## Last Update:  2/13/2022

1 Data

#read data
dat <- sjlabelled::read_spss('./Data/PP2197B3.sav')

2 Variables

3 Descriptive analysis

3.1 Barplot of Relations with China or U.S. for Security and Economic Development

Which Country is More Important?

Figure 3.1: Which Country is More Important?

3.2 Cross-Tabulation of Relations with China or U.S. for Security and Economic Development and Relative Influence

Which Country is More Important Conditional on Relative Influence?

Figure 3.2: Which Country is More Important Conditional on Relative Influence?

4 DV: US or China is important for national security(US=1, China=5)

4.1 Ordered Probit Models without US Intervention

  • Variables:
    • powerchina: Which country is more powerful in this region? U.S. or China? (China=5, US=1)
    • trade: Trade or sovereignty (trade = 1, otherwise=0)
    • twcnculture: Is Taiwan and Chinese culture very similiar? (very similiar=1)
    • iddiff: Chinese identity - Taiwanese identity (1-10)
    • twusculture: Do Taiwan and US share the same culture? (same culture=1)
    • uni: Independence/unification issue position (unification=6)
    • both: both Taiwanese and Chinese identity
    • taiwanese: exclusive Taiwanese identity
  • Four Models: 
    • Security alignment (q8)
Model 1: influence of China 
Model 2: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty + Culture similarity + Identity difference + q13 (US Taiwan value similarities_
Model 3: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty + Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green 
Model 4: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education
    Table 4.1: Four Models without US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type model
    powerchina 0.3974 0.0716 5.55170612619184 coefficient Model 4
    powerchina 0.3921 0.0697 5.6287261178872 coefficient Model 3
    powerchina 0.4497 0.0661 6.80398312223406 coefficient Model 2
    powerchina 0.6584 0.0557 11.8280660105728 coefficient Model 1
    trade 0.7460 0.1993 3.74371058951772 coefficient Model 4
    trade 0.7484 0.1978 3.78414011138899 coefficient Model 3
    trade 1.3006 0.1778 7.31573461113984 coefficient Model 2
    trade NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twcnculture -0.2809 0.1206 -2.3285510598154 coefficient Model 4
    twcnculture -0.2907 0.1170 -2.48543051452668 coefficient Model 3
    twcnculture -0.4385 0.1105 -3.96661551395587 coefficient Model 2
    twcnculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    iddiff 0.0382 0.0209 1.82963798976528 coefficient Model 4
    iddiff 0.0392 0.0207 1.89685690113303 coefficient Model 3
    iddiff 0.0742 0.0192 3.85873022623645 coefficient Model 2
    iddiff NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twusculture 0.4661 0.1254 3.71739673447089 coefficient Model 4
    twusculture 0.4648 0.1255 3.70409430477735 coefficient Model 3
    twusculture 0.6629 0.1120 5.9172629212699 coefficient Model 2
    twusculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    uni -0.0168 0.0631 -0.2657438321905 coefficient Model 4
    uni -0.0125 0.0629 -0.199017985806141 coefficient Model 3
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 2
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 1
    both -1.3716 0.6783 -2.02207179506701 coefficient Model 4
    both -1.3932 0.6724 -2.07203551164111 coefficient Model 3
    both NA NA NA NA Model 2
    both NA NA NA NA Model 1
    taiwanese -2.2852 0.6959 -3.2838327471956 coefficient Model 4
    taiwanese -2.3155 0.6876 -3.36747910505592 coefficient Model 3
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 2
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 1
    panblue 0.6962 0.2526 2.75594589931768 coefficient Model 4
    panblue 0.7021 0.2493 2.81596125426605 coefficient Model 3
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 2
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 1
    pangreen -1.0786 0.2162 -4.98949853592209 coefficient Model 4
    pangreen -1.0429 0.2125 -4.90798219909518 coefficient Model 3
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 2
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 1
    female 0.0235 0.1625 0.144794392189199 coefficient Model 4
    female NA NA NA NA Model 3
    female NA NA NA NA Model 2
    female NA NA NA NA Model 1
    Age -0.0024 0.0068 -0.351850933363379 coefficient Model 4
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 3
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 2
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 1
    education -0.0688 0.0842 -0.817303893512351 coefficient Model 4
    education NA NA NA NA Model 3
    education NA NA NA NA Model 2
    education NA NA NA NA Model 1
    NA -2.7128 1.0534 -2.57523214468927 scale Model 4
    NA -0.9585 1.0678 -0.897634851845932 scale Model 4
    NA -0.4196 1.0686 -0.392632739377892 scale Model 4
    NA -2.3825 0.8439 -2.82314364519705 scale Model 3
    NA -0.6516 0.8480 -0.768410329183669 scale Model 3
    NA -0.1100 0.8487 -0.129592016981947 scale Model 3
    NA 0.4242 0.4432 0.957196008521613 scale Model 2
    NA 1.9865 0.4576 4.34127133798623 scale Model 2
    NA 2.4728 0.4620 5.35217115335019 scale Model 2
    NA 0.5919 0.1674 3.53565641169327 scale Model 1
    NA 1.8917 0.1853 10.2108105969033 scale Model 1
    NA 2.3405 0.1939 12.0691010362883 scale Model 1

