## # A tibble: 1,096 × 5
## # Groups:   symbol [8]
##    symbol date       price   change text                
##    <chr>  <date>     <dbl>    <dbl> <glue>              
##  1 GDPC1  1947-01-01 2034. NA       1947.1,
## Growth: NA   
##  2 GDPC1  1947-04-01 2029. -0.00267 1947.2,
## Growth: -0.3%
##  3 GDPC1  1947-07-01 2025. -0.00207 1947.3,
## Growth: -0.2%
##  4 GDPC1  1947-10-01 2057.  0.0156  1947.4,
## Growth: 1.6% 
##  5 GDPC1  1948-01-01 2087.  0.0150  1948.1,
## Growth: 1.5% 
##  6 GDPC1  1948-04-01 2122.  0.0165  1948.2,
## Growth: 1.7% 
##  7 GDPC1  1948-07-01 2134.  0.00573 1948.3,
## Growth: 0.6% 
##  8 GDPC1  1948-10-01 2136.  0.00112 1948.4,
## Growth: 0.1% 
##  9 GDPC1  1949-01-01 2107. -0.0138  1949.1,
## Growth: -1.4%
## 10 GDPC1  1949-04-01 2100. -0.00341 1949.2,
## Growth: -0.3%
## # … with 1,086 more rows

Chater Openning Questions

Managers need to know: Managers make decisions based on the overview of the economy. Understanding how long downturns will last and how long upturns will last for the company is crucial for the company. Overlooking patterns and data that has been accumulated overtime including jobs, inflation, unemployment will help to make a decision on how to proceed with the company’s product. When a manager understands when production levels are decreasing they take this into consideration for how much product they created in the economy.

Solution

Approving loans to the qualified creditors could have helped the prevent the Great Recession. With other factors like capital spending and the number of exports and imports, the Great Recession might of been harder to stop than anticipated. Being aware of these fluctuations are key to slowing down the possiblity of a recession.

your customers/products magnitude of spending changes timing of spending changes
consumer services very stable coincident with GDP
consumer nondurables stable coincident with GDP
consumer durables volatile coincident with GDP
housing construction very volatile leads fluctuations in GDP
capital spending very volatile lags fluctuations in GDP
govt. spending, federal moderate not always corr. with GDP
govt. spending, state & local stable lags fluctuations in GDP
exports volatile not corr. with GDP
imports volatile varies depending on product

Historical Experience

By this time, the experience that the economy has with recessions have progressed overtime. The Great Depression was a historically famous recession because of the outcome and the amount of people who suffered. The Great recession, although it was caused due to the housing market and creditors being credited loans that they were not qualified for, could have been a lot worse in some aspects.

Gross Domestic Product

Profits across the Economic Cycle

Volatile. with exports and imports fluctuating, it can have an impact on the economic cycle and the number of goods being produced and bought by consumers.

Consumer Spending

stable in some aspects. Was not the main cause of the Great recession, but still plays a role in the economy and how it fluctuates. Key takeaway is consumer spending are investments in physical equipment and facilities by businesses, government, purchase of goods and services. It also accounts for two-thirds of GDP.

GDP vs Consumer Spending

GDP vs Consumer Services

GDP vs Consumer Durables

GDP vs Consumer Non-Durables

Housing

Very volatile. The housing market was falling along with the stock market and it devalued a lot of homes during this time. Key Takeaway: Housing can be one of the most volatile sectors of the economy because the need for bedrooms and paying for them move up and down significantly.

GDP vs Nonresidential Construction

Capital Spending

Very volatile Key takeaway: The purchases of plant and equipment have changes across the business cycle. It can fluctuate to 20 percent annual growth to 10 to 20 percent downfall. Individual kinds of capital spending have history of being more volatile than others.

Government Spending

Moderate Key takeaway: Businesses can sell to the government if need be and federal spending usually does not correlate with the economy unless there is weak federal spending which can cause a recession

Exports

Volatile Key Takeaway: Exports are volatile in the sense that they are more stable than the housing market but less stable than consumer spending. With the growth of exports in America it has become a source of goods and can change the path of the economy if the number of exports decline drastically.

Imports

Volatile Key takeaway: Imports have a stronger connection with the economy than exports. America imports goods for which they have volatile spending patters and being stable in both imports and exports is important in stabilizing the economy.

Economic terms

Explain each of the following terms in your own words. The author explains the terms in the textbook. If necessary, you may also Google the term on the Web. Good resources include:

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Measures the product level in the national economy. The number of products used in a certain time period is calculated by GDP.

Real versus nominal GDP

Real GDP is data that is adjusted to inflation while nominal GDP is data not adjusted for inflation.

Gross National Product (GNP)

The total value of economic production within a country in a year.

Recession

The overview of business activities. Analyzing the number of sales and the weakness in the economy help justify the possibility of a recession.

Leading Indicators

Variables that point in a certain direction that the economy will soon follow in the future. These indicators will move up and down and this helps predict how the economy will move.

Economic events

2007 Great recession

The Great Recession lasted for 18 months during the time period of December 2007 to June 2009. During this period of time, the housing market was at a decline, poor health outcomes, downfall in the stock market, the value of homes decreased, and baby boomers had trouble retiring.International unemployment increased during this recession due to the loss of jobs as well.