Introduction

The main purpose of the assignment is to loading data into a data frame.The Presidential Primary Polls data from Polls data set is used here in this regard.The Presidential Primary Polls files contain data since the most recent election. Link to the data is https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv. After analyzing the data, the presidential candidates who achieved more than 55% vote as per population support in different states will be identified.

Load libraries

Required libraries

library(dplyr)
library(magrittr)
library(RCurl)

Import file as CSV

Data has header row so we must indicate “header=T”

x <- getURL("https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv")
df<-data.frame(read.csv(text=x, header=T))

Selection of Variables

Check column headers

df1=df %>% select(poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,pollster_rating_id,fte_grade,methodology,state,population,subpopulation,sample_size,question_id,cycle,office_type,stage,party,answer,candidate_id,candidate_name,pct)

head(df1)
##   poll_id pollster_id pollster pollster_rating_id fte_grade methodology
## 1   79907         568   YouGov                391        B+      Online
## 2   79907         568   YouGov                391        B+      Online
## 3   79907         568   YouGov                391        B+      Online
## 4   79907         568   YouGov                391        B+      Online
## 5   79907         568   YouGov                391        B+      Online
## 6   79907         568   YouGov                391        B+      Online
##           state population subpopulation sample_size question_id cycle
## 1 Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203  2024
## 2 Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203  2024
## 3 Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203  2024
## 4 Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203  2024
## 5 Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203  2024
## 6 Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203  2024
##      office_type   stage party        answer candidate_id
## 1 U.S. President primary   DEM         Biden        19368
## 2 U.S. President primary   DEM        Harris        16661
## 3 U.S. President primary   DEM       Sanders        19238
## 4 U.S. President primary   DEM     Buttigieg        16662
## 5 U.S. President primary   DEM        Warren        19237
## 6 U.S. President primary   DEM Ocasio-Cortez        16664
##             candidate_name pct
## 1                Joe Biden  22
## 2            Kamala Harris   9
## 3          Bernard Sanders  12
## 4           Pete Buttigieg  17
## 5         Elizabeth Warren  15
## 6 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez   6

Rename column headers

Check renamed column headers

df1 %<>% rename(fivethirtyeight_grade=fte_grade,percentage=pct)
head(df1)
##   poll_id pollster_id pollster pollster_rating_id fivethirtyeight_grade
## 1   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 2   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 3   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 4   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 5   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 6   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
##   methodology         state population subpopulation sample_size question_id
## 1      Online Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203
## 2      Online Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203
## 3      Online Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203
## 4      Online Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203
## 5      Online Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203
## 6      Online Massachusetts         lv             d         500      160203
##   cycle    office_type   stage party        answer candidate_id
## 1  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM         Biden        19368
## 2  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM        Harris        16661
## 3  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM       Sanders        19238
## 4  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM     Buttigieg        16662
## 5  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM        Warren        19237
## 6  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM Ocasio-Cortez        16664
##             candidate_name percentage
## 1                Joe Biden         22
## 2            Kamala Harris          9
## 3          Bernard Sanders         12
## 4           Pete Buttigieg         17
## 5         Elizabeth Warren         15
## 6 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez          6

Transformation of abbreviated values

Check transformed values in columns

df1 %<>% mutate(population=case_when(population=="lv"~"likely voters",
                                          population=="rv"~"registered voters",
                                          population=="a"~"all adults",
                                          population=="v"~"voters"),
             subpopulation=case_when(subpopulation=="r"~"republican",
                                     subpopulation=="d"~"democratic" ))
head(df1)
##   poll_id pollster_id pollster pollster_rating_id fivethirtyeight_grade
## 1   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 2   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 3   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 4   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 5   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
## 6   79907         568   YouGov                391                    B+
##   methodology         state    population subpopulation sample_size question_id
## 1      Online Massachusetts likely voters    democratic         500      160203
## 2      Online Massachusetts likely voters    democratic         500      160203
## 3      Online Massachusetts likely voters    democratic         500      160203
## 4      Online Massachusetts likely voters    democratic         500      160203
## 5      Online Massachusetts likely voters    democratic         500      160203
## 6      Online Massachusetts likely voters    democratic         500      160203
##   cycle    office_type   stage party        answer candidate_id
## 1  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM         Biden        19368
## 2  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM        Harris        16661
## 3  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM       Sanders        19238
## 4  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM     Buttigieg        16662
## 5  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM        Warren        19237
## 6  2024 U.S. President primary   DEM Ocasio-Cortez        16664
##             candidate_name percentage
## 1                Joe Biden         22
## 2            Kamala Harris          9
## 3          Bernard Sanders         12
## 4           Pete Buttigieg         17
## 5         Elizabeth Warren         15
## 6 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez          6

Select a subset by column and row

prepare a table showing population and party wise candidate name who got over 55% vote in presidential primary polls

table1<-subset(df1,percentage>55,select=c(state,population,party,candidate_name,percentage))
table1
##               state        population party candidate_name percentage
## 198                 registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       57.0
## 214        Virginia        all adults   REP   Donald Trump       62.0
## 298           Texas registered voters   REP   Ron DeSantis       58.0
## 312                 registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       56.0
## 552                     likely voters   DEM      Joe Biden       56.0
## 554                 registered voters   DEM      Joe Biden       56.0
## 556                     likely voters   DEM  Kamala Harris       56.0
## 560                     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       56.0
## 562                 registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       59.0
## 580                        all adults   REP   Donald Trump       64.0
## 582                        all adults   REP   Donald Trump       79.0
## 595         Florida registered voters   REP   Ron DeSantis       61.0
## 664                 registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       56.0
## 680                     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       55.4
## 688                        all adults   REP   Donald Trump       61.0
## 690                 registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       65.0
## 715                     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       59.0
## 931           Texas registered voters   REP   Ron DeSantis       57.0
## 1127          Texas     likely voters   REP   Ron DeSantis       56.0
## 1157                    likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       57.0
## 1228                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       58.0
## 1306                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       60.0
## 1308                    likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       64.0
## 1310                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       68.0
## 1437                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       59.0
## 1657                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       63.0
## 1897                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       57.0
## 1916                registered voters   DEM  Kamala Harris       56.0
## 1922                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       57.0
## 2149                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       60.0
## 2165                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       67.0
## 2413                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       62.0
## 2503                    likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       59.1
## 2547        Florida     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       58.0
## 2550        Florida     likely voters   DEM      Joe Biden       60.0
## 2551                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       58.0
## 2566                    likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       59.0
## 2612                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       66.8
## 2719                       all adults   REP   Donald Trump       58.0
## 2799                registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       58.0
## 2867                    likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       57.0
## 3075  New Hampshire     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       62.0
## 3104           Iowa registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       61.0
## 3231        Florida     likely voters   REP   Ron DeSantis       64.0
## 3309        Georgia     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       73.0
## 3321                    likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       56.0
## 3350  New Hampshire registered voters   REP   Donald Trump       56.5
## 3369 North Carolina     likely voters   REP   Donald Trump       75.6

Conclusion

Presidential Primary Polls data is used here to identify population support and party wise candidate names who achieved more than 55% vote in different states in Presidential Primary Polls.