    4.2 Ordered Probit Models with US Intervention

    Table 4.2: Four Models with US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type model
    powerchina 0.7671 0.1758 4.36429424730132 coefficient Model 4
    powerchina 0.6150 0.1712 3.59323167972297 coefficient Model 3
    powerchina 0.6759 0.1408 4.80150753669188 coefficient Model 2
    powerchina 0.6584 0.0557 11.8280660105728 coefficient Model 1
    usintervene -1.2922 0.4924 -2.62449649764689 coefficient Model 4
    usintervene -0.9930 0.4916 -2.0198091258742 coefficient Model 3
    usintervene -1.4465 0.4678 -3.09196947692811 coefficient Model 2
    trade 1.2691 0.5245 2.41974905072328 coefficient Model 4
    trade 1.0958 0.5349 2.04838409830644 coefficient Model 3
    trade 1.4955 0.4903 3.05021025114365 coefficient Model 2
    trade NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twcnculture -0.0618 0.3367 -0.18349534687879 coefficient Model 4
    twcnculture -0.0900 0.3280 -0.274346833735607 coefficient Model 3
    twcnculture -0.3032 0.2951 -1.02738944923939 coefficient Model 2
    twcnculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    iddiff -0.0002 0.0498 -0.0046875697712021 coefficient Model 4
    iddiff 0.0051 0.0498 0.102363278309584 coefficient Model 3
    iddiff 0.0293 0.0477 0.614241965236261 coefficient Model 2
    iddiff NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twusculture 0.8989 0.3206 2.80407203244433 coefficient Model 4
    twusculture 0.7100 0.3185 2.22929409935243 coefficient Model 3
    twusculture 0.7453 0.2819 2.64417282038202 coefficient Model 2
    twusculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    uni -0.0946 0.1655 -0.571661542341458 coefficient Model 4
    uni -0.0758 0.1575 -0.48103582654518 coefficient Model 3
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 2
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 1
    both -0.1138 0.6863 -0.165817619046537 coefficient Model 4
    both -0.2004 0.7350 -0.272649700175283 coefficient Model 3
    both NA NA NA NA Model 2
    both NA NA NA NA Model 1
    taiwanese -0.6880 0.7779 -0.884537399392508 coefficient Model 4
    taiwanese -1.1630 0.8022 -1.44986096458296 coefficient Model 3
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 2
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 1
    panblue 1.2330 0.5881 2.09640690569825 coefficient Model 4
    panblue 1.2234 0.5279 2.31754946704913 coefficient Model 3
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 2
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 1
    pangreen -0.9181 0.5599 -1.63987501862515 coefficient Model 4
    pangreen -0.7941 0.5719 -1.38869444484679 coefficient Model 3
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 2
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 1
    female -1.1034 0.4675 -2.36023689663736 coefficient Model 4
    female NA NA NA NA Model 3
    female NA NA NA NA Model 2
    female NA NA NA NA Model 1
    Age 0.0242 0.0194 1.24895858838792 coefficient Model 4
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 3
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 2
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 1
    education -0.0711 0.2462 -0.28872114714099 coefficient Model 4
    education NA NA NA NA Model 3
    education NA NA NA NA Model 2
    education NA NA NA NA Model 1
    NA 1.7921 2.0830 0.86035792214013 scale Model 4
    NA 3.7174 2.1187 1.75455873873239 scale Model 4
    NA 4.1680 2.1219 1.96433497525934 scale Model 4
    NA 0.4550 1.6733 0.27192800118901 scale Model 3
    NA 2.2634 1.6580 1.36511260146708 scale Model 3
    NA 2.7390 1.6499 1.66005656289202 scale Model 3
    NA 1.3785 0.9909 1.39116118132171 scale Model 2
    NA 2.9891 0.9923 3.01247629311618 scale Model 2
    NA 3.4029 0.9991 3.40601463559622 scale Model 2
    NA 0.5919 0.1674 3.53565641169327 scale Model 1
    NA 1.8917 0.1853 10.2108105969033 scale Model 1
    NA 2.3405 0.1939 12.0691010362883 scale Model 1
    NA NA NA NA NA Model 1

