library(tidyverse)
## ── Attaching packages ─────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse 1.3.2 ──
## ✔ ggplot2 3.3.6      ✔ purrr   0.3.4 
## ✔ tibble  3.1.8      ✔ dplyr   1.0.10
## ✔ tidyr   1.2.1      ✔ stringr 1.4.1 
## ✔ readr   2.1.2      ✔ forcats 0.5.2 
## ── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
## ✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## ✖ dplyr::lag()    masks stats::lag()
library(ggplot2)
library(cmdstanr)
## This is cmdstanr version 0.5.2
## - CmdStanR documentation and vignettes: mc-stan.org/cmdstanr
## - CmdStan path: /Users/andrew/.cmdstan/cmdstan-2.29.2
## - CmdStan version: 2.29.2
## 
## A newer version of CmdStan is available. See ?install_cmdstan() to install it.
## To disable this check set option or environment variable CMDSTANR_NO_VER_CHECK=TRUE.
library(brms)
## Loading required package: Rcpp
## Loading 'brms' package (version 2.17.0). Useful instructions
## can be found by typing help('brms'). A more detailed introduction
## to the package is available through vignette('brms_overview').
## 
## Attaching package: 'brms'
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     ar
library(tidybayes)
## 
## Attaching package: 'tidybayes'
## 
## The following objects are masked from 'package:brms':
## 
##     dstudent_t, pstudent_t, qstudent_t, rstudent_t
library(bayestestR)
## 
## Attaching package: 'bayestestR'
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:tidybayes':
## 
##     hdi
library(ggthemes)
library(correlation)
load("clean_analysis_redux.RData")
experiment_dataset_analysis <- read.csv("/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/experiment_dataset_analysis.csv")
experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled <- subset(experiment_dataset_analysis, select = c(Age, Gender, DoPLSum:generalRiskPreference))
experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled$Gender <- as.factor(experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled$Gender)
experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled[c(28:33)] <- lapply(experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled[c(28:33)], function(x) c(scale(x)))
experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete <- experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled[complete.cases(experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled), ]
exp_1_corr <- correlation(experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled[, c(1, 3:33)],
  bayesian = TRUE
)
exp_1_corr[c(1:3, 5:9)]
## Parameter1                            |                            Parameter2 |       rho |             CI |        pd | % in ROPE | Prior_Distribution
## -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Age                                   |                               DoPLSum |     -0.18 | [-0.34,  0.00] |   98.10%* |    18.20% |               beta
## Age                                   |                          dominanceSum |     -0.20 | [-0.37, -0.02] |   98.08%* |    15.17% |               beta
## Age                                   |                           prestigeSum |     -0.10 | [-0.28,  0.07] |    85.40% |    48.10% |               beta
## Age                                   |                         leadershipSum |     -0.11 | [-0.28,  0.09] |    86.83% |    45.75% |               beta
## Age                                   |                                UMSSum |     -0.19 | [-0.37, -0.02] |   98.25%* |    16.12% |               beta
## Age                                   |                        UMSIntimacySum |     -0.17 | [-0.35,  0.00] |    96.83% |    21.65% |               beta
## Age                                   |                     UMSAffiliationSum |     -0.17 | [-0.35,  0.00] |    96.67% |    21.70% |               beta
## Age                                   |                               riskSum |     -0.11 | [-0.29,  0.08] |    86.78% |    45.95% |               beta
## Age                                   |                     riskPerceptionSum |     -0.11 | [-0.29,  0.07] |    87.78% |    45.42% |               beta
## Age                                   |                        riskBenefitSum |     -0.03 | [-0.21,  0.15] |    61.50% |    69.55% |               beta
## Age                                   |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.12 | [-0.31,  0.06] |    90.30% |    40.02% |               beta
## Age                                   |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.08 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    80.73% |    55.23% |               beta
## Age                                   |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.06 | [-0.24,  0.13] |    74.80% |    60.32% |               beta
## Age                                   |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.07 | [-0.25,  0.12] |    75.55% |    59.25% |               beta
## Age                                   |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.10 | [-0.28,  0.08] |    84.05% |    48.93% |               beta
## Age                                   |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.02 | [-0.18,  0.20] |    55.90% |    70.20% |               beta
## Age                                   |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |     -0.07 | [-0.25,  0.12] |    76.12% |    59.67% |               beta
## Age                                   |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.03 | [-0.15,  0.22] |    64.55% |    67.03% |               beta
## Age                                   |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |  6.77e-03 | [-0.18,  0.19] |    53.02% |    71.03% |               beta
## Age                                   |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |     -0.10 | [-0.28,  0.10] |    84.20% |    49.10% |               beta
## Age                                   |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.31,  0.05] |    90.92% |    39.48% |               beta
## Age                                   |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    80.17% |    55.77% |               beta
## Age                                   | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.10 | [-0.28,  0.08] |    86.80% |    48.05% |               beta
## Age                                   |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.15 | [-0.32,  0.02] |    95.17% |    28.15% |               beta
## Age                                   |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum | -8.14e-04 | [-0.19,  0.19] |    50.48% |    69.83% |               beta
## Age                                   |                     ethicalPreference |      0.04 | [-0.14,  0.22] |    65.72% |    68.00% |               beta
## Age                                   |                   financialPreference |     -0.07 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    77.72% |    59.20% |               beta
## Age                                   |                      socialPreference |     -0.10 | [-0.27,  0.09] |    84.20% |    49.33% |               beta
## Age                                   |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.05 | [-0.14,  0.24] |    69.25% |    64.30% |               beta
## Age                                   |                recreationalPreference |      0.06 | [-0.12,  0.24] |    71.90% |    63.45% |               beta
## Age                                   |                 generalRiskPreference |     -0.02 | [-0.21,  0.15] |    59.05% |    70.35% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                          dominanceSum |      0.73 | [ 0.63,  0.81] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                           prestigeSum |      0.73 | [ 0.64,  0.81] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                         leadershipSum |      0.73 | [ 0.65,  0.82] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                                UMSSum |      0.38 | [ 0.21,  0.54] |   100%*** |     0.07% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                        UMSIntimacySum |      0.25 | [ 0.07,  0.42] |  99.62%** |     4.80% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                     UMSAffiliationSum |      0.38 | [ 0.21,  0.52] |   100%*** |     0.05% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                               riskSum |      0.41 | [ 0.25,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                     riskPerceptionSum | -6.55e-03 | [-0.18,  0.17] |    52.98% |    72.88% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.26 | [ 0.09,  0.43] |  99.72%** |     3.52% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.34 | [ 0.19,  0.51] |   100%*** |     0.33% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.34 | [ 0.19,  0.50] |   100%*** |     0.40% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.30 | [ 0.13,  0.46] |  99.80%** |     1.32% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.31 | [ 0.14,  0.47] |   100%*** |     0.90% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.28 | [ 0.10,  0.44] | 99.98%*** |     2.95% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.27 | [ 0.10,  0.43] |  99.83%** |     3.15% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.18 | [ 0.02,  0.36] |   97.92%* |    16.30% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.98%* |    12.38% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.22 | [ 0.05,  0.40] |  99.22%** |     9.57% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.28 | [ 0.11,  0.44] |  99.88%** |     2.30% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.05 | [-0.23,  0.14] |    68.62% |    65.12% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.03 | [-0.16,  0.20] |    63.45% |    68.55% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.02 | [-0.16,  0.20] |    60.17% |    69.25% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.02 | [-0.20,  0.16] |    58.23% |    69.92% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.01 | [-0.18,  0.19] |    56.17% |    71.60% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                     ethicalPreference |      0.27 | [ 0.10,  0.44] |  99.78%** |     2.85% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                   financialPreference |      0.18 | [ 0.01,  0.37] |   97.60%* |    18.00% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                      socialPreference |      0.27 | [ 0.10,  0.45] | 99.92%*** |     3.17% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.20 | [ 0.01,  0.37] |   98.20%* |    15.02% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                recreationalPreference |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.40%* |    14.90% |               beta
## DoPLSum                               |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.26 | [ 0.09,  0.42] |  99.88%** |     3.88% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                           prestigeSum |      0.37 | [ 0.20,  0.52] |   100%*** |     0.22% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                         leadershipSum |      0.27 | [ 0.10,  0.43] |  99.88%** |     2.93% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                                UMSSum |      0.13 | [-0.05,  0.30] |    92.12% |    36.18% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                        UMSIntimacySum |  8.89e-03 | [-0.18,  0.18] |    53.57% |    71.40% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                     UMSAffiliationSum |      0.18 | [-0.01,  0.35] |    96.60% |    22.55% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                               riskSum |      0.41 | [ 0.25,  0.56] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                     riskPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.31,  0.05] |    89.03% |    42.70% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.25 | [ 0.08,  0.42] |  99.88%** |     4.70% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.37 | [ 0.22,  0.53] |   100%*** |     0.10% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.32 | [ 0.16,  0.48] | 99.98%*** |     0.65% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.34 | [ 0.16,  0.49] | 99.98%*** |     0.25% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.36 | [ 0.19,  0.52] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.36] |   98.58%* |    14.62% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.27 | [ 0.11,  0.44] |  99.80%** |     2.70% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.15 | [-0.03,  0.32] |    94.15% |    30.05% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.22 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |  99.10%** |    10.72% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.30 | [ 0.14,  0.47] |   100%*** |     1.55% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.19 | [ 0.02,  0.36] |   98.42%* |    14.52% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.18 | [-0.36, -0.02] |   98.05%* |    16.60% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.09 | [-0.28,  0.09] |    82.33% |    51.78% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.07 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    79.10% |    58.43% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.30,  0.05] |    91.33% |    39.48% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.02 | [-0.21,  0.16] |    59.55% |    70.73% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                     ethicalPreference |      0.29 | [ 0.12,  0.46] |  99.78%** |     1.70% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                   financialPreference |      0.14 | [-0.03,  0.32] |    93.05% |    34.23% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                      socialPreference |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.12%* |    14.90% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.22 | [ 0.04,  0.39] |  99.15%** |     9.18% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                recreationalPreference |      0.31 | [ 0.15,  0.47] | 99.95%*** |     0.85% |               beta
## dominanceSum                          |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.26 | [ 0.09,  0.42] | 99.95%*** |     4.15% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                         leadershipSum |      0.36 | [ 0.20,  0.52] |   100%*** |     0.07% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                                UMSSum |      0.45 | [ 0.30,  0.60] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                        UMSIntimacySum |      0.43 | [ 0.28,  0.58] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                     UMSAffiliationSum |      0.38 | [ 0.22,  0.54] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                               riskSum |      0.31 | [ 0.14,  0.47] |   100%*** |     0.68% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                     riskPerceptionSum |      0.12 | [-0.05,  0.30] |    89.78% |    41.12% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.22 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |  99.17%** |     9.05% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.28 | [ 0.11,  0.44] |  99.88%** |     2.08% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.25 | [ 0.09,  0.42] |  99.72%** |     4.10% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.28 | [ 0.10,  0.44] |  99.88%** |     2.53% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.17 | [-0.01,  0.34] |    96.85% |    22.00% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.27 | [ 0.09,  0.44] |  99.60%** |     3.20% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.42%* |    13.90% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.47%* |    14.67% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.18 | [ 0.01,  0.37] |   97.55%* |    18.73% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.12 | [-0.05,  0.30] |    91.07% |    39.95% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.27 | [ 0.10,  0.44] |  99.75%** |     3.08% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.11 | [-0.07,  0.29] |    89.05% |    43.12% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.10 | [-0.08,  0.28] |    86.90% |    47.77% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.10 | [-0.07,  0.28] |    86.80% |    47.27% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.13 | [-0.04,  0.31] |    92.77% |    35.25% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.06 | [-0.14,  0.22] |    72.72% |    63.20% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                     ethicalPreference |      0.18 | [ 0.00,  0.35] |   97.20%* |    19.07% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                   financialPreference |      0.21 | [ 0.03,  0.38] |   98.47%* |    12.28% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                      socialPreference |      0.26 | [ 0.09,  0.42] |  99.72%** |     3.55% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.16 | [-0.03,  0.33] |    95.55% |    24.18% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                recreationalPreference |      0.07 | [-0.10,  0.27] |    77.65% |    59.08% |               beta
## prestigeSum                           |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.21 | [ 0.03,  0.38] |   98.88%* |    10.38% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                                UMSSum |      0.29 | [ 0.13,  0.47] |   100%*** |     1.57% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                        UMSIntimacySum |      0.17 | [-0.02,  0.34] |    96.17% |    21.95% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                     UMSAffiliationSum |      0.31 | [ 0.13,  0.47] | 99.95%*** |     0.95% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                               riskSum |      0.21 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |   99.00%* |    10.32% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                     riskPerceptionSum |  4.96e-03 | [-0.17,  0.20] |    51.92% |    71.70% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.12 | [-0.05,  0.30] |    89.90% |    40.35% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.12 | [-0.06,  0.29] |    90.30% |    40.05% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.19 | [ 0.03,  0.37] |   97.95%* |    16.23% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.08 | [-0.11,  0.26] |    80.47% |    54.02% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.15 | [-0.03,  0.32] |    94.40% |    28.65% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.17 | [-0.01,  0.34] |    96.08% |    23.00% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.14 | [-0.04,  0.32] |    93.50% |    31.52% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.08 | [-0.10,  0.27] |    81.42% |    54.75% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.08 | [-0.11,  0.25] |    79.67% |    56.47% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.05 | [-0.13,  0.23] |    71.90% |    64.12% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.16 | [-0.01,  0.35] |    96.08% |    23.95% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.01 | [-0.19,  0.17] |    56.40% |    72.50% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.07 | [-0.11,  0.25] |    75.83% |    59.85% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.04 | [-0.14,  0.23] |    68.33% |    65.20% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.03 | [-0.21,  0.17] |    62.90% |    67.40% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.05 | [-0.22,  0.13] |    71.43% |    63.62% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                     