How to Participate

Participants in this game are required to submit their predictions no later than midnight on Thursday September 29th. A $10 entry fee is due at time of submission. Venmo Sarah Brown (@scathbrown).

Notes

  1. In the past GBBS does not distinguish between 2nd and 3rd place. On the last episode, a winner is chosen but 2nd and 3rd place are not announced. If this season is the same, scoring will treat 2nd and 3rd place as tied for 2nd.
  2. Winner takes all. In the event of a tie, proceeds will be donated to a charity the winners agree on.

Scoring Details

Participants will submit predictions for what place each contestant will finish in. These predictions will be compared to the actual finish that takes place and scored. For each contestant, scoring is based on the difference in the predicted place, and the actual finish. A point bonus is given for correct guesses, and and extra point bonus is given for correctly predicting the season winner. Details and examples are below.

Notes:

Difference Points
0, Correct! 7 (15 if season winner)
1 off 3
2 off 2
3 off 1
4 off 0
5 off -1
6 off -2
7 off -3
8 off -4
9 off -5

Examples

Next we will look at some examples to see how this scoring system plays out. In this example, the show finishes with the following outcome.

Example 1

Contestant Finish Mikes_Guess score
abdul 1 9 -4
carole 2 4 2
dawn 3 7 0
james 4 1 1
janusz 5 2 1
kevin 6 5 3
maxy 7 3 0
rebs 8 10 2
sandro 9 6 1
syabira 10 8 2
Mikes Total Score
8

Example 2

Contestant Finish Mikes_Guess score
abdul 1 5 0
carole 2 6 0
dawn 3 9 -2
james 4 1 1
janusz 5 10 -1
kevin 6 7 3
maxy 7 4 1
rebs 8 8 7
sandro 9 3 -2
syabira 10 2 -4
Mikes Total Score
3

Probability Distribution of Score

If we run this experiment many times, we can determine the probability of scoring a given score if we generate guesses randomly. Now obviously our guesses are not random, they are calculated, based on the first two episodes and good instinct. Regardless, if we guessed randomly, here is what you can expect to score…

5,000 guesses were simulated.

mean median min max
10.848 10 -10 58

Here we can see that mike was in fact terrible at this game, no surprise there. He was worse than average both times he played. Hopefully we do better. Good luck!