You can set the number of classifications for a KNN classifier, but KNN regression discovers them as it goes.
(a) Produce a scatterplot matrix which includes all of the variables in the data set.
library(ISLR)
pairs(Auto)
(b) Compute the matrix of correlations between the variables using the function cor(). You will need to exclude the name variable, cor() which is qualitative.
cor(Auto[,-9])
## mpg cylinders displacement horsepower weight
## mpg 1.0000000 -0.7776175 -0.8051269 -0.7784268 -0.8322442
## cylinders -0.7776175 1.0000000 0.9508233 0.8429834 0.8975273
## displacement -0.8051269 0.9508233 1.0000000 0.8972570 0.9329944
## horsepower -0.7784268 0.8429834 0.8972570 1.0000000 0.8645377
## weight -0.8322442 0.8975273 0.9329944 0.8645377 1.0000000
## acceleration 0.4233285 -0.5046834 -0.5438005 -0.6891955 -0.4168392
## year 0.5805410 -0.3456474 -0.3698552 -0.4163615 -0.3091199
## origin 0.5652088 -0.5689316 -0.6145351 -0.4551715 -0.5850054
## acceleration year origin
## mpg 0.4233285 0.5805410 0.5652088
## cylinders -0.5046834 -0.3456474 -0.5689316
## displacement -0.5438005 -0.3698552 -0.6145351
## horsepower -0.6891955 -0.4163615 -0.4551715
## weight -0.4168392 -0.3091199 -0.5850054
## acceleration 1.0000000 0.2903161 0.2127458
## year 0.2903161 1.0000000 0.1815277
## origin 0.2127458 0.1815277 1.0000000
(c) Use the lm() function to perform a multiple linear regression with mpg as the response and all other variables except name as the predictors. Use the summary() function to print the results. Comment on the output.
mpg.lm <- lm(mpg ~ . - name, data = Auto)
summary(mpg.lm)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = mpg ~ . - name, data = Auto)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -9.5903 -2.1565 -0.1169 1.8690 13.0604
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) -17.218435 4.644294 -3.707 0.00024 ***
## cylinders -0.493376 0.323282 -1.526 0.12780
## displacement 0.019896 0.007515 2.647 0.00844 **
## horsepower -0.016951 0.013787 -1.230 0.21963
## weight -0.006474 0.000652 -9.929 < 2e-16 ***
## acceleration 0.080576 0.098845 0.815 0.41548
## year 0.750773 0.050973 14.729 < 2e-16 ***
## origin 1.426141 0.278136 5.127 4.67e-07 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 3.328 on 384 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.8215, Adjusted R-squared: 0.8182
## F-statistic: 252.4 on 7 and 384 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
What does the coefficient for the year variable suggest?
coef(mpg.lm)[7]
## year
## 0.7507727
(d) Use the plot() function to produce diagnostic plots of the linear regression fit. Comment on any problems you see with the fit.
plot(mpg.lm)
Do the residual plots suggest any unusually large
outliers?
There are definitely some outliers near the top right of the
graph.
(e) Use the * and : symbols to fit linear regression models with
interaction effects. Do any interactions appear to be statistically
significant?
mpg.star.lm <- lm(formula = mpg ~ . * ., data = Auto[, -9])
summary(mpg.star.lm)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = mpg ~ . * ., data = Auto[, -9])
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -7.6303 -1.4481 0.0596 1.2739 11.1386
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 3.548e+01 5.314e+01 0.668 0.50475
