analysis_Council
Aleksandra Khokhlova
9/14/2022
RQs:
How often and in which policy areas does the Council of Ministers seek to decreased/moderate the level of policy integration (EU authority) in the Commission’s legislative proposals?
Under what conditions do national pressures shape the Council’s negotiation positions?
H1: The Council positions tend to reflect the level of support for EU action in a policy domain across member states.
H2a: The Council positions tend to reflect more the level of support for EU action in a policy domain in the member states with represented by a Europhile government
H2b: The Council positions tend to reflect more the level of support for EU action a policy domain in the member states where the public views such action as more salient.
H2c: The Council positions tend to reflect more the level of support for EU action a policy domain in the member states where the public views on such action are less polarized.
Possible DVs: 1. diff_change_meaningf == mean(Difference b/n prob EXP and prob.LIMIT) 2. change_pr_limit_meaningf – “mean probability of change indicating LIMITATION by the Council” 3. prop_exp_marpor – " N of EXPANDING provisions/ EXPANDING + LIMITING within each COD"
data_Council_paper_20220913 %>%
ggplot(aes(diff_change_meaningf)) + geom_histogram()## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
data_Council_paper_20220913 %>%
ggplot(aes(change_pr_limit_meaningf)) + geom_histogram()## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
data_Council_paper_20220913 %>%
ggplot(aes(prop_exp_marpor)) + geom_histogram()## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
#H1
#DV change_pr_limit_meaningf
h1_model <- glm(change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913, family = quasibinomial('logit'))
summary(h1_model)##
## Call:
## glm(formula = change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability, family = quasibinomial("logit"),
## data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.63098 -0.38076 -0.07469 0.18293 1.27569
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error
## (Intercept) -2.386984 0.139154
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -0.471315 0.097086
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.106160 0.080785
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.201273 0.070102
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -0.049671 0.012222
## factor(form)Directive 0.331214 0.058378
## factor(form)Regulation 0.118819 0.056156
## factor(country_name)Belgium -0.103008 0.107099
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.061503 0.107357
## factor(country_name)Croatia -0.203228 0.118364
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.030444 0.104954
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.049357 0.107703
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.052400 0.104284
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.055274 0.105085
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.054775 0.103843
## factor(country_name)France -0.074575 0.105540
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.050578 0.104719
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.062781 0.105267
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.086282 0.105273
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.011728 0.104245
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.093436 0.111164
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.021100 0.103881
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.040272 0.104721
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.017553 0.104274
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.036580 0.105057
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.005385 0.103745
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.003789 0.104353
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.074422 0.106401
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.015910 0.106451
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.053140 0.104759
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.042619 0.104396
## factor(country_name)Spain -0.156303 0.112048
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.051574 0.104555
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.124646 0.106550
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -0.009491 0.007438
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.453893 0.047437
## t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -17.154 < 2e-16 ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -4.855 1.24e-06 ***
