mean max_co2
historical 2.66825 691.1971 2410.638
ssp119 2240.98577 2724.0497 2961.495
ssp126 2240.98577 2852.7831 3329.057
ssp245 2240.98180 2978.7188 3740.467
ssp370 2240.98180 3114.2178 4114.765
ssp585 2240.98577 3165.6878 4345.997
Hector’s cumlative CO2 emission summary stats
scenario min_co2 mean max_co2
historical 2.032788 760.2897 2306.001
ssp119 2335.511042 2687.1764 2863.314
ssp126 2335.842405 2841.2274 3253.430
ssp245 2338.376789 2983.0170 3639.591
ssp370 2350.877231 3140.0715 4014.456
ssp585 2347.585180 3200.0620 4246.027

5 Comparison of default versions of Hector