ethicalPreference |      0.14 | [-0.04,  0.32] |    94.23% |    30.95% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                   financialPreference |      0.09 | [-0.10,  0.27] |    82.12% |    52.83% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                      socialPreference |      0.16 | [-0.02,  0.33] |    96.43% |    23.55% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.07 | [-0.10,  0.26] |    78.05% |    59.48% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                recreationalPreference |      0.06 | [-0.12,  0.24] |    73.38% |    62.20% |               beta
## leadershipSum                         |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.12 | [-0.05,  0.31] |    89.48% |    42.48% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                        UMSIntimacySum |      0.76 | [ 0.67,  0.83] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                     UMSAffiliationSum |      0.95 | [ 0.93,  0.96] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                               riskSum |      0.23 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |  99.28%** |     7.65% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                     riskPerceptionSum |      0.22 | [ 0.04,  0.38] |  99.15%** |     8.53% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.17 | [-0.01,  0.35] |    95.95% |    23.20% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.24 | [ 0.06,  0.40] |  99.70%** |     5.67% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.23 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |  99.30%** |     9.35% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.17 | [ 0.00,  0.35] |    96.47% |    22.95% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.12 | [-0.06,  0.30] |    90.18% |    39.90% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.18 | [-0.02,  0.35] |    96.92% |    18.43% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.09 | [-0.09,  0.27] |    84.70% |    50.52% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.20 | [ 0.03,  0.37] |   98.45%* |    13.95% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.17 | [-0.03,  0.33] |    95.93% |    23.90% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.07 | [-0.12,  0.24] |    76.70% |    58.53% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.18 | [ 0.01,  0.35] |   97.50%* |    19.02% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.26 | [ 0.08,  0.42] |  99.90%** |     3.80% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.22 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |   98.75%* |     9.75% |               beta
## UMSSum                                | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.18 | [-0.02,  0.34] |   97.05%* |    20.47% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.21 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |  99.22%** |    11.43% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.10 | [-0.07,  0.29] |    86.55% |    47.62% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                     ethicalPreference |      0.05 | [-0.12,  0.23] |    71.67% |    65.38% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                   financialPreference |      0.22 | [ 0.04,  0.40] |   98.90%* |     9.80% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                      socialPreference |      0.17 | [ 0.00,  0.34] |    96.65% |    22.88% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.14 | [-0.03,  0.33] |    93.55% |    33.52% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                recreationalPreference | -5.81e-04 | [-0.20,  0.17] |    50.30% |    71.20% |               beta
## UMSSum                                |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.15 | [-0.04,  0.32] |    95.08% |    27.47% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                     UMSAffiliationSum |      0.53 | [ 0.38,  0.65] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                               riskSum |      0.07 | [-0.12,  0.25] |    76.53% |    60.22% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                     riskPerceptionSum |      0.25 | [ 0.07,  0.41] |  99.60%** |     5.75% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.07 | [-0.11,  0.25] |    77.95% |    58.27% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.07 | [-0.12,  0.25] |    76.68% |    59.23% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.07 | [-0.10,  0.26] |    78.33% |    58.77% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.07 | [-0.12,  0.24] |    75.67% |    59.30% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.07 | [-0.25,  0.11] |    77.88% |    58.70% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.11 | [-0.07,  0.29] |    88.22% |    44.35% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |  8.16e-03 | [-0.17,  0.19] |    53.87% |    72.00% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.09 | [-0.09,  0.27] |    81.97% |    53.37% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.08 | [-0.09,  0.28] |    81.65% |    54.50% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.02 | [-0.15,  0.21] |    57.88% |    71.50% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.11 | [-0.06,  0.29] |    87.83% |    46.30% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.31 | [ 0.14,  0.47] | 99.95%*** |     0.90% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.22 | [ 0.04,  0.38] |  99.12%** |     9.12% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.16 | [-0.02,  0.34] |    95.25% |    25.40% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.27 | [ 0.08,  0.43] | 99.95%*** |     3.50% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.12 | [-0.06,  0.30] |    88.92% |    41.62% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.04 | [-0.23,  0.14] |    66.72% |    67.05% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                   financialPreference |      0.11 | [-0.07,  0.29] |    86.90% |    45.65% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                      socialPreference |      0.09 | [-0.09,  0.27] |    84.67% |    50.25% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.06 | [-0.13,  0.24] |    74.55% |    61.70% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                recreationalPreference |     -0.07 | [-0.25,  0.11] |    76.05% |    60.80% |               beta
## UMSIntimacySum                        |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.06 | [-0.12,  0.25] |    74.78% |    60.90% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                               riskSum |      0.28 | [ 0.11,  0.45] |  99.88%** |     2.73% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                     riskPerceptionSum |      0.18 | [ 0.00,  0.35] |    96.85% |    20.00% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.18 | [ 0.01,  0.36] |   97.42%* |    18.75% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.28 | [ 0.12,  0.45] | 99.92%*** |     1.93% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.26 | [ 0.07,  0.42] |  99.85%** |     3.95% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.15%* |    15.05% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.40%* |    14.17% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.19 | [ 0.01,  0.37] |   97.55%* |    17.70% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.12 | [-0.05,  0.30] |    90.12% |    40.45% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.22 | [ 0.05,  0.39] |  99.22%** |     9.20% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.18 | [ 0.00,  0.34] |   97.38%* |    19.05% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.08 | [-0.10,  0.26] |    80.20% |    55.80% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.19 | [ 0.00,  0.35] |   97.47%* |    17.20% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.20 | [ 0.02,  0.37] |   98.55%* |    15.00% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.18 | [ 0.00,  0.35] |   97.32%* |    18.18% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.16 | [-0.03,  0.33] |    94.97% |    28.23% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.15 | [-0.02,  0.34] |    94.92% |    27.90% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.08 | [-0.10,  0.26] |    79.20% |    55.25% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                     ethicalPreference |      0.09 | [-0.08,  0.28] |    82.53% |    51.10% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                   financialPreference |      0.23 | [ 0.06,  0.41] |  99.42%** |     6.73% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                      socialPreference |      0.18 | [ 0.01,  0.36] |    97.00% |    20.08% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.15 | [-0.03,  0.32] |    94.70% |    28.60% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                recreationalPreference |      0.03 | [-0.14,  0.23] |    61.68% |    68.45% |               beta
## UMSAffiliationSum                     |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.18 | [ 0.00,  0.35] |   97.15%* |    20.10% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                     riskPerceptionSum |     -0.18 | [-0.35, -0.01] |   97.32%* |    19.32% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                        riskBenefitSum |      0.57 | [ 0.44,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.83 | [ 0.77,  0.89] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.79 | [ 0.71,  0.85] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.80 | [ 0.73,  0.86] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.80 | [ 0.72,  0.86] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.53 | [ 0.39,  0.66] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.53 | [ 0.40,  0.65] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.45 | [ 0.31,  0.59] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.52 | [ 0.36,  0.64] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.48 | [ 0.33,  0.62] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.53 | [ 0.40,  0.67] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.16 | [-0.33,  0.02] |    95.45% |    25.37% |               beta
## riskSum                               |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.25,  0.10] |    79.05% |    57.73% |               beta
## riskSum                               | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.13 | [-0.31,  0.05] |    91.88% |    35.15% |               beta
## riskSum                               |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.18 | [-0.35,  0.01] |    96.70% |    19.30% |               beta
## riskSum                               |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.23 | [-0.39, -0.06] |  99.75%** |     7.45% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                     ethicalPreference |      0.54 | [ 0.41,  0.67] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                   financialPreference |      0.45 | [ 0.29,  0.58] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                      socialPreference |      0.55 | [ 0.41,  0.66] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.53 | [ 0.39,  0.65] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                recreationalPreference |      0.49 | [ 0.34,  0.62] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskSum                               |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.57 | [ 0.46,  0.70] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                        riskBenefitSum |     -0.05 | [-0.23,  0.13] |    69.97% |    64.83% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.09 | [-0.27,  0.09] |    83.05% |    50.85% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.07 | [-0.25,  0.12] |    78.53% |    57.98% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.23 | [-0.40, -0.06] |  99.58%** |     7.67% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |     -0.19 | [-0.35,  0.00] |   97.97%* |    17.60% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.05 | [-0.14,  0.23] |    71.08% |    64.03% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |     -0.03 | [-0.22,  0.14] |    63.90% |    69.50% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |     -0.07 | [-0.24,  0.11] |    78.50% |    58.73% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |     -0.07 | [-0.26,  0.11] |    77.48% |    60.17% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |     -0.09 | [-0.29,  0.08] |    84.60% |    50.60% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.05 | [-0.12,  0.23] |    71.83% |    64.28% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.88 | [ 0.83,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.83 | [ 0.76,  0.88] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.88 | [ 0.84,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.86 | [ 0.81,  0.90] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.81 | [ 0.74,  0.86] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.16 | [-0.33,  0.01] |    96.23% |    23.77% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                   financialPreference | -1.48e-03 | [-0.18,  0.19] |    50.50% |    70.30% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                      socialPreference |     -0.02 | [-0.21,  0.16] |    59.48% |    69.55% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |             healthAndSafetyPreference |     -0.19 | [-0.37, -0.01] |   97.45%* |    15.70% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                recreationalPreference |     -0.34 | [-0.50, -0.18] |   100%*** |     0.15% |               beta
## riskPerceptionSum                     |                 generalRiskPreference |     -0.10 | [-0.26,  0.09] |    84.03% |    50.20% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |               ethicalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.46 | [ 0.31,  0.59] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.58 | [ 0.45,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.50 | [ 0.36,  0.64] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.44 | [ 0.28,  0.57] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.84 | [ 0.78,  0.89] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.89 | [ 0.84,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.88 | [ 0.83,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.87 | [ 0.83,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.88 | [ 0.83,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.84 | [ 0.78,  0.89] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.02 | [-0.21,  0.16] |    57.77% |    70.53% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.08 | [-0.10,  0.26] |    80.83% |    54.62% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.07 | [-0.24,  0.12] |    76.25% |    60.22% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.26,  0.09] |    82.03% |    53.90% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.29,  0.07] |    89.53% |    42.38% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |                     ethicalPreference |      0.87 | [ 0.82,  0.91] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |                   financialPreference |      0.88 | [ 0.83,  0.91] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |                      socialPreference |      0.84 | [ 0.78,  0.90] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.86 | [ 0.80,  0.90] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |                recreationalPreference |      0.81 | [ 0.75,  0.87] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## riskBenefitSum                        |                 generalRiskPreference |      1.00 | [ 1.00,  1.00] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |             financialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.60 | [ 0.48,  0.72] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.65 | [ 0.53,  0.75] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.61 | [ 0.49,  0.72] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.39 | [ 0.23,  0.54] |   100%*** |     0.05% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.47 | [ 0.32,  0.61] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.38 | [ 0.23,  0.53] |   100%*** |     0.07% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.40 | [ 0.23,  0.54] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.40 | [ 0.23,  0.54] |   100%*** |     0.10% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.39 | [ 0.24,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.14 | [-0.31,  0.04] |    92.70% |    34.02% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.01 | [-0.17,  0.19] |    55.17% |    70.95% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.05 | [-0.24,  0.13] |    72.47% |    63.40% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.30,  0.06] |    89.58% |    40.62% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.07 | [-0.24,  0.11] |    78.92% |    57.93% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |                     ethicalPreference |      0.48 | [ 0.32,  0.61] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |                   financialPreference |      0.38 | [ 0.22,  0.52] |   100%*** |     0.07% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |                      socialPreference |      0.39 | [ 0.24,  0.53] |   100%*** |     0.03% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.40 | [ 0.24,  0.54] |   100%*** |     0.03% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |                recreationalPreference |      0.39 | [ 0.24,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsRiskSum               |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.46 | [ 0.31,  0.60] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |       healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum |      0.54 | [ 0.41,  0.67] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.56 | [ 0.43,  0.68] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.54 | [ 0.40,  0.66] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.57 | [ 0.44,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.50 | [ 0.36,  0.64] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.49 | [ 0.34,  0.62] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.47 | [ 0.31,  0.60] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.54 | [ 0.41,  0.67] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.05 | [-0.24,  0.12] |    72.40% |    64.35% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.09 | [-0.27,  0.09] |    83.45% |    50.25% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.01 | [-0.20,  0.17] |    56.03% |    71.62% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.26,  0.11] |    78.03% |    56.12% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.10 | [-0.28,  0.09] |    85.72% |    46.60% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |                     ethicalPreference |      0.56 | [ 0.43,  0.68] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |                   financialPreference |      0.49 | [ 0.34,  0.61] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |                      socialPreference |      0.54 | [ 0.39,  0.66] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.47 | [ 0.33,  0.61] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |                recreationalPreference |      0.44 | [ 0.28,  0.58] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsRiskSum             |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.58 | [ 0.44,  0.70] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |          recreationalQuestionsRiskSum |      0.57 | [ 0.44,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.40 | [ 