    5 DV: US or China is important for economic development(US=1, China=5)

    5.1 Ordered Probit Models without US Intervention

  • Variables:
    • powerchina: Which country is more powerful in this region? U.S. or China? (China=1, US=5)
    • trade: Trade or sovereignty (trade = 1, otherwise=0)
    • twcnculture: Is Taiwan and Chinese culture very similiar? (very similiar=1)
    • iddiff: Chinese identity - Taiwanese identity (1-10)
    • twusculture: Do Taiwan and US share the same culture? (same culture=1)
    • uni: Independence/unification issue position (unification=6)
    • both: both Taiwanese and Chinese identity
    • taiwanese: exclusive Taiwanese identity
  • Four Models: 
    • Economic alignment (q9)
Model 1: influence of China 
Model 2: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity + Identity difference + q13
Model 3: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green 
Model 4: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education
    Table 5.1: Four Models without US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type model
    powerchina 0.3093 0.0721 4.29002955077721 coefficient Model 4
    powerchina 0.3242 0.0701 4.62248768885396 coefficient Model 3
    powerchina 0.3822 0.0664 5.7527858272326 coefficient Model 2
    powerchina 0.5958 0.0573 10.3930621911347 coefficient Model 1
    trade 0.4166 0.1966 2.11927534624556 coefficient Model 4
    trade 0.4428 0.1938 2.28511170429378 coefficient Model 3
    trade 1.0130 0.1773 5.71267872768776 coefficient Model 2
    trade NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twcnculture -0.1651 0.1102 -1.49849780176556 coefficient Model 4
    twcnculture -0.2145 0.1048 -2.0461953065855 coefficient Model 3
    twcnculture -0.3291 0.1015 -3.24360789456554 coefficient Model 2
    twcnculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    iddiff 0.0337 0.0185 1.81895220216082 coefficient Model 4
    iddiff 0.0320 0.0183 1.74423802659838 coefficient Model 3
    iddiff 0.0645 0.0182 3.5478140808784 coefficient Model 2
    iddiff NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twusculture 0.4484 0.1230 3.64391689012181 coefficient Model 4
    twusculture 0.4504 0.1232 3.65668472316789 coefficient Model 3
    twusculture 0.6181 0.1164 5.30999496146321 coefficient Model 2
    twusculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    uni -0.0319 0.0649 -0.490879668999888 coefficient Model 4
    uni -0.0329 0.0656 -0.501391428346725 coefficient Model 3
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 2
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 1
    both -1.0123 0.6378 -1.58717321871764 coefficient Model 4
    both -0.9208 0.6144 -1.49884771704949 coefficient Model 3
    both NA NA NA NA Model 2
    both NA NA NA NA Model 1
    taiwanese -1.9491 0.6501 -2.99824880941125 coefficient Model 4
    taiwanese -1.8359 0.6249 -2.93797317275513 coefficient Model 3
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 2
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 1
    panblue 0.5176 0.1926 2.68757845057063 coefficient Model 4
    panblue 0.4546 0.1947 2.33458452144088 coefficient Model 3
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 2
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 1
    pangreen -1.0280 0.2340 -4.39281514547867 coefficient Model 4
    pangreen -1.0156 0.2316 -4.38489116180617 coefficient Model 3
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 2
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 1
    female -0.0776 0.1590 -0.487735595593654 coefficient Model 4
    female NA NA NA NA Model 3
    female NA NA NA NA Model 2
    female NA NA NA NA Model 1
    Age -0.0059 0.0068 -0.874278296194548 coefficient Model 4
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 3
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 2
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 1
    education 0.0295 0.0843 0.350598748789227 coefficient Model 4
    education NA NA NA NA Model 3
    education NA NA NA NA Model 2
    education NA NA NA NA Model 1
    NA -2.2944 1.0262 -2.23573446368323 scale Model 4
    NA -0.6444 1.0415 -0.61870589792263 scale Model 4
    NA -0.3008 1.0412 -0.28885883811144 scale Model 4
    NA -2.0405 0.7979 -2.55745847810769 scale Model 3
    NA -0.4063 0.8000 -0.5078915955921 scale Model 3
    NA -0.0590 0.7990 -0.0738285671508702 scale Model 3
    NA 0.3607 0.4350 0.829313374512452 scale Model 2
    NA 1.8273 0.4453 4.10341889764236 scale Model 2
    NA 2.1446 0.4473 4.79474887541272 scale Model 2
    NA 0.3112 0.1755 1.77302623032885 scale Model 1
    NA 1.5827 0.1902 8.32071037505509 scale Model 1
    NA 1.9708 0.1988 9.91088273830171 scale Model 1

