Impact of Severe Weather Events on Public Health and Economy in the United States

Synonpsis

In this report, we aim to analyze the impact of different weather events on public health and economy based on the storm database collected from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) from 1950 - 2011. We’ll use the estimates of fatalities, injuries, property and crop damage to decide which types of event are most harmful to the population health and economy. This data analysis addresses the following questions :

Through this analysis, we found that: Tornado is the harmful event with respect to population healt hwhile flood is the event which have the greatest economic consequences

 echo = TRUE  # Always make code visible
options(scipen = 1)  # Turn off scientific notations for numbers
library(ggplot2)
library(plyr)
require(gridExtra)
## Le chargement a nécessité le package : gridExtra
library(knitr)

Data Processing

 NOAAdata <- read.csv("StormData.csv", sep=",", header=TRUE)
head(NOAAdata)
##   STATE__           BGN_DATE BGN_TIME TIME_ZONE COUNTY COUNTYNAME STATE  EVTYPE
## 1       1  4/18/1950 0:00:00     0130       CST     97     MOBILE    AL TORNADO
## 2       1  4/18/1950 0:00:00     0145       CST      3    BALDWIN    AL TORNADO
## 3       1  2/20/1951 0:00:00     1600       CST     57    FAYETTE    AL TORNADO
## 4       1   6/8/1951 0:00:00     0900       CST     89    MADISON    AL TORNADO
## 5       1 11/15/1951 0:00:00     1500       CST     43    CULLMAN    AL TORNADO
## 6       1 11/15/1951 0:00:00     2000       CST     77 LAUDERDALE    AL TORNADO
##   BGN_RANGE BGN_AZI BGN_LOCATI END_DATE END_TIME COUNTY_END COUNTYENDN
## 1         0                                               0         NA
## 2         0                                               0         NA
## 3         0                                               0         NA
## 4         0                                               0         NA
## 5         0                                               0         NA
## 6         0                                               0         NA
##   END_RANGE END_AZI END_LOCATI LENGTH WIDTH F MAG FATALITIES INJURIES PROPDMG
## 1         0                      14.0   100 3   0          0       15    25.0
## 2         0                       2.0   150 2   0          0        0     2.5
## 3         0                       0.1   123 2   0          0        2    25.0
## 4         0                       0.0   100 2   0          0        2     2.5
## 5         0                       0.0   150 2   0          0        2     2.5
## 6         0                       1.5   177 2   0          0        6     2.5
##   PROPDMGEXP CROPDMG CROPDMGEXP WFO STATEOFFIC ZONENAMES LATITUDE LONGITUDE
## 1          K       0                                         3040      8812
## 2          K       0                                         3042      8755
## 3          K       0                                         3340      8742
## 4          K       0                                         3458      8626
## 5          K       0                                         3412      8642
## 6          K       0                                         3450      8748
##   LATITUDE_E LONGITUDE_ REMARKS REFNUM
## 1       3051       8806              1
## 2          0          0              2
## 3          0          0              3
## 4          0          0              4
## 5          0          0              5
## 6          0          0              6

Subset (NOAA) storm database

 tidyNOAA <- NOAAdata[,c('EVTYPE','FATALITIES','INJURIES', 'PROPDMG', 'PROPDMGEXP', 'CROPDMG', 'CROPDMGEXP')]
head(tidyNOAA)
##    EVTYPE FATALITIES INJURIES PROPDMG PROPDMGEXP CROPDMG CROPDMGEXP
## 1 TORNADO          0       15    25.0          K       0           
## 2 TORNADO          0        0     2.5          K       0           
## 3 TORNADO          0        2    25.0          K       0           
## 4 TORNADO          0        2     2.5          K       0           
## 5 TORNADO          0        2     2.5          K       0           
## 6 TORNADO          0        6     2.5          K       0
 str(tidyNOAA)
## 'data.frame':    902297 obs. of  7 variables:
##  $ EVTYPE    : chr  "TORNADO" "TORNADO" "TORNADO" "TORNADO" ...
##  $ FATALITIES: num  0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 ...
##  $ INJURIES  : num  15 0 2 2 2 6 1 0 14 0 ...
##  $ PROPDMG   : num  25 2.5 25 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 25 25 ...
##  $ PROPDMGEXP: chr  "K" "K" "K" "K" ...
##  $ CROPDMG   : num  0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
##  $ CROPDMGEXP: chr  "" "" "" "" ...