0.25,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.44 | [ 0.29,  0.59] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.44 | [ 0.28,  0.58] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.55 | [ 0.42,  0.68] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.40 | [ 0.24,  0.54] |   100%*** |     0.05% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.40 | [ 0.25,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.21 | [-0.38, -0.03] |   98.92%* |    11.43% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    79.97% |    56.35% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.25 | [-0.41, -0.07] |  99.42%** |     5.62% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.16 | [-0.34,  0.01] |    95.93% |    24.60% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.27 | [-0.42, -0.10] |  99.83%** |     2.38% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |                     ethicalPreference |      0.47 | [ 0.32,  0.61] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |                   financialPreference |      0.42 | [ 0.27,  0.57] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |                      socialPreference |      0.42 | [ 0.26,  0.56] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.57 | [ 0.44,  0.70] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |                recreationalPreference |      0.41 | [ 0.26,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsRiskSum       |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.51 | [ 0.37,  0.63] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |                socialQuestionsRiskSum |      0.37 | [ 0.21,  0.54] |   100%*** |     0.25% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.41 | [ 0.24,  0.55] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.31 | [ 0.16,  0.48] |   100%*** |     0.65% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.42 | [ 0.26,  0.56] |   100%*** |     0.03% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.45 | [ 0.28,  0.58] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.37 | [ 0.20,  0.52] |   100%*** |     0.18% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.17 | [-0.35,  0.01] |    96.58% |    22.85% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.14 | [-0.32,  0.04] |    93.27% |    30.88% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.29,  0.06] |    89.60% |    40.38% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.26 | [-0.43, -0.10] |  99.80%** |     3.02% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.11 | [-0.30,  0.06] |    87.62% |    43.48% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |                     ethicalPreference |      0.42 | [ 0.27,  0.57] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |                   financialPreference |      0.30 | [ 0.13,  0.46] |   100%*** |     1.77% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |                      socialPreference |      0.37 | [ 0.22,  0.52] |   100%*** |     0.10% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.42 | [ 0.27,  0.56] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |                recreationalPreference |      0.49 | [ 0.34,  0.62] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsRiskSum          |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.45 | [ 0.30,  0.59] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |            ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.68 | [ 0.57,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.66 | [ 0.54,  0.75] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.70 | [ 0.60,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.65 | [ 0.55,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      1.00 | [ 1.00,  1.00] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.09 | [-0.08,  0.28] |    84.08% |    51.10% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.17 | [-0.01,  0.34] |    96.90% |    22.07% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.04 | [-0.14,  0.21] |    64.85% |    68.45% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.05 | [-0.13,  0.23] |    69.12% |    67.25% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.11 | [-0.29,  0.07] |    87.95% |    43.65% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |                     ethicalPreference |      0.65 | [ 0.53,  0.75] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |                   financialPreference |      0.67 | [ 0.56,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |                      socialPreference |      1.00 | [ 0.99,  1.00] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.67 | [ 0.56,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |                recreationalPreference |      0.58 | [ 0.44,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsRiskSum                |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.84 | [ 0.78,  0.89] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |          financialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.71 | [ 0.61,  0.79] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.77 | [ 0.69,  0.84] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.77 | [ 0.69,  0.84] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.68 | [ 0.58,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.27,  0.09] |    81.42% |    54.33% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.09 | [-0.09,  0.27] |    82.47% |    53.47% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.03 | [-0.21,  0.15] |    62.88% |    68.80% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    80.88% |    53.42% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.03 | [-0.22,  0.15] |    62.95% |    67.58% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |                     ethicalPreference |      0.99 | [ 0.98,  0.99] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |                   financialPreference |      0.71 | [ 0.62,  0.80] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |                      socialPreference |      0.67 | [ 0.57,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.75 | [ 0.66,  0.83] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |                recreationalPreference |      0.72 | [ 0.63,  0.80] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsBenefitSum            |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.89 | [ 0.85,  0.93] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |    healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.70 | [ 0.60,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.75 | [ 0.67,  0.83] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.66 | [ 0.55,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |  6.94e-03 | [-0.18,  0.19] |    53.35% |    70.40% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.04 | [-0.16,  0.22] |    65.35% |    66.20% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.29,  0.06] |    89.72% |    41.45% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.27,  0.10] |    81.17% |    54.67% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.15 | [-0.31,  0.04] |    94.27% |    31.85% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |                     ethicalPreference |      0.69 | [ 0.58,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |                   financialPreference |      1.00 | [ 0.99,  1.00] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |                      socialPreference |      0.66 | [ 0.54,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.69 | [ 0.59,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |                recreationalPreference |      0.70 | [ 0.60,  0.79] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsBenefitSum          |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.88 | [ 0.83,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |       recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.69 | [ 0.59,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.70 | [ 0.61,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.04 | [-0.22,  0.15] |    64.10% |    67.03% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.06 | [-0.11,  0.25] |    75.17% |    60.48% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.09 | [-0.27,  0.09] |    83.60% |    51.45% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.11 | [-0.28,  0.09] |    87.70% |    45.40% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.12 | [-0.30,  0.06] |    90.18% |    40.23% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |                     ethicalPreference |      0.75 | [ 0.67,  0.83] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |                   financialPreference |      0.70 | [ 0.60,  0.79] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |                      socialPreference |      0.70 | [ 0.59,  0.80] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.99 | [ 0.98,  0.99] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |                recreationalPreference |      0.65 | [ 0.54,  0.75] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsBenefitSum    |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.87 | [ 0.82,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |             socialQuestionsBenefitSum |      0.66 | [ 0.54,  0.75] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.08 | [-0.25,  0.11] |    79.10% |    58.63% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |  3.96e-03 | [-0.18,  0.19] |    51.95% |    71.50% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.09 | [-0.26,  0.10] |    82.47% |    53.33% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.15 | [-0.32,  0.02] |    95.80% |    26.30% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.10 | [-0.27,  0.09] |    86.08% |    48.15% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |                     ethicalPreference |      0.76 | [ 0.67,  0.83] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |                   financialPreference |      0.74 | [ 0.66,  0.82] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |                      socialPreference |      0.66 | [ 0.54,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.69 | [ 0.59,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |                recreationalPreference |      0.95 | [ 0.93,  0.97] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsBenefitSum       |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.88 | [ 0.84,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |         ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.09 | [-0.10,  0.26] |    84.00% |    50.55% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.17 | [ 0.00,  0.37] |    96.75% |    20.32% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.04 | [-0.15,  0.21] |    65.22% |    68.58% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.04 | [-0.13,  0.23] |    67.95% |    66.35% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |     -0.11 | [-0.29,  0.07] |    88.02% |    43.62% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |                     ethicalPreference |      0.65 | [ 0.54,  0.74] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |                   financialPreference |      0.67 | [ 0.55,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |                      socialPreference |      1.00 | [ 0.99,  1.00] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.67 | [ 0.57,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |                recreationalPreference |      0.57 | [ 0.44,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialQuestionsBenefitSum             |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.84 | [ 0.77,  0.88] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |       financialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.67 | [ 0.56,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.73 | [ 0.64,  0.81] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.74 | [ 0.64,  0.81] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.62 | [ 0.49,  0.72] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.23 | [-0.40, -0.05] |   98.98%* |     8.35% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |                   financialPreference |      0.06 | [-0.11,  0.25] |    75.62% |    61.22% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |                      socialPreference |      0.04 | [-0.13,  0.23] |    65.03% |    67.83% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |             healthAndSafetyPreference |     -0.14 | [-0.32,  0.03] |    93.92% |    34.20% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |                recreationalPreference |     -0.29 | [-0.46, -0.12] |  99.83%** |     1.73% |               beta
## ethicalQuestionsPerceptionSum         |                 generalRiskPreference |     -0.06 | [-0.24,  0.12] |    73.70% |    63.73% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       | healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.69 | [ 0.58,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.66 | [ 0.55,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.57 | [ 0.43,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.01 | [-0.18,  0.18] |    55.20% |    71.28% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |                   financialPreference |      0.12 | [-0.07,  0.29] |    89.45% |    40.85% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |                      socialPreference |      0.12 | [-0.04,  0.31] |    90.65% |    39.12% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |             healthAndSafetyPreference |     -0.04 | [-0.22,  0.15] |    66.00% |    67.60% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |                recreationalPreference |     -0.20 | [-0.38, -0.02] |   98.42%* |    14.03% |               beta
## financialQuestionsPerceptionSum       |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.04 | [-0.14,  0.22] |    69.45% |    65.80% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |    recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.68 | [ 0.56,  0.76] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.69 | [ 0.59,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.14 | [-0.31,  0.04] |    93.33% |    33.05% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |                   financialPreference |     -0.06 | [-0.23,  0.13] |    72.40% |    62.75% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |                      socialPreference |     -0.02 | [-0.22,  0.15] |    59.05% |    70.88% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |             healthAndSafetyPreference |     -0.23 | [-0.42, -0.07] |  99.50%** |     7.85% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |                recreationalPreference |     -0.28 | [-0.44, -0.12] |   100%*** |     1.88% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyQuestionsPerceptionSum |                 generalRiskPreference |     -0.10 | [-0.29,  0.07] |    87.17% |    46.83% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |          socialQuestionsPerceptionSum |      0.59 | [ 0.46,  0.69] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.19 | [-0.37, -0.02] |   98.15%* |    15.62% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |                   financialPreference |     -0.03 | [-0.22,  0.15] |    60.77% |    69.38% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |                      socialPreference | -7.90e-03 | [-0.20,  0.16] |    53.08% |    70.83% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |             healthAndSafetyPreference |     -0.20 | [-0.38, -0.03] |   98.52%* |    13.63% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |                recreationalPreference |     -0.43 | [-0.57, -0.29] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalQuestionsPerceptionSum    |                 generalRiskPreference |     -0.12 | [-0.29,  0.06] |    91.22% |    39.12% |               beta
## socialQuestionsPerceptionSum          |                     ethicalPreference |     -0.12 | [-0.30,  0.06] |    90.80% |    38.42% |               beta
## socialQuestionsPerceptionSum          |                   financialPreference |     -0.09 | [-0.27,  0.08] |    84.50% |    52.05% |               beta
## socialQuestionsPerceptionSum          |                      socialPreference |     -0.20 | [-0.36, -0.01] |   98.20%* |    14.65% |               beta
## socialQuestionsPerceptionSum          |             healthAndSafetyPreference |     -0.21 | [-0.37, -0.02] |  99.02%** |    11.43% |               beta
## socialQuestionsPerceptionSum          |                recreationalPreference |     -0.27 | [-0.43, -0.08] |  99.80%** |     3.52% |               beta
## socialQuestionsPerceptionSum          |                 generalRiskPreference |     -0.15 | [-0.32,  0.04] |    94.47% |    29.12% |               beta
## ethicalPreference                     |                   financialPreference |      0.68 | [ 0.58,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalPreference                     |                      socialPreference |      0.65 | [ 0.53,  0.74] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalPreference                     |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.76 | [ 0.67,  0.83] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalPreference                     |                recreationalPreference |      0.75 | [ 0.66,  0.82] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## ethicalPreference                     |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.87 | [ 0.83,  0.92] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialPreference                   |                      socialPreference |      0.67 | [ 0.55,  0.75] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialPreference                   |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.69 | [ 0.59,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialPreference                   |                recreationalPreference |      0.68 | [ 0.57,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## financialPreference                   |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.87 | [ 0.83,  0.91] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialPreference                      |             healthAndSafetyPreference |      0.68 | [ 0.58,  0.77] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialPreference                      |                recreationalPreference |      0.59 | [ 0.47,  0.71] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## socialPreference                      |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.84 | [ 0.78,  0.89] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyPreference             |                recreationalPreference |      0.68 | [ 0.58,  0.78] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## healthAndSafetyPreference             |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.87 | [ 0.82,  0.91] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
## recreationalPreference                |                 generalRiskPreference |      0.83 | [ 0.77,  0.88] |   100%*** |        0% |               beta
m1 <- brm(generalRiskPreference ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Gender + Age,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled, backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(), warmup = 500, iter = 40000,
  prior = c(
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), class = "b", coef = "dominanceSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "b", coef = "prestigeSum"),
    prior(normal(-2, 1), class = "b", coef = "leadershipSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), class = "b", coef = "Gender1"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), class = "b", coef = "Age")
  ),
  save_pars = save_pars(all = T)
)
summary(m1)