    5.2 Ordered Probit Models with US Intervention

    Table 5.2: Four Models with US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type model
    powerchina 0.7359 0.1824 4.03550294761195 coefficient Model 4
    powerchina 0.6350 0.1726 3.67971774299113 coefficient Model 3
    powerchina 0.6384 0.1617 3.94765277304723 coefficient Model 2
    powerchina 0.5958 0.0573 10.3930621911347 coefficient Model 1
    usintervene -1.0784 0.4507 -2.3924382510362 coefficient Model 4
    usintervene -0.9366 0.4635 -2.02084270480402 coefficient Model 3
    usintervene -1.3027 0.4365 -2.98430703054041 coefficient Model 2
    trade 0.8967 0.4745 1.8898061664528 coefficient Model 4
    trade 0.7619 0.5127 1.48600692770567 coefficient Model 3
    trade 1.1208 0.4498 2.49153161022519 coefficient Model 2
    twcnculture 0.1764 0.3066 0.575373718714314 coefficient Model 4
    twcnculture -0.0069 0.2866 -0.0239776768870414 coefficient Model 3
    twcnculture -0.2406 0.2821 -0.852855618026059 coefficient Model 2
    twcnculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    iddiff 0.0251 0.0434 0.579248621175887 coefficient Model 4
    iddiff 0.0181 0.0415 0.435127974222842 coefficient Model 3
    iddiff 0.0250 0.0459 0.545722494752976 coefficient Model 2
    iddiff NA NA NA NA Model 1
    twusculture 0.8090 0.2647 3.05647085601836 coefficient Model 4
    twusculture 0.6781 0.2677 2.53314952300063 coefficient Model 3
    twusculture 0.7522 0.2826 2.66187201187295 coefficient Model 2
    twusculture NA NA NA NA Model 1
    uni 0.2130 0.1983 1.0740334322259 coefficient Model 4
    uni 0.1970 0.2048 0.961869515011436 coefficient Model 3
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 2
    uni NA NA NA NA Model 1
    both -0.7258 0.9125 -0.795438084662142 coefficient Model 4
    both -0.1716 0.8367 -0.205149460208769 coefficient Model 3
    both NA NA NA NA Model 2
    both NA NA NA NA Model 1
    taiwanese -0.2642 0.9036 -0.292407835368 coefficient Model 4
    taiwanese -0.1536 0.8597 -0.178654781242017 coefficient Model 3
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 2
    taiwanese NA NA NA NA Model 1
    panblue 0.8536 0.5279 1.61699910121476 coefficient Model 4
    panblue 0.5813 0.4928 1.17965125845681 coefficient Model 3
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 2
    panblue NA NA NA NA Model 1
    pangreen -1.6483 0.6185 -2.66480457644619 coefficient Model 4
    pangreen -1.4456 0.6942 -2.0824089630096 coefficient Model 3
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 2
    pangreen NA NA NA NA Model 1
    female -1.2503 0.4601 -2.71776429714558 coefficient Model 4
    female NA NA NA NA Model 3
    female NA NA NA NA Model 2
    female NA NA NA NA Model 1
    Age -0.0028 0.0182 -0.154885240384403 coefficient Model 4
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 3
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 2
    Age NA NA NA NA Model 1
    education 0.1090 0.2556 0.426310890314165 coefficient Model 4
    education NA NA NA NA Model 3
    education NA NA NA NA Model 2
    education NA NA NA NA Model 1
    NA 1.4095 2.1699 0.649592797721654 scale Model 4
    NA 3.4443 2.1665 1.58974714218761 scale Model 4
    NA 3.8568 2.1560 1.78882109478557 scale Model 4
    NA 1.1169 1.5229 0.733357037340838 scale Model 3
    NA 2.9803 1.4779 2.01656513556924 scale Model 3
    NA 3.3903 1.4637 2.31621422197163 scale Model 3
    NA 1.1175 1.0851 1.02986185527408 scale Model 2
    NA 2.7882 1.0376 2.68726617725 scale Model 2
    NA 3.1509 1.0419 3.02425049523535 scale Model 2
    NA 0.3112 0.1755 1.77302623032885 scale Model 1
    NA 1.5827 0.1902 8.32071037505509 scale Model 1
    NA 1.9708 0.1988 9.91088273830171 scale Model 1
    NA NA NA NA NA Model 1