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 1.314 0.1889
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 2.871 0.0041 **
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -4.064 4.89e-05 ***
## factor(form)Directive 5.674 1.47e-08 ***
## factor(form)Regulation 2.116 0.0344 *
## factor(country_name)Belgium -0.962 0.3362
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.573 0.5667
## factor(country_name)Croatia -1.717 0.0860 .
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.290 0.7718
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.458 0.6468
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.502 0.6154
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.526 0.5989
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.527 0.5979
## factor(country_name)France -0.707 0.4798
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.483 0.6291
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.596 0.5509
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.820 0.4125
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.113 0.9104
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.841 0.4007
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.203 0.8391
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.385 0.7006
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.168 0.8663
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.348 0.7277
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.052 0.9586
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.036 0.9710
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.699 0.4843
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.149 0.8812
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.507 0.6120
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.408 0.6831
## factor(country_name)Spain -1.395 0.1631
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.493 0.6218
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 1.170 0.2421
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -1.276 0.2020
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 9.568 < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for quasibinomial family taken to be 0.1200249)
##
## Null deviance: 746.47 on 5701 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 719.70 on 5666 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## AIC: NA
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5plot_model(h1_model, type = "pred")## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed [all]"` to get smooth plots.## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed [all]"` to get smooth plots.## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed [all]"` to get smooth plots.## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe [all]"` to get smooth plots.## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability [all]"` to get smooth plots.## $wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed
##
## $wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed
##
## $cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed
##
## $weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe
##
## $form
##
## $country_name
##
## $nofterms_in_eurovoc
##
## $NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability
#DV: diff_change_meaningf
h1_model_a <- lm(diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
summary(h1_model_a)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability, data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.59476 -0.07112 0.01667 0.08457 0.52317
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error
## (Intercept) -0.1034494 0.0164469
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.0446694 0.0114792
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0228766 0.0094273
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -0.0244394 0.0084930
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0033940 0.0014742
## factor(form)Directive -0.0329021 0.0069755
## factor(form)Regulation -0.0063275 0.0065728
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0057518 0.0130702
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0055803 0.0130187
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0214637 0.0141816
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.0025037 0.0127659
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0072004 0.0130431
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.0029203 0.0126806
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0051686 0.0128164
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.0045241 0.0126283
## factor(country_name)France 0.0057558 0.0128778
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0039517 0.0127533
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.0053068 0.0127763
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.0067228 0.0128257
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0010709 0.0126931
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0077757 0.0134063
## factor(country_name)Latvia -0.0001931 0.0126383
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0031665 0.0127573
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0012190 0.0126983
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.0004474 0.0127659
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0007217 0.0126334
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0020971 0.0126845
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0053307 0.0129792
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0025497 0.0129776
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0038700 0.0127569
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0024441 0.0127219
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0108438 0.0136798
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0035250 0.0127487
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.0070634 0.0129289
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0012746 0.0009095
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -0.0222802 0.0058780
## t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -6.290 3.41e-10 ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 3.891 0.000101 ***
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 2.427 0.015271 *
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -2.878 0.004022 **
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 2.302 0.021354 *
## factor(form)Directive -4.717 2.45e-06 ***
## factor(form)Regulation -0.963 0.335748
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.440 0.659904
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.429 0.668202
## factor(country_name)Croatia 1.513 0.130212
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.196 0.844522
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.552 0.580941
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.230 0.817870
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.403 0.686759
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.358 0.720168
## factor(country_name)France 0.447 0.654925
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.310 0.756682
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.415 0.677890
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.524 0.600185
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.084 0.932767
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.580 0.561937
## factor(country_name)Latvia -0.015 0.987812
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.248 0.803979
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.096 0.923523
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.035 0.972046
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.057 0.954444
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.165 0.868689
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.411 0.681300
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.196 0.844248
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.303 0.761625
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.192 0.847660
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.793 0.427992
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.277 0.782174
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.546 0.584864
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 1.401 0.161139
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -3.790 0.000152 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.1281 on 5666 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.01825, Adjusted R-squared: 0.01218
## F-statistic: 3.009 on 35 and 5666 DF, p-value: 7.279e-09plot_model(h1_model_a, type = "pred")## $wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed
##
## $wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed
##
## $cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed
##
## $weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe
##
## $form
##
## $country_name
##
## $nofterms_in_eurovoc
##
## $NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability
H2abc
#DV change_pr_limit_meaningf
h2a_model <- glm(change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed*weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913, family = quasibinomial('logit'))
summary(h2a_model)##
## Call:
## glm(formula = change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe, family = quasibinomial("logit"),
## data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.63261 -0.37957 -0.07466 0.18373 1.27619
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate
## (Intercept) -2.411340
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -0.388533
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.109456
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.200365
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -0.061659
