A Precarious but Inseparable Triangle:
CGE Analysis on the U.S. and China
if Taiwan joins RCEP

Jeffrey Kuo

The George Washington University


2022 North America Taiwan Studies Association (NATSA) Annual Meeting
E-mail:
Webpage: https://jeffjkuo.github.io
Slides: https://rpubs.com/jeffkuo/NATSA2022

Saturday, July 9 2022

Outline

  1. Introduction
  2. Model and Data
  3. Policy Shock
  4. Graphical Results
  5. Future Work

Introduction

GTAP

RunGTAP

GTAP System

RunGTAP

RunGTAP is a simulator of the (trade) world.

Rehoboam (Westworld III, HBO)

RunGTAP Interface

RunGTAP Interface

RunGTAP Setting

GTAP Model Setting - Shock Experiment

Policy Shock - Set Target Import Tariff = 0

GTAP Model Simulation Results

GDP Change

Welfare Change (Millions)

Exporting Volume Change

Result of Joining RCEP

Result of Joining RCEP

Conclusion & Future Work & Thank You