To calculate the economic damage, We need:

# Convert H, K, M, B units to calculate Property Damage 

## create an empty column
tidyNOAA$PROPDMGNUM = 0
## fill in the data with correct units
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "H", ]$PROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "H", ]$PROPDMG * 10^2
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "K", ]$PROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "K", ]$PROPDMG * 10^3
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "M", ]$PROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "M", ]$PROPDMG * 10^6
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "B", ]$PROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$PROPDMGEXP == "B", ]$PROPDMG * 10^9

head(tidyNOAA, 100)
##        EVTYPE FATALITIES INJURIES PROPDMG PROPDMGEXP CROPDMG CROPDMGEXP
## 1     TORNADO          0       15   25.00          K       0           
## 2     TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 3     TORNADO          0        2   25.00          K       0           
## 4     TORNADO          0        2    2.50          K       0           
## 5     TORNADO          0        2    2.50          K       0           
## 6     TORNADO          0        6    2.50          K       0           
## 7     TORNADO          0        1    2.50          K       0           
## 8     TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 9     TORNADO          1       14   25.00          K       0           
## 10    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 11    TORNADO          0        3    2.50          M       0           
## 12    TORNADO          0        3    2.50          M       0           
## 13    TORNADO          1       26  250.00          K       0           
## 14    TORNADO          0       12    0.00          K       0           
## 15    TORNADO          0        6   25.00          K       0           
## 16    TORNADO          4       50   25.00          K       0           
## 17    TORNADO          0        2   25.00          K       0           
## 18    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 19    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 20    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 21    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 22    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 23    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 24    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 25    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 26    TORNADO          1        8   25.00          K       0           
## 27    TORNADO          0        2   25.00          K       0           
## 28    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 29    TORNADO          0        6   25.00          K       0           
## 30    TORNADO          0        2    2.50          K       0           
## 31    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 32    TORNADO          0       12    2.50          K       0           
## 33    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 34    TORNADO          6      195    2.50          M       0           
## 35    TORNADO          0        2   25.00          K       0           
## 36    TORNADO          7       12  250.00          K       0           
## 37    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 38    TORNADO          2        3   25.00          K       0           
## 39    TORNADO          0        2    2.50          K       0           
## 40    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 41    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 42    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 43    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 44    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 45    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 46    TORNADO          0        0    0.03          K       0           
## 47    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 48    TORNADO          0        4  250.00          K       0           
## 49    TORNADO          0       26  250.00          K       0           
## 50    TORNADO          0        3    2.50          K       0           
## 51    TORNADO          0        2    2.50          K       0           
## 52    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 53    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 54  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 55       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 56       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 57  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 58       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 59  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 60  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 61       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 62       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 63       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 64  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 65  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 66  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 67       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 68    TORNADO          0        1   25.00          K       0           
## 69  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 70    TORNADO          5       20    2.50          M       0           
## 71  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 72  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 73  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 74       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 75  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 76    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 77    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          K       0           
## 78    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 79    TORNADO          0        0    2.50          M       0           
## 80    TORNADO          0        5    2.50          M       0           
## 81  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 82       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 83  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 84  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 85  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 86  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 87  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 88       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 89       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 90    TORNADO          0        0   25.00          K       0           
## 91  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 92       HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 93  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 94    TORNADO         25      200    2.50          M       0           
## 95  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 96  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 97  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 98  TSTM WIND          0        0    0.00                  0           
## 99    TORNADO          0        2   25.00          K       0           
## 100      HAIL          0        0    0.00                  0           
##     PROPDMGNUM
## 1        25000
## 2         2500
## 3        25000
## 4         2500
## 5         2500
## 6         2500
## 7         2500
## 8         2500
## 9        25000
## 10       25000
## 11     2500000
## 12     2500000
## 13      250000
## 14           0
## 15       25000
## 16       25000
## 17       25000
## 18       25000
## 19       25000
## 20       25000
## 21       25000
## 22        2500
## 23        2500
## 24       25000
## 25       25000
## 26       25000
## 27       25000
## 28       25000
## 29       25000
## 30        2500
## 31        2500
## 32        2500
## 33       25000
## 34     2500000
## 35       25000
## 36      250000
## 37        2500
## 38       25000
## 39        2500
## 40       25000
## 41        2500
## 42       25000
## 43        2500
## 44       25000
## 45       25000
## 46          30
## 47       25000
## 48      250000
## 49      250000
## 50        2500
## 51        2500
## 52       25000
## 53       25000
## 54           0
## 55           0
## 56           0
## 57           0
## 58           0
## 59           0
## 60           0
## 61           0
## 62           0
## 63           0
## 64           0
## 65           0
## 66           0
## 67           0
## 68       25000
## 69           0
## 70     2500000
## 71           0
## 72           0
## 73           0
## 74           0
## 75           0
## 76        2500
## 77        2500
## 78       25000
## 79     2500000
## 80     2500000
## 81           0
## 82           0
## 83           0
## 84           0
## 85           0
## 86           0
## 87           0
## 88           0
## 89           0
## 90       25000
## 91           0
## 92           0
## 93           0
## 94     2500000
## 95           0
## 96           0
## 97           0
## 98           0
## 99       25000
## 100          0
# Convert H, K, M, B units to calculate Crop Damage

