Some define statistics as the field that focuses on turning information into knowledge. The first step in that process is to summarize and describe the raw information – the data. In this lab we explore flights, specifically a random sample of domestic flights that departed from the three major New York City airports in 2013. We will generate simple graphical and numerical summaries of data on these flights and explore delay times. Since this is a large data set, along the way you’ll also learn the indispensable skills of data processing and subsetting.
In this lab, we will explore and visualize the data using the tidyverse suite of packages. The data can be found in the companion package for OpenIntro labs, openintro.
Let’s load the packages.
library(tidyverse)
## -- Attaching packages --------------------------------------- tidyverse 1.3.1 --
## v ggplot2 3.3.5 v purrr 0.3.4
## v tibble 3.1.6 v dplyr 1.0.7
## v tidyr 1.2.0 v stringr 1.4.0
## v readr 2.1.2 v forcats 0.5.1
## -- Conflicts ------------------------------------------ tidyverse_conflicts() --
## x dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
## x dplyr::lag() masks stats::lag()
library(openintro)
## Loading required package: airports
## Loading required package: cherryblossom
## Loading required package: usdata
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) is a statistical agency that is a part of the Research and Innovative Technology Administration (RITA). As its name implies, BTS collects and makes transportation data available, such as the flights data we will be working with in this lab.
First, we’ll view the nycflights data frame. Type the following in your console to load the data:
data(nycflights)
summary(nycflights)
## year month day dep_time
## Min. :2013 Min. : 1.000 Min. : 1.00 Min. : 1
## 1st Qu.:2013 1st Qu.: 4.000 1st Qu.: 8.00 1st Qu.: 908
## Median :2013 Median : 7.000 Median :16.00 Median :1358
## Mean :2013 Mean : 6.576 Mean :15.78 Mean :1349
## 3rd Qu.:2013 3rd Qu.:10.000 3rd Qu.:23.00 3rd Qu.:1744
## Max. :2013 Max. :12.000 Max. :31.00 Max. :2400
## dep_delay arr_time arr_delay carrier
## Min. : -21.00 Min. : 1 Min. : -73.000 Length:32735
## 1st Qu.: -5.00 1st Qu.:1106 1st Qu.: -17.000 Class :character
## Median : -2.00 Median :1537 Median : -5.000 Mode :character
## Mean : 12.71 Mean :1503 Mean : 7.101
## 3rd Qu.: 11.00 3rd Qu.:1939 3rd Qu.: 14.000
## Max. :1301.00 Max. :2400 Max. :1272.000
## tailnum flight origin dest
## Length:32735 Min. : 1 Length:32735 Length:32735
## Class :character 1st Qu.: 550 Class :character Class :character
## Mode :character Median :1473 Mode :character Mode :character
## Mean :1948
## 3rd Qu.:3416
## Max. :6181
## air_time distance hour minute
## Min. : 22.0 Min. : 94 Min. : 0.00 Min. : 0.00
## 1st Qu.: 82.0 1st Qu.: 502 1st Qu.: 9.00 1st Qu.:16.00
## Median :129.0 Median : 888 Median :13.00 Median :32.00
## Mean :150.4 Mean :1046 Mean :13.17 Mean :31.82
## 3rd Qu.:191.0 3rd Qu.:1391 3rd Qu.:17.00 3rd Qu.:49.00
## Max. :686.0 Max. :4983 Max. :24.00 Max. :59.00
The data set nycflights that shows up in your workspace is a data matrix, with each row representing an observation and each column representing a variable. R calls this data format a data frame, which is a term that will be used throughout the labs. For this data set, each observation is a single flight.
To view the names of the variables, type the command
names(nycflights)
## [1] "year" "month" "day" "dep_time" "dep_delay" "arr_time"
## [7] "arr_delay" "carrier" "tailnum" "flight" "origin" "dest"
## [13] "air_time" "distance" "hour" "minute"
This returns the names of the variables in this data frame. The codebook (description of the variables) can be accessed by pulling up the help file:
?nycflights
## starting httpd help server ... done
One of the variables refers to the carrier (i.e. airline) of the flight, which is coded according to the following system.