## cylinders 6.989e+00 8.248e+00 0.847 0.39738
## displacement -4.785e-01 1.894e-01 -2.527 0.01192 *
## horsepower 5.034e-01 3.470e-01 1.451 0.14769
## weight 4.133e-03 1.759e-02 0.235 0.81442
## acceleration -5.859e+00 2.174e+00 -2.696 0.00735 **
## year 6.974e-01 6.097e-01 1.144 0.25340
## origin -2.090e+01 7.097e+00 -2.944 0.00345 **
## cylinders:displacement -3.383e-03 6.455e-03 -0.524 0.60051
## cylinders:horsepower 1.161e-02 2.420e-02 0.480 0.63157
## cylinders:weight 3.575e-04 8.955e-04 0.399 0.69000
## cylinders:acceleration 2.779e-01 1.664e-01 1.670 0.09584 .
## cylinders:year -1.741e-01 9.714e-02 -1.793 0.07389 .
## cylinders:origin 4.022e-01 4.926e-01 0.816 0.41482
## displacement:horsepower -8.491e-05 2.885e-04 -0.294 0.76867
## displacement:weight 2.472e-05 1.470e-05 1.682 0.09342 .
## displacement:acceleration -3.479e-03 3.342e-03 -1.041 0.29853
## displacement:year 5.934e-03 2.391e-03 2.482 0.01352 *
## displacement:origin 2.398e-02 1.947e-02 1.232 0.21875
## horsepower:weight -1.968e-05 2.924e-05 -0.673 0.50124
## horsepower:acceleration -7.213e-03 3.719e-03 -1.939 0.05325 .
## horsepower:year -5.838e-03 3.938e-03 -1.482 0.13916
## horsepower:origin 2.233e-03 2.930e-02 0.076 0.93931
## weight:acceleration 2.346e-04 2.289e-04 1.025 0.30596
## weight:year -2.245e-04 2.127e-04 -1.056 0.29182
## weight:origin -5.789e-04 1.591e-03 -0.364 0.71623
## acceleration:year 5.562e-02 2.558e-02 2.174 0.03033 *
## acceleration:origin 4.583e-01 1.567e-01 2.926 0.00365 **
## year:origin 1.393e-01 7.399e-02 1.882 0.06062 .
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 2.695 on 363 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.8893, Adjusted R-squared: 0.8808
## F-statistic: 104.2 on 28 and 363 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
(a) Fit a multiple regression model to predict Sales using Price, Urban, and US.
sales.lm <- lm(Sales ~ Price + Urban + US, data = Carseats)
summary(sales.lm)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Sales ~ Price + Urban + US, data = Carseats)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -6.9206 -1.6220 -0.0564 1.5786 7.0581
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 13.043469 0.651012 20.036 < 2e-16 ***
## Price -0.054459 0.005242 -10.389 < 2e-16 ***
## UrbanYes -0.021916 0.271650 -0.081 0.936
## USYes 1.200573 0.259042 4.635 4.86e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 2.472 on 396 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.2393, Adjusted R-squared: 0.2335
## F-statistic: 41.52 on 3 and 396 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
(b) Provide an interpretation of each coefficient in the model. Price: -0.054 means that for every single increase in price, there is a 5.4% reduction in sales. UrbanYes: -0.021 means that there are 2.1% fewer sales in Urban areas than rural. USYes: 1.2 mean that there are 1200% more sales in US stores than International. But this is a qualitative variable.
(c) Write out the model in equation form, being careful to handle the qualitative variables properly.
(d) For which of the predictors can you reject the null
hypothesis Price and USYes
(e) On the basis of your response to the previous question, fit
a smaller model that only uses the predictors for which there is
evidence of association with the outcome.
small.sales.lm <- lm(Sales ~ Price + US, data = Carseats)
(f) How well do the models in (a) and (e) fit the data?
summary(small.sales.lm)
##
## Call:
## lm(formula = Sales ~ Price + US, data = Carseats)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -6.9269 -1.6286 -0.0574 1.5766 7.0515
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 13.03079 0.63098 20.652 < 2e-16 ***
## Price -0.05448 0.00523 -10.416 < 2e-16 ***
## USYes 1.19964 0.25846 4.641 4.71e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 2.469 on 397 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared: 0.2393, Adjusted R-squared: 0.2354
## F-statistic: 62.43 on 2 and 397 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16
(g) Using the model from (e), obtain 95 % confidence intervals for the coefficient(s).
confint(small.sales.lm, level = 0.95)
## 2.5 % 97.5 %
## (Intercept) 11.79032020 14.27126531
## Price -0.06475984 -0.04419543
## USYes 0.69151957 1.70776632
(a) Recall that the coefficient estimate βˆ for the linear regression of Y onto X without an intercept is given by (3.38). Under what circumstance is the coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y the same as the coefficient estimate for the regression of Y onto X?
(b) Generate an example in R with 100 observations in which the coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y is different from the coefficient estimate for the regression of Y onto X.
x_vals <- rnorm(100)
y_vals <- rnorm(100, mean = 2)
x_Coef <- sum(x_vals^2)
y_Coef <- sum(y_vals^2)
x_Coef
## [1] 88.75809
y_Coef
## [1] 484.9464
(c) Generate an example in R with n = 100 observations in which the coefficient estimate for the regression of X onto Y is the same as the coefficient estimate for the regression of Y onto X. Any set of observations where each observation is on the line y=x will satisfy this condition. **** **** **** ****