GEOG6000 Methods of Data Analysis Lab 03
Experiment using R Markup in HTML
Plotting Types
setwd("~/Desktop/University of Utah PhD /Course Work/Fall 2022 Semester/GEOG6000_Data Analysis/lab03") ##Set working directory
##Bar Plots
VAdeaths = read.csv("../datafiles/VAdeaths.csv", row.names = 1)
mycol = heat.colors(5)
barplot(as.matrix(VAdeaths), beside=T, legend = rownames(VAdeaths),
col = mycol,
main = "VA Deaths by Age",
ylab = "Number of Deaths",
xlab = "Location and Sex")
Dot Charts!
VAdeaths.m = as.matrix(VAdeaths)
dotchart(VAdeaths.m)
##Transpose the matrix --> Ask about this in lab...I am still having difficulty conceptualizing the data organizing coding we are using***
##Data Structures
#Data can be numeric, factor, character, or boolean
#Vector is a set a values in one dimension
#Matrix is a 2 dimensional type rows/columns
#Array is like a matrix with more then 2 rows/columns
#Data Frame like csv file
##'as' functions convert data types to use for the function, i.e. as.matrix
dotchart(t(VAdeaths.m))
##Transpose for rural/urban category to the age bracket##
Plotting Multiple Series with Points
cmp = c(52, 57, 62, 67, 72)
plot (cmp, VAdeaths$Rural.Male, pch = 1, col= 1, ylim = c(0,70),
xlab = "Age Class",
ylab = "Mortalitiy",
main = " Virginia Death Rates")
points(cmp, VAdeaths$Rural.Female, pch = 2, col = 2)
points(cmp, VAdeaths$Urban.Male, pch = 3, col = 3)
points(cmp, VAdeaths$Urban.Female, pch = 4, col = 4)
legend("topleft", legend = c("Rural Male", "Rural Female", "Urban Male", "Urban Female"),
col = c(1, 2, 3, 4), pch = c(1,2,3,4))
##This code concatenated the each group to its own symbol and color on the plot and legend.
##1, 2, 3, 4 was in order of rural male, rural female, urban male, and urban female
Plotting Multiple Series with Lines
ipcc = read.csv("../datafiles/ipccScenario_1900_2100.csv")
plot(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$commitMed,
type = 'l',
lwd = 1,
col = 'orange',
ylim = c(-1.0,3.5),
main = 'IPCC Scenarios',
xlab = 'Years',
ylab = 'Global Temp.')
lines(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$b1Med, lwd = 1, col = "blue")
lines(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$a1bMed, lwd = 1, col = 'green')
lines(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$a2Med, lwd = 1, col = 'red')
###This plot takes multiple data and plots them against a common x axis which is in the first part of the plot and line argument
abline(h = 0, lty = 2)
legend("topleft", legend = c("Commit", "B1", "A1B", "A2"),
lty = 1,
lwd = 1,
col = c('orange', 'blue', 'green', 'red'))
##Experiment with elements of the chart to make it more visually appealing
Plotting Polygons
plot(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$commitMed,
type = 'n',
ylim = c(-1.5,1.0),
main = 'Commit Scenario',
xlab = 'Years',
ylab = 'Global Temp.')
##This produces a "blank plot with an x and y axis along with labels
polygon(c(ipcc$yrs,rev(ipcc$yrs)),c(ipcc$commitLo,rev(ipcc$commitHi)),
col = 'orange')
##How does the "rev" function work??****
##Need to reverse it in order to give it its total set of vertices instead of going back to the beginning (think drawing as opposed to typewriter)
lines(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$commitMed,
lwd = 2,
col = 'black')
Polygon Fill with Shading Lines
plot(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$commitMed,
type = 'n',
ylim = c(-1.5,1.0))
polygon(c(ipcc$yrs,rev(ipcc$yrs)),c(ipcc$commitLo,rev(ipcc$commitHi)),
col = 'orange',
density = 20,
angle = 145)
lines(ipcc$yrs, ipcc$commitMed,
lwd = 2,
col = 'black')
Plotting Images
volcano = read.table("../datafiles/volcanodem.txt")
volcano = as.matrix(volcano)
##Where do the the V"n" columns come from? Matrix transition?