## factor(form)Directive 0.331323
## factor(form)Regulation 0.119455
## factor(country_name)Belgium -0.104611
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.059884
## factor(country_name)Croatia -0.211912
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.033256
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.049344
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.051314
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.054064
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.052830
## factor(country_name)France -0.073398
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.052226
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.062108
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.087062
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.010845
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.092377
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.021243
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.039333
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.017814
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.041196
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.005395
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.002227
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.075264
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.014821
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.053154
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.041658
## factor(country_name)Spain -0.158178
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.049865
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.115669
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -0.009462
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.454182
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.047547
## Std. Error
## (Intercept) 0.142407
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.140079
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.080885
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.070099
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.019111
## factor(form)Directive 0.058362
## factor(form)Regulation 0.056148
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.107111
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.107367
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.118899
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.104986
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.107684
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.104261
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.105088
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.103840
## factor(country_name)France 0.105544
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.104732
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.105237
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.105244
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.104233
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.111165
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.103856
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.104713
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.104257
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.105185
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.103724
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.104359
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.106401
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.106444
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.104748
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.104389
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.112089
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.104564
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.107088
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.007437
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.047429
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.058197
## t value
## (Intercept) -16.933
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -2.774
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 1.353
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 2.858
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -3.226
## factor(form)Directive 5.677
## factor(form)Regulation 2.127
## factor(country_name)Belgium -0.977
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.558
## factor(country_name)Croatia -1.782
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.317
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.458
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.492
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.514
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.509
## factor(country_name)France -0.695
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.499
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.590
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.827
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.104
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.831
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.205
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.376
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.171
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.392
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.052
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.021
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.707
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.139
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.507
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.399
## factor(country_name)Spain -1.411
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.477
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 1.080
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -1.272
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 9.576
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.817
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) < 2e-16
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.00556
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.17603
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.00427
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.00126
## factor(form)Directive 1.44e-08
## factor(form)Regulation 0.03342
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.32878
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.57704
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.07476
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.75143
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.64681
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.62262
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.60694
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.61094
## factor(country_name)France 0.48681
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.61804
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.55510
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.40814
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.91714
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.40601
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.83794
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.70721
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.86433
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.69533
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.95852
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.98298
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.47937
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.88927
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.61186
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.68986
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.15825
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.63346
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.28013
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.20330
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability < 2e-16
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.41396
##
## (Intercept) ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed **
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed **
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe **
## factor(form)Directive ***
## factor(form)Regulation *
## factor(country_name)Belgium
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria
## factor(country_name)Croatia .
## factor(country_name)Cyprus
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic
## factor(country_name)Denmark
## factor(country_name)Estonia
## factor(country_name)Finland
## factor(country_name)France
## factor(country_name)Germany
## factor(country_name)Greece
## factor(country_name)Hungary
## factor(country_name)Ireland
## factor(country_name)Italy
## factor(country_name)Latvia
## factor(country_name)Lithuania
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg
## factor(country_name)Malta
## factor(country_name)Netherlands
## factor(country_name)Poland
## factor(country_name)Portugal
## factor(country_name)Romania
## factor(country_name)Slovakia
## factor(country_name)Slovenia
## factor(country_name)Spain
## factor(country_name)Sweden
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom
## nofterms_in_eurovoc
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for quasibinomial family taken to be 0.1199826)
##
## Null deviance: 746.47 on 5701 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 719.62 on 5665 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## AIC: NA
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5plot_model(h2a_model, type = "int")## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed [all]"` to get smooth plots.
