## # A tibble: 1,096 × 5
## # Groups:   symbol [8]
##    symbol date       price   change text                
##    <chr>  <date>     <dbl>    <dbl> <glue>              
##  1 GDPC1  1947-01-01 2034. NA       1947.1,
## Growth: NA   
##  2 GDPC1  1947-04-01 2029. -0.00267 1947.2,
## Growth: -0.3%
##  3 GDPC1  1947-07-01 2025. -0.00207 1947.3,
## Growth: -0.2%
##  4 GDPC1  1947-10-01 2057.  0.0156  1947.4,
## Growth: 1.6% 
##  5 GDPC1  1948-01-01 2087.  0.0150  1948.1,
## Growth: 1.5% 
##  6 GDPC1  1948-04-01 2122.  0.0165  1948.2,
## Growth: 1.7% 
##  7 GDPC1  1948-07-01 2134.  0.00573 1948.3,
## Growth: 0.6% 
##  8 GDPC1  1948-10-01 2136.  0.00112 1948.4,
## Growth: 0.1% 
##  9 GDPC1  1949-01-01 2107. -0.0138  1949.1,
## Growth: -1.4%
## 10 GDPC1  1949-04-01 2100. -0.00341 1949.2,
## Growth: -0.3%
## # … with 1,086 more rows

Chater Openning Questions

Managers need to know:

Solution

your customers/products magnitude of spending changes timing of spending changes
consumer services very stable coincident with GDP
consumer nondurables stable coincident with GDP
consumer durables volatile coincident with GDP
housing construction very volatile leads fluctuations in GDP
capital spending very volatile lags fluctuations in GDP
govt. spending, federal moderate not always corr. with GDP
govt. spending, state & local stable lags fluctuations in GDP
exports volatile not corr. with GDP
imports volatile varies depending on product

Historical Experience

In the past 50 years, the number of recessions and length of recessions has significantly declined. All business still face risk of recession today but nothing compared to the high risk of recession pre-World War 2 era.

Gross Domestic Product

Profits across the Economic Cycle

Profits decrease during a recession because costs do not decrease as much as sales do.

Consumer Spending

The sector of economy with the highest stability is consumer services.

GDP vs Consumer Spending

GDP vs Consumer Services

GDP vs Consumer Durables

GDP vs Consumer Non-Durables

Housing

Housing construction is the most ustable sector of the economy. Typically, the housing market decreases before the economy as a whole declines.

GDP vs Nonresidential Construction

Capital Spending

Capital Spending is the money spent by an organization to purchase, maintain, or improve its fixed assets. Some examples of fixed assets are office buildings, equipment, and land.

Government Spending

A deficit happens when the governments spending exceeds revenues. Because of this, recession doesn’t hurt federal spending like recession would other businesses.

Exports

Products that are shipped from one country to another to be sold.

Imports

Products that are shipped from one country to another country.

Economic terms

Explan each of the following terms in your own words. The author explains the terms in the textbook. If necessary, you may also Google the term on the Web. Good resources include:

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

GDP is a measurement used in the economy to determine the value of products in the US.

Real versus nominal GDP

Nominal GDP is unadjusted for inflation and GDP eliminates misrepresentation cause by inflation or deflation.

Gross National Product (GNP)

the total value of products and services a nation produces and offers in a given year

Recession

A recession is a drop in GDP, which is a downturn in production. This downturn is caused by a significant drop in sales, employment, and production as well as weaknesses spread through the economy for two consecutive quarters.

Leading Indicators

A major leading indicator of a recession is when there is a shift in the business cycle A leading indicator anticipates shifts in the business cycle before the economy changes

Economic events

An event related to a business that affected the business financially

2007 Great recession

The Great Recession was caused by a fall of the housing market. It lasted 18 months. There are many social and economic effects including job loss, unemployment, increased stress, lower fertility rates and changes in household structure.