write.csv(round(fixef(m1), 2), "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/fixef_m1.csv")
summary(m1)
##  Family: gaussian 
##   Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity 
## Formula: generalRiskPreference ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Gender + Age 
##    Data: experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled (Number of observations: 107) 
##   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 40000; warmup = 500; thin = 1;
##          total post-warmup draws = 158000
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept         0.28      0.13     0.02     0.54 1.00   234785   121646
## dominanceSum      0.22      0.10     0.02     0.43 1.00   220215   127350
## prestigeSum       0.14      0.10    -0.07     0.34 1.00   204482   127295
## leadershipSum    -0.02      0.10    -0.22     0.18 1.00   235088   130581
## Gender1          -0.58      0.19    -0.96    -0.21 1.00   233182   123674
## Age               0.08      0.10    -0.11     0.27 1.00   229878   125014
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##       Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma     0.96      0.07     0.84     1.11 1.00   231138   123050
## 
## Draws were sampled using sample(hmc). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

m1 + interaction between gender and each of the DoPL motives

m1_int <- brm(generalRiskPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled, backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(), warmup = 500, iter = 8000,
  prior = c(
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), class = "b", coef = "dominanceSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "b", coef = "prestigeSum"),
    prior(normal(-2, 1), class = "b", coef = "leadershipSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), class = "b", coef = "Gender1"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), class = "b", coef = "Age"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "b", coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "b", coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "b", coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum")
  ),
  save_pars = save_pars(all = T)
)



write.csv(round(fixef(m1_int), 2), "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/fixef_m1_int.csv")
summary(m1_int)
##  Family: gaussian 
##   Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity 
## Formula: generalRiskPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##    Data: experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled (Number of observations: 107) 
##   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 8000; warmup = 500; thin = 1;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                       Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## Intercept                 0.26      0.13     0.00     0.52 1.00    31271
## dominanceSum              0.37      0.16     0.05     0.69 1.00    20706
## Gender1                  -0.58      0.19    -0.96    -0.20 1.00    32425
## prestigeSum               0.01      0.15    -0.29     0.31 1.00    21486
## leadershipSum             0.01      0.15    -0.29     0.29 1.00    22893
## Age                       0.09      0.10    -0.10     0.28 1.00    37083
## dominanceSum:Gender1     -0.24      0.21    -0.65     0.17 1.00    20953
## Gender1:prestigeSum       0.22      0.21    -0.18     0.63 1.00    21756
## Gender1:leadershipSum    -0.05      0.20    -0.44     0.35 1.00    23251
##                       Tail_ESS
## Intercept                21678
## dominanceSum             21985
## Gender1                  22302
## prestigeSum              21890
## leadershipSum            22361
## Age                      24758
## dominanceSum:Gender1     21076
## Gender1:prestigeSum      22396
## Gender1:leadershipSum    23307
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##       Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma     0.97      0.07     0.84     1.12 1.00    29394    23156
## 
## Draws were sampled using sample(hmc). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

model comparisons

rstan::loo(m1, m1_int) # equal
bfs_gen <- bayesfactor_models(m1, m1_int, denominator = 2) # equal
bfs_gen
## Bayes Factors for Model Comparison
## 
##     Model                                                        BF
## [1] dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Gender + Age 51.12
## 
## * Against Denominator: [2] dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age
## *   Bayes Factor Type: marginal likelihoods (bridgesampling)
# HDI m1 + DOPL:gender interactions
m1_hdi <- hdi(m1, effects = "fixed", component = "conditional", ci = .95)
## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
m1_hdi[
  sign(m1_hdi$CI_low) == sign(m1_hdi$CI_high),
  c("Parameter", "CI", "CI_low", "CI_high")
]
## Highest Density Interval
## 
## Parameter      |        95% HDI
## -------------------------------
## b_Intercept    | [ 0.02,  0.54]
## b_dominanceSum | [ 0.02,  0.43]
## b_Gender1      | [-0.95, -0.21]

general mediation of components of DOSPERT

experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete <- experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled[complete.cases(experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled), ]
m1mod <- bf(riskPerceptionSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum)
m2mod <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum)
ymod <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + riskPerceptionSum + dominanceSum +
  prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Gender + Age)
med_model <- brm(ymod + m1mod + m2mod + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000,
  iter = 8000, data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)



m1mod.2 <- bf(riskPerceptionSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender +
  leadershipSum * Gender)
m2mod.2 <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender +
  leadershipSum * Gender)
ymod.2 <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + riskPerceptionSum + dominanceSum * Gender +
  prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age)
med_model.2 <- brm(ymod.2 + m1mod.2 + m2mod.2 + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000, iter = 8000,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)


m1mod.3 <- bf(riskPerceptionSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum
* Gender)
m2mod.3 <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum
  + Gender)
ymod.3 <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + riskPerceptionSum + dominanceSum * Gender
  + Age)
med_model.3 <- brm(ymod.3 + m1mod.3 + m2mod.3 + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000, iter = 8000,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)
# No mediation for above specifications with riskPerception.