h2b_model <- glm(change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed*wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913, family = quasibinomial('logit'))
summary(h2b_model)##
## Call:
## glm(formula = change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed, family = quasibinomial("logit"),
## data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.6500 -0.3753 -0.0748 0.1900 1.2713
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate
## (Intercept) -2.840445
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.566662
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.555748
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.261060
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -0.052884
## factor(form)Directive 0.405611
## factor(form)Regulation 0.197322
## factor(country_name)Belgium -0.127051
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.062647
## factor(country_name)Croatia -0.184938
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.019066
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.056368
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.047050
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.061324
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.061403
## factor(country_name)France -0.090177
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.066899
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.063549
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.086215
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.021528
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.110693
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.013783
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.052279
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.030563
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.042836
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.016692
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.009359
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.089268
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.017374
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.063473
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.057026
## factor(country_name)Spain -0.174837
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.065550
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.131068
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -0.008663
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.467410
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed -1.417230
## Std. Error
## (Intercept) 0.178507
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.263887
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.136903
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.071739
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.012229
## factor(form)Directive 0.061528
## factor(form)Regulation 0.059672
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.106857
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.106973
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.117729
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.104630
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.107369
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.103944
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.104727
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.103522
## factor(country_name)France 0.105225
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.104429
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.104940
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.104934
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.103903
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.110878
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.103534
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.104371
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.103953
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.104743
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.103419
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.103995
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.106081
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.106086
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.104421
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.104077
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.111751
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.104241
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.106234
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.007415
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.047437
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.338261
## t value
## (Intercept) -15.912
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 2.147
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 4.059
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 3.639
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -4.324
## factor(form)Directive 6.592
## factor(form)Regulation 3.307
## factor(country_name)Belgium -1.189
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.586
## factor(country_name)Croatia -1.571
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.182
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.525
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.453
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.586
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.593
## factor(country_name)France -0.857
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.641
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.606
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.822
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.207
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.998
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.133
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.501
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.294
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.409
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.161
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.090
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.842
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.164
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.608
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.548
## factor(country_name)Spain -1.565
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.629
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 1.234
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -1.168
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 9.853
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed -4.190
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) < 2e-16
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.031806
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 4.99e-05
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.000276
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 1.56e-05
## factor(form)Directive 4.72e-11
## factor(form)Regulation 0.000950
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.234495
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.558146
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.116267
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.855414
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.599611
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.650821
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.558195
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.553108
## factor(country_name)France 0.391484
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.521799
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.544817
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.411332
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.835865
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.318162
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.894100
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.616461
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.768761
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.682584
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.871782
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.928295
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.400099
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.869916
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.543307
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.583766
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.117749
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.529484
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.217339
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.242760
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability < 2e-16
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 2.84e-05
##
## (Intercept) ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe ***
## factor(form)Directive ***
## factor(form)Regulation ***
## factor(country_name)Belgium
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria
## factor(country_name)Croatia
## factor(country_name)Cyprus
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic
## factor(country_name)Denmark
## factor(country_name)Estonia
## factor(country_name)Finland
## factor(country_name)France
## factor(country_name)Germany
## factor(country_name)Greece
## factor(country_name)Hungary
## factor(country_name)Ireland
## factor(country_name)Italy
## factor(country_name)Latvia
## factor(country_name)Lithuania
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg
## factor(country_name)Malta
## factor(country_name)Netherlands
## factor(country_name)Poland
## factor(country_name)Portugal
## factor(country_name)Romania
## factor(country_name)Slovakia
## factor(country_name)Slovenia
## factor(country_name)Spain
## factor(country_name)Sweden
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom
## nofterms_in_eurovoc
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for quasibinomial family taken to be 0.1191548)
##
## Null deviance: 746.47 on 5701 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 717.63 on 5665 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## AIC: NA
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5plot_model(h2b_model, type = "int")## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed [all]"` to get smooth plots.