## create an empty column
tidyNOAA$CROPDMGNUM = 0

## assign correct values based on parameters
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "H", ]$CROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "H", ]$CROPDMG * 10^2
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "K", ]$CROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "K", ]$CROPDMG * 10^3
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "M", ]$CROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "M", ]$CROPDMG * 10^6
tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "B", ]$CROPDMGNUM = tidyNOAA[tidyNOAA$CROPDMGEXP == "B", ]$CROPDMG * 10^9

Question 1: Across the United States, which types of events (as indicated in the EVTYPE variable) are most harmful with respect to population health ?

# plot number of fatalities with the most harmful event type

fatalities <- aggregate(FATALITIES ~ EVTYPE, data=tidyNOAA, sum)

fatalities <- fatalities[order(-fatalities$FATALITIES), ][1:10, ]
fatalities$EVTYPE <- factor(fatalities$EVTYPE, levels = fatalities$EVTYPE)

ggplot(fatalities, aes(x = EVTYPE, y = FATALITIES)) + 
    geom_bar(stat = "identity", fill = "#32CD32", las = 3) + 
    theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1)) + 
    xlab("Event Type") + ylab("Fatalities") + ggtitle("Number of fatalities by top 10 Weather Events")
## Warning: Ignoring unknown parameters: las

# plot number of injuries with the most harmful event type

injuries <- aggregate(INJURIES ~ EVTYPE, data=tidyNOAA, sum)
injuries <- injuries[order(-injuries$INJURIES), ][1:10, ]
injuries$EVTYPE <- factor(injuries$EVTYPE, levels = injuries$EVTYPE)

ggplot(injuries, aes(x = EVTYPE, y = INJURIES)) + 
    geom_bar(stat = "identity", fill = "#32CD32", las = 3) + 
    theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1)) + 
    xlab("Event Type") + ylab("Injuries") + ggtitle("Number of injuries by top 10 Weather Events")
## Warning: Ignoring unknown parameters: las

Conclusion:

The weather event that causes the most harm to public health is Tornadoes. They have shown in the graphs above to be the largest cause of fatalities and injuries due to weather events in the United States.

Question 2: Across the United States, which types of events hae the greatest economic consequences?

# plot number of damages with the most harmful event type

damages <- aggregate(PROPDMGNUM + CROPDMGNUM ~ EVTYPE, data=tidyNOAA, sum)
names(damages) = c("EVTYPE", "TOTALDAMAGE")
damages <- damages[order(-damages$TOTALDAMAGE), ][1:10, ]
damages$EVTYPE <- factor(damages$EVTYPE, levels = damages$EVTYPE)

ggplot(damages, aes(x = EVTYPE, y = TOTALDAMAGE)) + 
    geom_bar(stat = "identity", fill = "#32CD32", las = 3) + 
    theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1)) + 
    xlab("Event Type") + ylab("Damages ($)") + ggtitle("Property & Crop Damages by top 10 Weather Events")
## Warning: Ignoring unknown parameters: las

Conslusion:

Flood is the event which have the greatest economic consequences.