A manager needs to monitor:
A businesses vulnerability to recession
Strengths and weaknesses of national business industries
Employee status’s and pay wages
Costs and benefits if flexibility before making major capital decisions
Possible sources fo cash needed to consider with what a companies needs are
Managing through the Business Cycle
| Steps | Description |
|---|---|
| Assess vulnerability to the recession | “How vulnerable is our company to recession or a slowdown in sales?” Assess the vulnerability in terms of magnitude and timing of slowdowns in sales using national data on the company’s industry. |
| Sketch out a contingency plan for dealing with a recession | It’s an one or two page plan, which can lead a manager to build flexibility into the business. |
| Build flexibility to cut expenses | A company needs the flexibility to cut costs in difficult times. A manager can build flexibility in the business by considering the following areas.
|
| Develop an early warning system. | In 1940, the Battle of Britain began as 2,400 Luftwaffe aircraft attacked England. The Royal Air Force had only 900 planes., yet they successfully defended their country from the Germans. They key to their success, was radar. The early warning system is “radar for business.” |
A company that learns in its contingency planning that it has limited options for cutting expenses may spend a year adding flexibility wherever it can.
Explan each of the following terms in your own words. The author explains the terms in the textbook. If necessary, you may also Google the term on the Web. Good resources include:
Explain the terms in your own words briefly.
Describe the characteristics of the following events briefly.
The author uses this as an anecdotal example to explain the danger of inflexible labor contract. GM failed to recognize the value of flexibility in the world with imperfect forecasts by continuing to pay employees even when they weren’t needed for work. So when the recession hit they had to lay off many workers. It would have been better to lay of workers in a good economy for their sake versus firing them mid-recession.
The author uses this as an anecdotal example to advocate for smaller modular investment in stages. People have a hard time cutting back on electricity usage in the short run but a much easier adjustment over time. Sales growth slowed and their company had excess of capital equipment. With a modular investment even in times of economic downturns you can halt capital spending and start back up again once the recession ends.
The author uses this as an anecdotal example to advocate for borrowing with staggering maturities. When the recession hit the company went bankrupt. If they had financed their company with bonds instead of short-term loans that range from 3-6 months creditors would not have been able to pull the plug on their financing. Spacing out bonds with two year gaps allows companies two-years to also recover from an economic downturn.