    6 Natinal security and Interaction Model 1 (between Influence of China and Trade over Sovereignty)

    6.1 Ordered Probit Models without US Intervention

  • Variables:
    • powerchina: Which country is more powerful in this region? U.S. or China? (China=5, US=1)
    • trade or sovereignty (trade = 1, otherwise=0)
    • twcnculture: Is Taiwan and Chinese culture very similiar? (very similiar=1)
    • iddiff: Chinese identity - Taiwanese identity (1-10)
    • twusculture: Do Taiwan and US share the same culture? (same culture=1)
    • uni: Independence/unification issue position (unification=6)
    • both: both Taiwanese and Chinese identity
    • taiwanese: exclusive Taiwanese identity
    • powertrade: Interaction between Influence of China and Trade over Sovereignty
    Table 6.1: Interaction and Security Model without US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina 0.4378 0.0873 5.0150 coefficient
    trade 1.0650 0.4793 2.2218 coefficient
    twcnculture -0.2779 0.1212 -2.2927 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0390 0.0210 1.8542 coefficient
    twusculture 0.4640 0.1249 3.7150 coefficient
    uni -0.0107 0.0636 -0.1685 coefficient
    both -1.3433 0.6679 -2.0113 coefficient
    taiwanese -2.2603 0.6851 -3.2992 coefficient
    panblue 0.6894 0.2499 2.7581 coefficient
    pangreen -1.0778 0.2172 -4.9633 coefficient
    female 0.0245 0.1628 0.1507 coefficient
    Age -0.0018 0.0069 -0.2554 coefficient
    education -0.0670 0.0848 -0.7902 coefficient
    powerchina:trade -0.0962 0.1366 -0.7045 coefficient
    US very important|US important -2.5245 1.0952 -2.3050 scale
    US important|US China same -0.7617 1.1117 -0.6852 scale
    US China same|China important -0.2217 1.1120 -0.1994 scale

    6.2 Ordered Probit Models with US Intervention

    Interactions (security alignment, q8)
Model 1: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty + Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education + influence of China*Trade over sovereignty
    Table 6.2: Interaction and Security Model with US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina 0.6686 0.1884 3.5483 coefficient
    usintervene -1.2596 0.4937 -2.5516 coefficient
    trade 0.4974 1.0308 0.4826 coefficient
    twcnculture -0.0976 0.3521 -0.2771 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0037 0.0499 0.0749 coefficient
    twusculture 0.9066 0.3228 2.8086 coefficient
    uni -0.1067 0.1696 -0.6289 coefficient
    both -0.1686 0.7044 -0.2393 coefficient
    taiwanese -0.6875 0.7945 -0.8653 coefficient
    panblue 1.2690 0.6199 2.0470 coefficient