m2mod.4 <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum)
ymod.4 <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + dominanceSum + prestigeSum +
  leadershipSum + Gender + Age)
med_model.4 <- brm(ymod.4 + m2mod.4 + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000, iter = 8000,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)

m2mod.5 <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum
  + Gender + Age)
ymod.5 <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + dominanceSum + prestigeSum +
  leadershipSum + Gender + Age)
med_model.5 <- brm(ymod.5 + m2mod.5 + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000, iter = 8000,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)

m2mod.6 <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum + leadershipSum
  + Age)
ymod.6 <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum +
  leadershipSum + Age)
med_model.6 <- brm(ymod.6 + m2mod.6 + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000, iter = 8000,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)

m2mod.7 <- bf(riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender +
  leadershipSum * Gender + Age)
ymod.7 <- bf(riskSum ~ riskBenefitSum + dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum *
  Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age)
med_model.7 <- brm(ymod.7 + m2mod.7 + set_rescor(FALSE),
  backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(),
  warmup = 1000, iter = 8000,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled_complete, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE)
)
# No mediation in above models but possible to condition
# on joint distributions?
# compare possible mediation models
med_loo <- rstan::loo(med_model, med_model.2, med_model.3, med_model.4) # m3
# 5 (though too close)
med_comp <- bayesfactor_models(med_model, med_model.2, med_model.3, med_model.4, denominator = 4) # m3

med_loo2 <- rstan::loo(med_model.4, med_model.5, med_model.6, med_model.7)
med_comp2 <- bayesfactor_models(med_model.4, med_model.5, med_model.6, med_model.7, denominator = med_model.4)

m6

bayes_R2(med_model.3) # riskSum = .49, percept = .14, benefit = .16
##                      Estimate  Est.Error       Q2.5     Q97.5
## R2riskSum           0.4872155 0.04918886 0.37888630 0.5698785
## R2riskPerceptionSum 0.1409219 0.05151985 0.04777861 0.2461936
## R2riskBenefitSum    0.1617239 0.05501047 0.05957481 0.2719514
hdi.3 <- hdi(med_model.3, effects = "fixed", component = "conditional", ci = .95)
hdi.3[
  sign(hdi.3$CI_low) == sign(hdi.3$CI_high),
  c("Parameter", "CI", "CI_low", "CI_high")
]
## Highest Density Interval
## 
## Parameter                                 |        95% HDI
## ----------------------------------------------------------
## b_riskSum_riskBenefitSum                  | [ 0.34,  0.65]
## b_riskSum_dominanceSum                    | [ 0.24,  0.69]
## b_riskSum_dominanceSum:Gender1            | [-0.65, -0.06]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum           | [ 0.01,  0.42]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_leadershipSum:Gender1 | [ 0.02,  0.76]
## b_riskBenefitSum_Gender1                  | [-0.83, -0.09]
# plot R^2 values for best mediation model
bayes_R2(med_model.3, summary = F) %>%
  data.frame() %>%
  pivot_longer(everything()) %>%
  mutate(name = str_remove(name, "R2")) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = value, color = name, fill = name)) +
  geom_density(alpha = .5) +
  scale_color_ptol() +
  scale_fill_ptol() +
  scale_y_continuous(NULL, breaks = NULL) +
  coord_cartesian(xlim = 0:1) +
  labs(title <- expression(paste("Our ", italic(R)^{
    2
  }, "distributions")), x = NULL) +
  theme_minimal() +
  theme(legend.title <- element_blank())

# extract posterior info for computing mediation for Dominance
# notation, c' = direct effect; c = total effect.
post <- posterior_samples(med_model.3)
## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.
post <- post %>%
  mutate(
    a1 = b_riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum,
    a2 = b_riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum,
    b1 = b_riskSum_riskPerceptionSum,
    b2 = b_riskSum_riskBenefitSum,
    c_prime = b_riskSum_dominanceSum
  ) %>%
  mutate(
    a1b1 = a1 * b1,
    a2b2 = a2 * b2
  ) %>%
  mutate(c = c_prime + a1b1 + a2b2) %>%
  mutate(total_indirect_effect = a1b1 + a2b2) %>%
  mutate(c_minus_c_prime = c - c_prime)

post %>%
  pivot_longer(a1:c_minus_c_prime) %>%
  group_by(name) %>%
  median_qi(value) %>%
  mutate_if(is_double, round, digits = 3)
## # A tibble: 10 × 7
##    name                   value .lower .upper .width .point .interval
##    <chr>                  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl> <chr>  <chr>    
##  1 a1                    -0.198 -0.404  0.007   0.95 median qi       
##  2 a1b1                   0.02  -0.007  0.075   0.95 median qi       
##  3 a2                     0.174 -0.029  0.379   0.95 median qi       
##  4 a2b2                   0.084 -0.014  0.2     0.95 median qi       
##  5 b1                    -0.12  -0.27   0.028   0.95 median qi       
##  6 b2                     0.498  0.344  0.65    0.95 median qi       
##  7 c                      0.58   0.33   0.832   0.95 median qi       
##  8 c_minus_c_prime        0.108  0.002  0.232   0.95 median qi       
##  9 c_prime                0.47   0.239  0.698   0.95 median qi       
## 10 total_indirect_effect  0.108  0.002  0.232   0.95 median qi
# dom -> benefit -> riskSum (marginal indirect effect)

# visualise results from tibble
post %>%
  pivot_longer(c(c, c_prime)) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = value, fill = name, color = name)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0, color = "black") +
  geom_density(alpha = .5) +
  scale_color_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_fill_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_y_continuous(NULL, breaks = NULL) +
  # labs +
  coord_cartesian(xlim = c(-1.5, 1.5)) +
  theme_minimal()

post %>%
  pivot_longer(c(a1b1, a2b2)) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = value, fill = name, color = name)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0, color = "black") +
  geom_density(alpha = .5) +
  scale_color_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_fill_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_y_continuous(NULL, breaks = NULL) +
  # labs +
  coord_cartesian(xlim = c(-1.5, 1.5)) +
  theme_minimal()

# extract posterior info for computing mediation for Prestige
# notation, c' = direct effect; c = total effect.
# post <- post %>%
#  mutate(
#   a1 = b_riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum,
#   a2 = b_riskBenefitSum_prestigeSum,
#   b1 = b_riskSum_riskPerceptionSum,
#   b2 = b_riskSum_riskBenefitSum,
#   c_prime = b_riskSum_prestigeSum
#  ) %>%
#  mutate(
#   a1b1 = a1 * b1,
#   a2b2 = a2 * b2
#  ) %>%
#  mutate(c = c_prime + a1b1 + a2b2) %>%
#  mutate(total_indirect_effect = a1b1 + a2b2) %>%
#  mutate(c_minus_c_prime = c - c_prime)

post %>%
  pivot_longer(a1:c_minus_c_prime) %>%
  group_by(name) %>%
  median_qi(value) %>%
  mutate_if(is_double, round, digits = 3)
## # A tibble: 10 × 7
##    name                   value .lower .upper .width .point .interval
##    <chr>                  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl> <chr>  <chr>    
##  1 a1                    -0.198 -0.404  0.007   0.95 median qi       
##  2 a1b1                   0.02  -0.007  0.075   0.95 median qi       
##  3 a2                     0.174 -0.029  0.379   0.95 median qi       
##  4 a2b2                   0.084 -0.014  0.2     0.95 median qi       
##  5 b1                    -0.12  -0.27   0.028   0.95 median qi       
##  6 b2                     0.498  0.344  0.65    0.95 median qi       
##  7 c                      0.58   0.33   0.832   0.95 median qi       
##  8 c_minus_c_prime        0.108  0.002  0.232   0.95 median qi       
##  9 c_prime                0.47   0.239  0.698   0.95 median qi       
## 10 total_indirect_effect  0.108  0.002  0.232   0.95 median qi
# No mediation

# extract posterior info for computing mediation
# notation, c' = direct effect; c = total effect.
# post <- post %>%
#  mutate(
#   a1 = b_riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum,
#   a2 = b_riskBenefitSum_leadershipSum,
#   b1 = b_riskSum_riskPerceptionSum,
#   b2 = b_riskSum_riskBenefitSum,
#   c_prime = b_riskSum_leadershipSum
#  ) %>%
#  mutate(
#   a1b1 = a1 * b1,
#   a2b2 = a2 * b2
#  ) %>%
#  mutate(c = c_prime + a1b1 + a2b2) %>%
#  mutate(total_indirect_effect = a1b1 + a2b2) %>%
#  mutate(c_minus_c_prime = c - c_prime)

post %>%
  pivot_longer(a1:c_minus_c_prime) %>%
  group_by(name) %>%
  median_qi(value) %>%
  mutate_if(is_double, round, digits = 3)
## # A tibble: 10 × 7
##    name                   value .lower .upper .width .point .interval
##    <chr>                  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl> <chr>  <chr>    
##  1 a1                    -0.198 -0.404  0.007   0.95 median qi       
##  2 a1b1                   0.02  -0.007  0.075   0.95 median qi       
##  3 a2                     0.174 -0.029  0.379   0.95 median qi       
##  4 a2b2                   0.084 -0.014  0.2     0.95 median qi       
##  5 b1                    -0.12  -0.27   0.028   0.95 median qi       
##  6 b2                     0.498  0.344  0.65    0.95 median qi       
##  7 c                      0.58   0.33   0.832   0.95 median qi       
##  8 c_minus_c_prime        0.108  0.002  0.232   0.95 median qi       
##  9 c_prime                0.47   0.239  0.698   0.95 median qi       
## 10 total_indirect_effect  0.108  0.002  0.232   0.95 median qi
# No mediation

