Background

The aorta is the main artery that carries oxygenated blood out of the heart to the body. With coarctation of the aorta, a portion of the aorta is too narrow, resulting in reduced blood flow, most commonly to the lower body. [1] Symptoms develop soon after birth and may include congestive heart failure or high blood pressure. [2] A coarctation obstruction can be treated by various surgeries and procedures that remove, bypass, or repair the narrow section of the aorta. [3] Causes of coarctation of the aorta, among newborns are unknown. However, coarctation of the aorta and other heart defects like it are thought to be caused by a combination of genetic and environmental factors. [4]


Epidemiology

Alaska Birth Defects Registry (ABDR) registers birth defects as reported from health care providers using International Classification of Disease (ICD) billing codes. The use of these ICD codes can lead to misclassification of diagnosed conditions. Prior to this report, all prevalence estimates were based on the number of unique children reported to ABDR with an ICD code representing a specified condition regardless of case confirmation status.

The estimates in this report were derived by conducting medical record review and case confirmation of a random sample of cases of the condition reported to ABDR. The confirmation probability from the sample was used to develop informed estimates of the actual diagnosed defect prevalence. See Defect prevalence calculation.

For explanations of table columns see Column descriptions.

Prevalence

Coarctation of the Aorta occurs in about 4 out of every 10,000 live births in the United States. This results in about 2,200 babies diagnosed with Coarctation of the Aorta nationally each year.[4]

In Alaska, during 2007-2017, the prevalence of Coarctation at the Aorta was 2.7 per 10,000 live births.
Reports Defects Births Prevalence (95% CI)
Total 58 33.9 123630 2.7 (1.9, 3.7)
Notes: 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval

Trend

Prevalence per 10,000 births of Coarctation at the Aorta during 2007-2017 by five-year moving averages, with 95% confidence interval band and Poisson estimated fitted line.
Reports Defects Births Prevalence (95% CI) Predicted Prevalence†
2007-2011 7.0 4.1 11404.7 3.6 (1.4, 8.4) 3.6
2008-2012 7.0 4.1 11354.0 3.6 (1.4, 8.4) 3.4
2009-2013 6.7 3.9 11349.0 3.4 (1.4, 8.4) 3.2
2010-2014 4.0 2.4 11334.7 2.1 (0.6, 6.3) 3.0
2011-2015 6.0 3.5 11377.3 3.1 (1.0, 7.6) 2.8
2012-2016 4.7 2.8 11295.0 2.4 (0.6, 6.3) 2.7
2013-2017 5.3 3.1 10979.7 2.8 (0.7, 7.0) 2.5
Notes: Each row is based on five-year moving averages; Prevalence reported per 10,000 live births; 95% CI=95% Confidence Interval

† Estimated rate based on Poisson model
The p-value test for trend detected no significant increase or decrease in the number of live births with Coarctation at the Aorta during 2007-2017. See p-value estimate
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
-0.05823 0.03116 -1.86887 0.12059

Regional Distribution

Distribution of Coarctation at the Aorta in Alaska by Public Health Region of maternal residence at the time of birth. A description of regional breakdowns can be found here. Data suppressed for # of reports < 6.
Reports Defects Births Prevalence (95% CI)
Anchorage 22 12.9 50455 2.6 (1.4, 4.2)
Gulf Coast 9 5.2 7725 6.8 (2.9, 15.1)
Interior 8 4.7 22487 2.1 (0.7, 4.6)
Mat-Su 9 5.3 14937 3.5 (1.5, 7.8)
Northern - - 8520 -
Southeast - - 7625 -
Southwest 6 3.5 11881 3 (0.9, 7.4)
Notes:Prevalence reported per 10,000 live births; Data suppressed for # of reports < 6; 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval

Demographics

Some subgroups may be more at risk for having a baby with Coarctation at the Aorta. This section provides the descriptive epidemiology of specified maternal, birth, and child characteristics identified from the birth certificate.

Reports Defects Births Prevalence (95% CI)
Sex
  Female 24 14.1 59998 2.4 (1.4, 3.9)
  Male 34 19.9 63632 3.1 (1.9, 4.7)
Birth weight (grams)
  <2500 13 7.5 7231 10.4 (4.8, 20.0)
  2500+ 45 26.4 116215 2.3 (1.5, 3.3)
Maternal age
  12-19 - - 9156 -
  20-24 18 10.5 32872 3.2 (1.7, 5.6)
  25-29 19 11.1 37743 2.9 (1.6, 5.2)
  30-34 12 7 28152 2.5 (1.2, 5.1)
  35-39 - - 12614 -
  40+ - - 3064 -
Maternal race
  Alaska Native/American Indian 16 9.4 31560 3.0 (1.5, 5.4)
  Asian/Pacific Islander - - 11810 -
  Black - - 5081 -
  White 36 21.1 73595 2.9 (1.9, 4.4)
Maternal education (years)
  <12 15 8.7 11929 7.3 (3.5, 13.2)
  12 22 12.9 43162 3.0 (1.6, 4.9)
  12+ 20 11.8 65105 1.8 (0.9, 3.0)
Marital status
  Married 34 19.9 78396 2.5 (1.6, 3.8)
  Unmarried 22 12.9 44625 2.9 (1.6, 4.7)
Maternal smoking use
  Reported smoking 7 4.1 16817 2.4 (1.0, 6.1)
  Reported not smoking 49 28.7 104707 2.7 (1.9, 3.9)
Medicaid (mother or child)
  Medicaid 42 24.5 62666 3.9 (2.6, 5.7)
  non-Medicaid 15 8.9 60839 1.5 (0.7, 2.6)
Father on birth certificate
  None 9 5.2 6328 8.2 (3.5, 18.4)
  Present 49 28.7 117302 2.5 (1.7, 3.5)
Notes: Prevalence reported per 10,000 live births; Data suppressed for # of reports < 6; 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval

Technical notes

Column descriptions

# Reports: Unless otherwise noted, the number of unique reports of the defect received by ABDR during the specified birth year(s). Each report represents a unique child with the specified defect.

# Defects: The estimated true number of reports that are diagnosed defects based on medical record review and case confirmation.

# Births: The number of live births among Alaskan residents that occurred in Alaska during the specified birth year(s).

Prevalence (95% CI): The estimated diagnosed prevalence of the condition and corresponding 95% Confidence Interval. (For information on how the defect prevalence was estimated see below).

Defect prevalence calculation

The estimated defect prevalence was calculated using a Bayesian approach based on the reported prevalence, PPV and 1-NPV (see formula below).

Through medical records review and case confirmation of a random sample of reported cases, the defect prevalence is calculated as:

\[PPV (Positive Predictive Value) = p(defect|report)\] \[NPV (Negative Predictive Value) = p(\overline{defect}|\overline{report})\]

\[p(defect) \approx [p(report)\cdot PPV]+[p(\overline{report})\cdot (1-NPV)]\]

Defect prevalence estimates are a more accurate estimation of the actual diagnosed prevalance of birth defects compared to the reported prevalance estimates in Alaska. ABDR obtains reports from medical providers using International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes that are extracted from individual systems which when aggregated may not reflect true diagnostics. Caution should be used when interpreting and comparing the reported prevalence estimates with national estimates.

See Data analysis methods for more information.

P-value estimate

To evaluate the trend over time and account for under/over-dispersion we constructed a quasi-Poisson regression model. This model assumes the variance is a linear function of the mean and models the estimated number of annual defects by year with a natural log (ln) offset of the annual births. P-values < 0.05 are considered significant, which indicates that the predicted slope is significantly different from a slope of zero.

Data suppression

For region and demographic data tables, values are suppressed based on the number of reports received during the observation period. Counts less than 6 are suppressed (as indicated by ‘-’ in the table). For regions or demographics with only one cell count suppressed a second is suppressed to eliminate the ability to back-calculate the estimate.

References

[1] Coarctation of the Aorta | Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. (2021). Retrieved 22 January 2021, from https://www.chop.edu/conditions-diseases/coarctation-aorta

[2] Coarctation of the Aorta (CoA). (2021). Retrieved 22 January 2021, from https://www.heart.org/en/health-topics/congenital-heart-defects/about-congenital-heart-defects/coarctation-of-the-aorta-coa

[3] Coarctation of the aorta - Symptoms and causes. (2021). Retrieved 22 January 2021, from https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coarctation-of-the-aorta/symptoms-causes/syc-20352529

[4] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Congenital Heart Defects - Facts about Coarctation of the Aorta | CDC. (2019). Retrieved 6 March 2021, from https://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/heartdefects/coarctationofaorta.html

Authorship

Maternal and Child Health (MCH) senior epidemiologist Dr. Jared Parrish, PhD conceived of the presented analysis. Alaska Birth Defects Registry program manager and epidemiologist Chris Barnett, MS MPH and Dr. Jared Parrish, PhD developed the theory and performed the computations. Research analysts Monica Mills and Jordyn Lord managed the project and data storage. Pediatric cardiologist Dr. James Christiansen, MD performed defect confirmations and provided medical consultation. All authors discussed the results and contributed to the final report.

Suggested Citation

State of Alaska Department of Health and Social Services, Division of Public Health, Section of Women’s, Children’s, and Family Health. Alaska Birth Defects Registry Condition Report: Coarctation of the Aorta, Alaska, 2007-2017. Updated June 22, 2021. Available at: http://rpubs.com/AK_ABDR/Coarctation of the Aorta/07_17.

Contact

Alaska Birth Defects Registry (ABDR)
3601 C Street, Suite 358
Anchorage, AK 99503
(907) 269-3400 phone
(907) 754-3529 fax

Updated: June 22, 2021
Code source: R:\ABDR\Analysis_New\ABDR_CASECONF\cond_reports\Published_reports\Coarctation_Aorta07_17.Rmd