carrier: Two letter carrier abbreviation. 9E: Endeavor Air Inc. AA: American Airlines Inc. AS: Alaska Airlines Inc. B6: JetBlue Airways DL: Delta Air Lines Inc. EV: ExpressJet Airlines Inc. F9: Frontier Airlines Inc. FL: AirTran Airways Corporation HA: Hawaiian Airlines Inc. MQ: Envoy Air OO: SkyWest Airlines Inc. UA: United Air Lines Inc. US: US Airways Inc. VX: Virgin America WN: Southwest Airlines Co. YV: Mesa Airlines Inc. Remember that you can use glimpse to take a quick peek at your data to understand its contents better.
glimpse(nycflights)
## Rows: 32,735
## Columns: 16
## $ year <int> 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, ~
## $ month <int> 6, 5, 12, 5, 7, 1, 12, 8, 9, 4, 6, 11, 4, 3, 10, 1, 2, 8, 10~
## $ day <int> 30, 7, 8, 14, 21, 1, 9, 13, 26, 30, 17, 22, 26, 25, 21, 23, ~
## $ dep_time <int> 940, 1657, 859, 1841, 1102, 1817, 1259, 1920, 725, 1323, 940~
## $ dep_delay <dbl> 15, -3, -1, -4, -3, -3, 14, 85, -10, 62, 5, 5, -2, 115, -4, ~
## $ arr_time <int> 1216, 2104, 1238, 2122, 1230, 2008, 1617, 2032, 1027, 1549, ~
## $ arr_delay <dbl> -4, 10, 11, -34, -8, 3, 22, 71, -8, 60, -4, -2, 22, 91, -6, ~
## $ carrier <chr> "VX", "DL", "DL", "DL", "9E", "AA", "WN", "B6", "AA", "EV", ~
## $ tailnum <chr> "N626VA", "N3760C", "N712TW", "N914DL", "N823AY", "N3AXAA", ~
## $ flight <int> 407, 329, 422, 2391, 3652, 353, 1428, 1407, 2279, 4162, 20, ~
## $ origin <chr> "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "LGA", "LGA", "EWR", "JFK", "LGA~
## $ dest <chr> "LAX", "SJU", "LAX", "TPA", "ORF", "ORD", "HOU", "IAD", "MIA~
## $ air_time <dbl> 313, 216, 376, 135, 50, 138, 240, 48, 148, 110, 50, 161, 87,~
## $ distance <dbl> 2475, 1598, 2475, 1005, 296, 733, 1411, 228, 1096, 820, 264,~
## $ hour <dbl> 9, 16, 8, 18, 11, 18, 12, 19, 7, 13, 9, 13, 8, 20, 12, 20, 6~
## $ minute <dbl> 40, 57, 59, 41, 2, 17, 59, 20, 25, 23, 40, 20, 9, 54, 17, 24~
The nycflights data frame is a massive trove of information. Let’s think about some questions we might want to answer with these data:
1.How delayed were flights that were headed to Los Angeles? 2.How do departure delays vary by month? 3. Which of the three major NYC airports has the best on time percentage for departing flights?
Let’s start by examing the distribution of departure delays of all flights with a histogram.
ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +
geom_histogram()
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
This function says to plot the dep_delay variable from the nycflights data frame on the x-axis. It also defines a geom (short for geometric object), which describes the type of plot you will produce.
Histograms are generally a very good way to see the shape of a single distribution of numerical data, but that shape can change depending on how the data is split between the different bins. You can easily define the binwidth you want to use:
ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +
geom_histogram(binwidth = 15)
ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +
geom_histogram(binwidth = 150)
We can see the binwidth = 15 provide the best details for delay, it is the only histogram can show the count of negative value. Audience may not able to tell there is negative value in the result by looking at the 1st and 3rd histogram because it looks like it combine into the value 0. This is misleading the audience. I would prefer using 2nd one.
If you want to visualize only on delays of flights headed to Los Angeles, you need to first filter the data for flights with that destination (dest == “LAX”) and then make a histogram of the departure delays of only those flights.
lax_flights <- nycflights %>%
filter(dest == "LAX")
ggplot(data = lax_flights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +
geom_histogram()
## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.