z = 2 * volcano ##Exaggerate the relief
x = 10 * (1:nrow(z))
y = 10 * (1:ncol(z))
##Not sure how we are organizing the data here.
image(x, y, z)
Image with better color scheme:
image(x, y, z, col = terrain.colors(100))
Contour Plot:
contour(x, y, z, nlevel = 20)
##Can this be used for isopleths???
Perspective Plot:
persp(x, y, z,theta = 210, phi = 15, scale = FALSE)
##Neat!
Shaded Perspective Plot
persp(x, y, z,
theta = 130,
phi = 30,
scale = FALSE,
col = 'green3',
ltheta = -120,
shade = 0.75,
border = NA,
box = FALSE)
##ltheta controls the light angle
##shade controls the diffusion of the lighting
#phi is the vertical angle
#theta is the horizontal view angle
pdf('volcano.pdf')
image(x, y, z,
col = terrain.colors(100),
main = "Maunga Whau DEM")
dev.off()
## quartz_off_screen
## 2
##Export to .pdf
Simple Linear Regression
regrex = read.csv("../datafiles/regrex.csv")
summary(regrex)
## y x
## Min. : 2.281 Min. : 0.8347
## 1st Qu.: 3.830 1st Qu.: 3.6437
## Median : 7.006 Median : 9.8750
## Mean : 6.971 Mean :10.0678
## 3rd Qu.: 9.257 3rd Qu.:14.4428
## Max. :15.000 Max. :25.0000
plot( y ~ x, data=regrex)
cor.test(regrex$x, regrex$y)
##
## Pearson's product-moment correlation
##
## data: regrex$x and regrex$y
## t = 19.194, df = 28, p-value < 2.2e-16
## alternative hypothesis: true correlation is not equal to 0
## 95 percent confidence interval:
## 0.9250459 0.9829233
## sample estimates:
## cor
## 0.9640353
ex1.lm = lm( y ~ x, data = regrex)
ex1.lm
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ x, data = regrex)
##
## Coefficients:
## (Intercept) x
## 2.2481 0.4691
anova(ex1.lm)
## Analysis of Variance Table
##
## Response: y
## Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F)
## x 1 283.947 283.947 368.4 < 2.2e-16 ***
## Residuals 28 21.581 0.771
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##Is this appropriate given only two variables?
summary(ex1.lm)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = y ~ x, data = regrex)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -1.66121 -0.53286 -0.02869 0.50436 2.36786
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 2.24814 0.29365 7.656 2.44e-08 ***
## x 0.46906 0.02444 19.194 < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.8779 on 28 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.9294, Adjusted R-squared: 0.9268
## F-statistic: 368.4 on 1 and 28 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
This model seems to be a good fit based on the residuals distribution, p-value, and adjusted r-squared
Plotting the regression with a line
plot( y ~ x, data = regrex,
main = "Linear Regression Example",
xlab = "X",
ylab = "Y",
col = "blue",
pch = 2)
abline(ex1.lm, col = "red")
Model Standard Errors
predict(ex1.lm, level = 0.95, interval = "conf")
## fit lwr upr
## 1 6.868031 6.539515 7.196547
## 2 7.475842 7.143110 7.808574
## 3 4.650164 4.238912 5.061416
## 4 6.051534 5.708864 6.394204
## 5 3.917958 3.455424 4.380491
## 6 3.180779 2.659831 3.701728
## 7 9.533712 9.106359 9.961065
## 8 5.775585 5.423353 6.127816
## 9 8.824490 8.441149 9.207830
## 10 5.776711 5.424523 6.128899
## 11 8.968492 8.576998 9.359986
## 12 4.075140 3.624265 4.526015
## 13 3.125618 2.600085 3.651150
## 14 2.639669 2.072716 3.206622
## 15 10.851355 10.322830 11.379880
## 16 3.028897 2.495266 3.562528
## 17 10.249360 9.769518 10.729202
## 18 6.581106 6.250152 6.912059
## 19 12.098451 11.460251 12.736650
## 20 3.903276 3.439638 4.366914
## 21 13.974700 13.158269 14.791131
## 22 6.892235 6.563795 7.220674
## 23 10.503170 10.003231 11.003109
## 24 8.758258 8.378518 9.137998
## 25 7.346381 7.015607 7.677155
## 26 8.169491 7.817107 8.521876
## 27 2.704024 2.142656 3.265393
## 28 9.040821 8.645070 9.436572
## 29 3.270323 2.756759 3.783888
## 30 10.881328 10.350293 11.412363
##What am I looking at?