# plot R^2 values for best mediation model
bayes_R2(med_model.6, summary = F) %>%
  data.frame() %>%
  pivot_longer(everything()) %>%
  mutate(name = str_remove(name, "R2")) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = value, color = name, fill = name)) +
  geom_density(alpha = .5) +
  scale_color_ptol() +
  scale_fill_ptol() +
  scale_y_continuous(NULL, breaks = NULL) +
  coord_cartesian(xlim = 0:1) +
  labs(title = expression(paste("Our ", italic(R)^{
    2
  }, "distributions")), x = NULL) +
  theme_minimal() +
  theme(legend.title = element_blank())

# extract posterior info for computing mediation for Dominance
# notation, c' = direct effect; c = total effect.
post2 <- posterior_samples(med_model.6)
## Warning: Method 'posterior_samples' is deprecated. Please see ?as_draws for
## recommended alternatives.
post2 <- post2 %>%
  mutate(
    a1 = b_riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum,
    b1 = b_riskSum_riskBenefitSum,
    c_prime = b_riskSum_dominanceSum
  ) %>%
  mutate(a1b1 = a1 * b1) %>%
  mutate(c = c_prime + a1b1) %>%
  mutate(total_indirect_effect = a1b1) %>%
  mutate(c_minus_c_prime = c - c_prime)

post2 %>%
  pivot_longer(a1:c_minus_c_prime) %>%
  group_by(name) %>%
  median_qi(value) %>%
  mutate_if(is_double, round, digits = 3)
## # A tibble: 7 × 7
##   name                  value .lower .upper .width .point .interval
##   <chr>                 <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl>  <dbl> <chr>  <chr>    
## 1 a1                    0.258 -0.047  0.561   0.95 median qi       
## 2 a1b1                  0.12  -0.022  0.288   0.95 median qi       
## 3 b1                    0.48   0.324  0.635   0.95 median qi       
## 4 c                     0.558  0.279  0.834   0.95 median qi       
## 5 c_minus_c_prime       0.12  -0.022  0.288   0.95 median qi       
## 6 c_prime               0.434  0.195  0.672   0.95 median qi       
## 7 total_indirect_effect 0.12  -0.022  0.288   0.95 median qi
# dom -> benefit -> riskSum (marginal indirect effect)

# visualise results from tibble
post %>%
  pivot_longer(c(c, c_prime)) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = value, fill = name, color = name)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0, color = "black") +
  geom_density(alpha = .5) +
  scale_color_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_fill_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_y_continuous(NULL, breaks = NULL) +
  # labs +
  coord_cartesian(xlim = c(-1.5, 1.5)) +
  theme_minimal()

post %>%
  pivot_longer(c(a1b1, a2b2)) %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = value, fill = name, color = name)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0, color = "black") +
  geom_density(alpha = .5) +
  scale_color_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_fill_ptol(NULL) +
  scale_y_continuous(NULL, breaks = NULL) +
  # labs +
  coord_cartesian(xlim = c(-1.5, 1.5)) +
  theme_minimal()

Regression m2-m3: Domain specific risk preference across DOPL motives, gender and age —-

# Additive model (m2)
m2 <- brm(mvbind(ethicalPreference, financialPreference, socialPreference, healthAndSafetyPreference, recreationalPreference) ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Gender + Age,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled, backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(), save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE), iter = 10000,
  prior = c(
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "financialPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "socialPreference")
  )
)


summary(m2)

write.csv(round(fixef(m2), 2), "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/fixef_m2.csv")

HDI m2

m2_hdi <- hdi(m2, effects = "fixed", component = "conditional", ci = .95)
m2_hdi[
  sign(m2_hdi$CI_low) == sign(m2_hdi$CI_high),
  c("Parameter", "CI", "CI_low", "CI_high")
]
## Highest Density Interval
## 
## Parameter                                |        95% HDI
## ---------------------------------------------------------
## b_ethicalPreference_dominanceSum         | [ 0.15,  0.55]
## b_socialPreference_Gender1               | [-0.76, -0.04]
## b_healthAndSafetyPreference_dominanceSum | [ 0.08,  0.49]
## b_recreationalPreference_Intercept       | [ 0.11,  0.56]
## b_recreationalPreference_dominanceSum    | [ 0.22,  0.60]
## b_recreationalPreference_Gender1         | [-1.04, -0.38]
## b_recreationalPreference_Age             | [ 0.05,  0.39]

m2 + Gender-DOPL interactions


m3 <- brm(mvbind(ethicalPreference, financialPreference, socialPreference, healthAndSafetyPreference, recreationalPreference) ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled, backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(), save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE), iter = 10000,
  prior = c(
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "ethicalPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "financialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "financialPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "healthAndSafetyPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "recreationalPreference"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "socialPreference"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "socialPreference")
  )
)




write.csv(round(fixef(m3), 2), "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/fixef_m3.csv")

saveRDS(m3, "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/Dissertation/RDS_Files/m3_exp_1.rds")
summary(m3)
##  Family: MV(gaussian, gaussian, gaussian, gaussian, gaussian) 
##   Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity 
## Formula: ethicalPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##          financialPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##          socialPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##          healthAndSafetyPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##          recreationalPreference ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##    Data: experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled (Number of observations: 107) 
##   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 10000; warmup = 5000; thin = 1;
##          total post-warmup draws = 20000
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                                                 Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI
## ethicalPreference_Intercept                         0.11      0.13    -0.14
## financialPreference_Intercept                       0.14      0.13    -0.12
## socialPreference_Intercept                          0.17      0.13    -0.09
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Intercept                 0.09      0.13    -0.17
## recreationalPreference_Intercept                    0.33      0.12     0.10
## ethicalPreference_dominanceSum                      0.51      0.15     0.21
## ethicalPreference_Gender1                          -0.28      0.18    -0.62
## ethicalPreference_prestigeSum                      -0.12      0.14    -0.40
## ethicalPreference_leadershipSum                     0.05      0.14    -0.22
## ethicalPreference_Age                               0.16      0.09    -0.03
## ethicalPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1             -0.27      0.19    -0.65
## ethicalPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum               0.30      0.19    -0.07
## ethicalPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum            -0.03      0.19    -0.40
## financialPreference_dominanceSum                    0.27      0.16    -0.04
## financialPreference_Gender1                        -0.31      0.19    -0.67
## financialPreference_prestigeSum                    -0.00      0.15    -0.29
## financialPreference_leadershipSum                   0.05      0.14    -0.24
## financialPreference_Age                             0.01      0.10    -0.18
## financialPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1           -0.23      0.20    -0.63
## financialPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum             0.30      0.20    -0.09
## financialPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum          -0.11      0.19    -0.48
## socialPreference_dominanceSum                       0.36      0.15     0.06
## socialPreference_Gender1                           -0.40      0.18    -0.75
## socialPreference_prestigeSum                        0.12      0.14    -0.16
## socialPreference_leadershipSum                      0.06      0.14    -0.21
## socialPreference_Age                                0.01      0.10    -0.18
## socialPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1              -0.37      0.20    -0.76
## socialPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum                0.10      0.20    -0.29
## socialPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum             -0.03      0.19    -0.40
## healthAndSafetyPreference_dominanceSum              0.38      0.16     0.08
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Gender1                  -0.24      0.18    -0.60
## healthAndSafetyPreference_prestigeSum               0.03      0.15    -0.25
## healthAndSafetyPreference_leadershipSum             0.05      0.14    -0.23
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Age                       0.15      0.10    -0.04
## healthAndSafetyPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1     -0.17      0.20    -0.56
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum       0.07      0.20    -0.32
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum    -0.12      0.19    -0.49
## recreationalPreference_dominanceSum                 0.50      0.14     0.22
## recreationalPreference_Gender1                     -0.71      0.17    -1.03
## recreationalPreference_prestigeSum                 -0.24      0.13    -0.51
## recreationalPreference_leadershipSum                0.05      0.13    -0.20
## recreationalPreference_Age                          0.23      0.09     0.06
## recreationalPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1        -0.15      0.18    -0.50
## recreationalPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum          0.34      0.18    -0.01
## recreationalPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum       -0.16      0.17    -0.50
##                                                 u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## ethicalPreference_Intercept                         0.36 1.00    13119    13823
## financialPreference_Intercept                       0.39 1.00    13669    14869
## socialPreference_Intercept                          0.42 1.00    14769    14565
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Intercept                 0.35 1.00    13028    14506
## recreationalPreference_Intercept                    0.56 1.00    13895    14744
## ethicalPreference_dominanceSum                      0.81 1.00     9310    12765
## ethicalPreference_Gender1                           0.08 1.00    12844    14312
## ethicalPreference_prestigeSum                       0.16 1.00     9430    12835
## ethicalPreference_leadershipSum                     0.33 1.00    10424    13593
## ethicalPreference_Age                               0.34 1.00    12481    15151
## ethicalPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1              0.10 1.00    10037    13177
## ethicalPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum               0.69 1.00     9895    13942
## ethicalPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum             0.34 1.00    10644    13270
## financialPreference_dominanceSum                    0.58 1.00     9774    13110
## financialPreference_Gender1                         0.06 1.00    13381    14116
## financialPreference_prestigeSum                     0.29 1.00     9343    14333
## financialPreference_leadershipSum                   0.32 1.00    11166    14421
## financialPreference_Age                             0.21 1.00    12991    15113
## financialPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1            0.15 1.00    10484    14167
## financialPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum             0.69 1.00    10273    14050
## financialPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum           0.28 1.00    10908    14124
## socialPreference_dominanceSum                       0.66 1.00    10972    13551
## socialPreference_Gender1                           -0.03 1.00    14525    15184
## socialPreference_prestigeSum                        0.40 1.00    10613    14651
## socialPreference_leadershipSum                      0.33 1.00    11346    14865
## socialPreference_Age                                0.20 1.00    13844    15791
## socialPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1               0.01 1.00    11370    14420
## socialPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum                0.48 1.00    11163    13155
## socialPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum              0.35 1.00    11231    14402
## healthAndSafetyPreference_dominanceSum              0.69 1.00     9477    13082
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Gender1                   0.13 1.00    13227    15007
## healthAndSafetyPreference_prestigeSum               0.32 1.00     9490    12465
## healthAndSafetyPreference_leadershipSum             0.32 1.00    10555    13162
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Age                       0.34 1.00    12681    14726
## healthAndSafetyPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1      0.21 1.00     9663    13493
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum       0.45 1.00     9748    13792
## healthAndSafetyPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum     0.26 1.00    10209    13538
## recreationalPreference_dominanceSum                 0.78 1.00     9821    13243
## recreationalPreference_Gender1                     -0.38 1.00    13636    15059
## recreationalPreference_prestigeSum                  0.01 1.00     9349    13503
## recreationalPreference_leadershipSum                0.30 1.00    10864    13120
## recreationalPreference_Age                          0.40 1.00    13083    15523
## recreationalPreference_dominanceSum:Gender1         0.20 1.00    10395    13583
## recreationalPreference_Gender1:prestigeSum          0.69 1.00    10008    13482
## recreationalPreference_Gender1:leadershipSum        0.18 1.00    10756    13437
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##                                 Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## sigma_ethicalPreference             0.94      0.06     0.82     1.07 1.00
## sigma_financialPreference           0.97      0.07     0.85     1.11 1.00
## sigma_socialPreference              0.94      0.06     0.83     1.08 1.00
## sigma_healthAndSafetyPreference     0.96      0.07     0.84     1.10 1.00
## sigma_recreationalPreference        0.87      0.06     0.76     0.99 1.00
##                                 Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sigma_ethicalPreference            13094    14888
## sigma_financialPreference          15692    16496
## sigma_socialPreference             16920    16050
## sigma_healthAndSafetyPreference    13991    15953
## sigma_recreationalPreference       14104    15421
## 
## Residual Correlations: 
##                                                          Estimate Est.Error
## rescor(ethicalPreference,financialPreference)                0.65      0.06
## rescor(ethicalPreference,socialPreference)                   0.60      0.06
## rescor(financialPreference,socialPreference)                 0.61      0.06
## rescor(ethicalPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)          0.73      0.05
## rescor(financialPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)        0.65      0.06
## rescor(socialPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)           0.65      0.06
## rescor(ethicalPreference,recreationalPreference)             0.71      0.05
## rescor(financialPreference,recreationalPreference)           0.68      0.05
## rescor(socialPreference,recreationalPreference)              0.56      0.07
## rescor(healthAndSafetyPreference,recreationalPreference)     0.66      0.06
##                                                          l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## rescor(ethicalPreference,financialPreference)                0.53     0.75 1.00
## rescor(ethicalPreference,socialPreference)                   0.47     0.71 1.00
## rescor(financialPreference,socialPreference)                 0.48     0.72 1.00
## rescor(ethicalPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)          0.63     0.81 1.00
## rescor(financialPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)        0.53     0.75 1.00
## rescor(socialPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)           0.53     0.75 1.00
## rescor(ethicalPreference,recreationalPreference)             0.60     0.79 1.00
## rescor(financialPreference,recreationalPreference)           0.56     0.77 1.00
## rescor(socialPreference,recreationalPreference)              0.42     0.68 1.00
## rescor(healthAndSafetyPreference,recreationalPreference)     0.54     0.75 1.00
##                                                          Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## rescor(ethicalPreference,financialPreference)               14045    15133
## rescor(ethicalPreference,socialPreference)                  16020    16715
## rescor(financialPreference,socialPreference)                17174    16545
## rescor(ethicalPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)         14631    15071
## rescor(financialPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)       16068    15469
## rescor(socialPreference,healthAndSafetyPreference)          17212    15235
## rescor(ethicalPreference,recreationalPreference)            14924    15769
## rescor(financialPreference,recreationalPreference)          16687    16224
## rescor(socialPreference,recreationalPreference)             16642    16175
## rescor(healthAndSafetyPreference,recreationalPreference)    15830    15901
## 
## Draws were sampled using sample(hmc). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