h2c_model <- glm(change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed*cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913, family = quasibinomial('logit'))
summary(h2c_model)##
## Call:
## glm(formula = change_pr_limit_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed, family = quasibinomial("logit"),
## data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.67946 -0.36750 -0.07435 0.20228 1.32068
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate
## (Intercept) -2.963514
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 1.396504
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.229392
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 1.232553
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -0.045390
## factor(form)Directive 0.344285
## factor(form)Regulation 0.120930
## factor(country_name)Belgium -0.115533
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.062850
## factor(country_name)Croatia -0.279544
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.027097
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.049089
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.036009
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.043420
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.028011
## factor(country_name)France -0.072393
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.032980
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.030934
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.065969
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.011978
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.104023
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.015108
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.035112
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.021653
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.041047
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.003952
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.031059
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.061320
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.035621
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.062976
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.045910
## factor(country_name)Spain -0.126972
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.041911
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.122602
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -0.009000
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.434979
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -3.784073
## Std. Error
## (Intercept) 0.157007
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.244735
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.082484
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.142864
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.012190
## factor(form)Directive 0.058451
## factor(form)Regulation 0.056122
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.106743
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.107009
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.118692
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.104545
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.107392
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.103957
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.104757
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.103579
## factor(country_name)France 0.105229
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.104423
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.104997
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.104957
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.103909
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.110798
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.103536
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.104333
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.103892
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.104693
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.103431
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.104022
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.106020
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.106161
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.104442
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.104083
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.111701
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.104337
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.106220
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.007434
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.047252
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.458787
## t value
## (Intercept) -18.875
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 5.706
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 2.781
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 8.627
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -3.724
## factor(form)Directive 5.890
## factor(form)Regulation 2.155
## factor(country_name)Belgium -1.082
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria -0.587
## factor(country_name)Croatia -2.355
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.259
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic -0.457
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.346
## factor(country_name)Estonia -0.414
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.270
## factor(country_name)France -0.688
## factor(country_name)Germany -0.316
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.295
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.629
## factor(country_name)Ireland -0.115
## factor(country_name)Italy -0.939
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.146
## factor(country_name)Lithuania -0.337
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg -0.208
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.392
## factor(country_name)Netherlands -0.038
## factor(country_name)Poland -0.299
## factor(country_name)Portugal -0.578
## factor(country_name)Romania -0.336
## factor(country_name)Slovakia -0.603
## factor(country_name)Slovenia -0.441
## factor(country_name)Spain -1.137
## factor(country_name)Sweden -0.402
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 1.154
## nofterms_in_eurovoc -1.211
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 9.206
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -8.248
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) < 2e-16
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 1.21e-08
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.005436
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed < 2e-16
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.000198
## factor(form)Directive 4.08e-09
## factor(form)Regulation 0.031224
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.279146
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.557002
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.018546
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.795499
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.647614
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.729066
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.678534
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.786835
## factor(country_name)France 0.491506
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.752143
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.768301
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.529679
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.908229
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.347845
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.883991
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.736476
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.834910
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.695023
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.969521
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.765272
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.563033
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.737234
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.546550
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.659163
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.255708
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.687926
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.248456
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.226099
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability < 2e-16
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed < 2e-16
##
## (Intercept) ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed ***
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed **
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe ***
## factor(form)Directive ***
## factor(form)Regulation *
## factor(country_name)Belgium
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria
## factor(country_name)Croatia *
## factor(country_name)Cyprus
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic
## factor(country_name)Denmark
## factor(country_name)Estonia
## factor(country_name)Finland
## factor(country_name)France
## factor(country_name)Germany
## factor(country_name)Greece
## factor(country_name)Hungary
## factor(country_name)Ireland
## factor(country_name)Italy
## factor(country_name)Latvia
## factor(country_name)Lithuania
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg
## factor(country_name)Malta
## factor(country_name)Netherlands
## factor(country_name)Poland
## factor(country_name)Portugal
## factor(country_name)Romania
## factor(country_name)Slovakia
## factor(country_name)Slovenia
## factor(country_name)Spain
## factor(country_name)Sweden
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom
## nofterms_in_eurovoc
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for quasibinomial family taken to be 0.1191508)
##
## Null deviance: 746.47 on 5701 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 711.48 on 5665 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## AIC: NA
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5plot_model(h2c_model, type = "int")## Data were 'prettified'. Consider using `terms="wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed [all]"` to get smooth plots.