    pangreen -0.9390 0.5395 -1.7407 coefficient
    female -1.1242 0.4616 -2.4357 coefficient
    Age 0.0253 0.0191 1.3275 coefficient
    education -0.0600 0.2366 -0.2535 coefficient
    powerchina:trade 0.2534 0.3285 0.7713 coefficient
    US very important|US important 1.4644 2.1982 0.6662 scale
    US important|US China same 3.3651 2.2446 1.4992 scale
    US China same|China important 3.8110 2.2536 1.6910 scale

    7 Natinal security and Interaction model 2 (influence of China*q6a (perceived benefits from cross-strait economic exchanges)

    7.1 Ordered Probit Models without US Intervention

  • Variables:
    • powerchina: Which country is more powerful in this region? U.S. or China? (US=1, China=5)
    • usintervene: If China invades Taiwan, what do you think the U.S. will do? (US sends troops = 1, otherwise=0)
    • trade: trade or sovereignty (trade = 1, otherwise=0)
    • twcnculture: Is Taiwan and Chinese culture very similiar? (very similiar=1)
    • iddiff: Chinese identity - Taiwanese identity (1-10)
    • twusculture: Do Taiwan and US share the same culture? (same culture=1)
    • uni: Independence/unification issue position (unification=6)
    • both: both Taiwanese and Chinese identity
    • taiwanese: exclusive Taiwanese identity
    • benefit: benefits from trade
    • powerbenefit: Interaction between Influence of China and benefits from trade
    Model 2: influence of China + US intervention+ Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education + influence of China*q6a (perceived benefits from cross-strait economic exchanges)
    Table 7.1: Interaction and Security Model without US Intervention and Perceived Benefits
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina -0.6598 0.5469 -1.2066 coefficient
    twcnculture 0.0506 0.1859 0.2721 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0547 0.0301 1.8182 coefficient
    twusculture 0.2027 0.1904 1.0647 coefficient
    uni 0.1732 0.0941 1.8406 coefficient
    both -1.1311 0.6604 -1.7129 coefficient
    taiwanese -1.9782 0.6813 -2.9034 coefficient
    panblue 0.7056 0.2689 2.6239 coefficient
    pangreen -1.3054 0.4291 -3.0421 coefficient
    female -0.3691 0.2488 -1.4837 coefficient
    Age 0.0019 0.0097 0.1934 coefficient
    education -0.1820 0.1310 -1.3886 coefficient
    benefit -0.7920 0.5294 -1.4959 coefficient
    powerchina:benefit 0.2890 0.1465 1.9728 coefficient
    US very important|US important -6.0037 2.3009 -2.6093 scale
    US important|US China same -4.6804 2.2682 -2.0635 scale
    US China same|China important -4.2075 2.2667 -1.8562 scale