##Fit = predicted value
##lwr = lower interval
##upr = upper interval -> In this case 95%?
newx = data.frame(x = -1:30) ##New data frame with values x from -1 to 30
newy = predict(ex1.lm, newdata = newx,
level = 0.95,
interval = "conf") ##prediction of our new y values with our new data newx
str(newy)
## num [1:32, 1:3] 1.78 2.25 2.72 3.19 3.66 ...
## - attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
## ..$ : chr [1:32] "1" "2" "3" "4" ...
## ..$ : chr [1:3] "fit" "lwr" "upr"
plot( y ~ x, data=regrex,
pch = 16,
main = 'Model Confidence Intervals')
lines(newx$x, newy[,"fit"], col = 2) ##predicted values of x...or fit?
lines(newx$x, newy[,"lwr"], col = 3, lty = 2) ##lower confidence interval?
lines(newx$x, newy[,"upr"], col = 3, lty = 2) ##upper confidence interval?
Residual Plots
ex1.res = residuals (ex1.lm) ##creating a variable for the residuals
hist(ex1.res)
plot(ex1.lm, which = 1)
##Question on this
plot(ex1.lm, which = 2)
plot(ex1.lm, which = 4)
shapiro.test(ex1.res)
##
## Shapiro-Wilk normality test
##
## data: ex1.res
## W = 0.97685, p-value = 0.7371
#The null hypothesis is that the data are normally distributed. Here we get a high p-value, and no evidence to reject the null.
GG PLot Example During Lab (September 8, 2022)
library(ggplot2)
library(ggthemes)
head(ipcc)
## yrs commitLo commitMed commitHi b1Lo b1Med b1Hi a1bLo
## 1 1900 -1.249695 -0.7738950 -0.4706987 -1.297196 -0.728424 -0.2830675 -1.297196
## 2 1901 -1.271248 -0.7549440 -0.4823416 -1.331284 -0.817597 -0.3107170 -1.331284
## 3 1902 -1.277435 -0.7278140 -0.4359170 -1.277878 -0.772888 -0.3653695 -1.277878
## 4 1903 -1.432007 -0.9645080 -0.5018959 -1.448410 -0.979095 -0.4230190 -1.444413
## 5 1904 -1.475003 -0.9552915 -0.3693616 -1.477845 -0.990509 -0.3251775 -1.473847
## 6 1905 -1.259312 -0.8682560 -0.3919640 -1.275238 -0.878296 -0.3458400 -1.271241
## a1bMed a1bHi a2Lo a2Med a2Hi
## 1 -0.728424 -0.4105530 -1.260944 -0.728424 -0.4130732
## 2 -0.817597 -0.4692840 -1.282025 -0.817597 -0.4438598
## 3 -0.772888 -0.5234835 -1.285516 -0.773956 -0.4910338
## 4 -0.979095 -0.4545900 -1.461756 -0.979095 -0.4747374
## 5 -0.990509 -0.3253635 -1.499365 -1.022706 -0.3149656
## 6 -0.878296 -0.4089970 -1.289893 -0.894043 -0.3495362
##need to put it into long format data
plot_df = data.frame(
yrs = rep(ipcc$yrs, 4), #replicate 4 columns by year
cilo = c(ipcc$commitLo, ipcc$b1Lo, ipcc$a1bLo, ipcc$a2Lo),
cihi = c(ipcc$commitHi, ipcc$b1Hi, ipcc$a1bHi, ipcc$a2Hi),
med = c(ipcc$commitMed, ipcc$b1Med, ipcc$a1bMed, ipcc$a2Med),
scenario = rep(c('Commit', 'b1', 'a1b', 'a2'), each = nrow(ipcc))
)
plot_df