HDI m3

m3_hdi <- hdi(m3, effects = "fixed", component = "conditional", ci = .95)
m3_hdi[
  sign(m3_hdi$CI_low) == sign(m3_hdi$CI_high),
  c("Parameter", "CI", "CI_low", "CI_high")
]
## Highest Density Interval
## 
## Parameter                                |        95% HDI
## ---------------------------------------------------------
## b_ethicalPreference_dominanceSum         | [ 0.22,  0.81]
## b_socialPreference_dominanceSum          | [ 0.05,  0.65]
## b_socialPreference_Gender1               | [-0.76, -0.05]
## b_healthAndSafetyPreference_dominanceSum | [ 0.08,  0.69]
## b_recreationalPreference_Intercept       | [ 0.10,  0.56]
## b_recreationalPreference_dominanceSum    | [ 0.23,  0.78]
## b_recreationalPreference_Gender1         | [-1.03, -0.38]
## b_recreationalPreference_Age             | [ 0.06,  0.40]
# Model Comparison (m2 and m3)
rstan::loo(m2, m3) # m2  better

co <- rstan::loo(m2, m3)

looic_ <- c(co$loos$m2$looic, co$loos$m3$looic)
looic_se <- c(co$loos$m2$se_looic, co$loos$m3$se_looic)
looic_elpd <- c(co$loos$m2$elpd_loo, co$loos$m3$elpd_loo)
looic_elpd_se <- c(co$loos$m2$se_elpd_loo, co$loos$m3$se_elpd_loo)

loo_table <- data.frame(looic_, looic_se, looic_elpd, looic_elpd_se, row.names = c("m2", "m3"))
loo_table
##      looic_ looic_se looic_elpd looic_elpd_se
## m2 1153.223 45.73624  -576.6114      22.86812
## m3 1175.348 45.15830  -587.6742      22.57915
bayes_R2(m2)
##                              Estimate  Est.Error       Q2.5     Q97.5
## R2ethicalPreference         0.1818593 0.05277993 0.08018318 0.2853971
## R2financialPreference       0.1168314 0.04597399 0.03637310 0.2128145
## R2socialPreference          0.1671061 0.05285828 0.06751315 0.2726679
## R2healthAndSafetyPreference 0.1414594 0.04916081 0.05141047 0.2425328
## R2recreationalPreference    0.2859518 0.05557302 0.17206987 0.3900298
bayes_R2(m3)
##                              Estimate  Est.Error       Q2.5     Q97.5
## R2ethicalPreference         0.2105040 0.05244274 0.10642322 0.3118639
## R2financialPreference       0.1497163 0.04760039 0.06257252 0.2472180
## R2socialPreference          0.2010671 0.05227597 0.10008772 0.3034595
## R2healthAndSafetyPreference 0.1621954 0.04896555 0.07063896 0.2609062
## R2recreationalPreference    0.3104758 0.05393463 0.19968937 0.4086270
# Regression m4-m5: Benefit, perception and risk taking across subdomains for DOPL motives, age and sex ----

Additive model

m4 <- brm(mvbind(riskSum, riskPerceptionSum, riskBenefitSum) ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Age + Gender,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled, backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(), save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE), iter = 5000,
  prior = c(
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(-2, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(-2, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum")
  )
)




write.csv(round(fixef(m4), 2), "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/fixef_m4.csv")
summary(m4)
##  Family: MV(gaussian, gaussian, gaussian) 
##   Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity 
## Formula: riskSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Age + Gender 
##          riskPerceptionSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Age + Gender 
##          riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum + prestigeSum + leadershipSum + Age + Gender 
##    Data: experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled (Number of observations: 107) 
##   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 5000; warmup = 2500; thin = 1;
##          total post-warmup draws = 10000
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                                 Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## riskSum_Intercept                   0.25      0.12     0.01     0.49 1.00
## riskPerceptionSum_Intercept        -0.24      0.13    -0.51     0.02 1.00
## riskBenefitSum_Intercept            0.27      0.13     0.02     0.52 1.00
## riskSum_dominanceSum                0.37      0.10     0.18     0.56 1.00
## riskSum_prestigeSum                 0.17      0.10    -0.02     0.36 1.00
## riskSum_leadershipSum              -0.01      0.10    -0.20     0.17 1.00
## riskSum_Age                         0.00      0.09    -0.17     0.18 1.00
## riskSum_Gender1                    -0.51      0.18    -0.86    -0.16 1.00
## riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum     -0.25      0.11    -0.46    -0.04 1.00
## riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum       0.21      0.11    -0.00     0.42 1.00
## riskPerceptionSum_leadershipSum     0.04      0.11    -0.17     0.24 1.00
## riskPerceptionSum_Age              -0.16      0.10    -0.36     0.04 1.00
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1           0.43      0.19     0.06     0.82 1.00
## riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum         0.22      0.10     0.02     0.43 1.00
## riskBenefitSum_prestigeSum          0.15      0.11    -0.06     0.35 1.00
## riskBenefitSum_leadershipSum       -0.03      0.10    -0.23     0.16 1.00
## riskBenefitSum_Age                  0.06      0.10    -0.13     0.26 1.00
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1             -0.60      0.19    -0.98    -0.24 1.00
##                                 Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## riskSum_Intercept                  10131     7820
## riskPerceptionSum_Intercept        12180     7590
## riskBenefitSum_Intercept           10945     8487
## riskSum_dominanceSum                9777     7771
## riskSum_prestigeSum                 9897     8546
## riskSum_leadershipSum               9723     7090
## riskSum_Age                        10191     7705
## riskSum_Gender1                    10156     7865
## riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum     11725     8381
## riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum      12653     8114
## riskPerceptionSum_leadershipSum    11137     7424
## riskPerceptionSum_Age              12729     7785
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1          12138     8084
## riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum         9152     7889
## riskBenefitSum_prestigeSum         10219     8089
## riskBenefitSum_leadershipSum        9441     8253
## riskBenefitSum_Age                 10501     7724
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1             10198     8386
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##                         Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## sigma_riskSum               0.90      0.06     0.79     1.04 1.00    10889
## sigma_riskPerceptionSum     0.99      0.07     0.86     1.14 1.00    11333
## sigma_riskBenefitSum        0.97      0.07     0.84     1.11 1.00    10477
##                         Tail_ESS
## sigma_riskSum               7825
## sigma_riskPerceptionSum     7283
## sigma_riskBenefitSum        8282
## 
## Residual Correlations: 
##                                          Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI
## rescor(riskSum,riskPerceptionSum)           -0.15      0.10    -0.33     0.04
## rescor(riskSum,riskBenefitSum)               0.51      0.07     0.36     0.65
## rescor(riskPerceptionSum,riskBenefitSum)    -0.01      0.10    -0.20     0.18
##                                          Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## rescor(riskSum,riskPerceptionSum)        1.00    11105     7404
## rescor(riskSum,riskBenefitSum)           1.00     9881     7566
## rescor(riskPerceptionSum,riskBenefitSum) 1.00    11002     7565
## 
## Draws were sampled using sample(hmc). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