    7.2 OPM With US intervention (can’t find suitable starting value)

    8 DV: US or China is important for economic development(US=1, China=5) with Interaction between Influence of China and Trade over Sovereignty

    8.1 Ordered Probit Models without US Intervention

  • Variables:
    • powerchina: Which country is more powerful in this region? U.S. or China? (US=1, China=5)
    • trade: trade or sovereignty(trade = 1, otherwise=0)
    • twcnculture: Is Taiwan and Chinese culture very similiar? (very similiar=1)
    • iddiff: Chinese identity - Taiwanese identity (1-10)
    • twusculture: Do Taiwan and US share the same culture? (same culture=1)
    • uni: Independence/unification issue position (unification=6)
    • both: both Taiwanese and Chinese identity
    • taiwanese: exclusive Taiwanese identity
    • powertrade: Interaction between Influence of China and Trade over Sovereignty
  • Model: 
    • Interactions (economic alignment, q9)
Model 1: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty + Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education + influence of China*Trade over sovereignty
    Table 8.1: Interaction and Economy Model without US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina 0.3475 0.0848 4.0958 coefficient
    trade 0.7272 0.5031 1.4455 coefficient
    twcnculture -0.1646 0.1104 -1.4908 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0340 0.0185 1.8379 coefficient
    twusculture 0.4462 0.1231 3.6247 coefficient
    uni -0.0240 0.0668 -0.3588 coefficient
    both -0.9887 0.6307 -1.5676 coefficient
    taiwanese -1.9354 0.6417 -3.0159 coefficient
    panblue 0.5064 0.1943 2.6056 coefficient
    pangreen -1.0279 0.2349 -4.3764 coefficient
    female -0.0731 0.1600 -0.4569 coefficient
    Age -0.0054 0.0068 -0.7867 coefficient
    education 0.0309 0.0849 0.3641 coefficient
    powerchina:trade -0.0936 0.1392 -0.6723 coefficient
    US very important|US important -2.1265 1.0577 -2.0104 scale
    US important|US China same -0.4706 1.0753 -0.4376 scale
    US China same|China important -0.1265 1.0751 -0.1177 scale

    8.2 Ordered Probit Models with US Intervention

    • powerchina: Which country is more powerful in this region? U.S. or China? (US =1, China=5)
    • usintervene: If China invades Taiwan, what do you think the U.S. will do? (US sends troops = 1, otherwise=0)
    • trade
    • twcnculture: Is Taiwan and Chinese culture very similiar? (very similiar=1)
    • iddiff: Chinese identity - Taiwanese identity (1-10)
    • twusculture: Do Taiwan and US share the same culture? (same culture=1)
    • uni: Independence/unification issue position (unification=6)
    • both: both Taiwanese and Chinese identity
    • taiwanese: exclusive Taiwanese identity
    • powertrade: Interaction between Influence of China and Trade over Sovereignty
    Table 8.2: Interaction and Economy Model with US Intervention
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina 0.6778 0.2039 3.3237 coefficient
    usintervene -1.0784 0.4499 -2.3969 coefficient
    trade 0.4725 0.9299 0.5081 coefficient
    twcnculture 0.1609 0.3109 0.5174 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0270 0.0428 0.6301 coefficient
    twusculture 0.8046 0.2654 3.0313 coefficient
    uni 0.1988 0.1953 1.0183 coefficient
    both -0.7455 0.9236 -0.8072 coefficient
    taiwanese -0.2563 0.9191 -0.2788 coefficient
    panblue 0.8662 0.5379 1.6104 coefficient
    pangreen -1.6570 0.6142 -2.6980 coefficient
    female -1.2605 0.4622 -2.7273 coefficient
    Age -0.0019 0.0175 -0.1102 coefficient
    education 0.1190 0.2479 0.4799 coefficient
    powerchina:trade 0.1337 0.2610 0.5123 coefficient
    US very important|US important 1.2146 2.3064 0.5266 scale
    US important|US China same 3.2314 2.3158 1.3953 scale
    US China same|China important 3.6419 2.3059 1.5794 scale