## yrs cilo cihi med scenario
## 1 1900 -1.249695250 -0.470698750 -0.7738950 Commit
## 2 1901 -1.271247750 -0.482341625 -0.7549440 Commit
## 3 1902 -1.277435375 -0.435917000 -0.7278140 Commit
## 4 1903 -1.432007375 -0.501895875 -0.9645080 Commit
## 5 1904 -1.475002625 -0.369361625 -0.9552915 Commit
## 6 1905 -1.259312125 -0.391964000 -0.8682560 Commit
## 7 1906 -1.193469875 -0.528411750 -0.8206175 Commit
## 8 1907 -1.213142375 -0.503215375 -0.7650755 Commit
## 9 1908 -1.382938250 -0.376731375 -0.7171630 Commit
## 10 1909 -1.346119000 -0.346671750 -0.7363120 Commit
## 11 1910 -1.208850625 -0.463943250 -0.6988675 Commit
## 12 1911 -1.299510875 -0.477496625 -0.7300565 Commit
## 13 1912 -1.253853000 -0.459686125 -0.7516785 Commit
## 14 1913 -1.170108875 -0.541373875 -0.7887725 Commit
## 15 1914 -1.172077250 -0.563056500 -0.8452145 Commit
## 16 1915 -1.143642250 -0.470172875 -0.7923430 Commit
## 17 1916 -1.125194250 -0.363517500 -0.7026675 Commit
## 18 1917 -1.294612875 -0.505202875 -0.6505735 Commit
## 19 1918 -1.230450000 -0.450122625 -0.6823120 Commit
## 20 1919 -1.093258125 -0.399363875 -0.6559600 Commit
## 21 1920 -1.220935375 -0.394255875 -0.6564945 Commit
## 22 1921 -1.218002250 -0.501464750 -0.6831660 Commit
## 23 1922 -1.074794500 -0.395710125 -0.6636815 Commit
## 24 1923 -1.017368250 -0.398242875 -0.6171870 Commit
## 25 1924 -1.109744875 -0.433758125 -0.6927945 Commit
## 26 1925 -1.118492250 -0.481971375 -0.6569670 Commit
## 27 1926 -1.158561500 -0.506595750 -0.6294250 Commit
## 28 1927 -1.144611625 -0.453494750 -0.5916600 Commit
## 29 1928 -1.036552000 -0.508056750 -0.6502535 Commit
## 30 1929 -1.084983750 -0.396220750 -0.6577300 Commit
## 31 1930 -1.251670625 -0.433547625 -0.6029660 Commit
## 32 1931 -1.226871250 -0.444514875 -0.6536865 Commit
## 33 1932 -1.062671500 -0.420367875 -0.6436160 Commit
## 34 1933 -1.020621750 -0.433689250 -0.6819765 Commit
## 35 1934 -1.122669375 -0.473956750 -0.5988160 Commit
## 36 1935 -1.012603500 -0.462146125 -0.6158910 Commit
## 37 1936 -0.998916250 -0.495780375 -0.5680540 Commit
## 38 1937 -1.020847250 -0.450264125 -0.6315765 Commit
## 39 1938 -1.041431375 -0.394321125 -0.5868835 Commit
## 40 1939 -0.971298250 -0.363247000 -0.5763400 Commit
## 41 1940 -0.999210375 -0.415267500 -0.6200560 Commit
## 42 1941 -1.065925125 -0.427284000 -0.5216065 Commit
## 43 1942 -0.964511625 -0.340339500 -0.5852965 Commit
## 44 1943 -0.966216750 -0.427253625 -0.5703585 Commit
## 45 1944 -0.966526250 -0.399078500 -0.6293640 Commit
## 46 1945 -0.908572875 -0.419608500 -0.5138090 Commit
## 47 1946 -0.956291500 -0.412982625 -0.5893245 Commit
## 48 1947 -0.948387125 -0.365982250 -0.6245270 Commit
## 49 1948 -0.919135625 -0.376110250 -0.5629120 Commit
## 50 1949 -0.991355625 -0.402358875 -0.5658110 Commit
## 51 1950 -0.934784250 -0.345519625 -0.5062260 Commit
## 52 1951 -0.878402500 -0.388782875 -0.5418095 Commit
## 53 1952 -0.987171625 -0.383186625 -0.4927215 Commit
## 54 1953 -0.884605125 -0.369002875 -0.5376895 Commit
## 55 1954 -0.861865875 -0.435542875 -0.5104525 Commit
## 56 1955 -0.844169375 -0.303348375 -0.4947510 Commit
## 57 1956 -0.854648625 -0.222824375 -0.4890140 Commit
## 58 1957 -0.845253000 -0.349799875 -0.4721530 Commit
## 59 1958 -0.846984875 -0.235370750 -0.5388180 Commit
## 60 1959 -0.877689000 -0.307303750 -0.4560850 Commit
## 61 1960 -0.847709625 -0.330024125 -0.5155335 Commit
## 62 1961 -0.813155750 -0.302162250 -0.5002440 Commit
## 63 1962 -0.867408750 -0.323013000 -0.5389255 Commit
## 64 1963 -0.921714875 -0.359638125 -0.5402220 Commit
## 65 1964 -0.904456500 -0.333323875 -0.6610415 Commit
## 66 1965 -0.863941000 -0.343032500 -0.6826475 Commit
## 67 1966 -0.807129125 -0.370548250 -0.5984345 Commit
## 68 1967 -0.762657000 -0.307086875 -0.5698545 Commit
## 69 1968 -0.757614250 -0.295913625 -0.5381625 Commit
## 70 1969 -0.744003000 -0.413547375 -0.5801240 Commit
## 71 1970 -0.706707000 -0.366035125 -0.5136265 Commit
## 72 1971 -0.721317625 -0.206969750 -0.5258940 Commit
## 73 1972 -0.648498625 -0.269374125 -0.5080565 Commit
## 74 1973 -0.675365750 -0.292972000 -0.5076600 Commit
## 75 1974 -0.684280375 -0.205260750 -0.4404910 Commit
## 76 1975 -0.679462625 -0.177757375 -0.4924165 Commit
## 77 1976 -0.646770250 -0.281791250 -0.4546965 Commit
## 78 1977 -0.562343375 -0.066715250 -0.3951105 Commit
## 79 1978 -0.504444125 -0.139228750 -0.3734740 Commit
## 80 1979 -0.637646250 -0.176158750 -0.3765105 Commit
## 81 1980 -0.502781000 -0.046661125 -0.3642275 Commit
## 82 1981 -0.466999125 -0.135333875 -0.2705840 Commit
## 83 1982 -0.509116750 -0.189140500 -0.3564000 Commit
## 84 1983 -0.766330625 0.030433875 -0.4393920 Commit
## 85 1984 -0.653133875 -0.095309625 -0.4128415 Commit
## 86 1985 -0.543289500 -0.130748750 -0.3259125 Commit
## 87 1986 -0.458358625 0.048122000 -0.2993620 Commit
## 88 1987 -0.397129375 0.005134875 -0.2578585 Commit
## 89 1988 -0.399433375 -0.060916500 -0.2139130 Commit
## 90 1989 -0.295498125 0.082835875 -0.1778110 Commit
## 91 1990 -0.257717125 0.129336875 -0.1377560 Commit
## 92 1991 -0.486668250 0.024417875 -0.1688845 Commit
## 93 1992 -0.708149375 0.098747375 -0.3533785 Commit
## 94 1993 -0.535393000 0.173145500 -0.3115085 Commit
## 95 1994 -0.444458125 0.047760500 -0.2082365 Commit
## 96 1995 -0.373440125 0.085472500 -0.1648100 Commit
## 97 1996 -0.284836125 0.135532375 -0.1150815 Commit
## 98 1997 -0.293915125 0.158123000 -0.0825195 Commit
## 99 1998 -0.323463375 0.167675000 -0.0485385 Commit
## 100 1999 -0.245430125 0.194270750 -0.0134735 Commit
## 101 