Exploratory Analysis of the Camden borough in London for selected population variables
Before modelling dependency, let’s check how Qualification and White-British are spatially connected using Rook’s case neighbours for the Global Moran’s test. A rule of thumb is a spatial autocorrelation higher than 0.3 and lower than -0.3 is meaningful
Moran I test under randomisation
data: OA.Census$Qualification
weights: listw
Moran I statistic standard deviate = 24.292, p-value
< 2.2e-16
alternative hypothesis: greater
sample estimates:
Moran I statistic Expectation Variance
0.5448699398 -0.0013368984 0.0005055733
Moran I test under randomisation
data: OA.Census$White_British
weights: listw
Moran I statistic standard deviate = 24.157, p-value
< 2.2e-16
alternative hypothesis: greater
sample estimates:
Moran I statistic Expectation Variance
0.5416482143 -0.0013368984 0.0005052236
The Moran I statistic is 0.54, so our Qualification variable is positively autocorrelated in Camden. The same goes for the White-British variable, with a statistic equal to 0.542. In other words, the data does spatially cluster for these two variables. The p-value is also a measure of the statistical significance of the model.
Moran Scatterplot
The maps showed that both Qualification and White-British rates appear to be clustered in Camden. To explore this fact further, a Moran scatterplot can be used. And, as expected, both scatterplots show a fairly strong positive association.
Given that, from the map, it is possible to observe the variations in autocorrelation across space and the test for spatial autocorrelation is fairly strong, let’s plot the p-values to observe variances in significance across Camden.
It is apparent that there is a statistically significant geographic pattern to the clustering of both our qualification and the White-British variables in Camden.