Win Percentage Plot including when the loser’s chance of winning peaked

Table showing most impactful plays by winning percentage.

Top 10 Most Impactful Plays by Winning Percentage Added
Team Down Yds Yardline Qtr Play Description Tm Opp WPA
PIT 3 15 PIT 20 4 (3:07) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 11-C.Claypool to PIT 37 for 17 yards (31-A.Winfield). 20 18 17.75
PIT 3 6 PIT 44 4 (10:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 83-Co.Heyward to TB 11 for 45 yards (54-L.David). Penalty on TB-50-V.Vea, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined. Penalty on TB-50-V.Vea, Defensive Offside, declined. 13 12 14.58
PIT 3 11 PIT 36 4 (2:15) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 11-C.Claypool ran ob at TB 38 for 26 yards. 20 18 12.48
TB 4 1 PIT 29 4 (6:25) 7-L.Fournette right end to PIT 22 for 7 yards (21-T.Norwood). 12 20 12.16
PIT 2 2 PIT 33 4 (3:51) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky Aborted. 61-M.Cole FUMBLES at PIT 28, recovered by PIT-10-M.Trubisky at PIT 20. 20 18 -11.68
PIT 3 13 PIT 26 4 (12:14) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 14-G.Pickens to PIT 40 for 14 yards (24-C.Davis). 13 12 11.38
PIT 2 5 TB 6 4 (9:59) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 11-C.Claypool for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 19 12 11.36
PIT 3 15 PIT 20 3 (6:16) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 11-C.Claypool to PIT 36 for 16 yards (54-L.David). 13 12 10.68
TB 4 1 PIT 13 4 (5:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 29-R.White to PIT 11 for 2 yards (37-E.Riley). 12 20 10.64
PIT NA 0 TB 35 3 5-J.Camarda kicks 66 yards from TB 35 to PIT -1. 82-S.Sims to TB 12 for 89 yards (35-J.Dean). 10 9 9.97

Possession by Possession results throughout the game.

On the left is success rate, a binary measure on if the team was more likely to win after the play than before it. On the right is total win-probability added or lost from that down, so like the left, but more weight heavy.

Passing stats by area for each quarterback

Rushing stats by designated hole for each offense

Recieving stats for players with most targets. Empty box is an incomplete pass, primary color is yards before the catch, secondary color is yards after the catch, yellow line is first down marker, and logo means the score was a touchdown.

A measure of the games excitement and comeback level compared to all other games played in the season. The y-axis is in a log2 pattern so every two lines is a full double.