2000 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.0000000 Commit
## 102 2001 -0.216324250 0.196945375 0.0259555 Commit
## 103 2002 -0.237019000 0.303623625 0.0448150 Commit
## 104 2003 -0.249313250 0.244121875 0.0062255 Commit
## 105 2004 -0.211814875 0.248817750 0.0765230 Commit
## 106 2005 -0.126152250 0.275547125 0.0290370 Commit
## 107 2006 -0.092754375 0.269966625 0.0913695 Commit
## 108 2007 -0.088218625 0.347404875 0.0893855 Commit
## 109 2008 -0.116592375 0.390438625 0.1025695 Commit
## 110 2009 -0.177215500 0.395203125 0.1079105 Commit
## 111 2010 -0.088180625 0.324150500 0.0995635 Commit
## 112 2011 -0.026135000 0.358867750 0.1104280 Commit
## 113 2012 -0.112205875 0.314289250 0.1488495 Commit
## 114 2013 -0.123150125 0.301594250 0.1033785 Commit
## 115 2014 -0.161903500 0.367435625 0.1239015 Commit
## 116 2015 -0.034851375 0.284316875 0.1301725 Commit
## 117 2016 -0.124240250 0.343258125 0.0743255 Commit
## 118 2017 -0.089939000 0.332908500 0.1159060 Commit
## 119 2018 -0.058059250 0.324287750 0.1636960 Commit
## 120 2019 -0.002475625 0.401958250 0.1693575 Commit
## 121 2020 -0.016868500 0.370491125 0.1702580 Commit
## 122 2021 0.025550750 0.242080500 0.1352385 Commit
## 123 2022 0.020439250 0.302448000 0.1544495 Commit
## 124 2023 -0.172096375 0.396343000 0.1418610 Commit
## 125 2024 -0.053779750 0.314403750 0.1746065 Commit
## 126 2025 0.015018375 0.455181000 0.1550140 Commit
## 127 2026 0.035854125 0.371265250 0.1564020 Commit
## 128 2027 0.067493500 0.363460500 0.1752320 Commit
## 129 2028 0.003769125 0.440834375 0.1254420 Commit
## 130 2029 -0.028446250 0.376503250 0.1681370 Commit
## 131 2030 0.018447625 0.376842250 0.2035675 Commit
## 132 2031 0.013187125 0.463680875 0.1693875 Commit
## 133 2032 -0.038101500 0.490909500 0.1987610 Commit
## 134 2033 -0.000164250 0.411972000 0.2200620 Commit
## 135 2034 -0.098846750 0.396091875 0.1984410 Commit
## 136 2035 -0.063724250 0.453400000 0.1641995 Commit
## 137 2036 -0.033718000 0.322300000 0.2116090 Commit
## 138 2037 0.020663750 0.400474875 0.1873475 Commit
## 139 2038 0.038002125 0.532165875 0.2256925 Commit
## 140 2039 -0.005287000 0.516315625 0.2202305 Commit
## 141 2040 -0.029907375 0.451000125 0.2201690 Commit
## 142 2041 0.072551625 0.537960375 0.2109535 Commit
## 143 2042 0.075789875 0.391475375 0.2392735 Commit
## 144 2043 -0.089897125 0.408729625 0.2456820 Commit
## 145 2044 0.042114125 0.609184500 0.2476655 Commit
## 146 2045 0.007511625 0.469570500 0.2126160 Commit
## 147 2046 -0.014164375 0.398376875 0.1999820 Commit
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## 149 2048 0.027950625 0.415035125 0.2716220 Commit