HDI m4

m4_hdi <- hdi(m4, effects = "fixed", component = "conditional", ci = .95)
m4_hdi[
  sign(m4_hdi$CI_low) == sign(m4_hdi$CI_high),
  c("Parameter", "CI", "CI_low", "CI_high")
]
## Highest Density Interval
## 
## Parameter                        |        95% HDI
## -------------------------------------------------
## b_riskSum_Intercept              | [ 0.01,  0.49]
## b_riskSum_dominanceSum           | [ 0.18,  0.56]
## b_riskSum_Gender1                | [-0.85, -0.16]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum | [-0.46, -0.04]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_Gender1      | [ 0.06,  0.81]
## b_riskBenefitSum_Intercept       | [ 0.02,  0.52]
## b_riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum    | [ 0.03,  0.43]
## b_riskBenefitSum_Gender1         | [-0.97, -0.23]

m4 + DOPL motives:gender interactions

m5 <- brm(mvbind(riskSum, riskPerceptionSum, riskBenefitSum) ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age,
  data = experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled, backend = "cmdstanr", cores = parallel::detectCores(), iter = 6000, save_pars = save_pars(all = TRUE),
  prior = c(
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(-2, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "riskSum"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(2, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "riskPerceptionSum"),
    #
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "Intercept", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), class = "sigma", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Age", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(-3, 1), coef = "Gender1", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(3, 1), coef = "dominanceSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(-2, 1), coef = "leadershipSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "prestigeSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "dominanceSum:Gender1", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:prestigeSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum"),
    prior(normal(0, 1), coef = "Gender1:leadershipSum", resp = "riskBenefitSum")
  )
)



write.csv(round(fixef(m5), 2), "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/DoPL/Experiments/DoPL_Experiment_Two/Priors/fixef_m5.csv")

saveRDS(m5, "/Users/andrew/Library/CloudStorage/OneDrive-Personal/Documents/1_UoE/Research/PhD/Dissertation/RDS_Files/m5_exp_1.rds")
summary(m5)
##  Family: MV(gaussian, gaussian, gaussian) 
##   Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity
##          mu = identity; sigma = identity 
## Formula: riskSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##          riskPerceptionSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##          riskBenefitSum ~ dominanceSum * Gender + prestigeSum * Gender + leadershipSum * Gender + Age 
##    Data: experiment_dataset_analysis_scaled (Number of observations: 107) 
##   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 6000; warmup = 3000; thin = 1;
##          total post-warmup draws = 12000
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                                         Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI
## riskSum_Intercept                           0.21      0.12    -0.03     0.45
## riskPerceptionSum_Intercept                -0.23      0.13    -0.50     0.03
## riskBenefitSum_Intercept                    0.25      0.13    -0.02     0.51
## riskSum_dominanceSum                        0.66      0.15     0.37     0.94
## riskSum_Gender1                            -0.50      0.18    -0.85    -0.15
## riskSum_prestigeSum                         0.10      0.14    -0.18     0.36
## riskSum_leadershipSum                      -0.03      0.14    -0.30     0.24
## riskSum_Age                                 0.02      0.09    -0.16     0.19
## riskSum_dominanceSum:Gender1               -0.48      0.19    -0.85    -0.11
## riskSum_Gender1:prestigeSum                 0.10      0.19    -0.26     0.47
## riskSum_Gender1:leadershipSum               0.03      0.18    -0.33     0.39
## riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum             -0.23      0.16    -0.55     0.09
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1                   0.43      0.19     0.06     0.80
## riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum               0.31      0.15     0.01     0.61
## riskPerceptionSum_leadershipSum            -0.20      0.15    -0.48     0.10
## riskPerceptionSum_Age                      -0.17      0.10    -0.37     0.02
## riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum:Gender1     -0.06      0.20    -0.46     0.35
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1:prestigeSum      -0.20      0.21    -0.60     0.21
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1:leadershipSum     0.44      0.20     0.04     0.83
## riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum                 0.39      0.16     0.07     0.71
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1                     -0.60      0.19    -0.97    -0.22
## riskBenefitSum_prestigeSum                  0.02      0.15    -0.28     0.31
## riskBenefitSum_leadershipSum               -0.03      0.15    -0.32     0.26
## riskBenefitSum_Age                          0.07      0.10    -0.12     0.27
## riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum:Gender1        -0.27      0.21    -0.68     0.14
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1:prestigeSum          0.22      0.21    -0.18     0.62
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1:leadershipSum       -0.00      0.20    -0.39     0.40
##                                         Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## riskSum_Intercept                       1.00    11689     9491
## riskPerceptionSum_Intercept             1.00    14647     9197
## riskBenefitSum_Intercept                1.00    11758     9629
## riskSum_dominanceSum                    1.00     6862     8616
## riskSum_Gender1                         1.00    11082     9179
## riskSum_prestigeSum                     1.00     6867     8768
## riskSum_leadershipSum                   1.00     7725     8617
## riskSum_Age                             1.00    11683     9430
## riskSum_dominanceSum:Gender1            1.00     7054     8329
## riskSum_Gender1:prestigeSum             1.00     6976     8639
## riskSum_Gender1:leadershipSum           1.00     7754     8706
## riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum          1.00     8049     8432
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1               1.00    13880     9290
## riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum           1.00     8068     8659
## riskPerceptionSum_leadershipSum         1.00     8806     8802
## riskPerceptionSum_Age                   1.00    13916     8965
## riskPerceptionSum_dominanceSum:Gender1  1.00     8251     8659
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1:prestigeSum   1.00     8390     9066
## riskPerceptionSum_Gender1:leadershipSum 1.00     8865     9086
## riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum             1.00     7373     8347
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1                  1.00    11026     9617
## riskBenefitSum_prestigeSum              1.00     7355     8570
## riskBenefitSum_leadershipSum            1.00     7904     8782
## riskBenefitSum_Age                      1.00    11912     9862
## riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum:Gender1     1.00     7641     8907
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1:prestigeSum      1.00     7485     8284
## riskBenefitSum_Gender1:leadershipSum    1.00     7648     8959
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##                         Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS
## sigma_riskSum               0.89      0.06     0.78     1.03 1.00    10548
## sigma_riskPerceptionSum     0.97      0.07     0.84     1.12 1.00    12927
## sigma_riskBenefitSum        0.97      0.07     0.85     1.12 1.00    10847
##                         Tail_ESS
## sigma_riskSum               8696
## sigma_riskPerceptionSum     9530
## sigma_riskBenefitSum        9033
## 
## Residual Correlations: 
##                                          Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI
## rescor(riskSum,riskPerceptionSum)           -0.16      0.10    -0.35     0.03
## rescor(riskSum,riskBenefitSum)               0.51      0.07     0.36     0.65
## rescor(riskPerceptionSum,riskBenefitSum)     0.00      0.10    -0.19     0.19
##                                          Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## rescor(riskSum,riskPerceptionSum)        1.00    12579     9450
## rescor(riskSum,riskBenefitSum)           1.00    10992     8853
## rescor(riskPerceptionSum,riskBenefitSum) 1.00    13732     9142
## 
## Draws were sampled using sample(hmc). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

HDI m5

m5_hdi <- hdi(m5, effects = "fixed", component = "conditional", ci = .95)
m5_hdi[
  sign(m5_hdi$CI_low) == sign(m5_hdi$CI_high),
  c("Parameter", "CI", "CI_low", "CI_high")
]
## Highest Density Interval
## 
## Parameter                                 |        95% HDI
## ----------------------------------------------------------
## b_riskSum_dominanceSum                    | [ 0.36,  0.93]
## b_riskSum_Gender1                         | [-0.84, -0.15]
## b_riskSum_dominanceSum:Gender1            | [-0.85, -0.11]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_Gender1               | [ 0.06,  0.80]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_prestigeSum           | [ 0.01,  0.60]
## b_riskPerceptionSum_Gender1:leadershipSum | [ 0.05,  0.83]
## b_riskBenefitSum_dominanceSum             | [ 0.07,  0.71]
## b_riskBenefitSum_Gender1                  | [-0.97, -0.23]
# conditional effects plot
plot(conditional_effects(m5, resp = "riskPerceptionSum"), points = T)

# Model comparison

co2 <- rstan::loo(m4, m5)

looic_2 <- c(co2$loos$m4$looic, co2$loos$m5$looic)
## Warning: Accessing looic using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in a
## future release. Please extract the looic estimate from the 'estimates' component
## instead.

## Warning: Accessing looic using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in a
## future release. Please extract the looic estimate from the 'estimates' component
## instead.
looic_2_se <- c(co2$loos$m4$se_looic, co2$loos$m5$se_looic)
## Warning: Accessing se_looic using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in
## a future release. Please extract the se_looic estimate from the 'estimates'
## component instead.
## Warning: Accessing se_looic using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in
## a future release. Please extract the se_looic estimate from the 'estimates'
## component instead.
looic_elpd_2 <- c(co2$loos$m4$elpd_loo, co2$loos$m5$elpd_loo)
## Warning: Accessing elpd_loo using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in
## a future release. Please extract the elpd_loo estimate from the 'estimates'
## component instead.
## Warning: Accessing elpd_loo using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in
## a future release. Please extract the elpd_loo estimate from the 'estimates'
## component instead.
looic_elpd_2_se <- c(co2$loos$m4$se_elpd_loo, co2$loos$m5$se_elpd_loo)
## Warning: Accessing se_elpd_loo using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in
## a future release. Please extract the se_elpd_loo estimate from the 'estimates'
## component instead.
## Warning: Accessing se_elpd_loo using '$' is deprecated and will be removed in
## a future release. Please extract the se_elpd_loo estimate from the 'estimates'
## component instead.
loo_table2 <- data.frame(looic_2, looic_2_se, looic_elpd_2, looic_elpd_2_se, row.names = c("m4", "m5"))
loo_table2
##     looic_2 looic_2_se looic_elpd_2 looic_elpd_2_se
## m4 862.6091   32.31804    -431.3046        16.15902
## m5 867.4774   31.26629    -433.7387        15.63314
bayes_R2(m4)
##                      Estimate  Est.Error       Q2.5     Q97.5
## R2riskSum           0.2992012 0.05797203 0.18180270 0.4045294
## R2riskPerceptionSum 0.1503215 0.05213345 0.05651509 0.2566861
## R2riskBenefitSum    0.2016543 0.05547717 0.09403851 0.3077344
bayes_R2(m5)
##                      Estimate  Est.Error       Q2.5     Q97.5
## R2riskSum           0.3414139 0.05405201 0.22879562 0.4405954
## R2riskPerceptionSum 0.2003191 0.05350717 0.09811141 0.3057656
## R2riskBenefitSum    0.2272865 0.05433600 0.12036754 0.3313134
pp_check(m5, resp = "riskSum", ndraws = 1000)

pp_check(m5, resp = "riskPerceptionSum", ndraws = 1000)

pp_check(m5, resp = "riskBenefitSum", ndraws = 1000)