Chapter 1 Itβs Not Just about Forecasting
The following are the key points in the chapter. Elaborate on each
point in at least 30 words.
- Understanding economics can help you to diagnose the causes of
increases or decreases in sales volumes and costs.
- Economics plays a role in diagnosing causes of increasing and
decreasing sale volumes and costs because it involves deposit growth,
cost increase, and the market. Economics helps make decisions that need
to be made to prevent money loss and increase sales with the product at
hand. Also as the market fluctuates, cost for supplies can change and
understanding how to budget helps prevent overspending.
- Business decisions are about the future and must rely on a view of
the future.
- Business decisions are about the future because the past and
present can be predictors of the future for a business, but the process
entails more than history. Understanding what customers like and how to
produce those products can help structure a business with a promising
future. Forecast accuracy helps business predict the growth of a
domestic product or any product that is needed for a business and can be
turned into a numerical point of view.
- Economics can help you form a more accurate vision of the future,
compared to other common methods of forecasting.
- The economy has the power to redirect a businesses future. When
referring to a bank, as discussed in Chapter 1, coming out of a
recession can create low commercial loan volume and can last for a year
or two. This assumption has been created due to past recessions and has
a steady outcome where the volume increases out of the blue. Preparing
for a bump in a business comes from understanding the economy.
- As a business manager, you should focus more on the broad magnitudes
of changes rather than specific numbers.
- Broad magnitudes of change helps a business manager understand
the overview of patterns rather than taking the time to focus on
specific numbers. Looking at patterns from other similar companies can
help a manager understand what types of change could be possible for
their own company as well. Specific numbers are not the whole picture
and making it a point to dive deeper into overall numbers of a business
is crucial.