#DV diff_change_meaningf
h2a_model2 <- lm(diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed*weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
summary(h2a_model2)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe, data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.59489 -0.07105 0.01668 0.08438 0.52296
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate
## (Intercept) -0.1013573
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.0376772
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0226242
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -0.0243556
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0044600
## factor(form)Directive -0.0329026
## factor(form)Regulation -0.0063776
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0058916
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0054219
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0221199
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.0027728
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0071817
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.0028535
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0050489
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.0043656
## factor(country_name)France 0.0056397
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0040821
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.0052524
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.0067982
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0009833
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0076352
## factor(country_name)Latvia -0.0002204
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0030834
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0012307
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.0008455
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0007110
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0019152
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0053928
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0024324
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0038504
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0023524
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0109819
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0033628
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.0062953
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0012715
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -0.0223054
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -0.0041154
## Std. Error
## (Intercept) 0.0168000
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.0162034
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0094369
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0084946
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0022832
## factor(form)Directive 0.0069759
## factor(form)Regulation 0.0065736
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0130729
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0130220
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0142230
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.0127742
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0130439
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.0126818
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0128186
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.0126316
## factor(country_name)France 0.0128799
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0127558
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.0127773
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.0128270
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0126946
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0134090
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.0126391
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0127588
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0126990
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.0127832
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0126341
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0126887
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0129803
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0129797
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0127577
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0127235
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0136824
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0127522
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.0129905
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0009096
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.0058785
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0067305
## t value
## (Intercept) -6.033
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 2.325
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 2.397
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -2.867
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 1.953
## factor(form)Directive -4.717
## factor(form)Regulation -0.970
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.451
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.416
## factor(country_name)Croatia 1.555
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.217
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.551
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.225
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.394
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.346
## factor(country_name)France 0.438
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.320
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.411
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.530
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.077
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.569
## factor(country_name)Latvia -0.017
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.242
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.097
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.066
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.056
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.151
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.415
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.187
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.302
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.185
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.803
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.264
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.485
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 1.398
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -3.794
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe -0.611
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 1.71e-09
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.02009
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.01654
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.00416
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.05082
## factor(form)Directive 2.46e-06
## factor(form)Regulation 0.33200
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.65225
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.67716
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.11995
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.82817
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.58194
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.82198
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.69369
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.72965
## factor(country_name)France 0.66150
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.74897
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.68104
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.59614
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.93826
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.56910
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.98609
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.80905
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.92280
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.94727
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.95512
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.88003
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.67782
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.85136
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.76281
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.85333
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.42222
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.79202
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.62797
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.16220
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.00015
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.54092
##
## (Intercept) ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed *
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed **
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe .
## factor(form)Directive ***
## factor(form)Regulation
## factor(country_name)Belgium
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria
## factor(country_name)Croatia
## factor(country_name)Cyprus
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic
## factor(country_name)Denmark
## factor(country_name)Estonia
## factor(country_name)Finland
## factor(country_name)France
## factor(country_name)Germany
## factor(country_name)Greece
## factor(country_name)Hungary
## factor(country_name)Ireland
## factor(country_name)Italy
## factor(country_name)Latvia
## factor(country_name)Lithuania
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg
## factor(country_name)Malta
## factor(country_name)Netherlands
## factor(country_name)Poland
## factor(country_name)Portugal
## factor(country_name)Romania
## factor(country_name)Slovakia
## factor(country_name)Slovenia
## factor(country_name)Spain
## factor(country_name)Sweden
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom
## nofterms_in_eurovoc
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.1281 on 5665 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.01831, Adjusted R-squared: 0.01207
## F-statistic: 2.935 on 36 and 5665 DF, p-value: 1.134e-08plot_model(h2a_model2, type = "int")
h2b_model2 <- lm(diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed*wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