glimpse(lax_flights)
## Rows: 1,583
## Columns: 16
## $ year <int> 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, ~
## $ month <int> 6, 12, 7, 8, 3, 6, 11, 3, 9, 3, 1, 10, 4, 9, 2, 3, 3, 4, 12,~
## $ day <int> 30, 8, 5, 22, 27, 9, 26, 24, 17, 5, 8, 4, 8, 26, 7, 31, 24, ~
## $ dep_time <int> 940, 859, 920, 1108, 1158, 1914, 1545, 2005, 1437, 1153, 185~
## $ dep_delay <dbl> 15, -1, 5, -7, -2, -2, 0, 5, -8, -7, -6, -3, -10, -2, -4, -2~
## $ arr_time <int> 1216, 1238, 1204, 1352, 1455, 2234, 1900, 2248, 1736, 1526, ~
## $ arr_delay <dbl> -4, 11, -6, -12, -16, 9, -20, -37, -22, 15, -27, -11, -3, -1~
## $ carrier <chr> "VX", "DL", "AA", "UA", "DL", "UA", "AA", "UA", "UA", "DL", ~
## $ tailnum <chr> "N626VA", "N712TW", "N328AA", "N597UA", "N721TW", "N26208", ~
## $ flight <int> 407, 422, 1, 703, 863, 1439, 133, 1466, 841, 863, 21, 398, 3~
## $ origin <chr> "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "EWR", "JFK", "EWR", "JFK~
## $ dest <chr> "LAX", "LAX", "LAX", "LAX", "LAX", "LAX", "LAX", "LAX", "LAX~
## $ air_time <dbl> 313, 376, 302, 292, 336, 317, 334, 315, 325, 343, 337, 323, ~
## $ distance <dbl> 2475, 2475, 2475, 2475, 2475, 2454, 2475, 2454, 2475, 2475, ~
## $ hour <dbl> 9, 8, 9, 11, 11, 19, 15, 20, 14, 11, 18, 11, 11, 10, 5, 13, ~
## $ minute <dbl> 40, 59, 20, 8, 58, 14, 45, 5, 37, 53, 59, 22, 50, 58, 57, 23~
Let’s decipher these two commands (OK, so it might look like four lines, but the first two physical lines of code are actually part of the same command. It’s common to add a break to a new line after %>% to help readability).
Command 1: Take the nycflights data frame, filter for flights headed to LAX, and save the result as a new data frame called lax_flights. == means “if it’s equal to”. LAX is in quotation marks since it is a character string. Command 2: Basically the same ggplot call from earlier for making a histogram, except that it uses the smaller data frame for flights headed to LAX instead of all flights. Logical operators: Filtering for certain observations (e.g. flights from a particular airport) is often of interest in data frames where we might want to examine observations with certain characteristics separately from the rest of the data. To do so, you can use the filter function and a series of logical operators. The most commonly used logical operators for data analysis are as follows:
== means “equal to” != means “not equal to” > or < means “greater than” or “less than” >= or <= means “greater than or equal to” or “less than or equal to”
You can also obtain numerical summaries for these flights:
lax_flights %>%
summarise(mean_dd = mean(dep_delay),
median_dd = median(dep_delay),
n = n())
Note that in the summarise function you created a list of three different numerical summaries that you were interested in. The names of these elements are user defined, like mean_dd, median_dd, n, and you can customize these names as you like (just don’t use spaces in your names). Calculating these summary statistics also requires that you know the function calls. Note that n() reports the sample size.
Summary statistics: Some useful function calls for summary statistics for a single numerical variable are as follows:
mean median sd var IQR min max Note that each of these functions takes a single vector as an argument and returns a single value.
You can also filter based on multiple criteria. Suppose you are interested in flights headed to San Francisco (SFO) in February:
sfo_feb_flights <- nycflights %>%
filter(dest == "SFO", month == 2)
sfo_feb_flights
Note that you can separate the conditions using commas if you want flights that are both headed to SFO and in February. If you are interested in either flights headed to SFO or in February, you can use the | instead of the comma.
Create a new data frame that includes flights headed to SFO in February, and save this data frame as sfo_feb_flights. How many flights meet these criteria?
use glimpse and you can see it is has 68 flights since it has 68 rows.
