Next Word Predictor: Data Science Capstone

Penny Wu
December 21, 2021

Overview

If you haven't tried out the app, go here to try it!

  • Predicts next word
  • Shows you top 1-3 possibilities
  • Can be used to string together continuous, sensible sentences (even with the limited amount of data it's using now)

How To Use the App

Instructions

Underlying Algorithm

  • N-gram model with “Stupid Backoff” (Brants et al 2007)
  • Checks if highest-order (in this case, n=4) n-gram has been seen. If not “degrades” to a lower-order model (n=3, 2); we would use even higher orders, but ShinyApps caps app size at 100mb
algorithm flow

Blazing Fast and Scaleable

  • The underlying code stores the n-gram and frequency tables in an SQLite database. N-gram queries use SQL, which is optimized for this type of table retrieval/lookup (can also be adapted for even larger production-scale databases like PostgreSQL)
  • “Stupid Backoff” is designed for scale. We're restricted to 100mb on ShinyApps, but the original paper trained on 2 trillion tokens
  • Stupid Backoff performance approaches more sophisticated models like Kneser-Ney as we increase amount of data
    • Here, we merely use 1.5% of the data provided by SwiftKey and Coursera to fit into the 100mb limit

Further Exploration

  • The code (for processing into a database and prediction) is available on GitHub
  • Further work can expand the main weakness of this approach: long-range context
    1. Current algorithm discards contextual information past 4-grams
    2. We can incorporate this into future work through clustering underlying training corpus/data and predicting what cluster the entire sentence would fall into
    3. This allows us to predict using ONLY the data subset that fits the long-range context of the sentence, while still preserving the performance characteristics of an n-gram and Stupid Backoff model