summary(h2b_model2)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed, data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.59401 -0.07287 0.01755 0.08335 0.52638
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate
## (Intercept) -0.0795632
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -0.0079906
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed -0.0010544
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -0.0277231
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0035649
## factor(form)Directive -0.0369615
## factor(form)Regulation -0.0106579
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0071975
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0057276
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0206154
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.0017321
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0075511
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.0025227
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0055868
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.0049275
## factor(country_name)France 0.0067048
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0049262
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.0052886
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.0066380
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0017334
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0087780
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.0003177
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0039700
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0020742
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.0007280
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0014539
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0024776
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0062726
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0026730
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0045263
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0033367
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0119721
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0043649
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.0074118
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0012223
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -0.0229784
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0737555
## Std. Error
## (Intercept) 0.0207736
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.0302492
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0158304
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0086686
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0014766
## factor(form)Directive 0.0073000
## factor(form)Regulation 0.0069627
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0130899
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0130160
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0141856
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.0127696
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0130415
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.0126795
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0128154
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.0126273
## factor(country_name)France 0.0128848
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0127610
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.0127735
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.0128229
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0126951
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0134139
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.0126384
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0127616
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0127036
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.0127639
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0126366
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0126833
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0129859
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0129748
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0127588
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0127279
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0136899
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0127537
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.0129274
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0009097
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.0058884
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0391993
## t value
## (Intercept) -3.830
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -0.264
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed -0.067
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -3.198
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 2.414
## factor(form)Directive -5.063
## factor(form)Regulation -1.531
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.550
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.440
## factor(country_name)Croatia 1.453
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.136
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.579
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.199
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.436
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.390
## factor(country_name)France 0.520
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.386
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.414
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.518
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.137
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.654
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.025
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.311
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.163
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.057
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.115
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.195
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.483
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.206
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.355
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.262
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.875
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.342
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.573
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 1.344
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -3.902
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 1.882
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.00013
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.79167
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.94690
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.00139
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.01580
## factor(form)Directive 4.25e-07
## factor(form)Regulation 0.12589
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.58244
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.65993
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.14621
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.89211
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.56261
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.84230
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.66290
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.69639
## factor(country_name)France 0.60283
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.69949
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.67887
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.60471
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.89140
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.51288
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.97994
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.75574
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.87031
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.95452
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.90841
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.84513
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.62909
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.83679
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.72278
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.79321
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.38187
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.73218
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.56644
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.17913
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 9.64e-05
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.05995
##
## (Intercept) ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed **
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe *
## factor(form)Directive ***
## factor(form)Regulation
## factor(country_name)Belgium
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria
## factor(country_name)Croatia
## factor(country_name)Cyprus
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic
## factor(country_name)Denmark
## factor(country_name)Estonia
## factor(country_name)Finland
## factor(country_name)France
## factor(country_name)Germany
## factor(country_name)Greece
## factor(country_name)Hungary
## factor(country_name)Ireland
## factor(country_name)Italy
## factor(country_name)Latvia
## factor(country_name)Lithuania
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg
## factor(country_name)Malta
## factor(country_name)Netherlands
## factor(country_name)Poland
## factor(country_name)Portugal
## factor(country_name)Romania
## factor(country_name)Slovakia
## factor(country_name)Slovenia
## factor(country_name)Spain
## factor(country_name)Sweden
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom
## nofterms_in_eurovoc
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.128 on 5665 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.01886, Adjusted R-squared: 0.01262
## F-statistic: 3.025 on 36 and 5665 DF, p-value: 3.796e-09plot_model(h2b_model2, type = "int")
h2c_model2 <- lm(diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed + wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed + weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) + nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed*cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed,