    9 Economi Development and Interaction model 2 (economic development and perceive benefit)

    9.1 OPM without US intervention

  • Model: 
    • Model 2: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education + influence of China*q6a (perceived benefits from cross-strait economic exchanges)
    Table 9.1: Interaction and Security Model witht US Intervention and Perceived Benefits
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina -0.3110 0.5466 -0.5690 coefficient
    twcnculture 0.2143 0.1915 1.1190 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0276 0.0263 1.0514 coefficient
    twusculture 0.1199 0.1914 0.6263 coefficient
    uni 0.1602 0.1146 1.3980 coefficient
    both -0.7007 0.6518 -1.0750 coefficient
    taiwanese -1.5677 0.6641 -2.3605 coefficient
    panblue 0.4408 0.2254 1.9552 coefficient
    pangreen -1.1098 0.4945 -2.2441 coefficient
    female -0.4643 0.2497 -1.8591 coefficient
    Age 0.0102 0.0107 0.9575 coefficient
    education -0.0414 0.1416 -0.2920 coefficient
    benefit -0.2104 0.5728 -0.3672 coefficient
    powerchina:benefit 0.1749 0.1460 1.1985 coefficient
    US very important|US important -2.4167 2.4788 -0.9750 scale
    US important|US China same -0.9495 2.4615 -0.3857 scale
    US China same|China important -0.7085 2.4569 -0.2884 scale

    9.2 Ordered Probit Models with US Intervention

  • Model: 
    • Model 2: influence of China + US intervention + Trade over sovereignty+Culture similarity +Identity difference + q13 + Unification + Both Taiwanese and Chinese + Taiwanese + Pan blue + Pan Green + Female + Age + Education + influence of China*q6a (perceived benefits from cross-strait economic exchanges)
    Table 9.2: Interaction and Economy Model witht US Intervention and Perceived Benefits
    term estimate std.error statistic coef.type
    powerchina -0.2001 1.0322 -0.1939 coefficient
    usintervene -3.2910 0.7205 -4.5679 coefficient
    twcnculture 0.8634 0.4996 1.7281 coefficient
    iddiff 0.0953 0.0612 1.5581 coefficient
    twusculture 0.8295 0.5938 1.3969 coefficient
    uni 0.4155 0.4011 1.0357 coefficient
    both -0.1740 0.9945 -0.1750 coefficient
    taiwanese 1.5072 0.9877 1.5259 coefficient
    panblue 0.9840 0.8853 1.1115 coefficient
    pangreen -0.8270 0.9356 -0.8839 coefficient
    female -1.5849 0.7690 -2.0610 coefficient
    Age 0.0175 0.0230 0.7629 coefficient
    education 0.1748 0.2825 0.6187 coefficient
    benefit -0.6126 0.8833 -0.6935 coefficient
    powerchina:benefit 0.3288 0.2695 1.2202 coefficient
    US very important|US important 2.2104 4.6344 0.4769 scale
    US important|US China same 3.8216 4.4595 0.8570 scale
    US China same|China important 4.3039 4.3973 0.9787 scale