library(WDI)
## Warning: package 'WDI' was built under R version 4.1.3
df = WDI(indicator=c(arz='AG.LND.TOTL.K2', orm='AG.LND.FRST.K2' ), country=c('TR'), start=1992, end=2020)
library(dynlm)
## Warning: package 'dynlm' was built under R version 4.1.3
## Zorunlu paket yükleniyor: zoo
##
## Attaching package: 'zoo'
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
##
## as.Date, as.Date.numeric
df.ts <- ts(df, start=c(1992), end=c(2020),frequency=1)
df.ts<-df.ts[,c("arz","orm")]
plot(df.ts[,"arz"], ylab="arazialanı")
plot(df.ts[,"orm"], ylab="ormanalanı")
gecikmeliorm <- data.frame(cbind(df.ts[,"orm"], lag(df.ts[,"orm"],-1 )))
names(gecikmeliorm) <- c("orm","orm1gec")
head(gecikmeliorm)
## orm orm1gec
## 1 198564.5 NA
## 2 198929.4 198564.5
## 3 199294.3 198929.4
## 4 199659.1 199294.3
## 5 200024.0 199659.1
## 6 200388.9 200024.0
acf(df.ts[,"orm"])
gecikmeliarz <- data.frame(cbind(df.ts[,"arz"], lag(df.ts[,"arz"],-1 )))
names(gecikmeliarz) <- c("arz","arz1gec")
head(gecikmeliarz)
## arz arz1gec
## 1 769630 NA
## 2 769630 769630
## 3 769630 769630
## 4 769630 769630
## 5 769630 769630
## 6 769630 769630
arazialanı <- df.ts[,"arz"]
ormanalanı <- df.ts[,"orm"]
büyüme.reg <- dynlm(ormanalanı~arazialanı)
summary(büyüme.reg)
##
## Time series regression with "ts" data:
## Start = 1992, End = 2020
##
## Call:
## dynlm(formula = ormanalanı ~ arazialanı)
##
## Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -9462.7 -6908.6 -935.4 6086.9 14176.3
##
## Coefficients: (1 not defined because of singularities)
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 208027 1366 152.3 <2e-16 ***
## arazialanı NA NA NA NA
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Residual standard error: 7355 on 28 degrees of freedom
uhat <- resid(büyüme.reg)
plot(uhat)
acf(uhat)
library(lmtest)
bgtest(büyüme.reg, order=1, type="F")
##
## Breusch-Godfrey test for serial correlation of order up to 1
##
## data: büyüme.reg
## LM test = 348.12, df1 = 1, df2 = 26, p-value < 2.2e-16
library(lmtest)
bgtest(büyüme.reg, order=1, type="Chisq")
##
## Breusch-Godfrey test for serial correlation of order up to 1
##
## data: büyüme.reg
## LM test = 26.985, df = 1, p-value = 2.051e-07
library(sandwich)
## Warning: package 'sandwich' was built under R version 4.1.3
coeftest(büyüme.reg, vcov.=vcovHAC(büyüme.reg))
##
## t test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 208027 2203 94.428 < 2.2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
coeftest(büyüme.reg, vcov.=NeweyWest(büyüme.reg))
##
## t test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 208027.3 9461.1 21.988 < 2.2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
coeftest(büyüme.reg, vcov.=kernHAC(büyüme.reg))
##
## t test of coefficients:
##
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 208027 9272 22.436 < 2.2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
```