data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
summary(h2c_model2)##
## Call:
## lm(formula = diff_change_meaningf ~ wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed +
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed + cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed +
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe + factor(form) + factor(country_name) +
## nofterms_in_eurovoc + NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability + wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed *
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed, data = data_Council_paper_20220913)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.60918 -0.07577 0.02033 0.08027 0.54488
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate
## (Intercept) -0.0270035
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -0.2045454
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0075775
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -0.1662586
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0028473
## factor(form)Directive -0.0357730
## factor(form)Regulation -0.0080369
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0078982
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0061713
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0321938
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.0018280
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0074678
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.0005662
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0042050
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.0007142
## factor(country_name)France 0.0056117
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0018553
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.0009587
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.0035103
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0012382
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0098132
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.0010927
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0030320
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0023106
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.0010119
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0008167
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0066933
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0037345
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0053270
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0056437
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0031515
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0070112
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0018041
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.0070585
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0012928
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -0.0193718
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.5126482
## Std. Error
## (Intercept) 0.0182067
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 0.0286733
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0094928
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0171828
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.0014639
## factor(form)Directive 0.0069282
## factor(form)Regulation 0.0065244
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.0129711
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.0129181
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.0141174
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.0126673
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.0129422
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.0125850
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.0127176
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.0125370
## factor(country_name)France 0.0127782
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.0126566
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.0126858
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.0127310
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.0125949
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.0133043
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.0125413
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.0126586
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.0126006
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.0126673
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.0125357
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.0125957
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.0128799
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.0128805
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.0126596
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.0126237
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.0135800
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.0126514
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.0128289
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.0009025
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.0058406
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 0.0541290
## t value
## (Intercept) -1.483
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed -7.134
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.798
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed -9.676
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 1.945
## factor(form)Directive -5.163
## factor(form)Regulation -1.232
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.609
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.478
## factor(country_name)Croatia 2.280
## factor(country_name)Cyprus -0.144
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.577
## factor(country_name)Denmark -0.045
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.331
## factor(country_name)Finland -0.057
## factor(country_name)France 0.439
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.147
## factor(country_name)Greece -0.076
## factor(country_name)Hungary -0.276
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.098
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.738
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.087
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.240
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.183
## factor(country_name)Malta -0.080
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.065
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.531
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.290
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.414
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.446
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.250
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.516
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.143
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom -0.550
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 1.433
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability -3.317
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed 9.471
## Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 0.138087
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed 1.10e-12
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed 0.424767
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed < 2e-16
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe 0.051828
## factor(form)Directive 2.51e-07
## factor(form)Regulation 0.218067
## factor(country_name)Belgium 0.542611
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria 0.632866
## factor(country_name)Croatia 0.022619
## factor(country_name)Cyprus 0.885265
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic 0.563956
## factor(country_name)Denmark 0.964116
## factor(country_name)Estonia 0.740926
## factor(country_name)Finland 0.954576
## factor(country_name)France 0.660560
## factor(country_name)Germany 0.883463
## factor(country_name)Greece 0.939761
## factor(country_name)Hungary 0.782767
## factor(country_name)Ireland 0.921689
## factor(country_name)Italy 0.460792
## factor(country_name)Latvia 0.930575
## factor(country_name)Lithuania 0.810708
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg 0.854512
## factor(country_name)Malta 0.936331
## factor(country_name)Netherlands 0.948057
## factor(country_name)Poland 0.595168
## factor(country_name)Portugal 0.771864
## factor(country_name)Romania 0.679204
## factor(country_name)Slovakia 0.655753
## factor(country_name)Slovenia 0.802869
## factor(country_name)Spain 0.605673
## factor(country_name)Sweden 0.886613
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom 0.582203
## nofterms_in_eurovoc 0.152053
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability 0.000917
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed < 2e-16
##
## (Intercept)
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed ***
## wmean_Salience_DK_cntr_cap_year_t_trilogue_imputed
## cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## weighted.mean_EU_position_lowe .
## factor(form)Directive ***
## factor(form)Regulation
## factor(country_name)Belgium
## factor(country_name)Bulgaria
## factor(country_name)Croatia *
## factor(country_name)Cyprus
## factor(country_name)Czech Republic
## factor(country_name)Denmark
## factor(country_name)Estonia
## factor(country_name)Finland
## factor(country_name)France
## factor(country_name)Germany
## factor(country_name)Greece
## factor(country_name)Hungary
## factor(country_name)Ireland
## factor(country_name)Italy
## factor(country_name)Latvia
## factor(country_name)Lithuania
## factor(country_name)Luxembourg
## factor(country_name)Malta
## factor(country_name)Netherlands
## factor(country_name)Poland
## factor(country_name)Portugal
## factor(country_name)Romania
## factor(country_name)Slovakia
## factor(country_name)Slovenia
## factor(country_name)Spain
## factor(country_name)Sweden
## factor(country_name)United Kingdom
## nofterms_in_eurovoc
## NEW_LR_Proposal_Probability ***
## wmean_oppose_cntr_cap_year_t_proposal_imputed:cntr_polarization_t_trilogue_imputed ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 0.1271 on 5665 degrees of freedom
## (100 observations deleted due to missingness)
## Multiple R-squared: 0.03355, Adjusted R-squared: 0.02741
## F-statistic: 5.463 on 36 and 5665 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16plot_model(h2c_model2, type = "int")