glimpse(sfo_feb_flights)
## Rows: 68
## Columns: 16
## $ year <int> 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, ~
## $ month <int> 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, ~
## $ day <int> 18, 3, 15, 18, 24, 25, 7, 15, 13, 8, 11, 13, 25, 20, 12, 27,~
## $ dep_time <int> 1527, 613, 955, 1928, 1340, 1415, 1032, 1805, 1056, 656, 191~
## $ dep_delay <dbl> 57, 14, -5, 15, 2, -10, 1, 20, -4, -4, 40, -2, -1, -6, -7, 2~
## $ arr_time <int> 1903, 1008, 1313, 2239, 1644, 1737, 1352, 2122, 1412, 1039, ~
## $ arr_delay <dbl> 48, 38, -28, -6, -21, -13, -10, 2, -13, -6, 2, -5, -30, -22,~
## $ carrier <chr> "DL", "UA", "DL", "UA", "UA", "UA", "B6", "AA", "UA", "DL", ~
## $ tailnum <chr> "N711ZX", "N502UA", "N717TW", "N24212", "N76269", "N532UA", ~
## $ flight <int> 1322, 691, 1765, 1214, 1111, 394, 641, 177, 642, 1865, 272, ~
## $ origin <chr> "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "EWR", "EWR", "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "JFK~
## $ dest <chr> "SFO", "SFO", "SFO", "SFO", "SFO", "SFO", "SFO", "SFO", "SFO~
## $ air_time <dbl> 358, 367, 338, 353, 341, 355, 359, 338, 347, 361, 332, 351, ~
## $ distance <dbl> 2586, 2586, 2586, 2565, 2565, 2586, 2586, 2586, 2586, 2586, ~
## $ hour <dbl> 15, 6, 9, 19, 13, 14, 10, 18, 10, 6, 19, 8, 10, 18, 7, 17, 1~
## $ minute <dbl> 27, 13, 55, 28, 40, 15, 32, 5, 56, 56, 10, 33, 48, 49, 23, 2~
Describe the distribution of the arrival delays of these flights using a histogram and appropriate summary statistics. Hint: The summary statistics you use should depend on the shape of the distribution.
The distribution is skewed to the right side, the mean is 10.5 when max is 209.
ggplot(sfo_feb_flights, aes(x=dep_delay)) + geom_histogram(bins=15)
summary(sfo_feb_flights$dep_delay)
## Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
## -10.0 -5.0 -2.0 10.5 9.0 209.0
Another useful technique is quickly calculating summary statistics for various groups in your data frame. For example, we can modify the above command using the group_by function to get the same summary stats for each origin airport:
sfo_feb_flights %>%
group_by(origin) %>%
summarise(median_dd = median(dep_delay), iqr_dd = IQR(dep_delay), n_flights = n())
Here, we first grouped the data by origin and then calculated the summary statistics.
Calculate the median and interquartile range for arr_delays of flights in in the sfo_feb_flights data frame, grouped by carrier. Which carrier has the most variable arrival delays?
AA has the most variable arrival delays because you can see median, mean and iqr are highest out of other airline.
sfo_feb_flights %>%
group_by(carrier) %>%
summarise(median_dd = median(dep_delay),mean_dd = mean(dep_delay), iqr_dd = IQR(dep_delay), n_flights = n())
Which month would you expect to have the highest average delay departing from an NYC airport?
Let’s think about how you could answer this question:
First, calculate monthly averages for departure delays. With the new language you are learning, you could group_by months, then summarise mean departure delays. Then, you could to arrange these average delays in descending order
nycflights %>%
group_by(month) %>%
summarise(mean_dd = mean(dep_delay)) %>%
arrange(desc(mean_dd))
Suppose you really dislike departure delays and you want to schedule your travel in a month that minimizes your potential departure delay leaving NYC. One option is to choose the month with the lowest mean departure delay. Another option is to choose the month with the lowest median departure delay. What are the pros and cons of these two choices?
For using mean: You can know average delay so that you can estimate the wait time if it happens. However, It is possible to have one or few outlier to increase the mean departure delay, for example, one of two extreme delay can increase the mean when most of the flight is on time.
For using median: You can tell from the number, how many flight is on time. For example, 50% of them is on time if the median is close to 0. However, it could be the other 50% has much greater delay.
It is better to look at both median and mean.
On time departure rate for NYC airports Suppose you will be flying out of NYC and want to know which of the three major NYC airports has the best on time departure rate of departing flights. Also supposed that for you, a flight that is delayed for less than 5 minutes is basically “on time.”” You consider any flight delayed for 5 minutes of more to be “delayed”.
In order to determine which airport has the best on time departure rate, you can
first classify each flight as “on time” or “delayed”, then group flights by origin airport, then calculate on time departure rates for each origin airport, and finally arrange the airports in descending order for on time departure percentage. Let’s start with classifying each flight as “on time” or “delayed” by creating a new variable with the mutate function.
nycflights <- nycflights %>%
mutate(dep_type = ifelse(dep_delay < 5, "on time", "delayed"))
The first argument in the mutate function is the name of the new variable we want to create, in this case dep_type. Then if dep_delay < 5, we classify the flight as “on time” and “delayed” if not, i.e. if the flight is delayed for 5 or more minutes.