## 150 2049 -0.038723000 0.454483125 0.2111665 Commit
## 151 2050 0.021080375 0.533733250 0.2789615 Commit
## 152 2051 -0.073036375 0.543571375 0.2676700 Commit
## 153 2052 0.006805625 0.368183000 0.1946715 Commit
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## 155 2054 0.030971375 0.443607125 0.1651310 Commit
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## 517 2016 0.066406500 0.611023000 0.2702330 a1b
## 518 2017 0.069763000 0.680450500 0.2942810 a1b
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## 520 2019 0.094818000 0.681106000 0.3630370 a1b
## 521 2020 0.169540000 0.685959000 0.4573970 a1b
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## 700 1999 -0.335894600 0.089648800 -0.0219110 a2
## 701 2000 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.0000000 a2
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## 717 2016 -0.014416800 0.571526800 0.3557440 a2
## 718 2017 0.036895800 0.553503600 0.2387090 a2
## 719 2018 0.031902600 0.476031800 0.3217780 a2
## 720 2019 0.137732200 0.669976400 0.2983090 a2
## 721 2020 0.046166400 0.628155400 0.3509830 a2
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## 788 2087 2.123620800 3.218670400 2.7429200 a2
## 789 2088 2.152380600 3.275634600 2.7221980 a2
## 790 2089 2.207800800 3.484905800 2.8735050 a2
## 791 2090 2.185162600 3.476220600 2.8899540 a2
## 792 2091 2.212127800 3.584191600 2.8329780 a2
## 793 2092 2.265704400 3.598578000 3.0452880 a2
## 794 2093 2.314471400 3.612701600 3.0615840 a2
## 795 2094 2.351654400 3.706927400 3.0638730 a2
## 796 2095 2.360620200 3.637304800 3.1381230 a2
## 797 2096 2.369805600 3.885998600 3.2000740 a2
## 798 2097 2.411359000 3.916290200 3.2280890 a2
## 799 2098 2.435931800 3.928204400 3.2879640 a2
## 800 2099 2.428711200 3.978564200 3.3472590 a2
ggplot(plot_df, aes(x = yrs, y=med, col = scenario)) +
geom_line(size = 1.25) +
theme_fivethirtyeight()
Simon’s Code
a2_ipcc <- subset(plot_df, scenario == "a2")
ggplot(a2_ipcc, aes(x = yrs)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = cilo, ymax = cihi), alpha = 0.5,
col = NA, fill = 'skyblue') +
geom_line(aes(y = med), size = 1.25) +
theme_bw()
ggplot(plot_df, aes(x = yrs, col = scenario, fill = scenario)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = cilo, ymax = cihi), alpha = 0.25) +
geom_line(aes(y = med), size = 1.25) +
theme_bw()
ggplot(plot_df, aes(x = yrs, col = scenario, fill = scenario)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = cilo, ymax = cihi), alpha = 0.25) +
geom_line(aes(y = med), size = 1.25) +
theme_bw() +
facet_wrap(~ scenario)
##Model Confidence Interval versus Prediction Model Confidence Interval
##We are 95% sure that the model line will fall between the confidence interval lines
##Prediction interval