Series Temporales

Carga de Datos

IVAE_03_22 <-
  read_excel(
    "C:/Users/Keiry/Documents/Eco22/IVAE_22_03.xlsx",
    col_names = FALSE,
    skip = 6,
    n_max = 10
  )
IVAE_03_22[1:10, 1:10]
## # A tibble: 10 x 10
##    ...1                     ...2  ...3  ...4  ...5  ...6  ...7  ...8  ...9 ...10
##    <chr>                   <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
##  1   1   IVAE               86.7  80.8  87.2  83.9  91.4  93.5  86.4  86.7  87.6
##  2   2   Agricultura, Gan~  86.8  70.2  65.2  67.4 138.  153.   75.6 137.  110. 
##  3   3   Índice de Produc~  86.6  85.4 100.   91.6  91.2  89.7  86.8  81.2  86.6
##  4   4   Construcción       66.6  76.9  82.6  82.6  69.0  80.8  82.5  67.3  74.5
##  5   5   Comercio, Transp~  91.0  74.8  77.8  80.0  89.6  90.6  81.9  82.3  80.1
##  6   6   Información y Co~  94.6  76.9  81.9  81.0  92.3  91.9  96.9  81.3 104. 
##  7   7   Actividades Fina~  97.4  85.7  94.9  88.9  92.6  91.6  92.1  94.2  92.6
##  8   8   Actividades Inmo~  96.8  95.2  94.6  93.9  94.0  94.6  95.3  95.9  96.4
##  9   9   Actividades Prof~  80.7  76.9  81.0  77.2  86.1  87.8  82.9  75.9  80.4
## 10   10   Actividades de ~  80.8  83.0  91.3  83.9  84.9  86.7  90.3  87.7  88.4

IVAE

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[1, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)

#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "IVAE, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Agricultura, Ganadería, Silvicultura y Pesca

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[2, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Agricultura, Ganadería, Silvicultura y Pesca, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Índice de Producción Industrial

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[3, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Índice de Producción Industrial, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Construcción

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[4, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Construcción, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Comercio, Transporte y Almacenamiento, Actividades de Alojamiento y de Servicio

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[5, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Comercio, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Información y Comunicaciones

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[6, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Información y Comunicaciones, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Actividades Financieras y de Seguros

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[7, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Actividades Financieras y de Seguros, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Actividades Inmobiliarias

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[8, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Actividades Inmobiliarias, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Actividades Profesionales, Científicas, Técnicas, Administrativas, de Apoyo y Otros

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[9, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Actividades Profesionales, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)

Actividades de Administración Pública y Defensa, Enseñanza, Salud y Asistencia Social

#Carga de datos
data.ivae <-
  pivot_longer(
    data = IVAE_03_22[10, ],
    names_to = "vars",
    cols = 2:160,
    values_to = "indice"
  ) %>% select("indice")
data.ivae.ts <- data.ivae %>% ts(start = c(2009, 1), frequency = 12)
#Tendencia Ciclo
descomposicion_aditiva <- decompose(data.ivae.ts, type = "additive")
ST <- descomposicion_aditiva$x
TC <- descomposicion_aditiva$trend
autoplot(ST,
         main = "Actividades de Administración Pública, El Salvador 2009-2022[marzo]",
         xlab = "Años/Meses",
         ylab = "Indice") +
  autolayer(TC)