Note that we are also overwriting the nycflights data frame with the new version of this data frame that includes the new dep_type variable.
We can handle all of the remaining steps in one code chunk:
nycflights %>%
group_by(origin) %>%
summarise(ot_dep_rate = sum(dep_type == "on time") / n()) %>%
arrange(desc(ot_dep_rate))
If you were selecting an airport simply based on on time departure percentage, which NYC airport would you choose to fly out of?
You can also visualize the distribution of on on time departure rate across the three airports using a segmented bar plot.
ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = origin, fill = dep_type)) +
geom_bar()
Mutate the data frame so that it includes a new variable that contains the average speed, avg_speed traveled by the plane for each flight (in mph). Hint: Average speed can be calculated as distance divided by number of hours of travel, and note that air_time is given in minutes.
nycflights <- nycflights %>%
mutate (avg_speed = (distance/(air_time*60)))
glimpse(nycflights)
## Rows: 32,735
## Columns: 18
## $ year <int> 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, 2013, ~
## $ month <int> 6, 5, 12, 5, 7, 1, 12, 8, 9, 4, 6, 11, 4, 3, 10, 1, 2, 8, 10~
## $ day <int> 30, 7, 8, 14, 21, 1, 9, 13, 26, 30, 17, 22, 26, 25, 21, 23, ~
## $ dep_time <int> 940, 1657, 859, 1841, 1102, 1817, 1259, 1920, 725, 1323, 940~
## $ dep_delay <dbl> 15, -3, -1, -4, -3, -3, 14, 85, -10, 62, 5, 5, -2, 115, -4, ~
## $ arr_time <int> 1216, 2104, 1238, 2122, 1230, 2008, 1617, 2032, 1027, 1549, ~
## $ arr_delay <dbl> -4, 10, 11, -34, -8, 3, 22, 71, -8, 60, -4, -2, 22, 91, -6, ~
## $ carrier <chr> "VX", "DL", "DL", "DL", "9E", "AA", "WN", "B6", "AA", "EV", ~
## $ tailnum <chr> "N626VA", "N3760C", "N712TW", "N914DL", "N823AY", "N3AXAA", ~
## $ flight <int> 407, 329, 422, 2391, 3652, 353, 1428, 1407, 2279, 4162, 20, ~
## $ origin <chr> "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "JFK", "LGA", "LGA", "EWR", "JFK", "LGA~
## $ dest <chr> "LAX", "SJU", "LAX", "TPA", "ORF", "ORD", "HOU", "IAD", "MIA~
## $ air_time <dbl> 313, 216, 376, 135, 50, 138, 240, 48, 148, 110, 50, 161, 87,~
## $ distance <dbl> 2475, 1598, 2475, 1005, 296, 733, 1411, 228, 1096, 820, 264,~
## $ hour <dbl> 9, 16, 8, 18, 11, 18, 12, 19, 7, 13, 9, 13, 8, 20, 12, 20, 6~
## $ minute <dbl> 40, 57, 59, 41, 2, 17, 59, 20, 25, 23, 40, 20, 9, 54, 17, 24~
## $ dep_type <chr> "delayed", "on time", "on time", "on time", "on time", "on t~
## $ avg_speed <dbl> 0.13178914, 0.12330247, 0.10970745, 0.12407407, 0.09866667, ~
## Excercise 8:
Make a scatterplot of avg_speed vs. distance. Describe the relationship between average speed and distance. Hint: Use geom_point().
ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = avg_speed, y = distance)) +
geom_point()
Replicate the following plot. Hint: The data frame plotted only contains flights from American Airlines, Delta Airlines, and United Airlines, and the points are colored by carrier. Once you replicate the plot, determine (roughly) what the cutoff point is for departure delays where you can still expect to get to your destination on time.
It has no chance because you do not see any dot in the bottom right of the plot. Also greater dep_delay leads greater arr_delay
The cutoff seems to be that departing ~40 minutes late, you can still get to your destination on time.
dl_aa_ua_ot <- nycflights %>%
filter(carrier == "AA" | carrier == "DL" | carrier == "UA", arr_delay < 5)
ggplot(data = dl_aa_ua_ot, aes(x = dep_delay, y = arr_delay, color = carrier)) +
geom_point() +
geom_line(aes(x = 45), color = "purple", linetype = "dotted") +
geom_text(aes(25, -30 , label = "Cut-off for online arrival"), vjust= 0, hjust= 0)