Model Training Overview

Combined CNN predictions and AUCs

Conditional distribution plots

Regressing matched-CNN predictions on covariates

Has matched-training orthogonalized the CNN predictions?
Dependent variable:
Singelhead-0.1 Matched Detention P-hat Singelhead-0.2 Matched Detention P-hat Baseline Detention P-hat
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15)
Age -0.0005*** -0.0004*** -0.00000 -0.00001 0.001*** 0.001***
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0002) (0.0002)
Skin-Tone -0.500*** -0.247** -0.003 -0.032 -0.766*** -0.625***
(0.060) (0.112) (0.046) (0.085) (0.097) (0.169)
Female -0.004 0.003 0.012*** 0.013*** -0.105*** -0.101***
(0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.005) (0.005)
White -0.022*** -0.014*** 0.00001 -0.001 -0.026*** 0.009
(0.002) (0.004) (0.002) (0.003) (0.004) (0.007)
Unknown Race 0.017** 0.023*** -0.002 -0.001 0.026** 0.039***
(0.008) (0.008) (0.006) (0.006) (0.013) (0.013)
Asian 0.005 0.010 -0.012 -0.010 0.010 0.024
(0.023) (0.024) (0.018) (0.018) (0.038) (0.036)
Constant 0.526*** 0.525*** 0.512*** 0.518*** 0.534*** 0.500*** 0.500*** 0.498*** 0.500*** 0.499*** 0.254*** 0.293*** 0.288*** 0.280*** 0.279***
(0.003) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.004) (0.003) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.003) (0.005) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.006)
Observations 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401 3,401
Adjusted R2 0.006 0.020 0.0002 0.027 0.031 -0.0003 -0.0003 0.007 -0.001 0.006 0.003 0.018 0.125 0.014 0.136
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01