DATA 606 Project Presentation
Bikram Barua
12/9/2021
Abstract
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- Bullet 1
- Bullet 2
- Bullet 3
Introduction
Myth or Fact: Do more Women Go into Labor During a Full Moon ?
Compare the birth counts a day prior and after the full moon with other days.
Do you see any difference? Can we draw any inference bsaed on the data? Null hypothesis test between births and full moon nights.
Ref: https://www.dukehealth.org/blog/myth-or-fact-more-women-go-labor-during-full-moon
US Birth Data
| year | month | date_of_month | day_of_week | births |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9083 |
| 2000 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8006 |
| 2000 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11363 |
| 2000 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13032 |
| 2000 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12558 |
| 2000 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12466 |
| 2000 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 12516 |
| 2000 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8934 |
| 2000 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7949 |
| 2000 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 11668 |
| 2000 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 12611 |
| 2000 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 12398 |
| 2000 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 11815 |
| 2000 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 12180 |
| 2000 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 8525 |
| 2000 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 7657 |
| 2000 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 10824 |
| 2000 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 12350 |
| 2000 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 12405 |
| 2000 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 12506 |
| 2000 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 11953 |
| 2000 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 8855 |
| 2000 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 7856 |
| 2000 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 11449 |
| 2000 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 12593 |
Full Moon Days
| Day | Date |
|---|---|
| Monday | 15 January 1900 |
| Wednesday | 14 February 1900 |
| Friday | 16 March 1900 |
| Sunday | 15 April 1900 |
| Monday | 14 May 1900 |
| Wednesday | 13 June 1900 |
| Thursday | 12 July 1900 |
| Friday | 10 August 1900 |
| Sunday | 9 September 1900 |
| Monday | 8 October 1900 |
| Tuesday | 6 November 1900 |
| Thursday | 6 December 1900 |
| Saturday | 5 January 1901 |
| Sunday | 3 February 1901 |
| Tuesday | 5 March 1901 |
| Thursday | 4 April 1901 |
| Friday | 3 May 1901 |
| Sunday | 2 June 1901 |
| Tuesday | 2 July 1901 |
| Wednesday | 31 July 1901 |
| Thursday | 29 August 1901 |
| Saturday | 28 September 1901 |
| Sunday | 27 October 1901 |
| Tuesday | 26 November 1901 |
| Wednesday | 25 December 1901 |
Format Full Moon Data
Split Date description into Date, Month and Year
| FM_Day | FM_Full_Date | FM_Date | FM_Month | FM_Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 15 January 1900 | 15 | 1 | 1900 |
| Wednesday | 14 February 1900 | 14 | 2 | 1900 |
| Friday | 16 March 1900 | 16 | 3 | 1900 |
| Sunday | 15 April 1900 | 15 | 4 | 1900 |
| Monday | 14 May 1900 | 14 | 5 | 1900 |
| Wednesday | 13 June 1900 | 13 | 6 | 1900 |
| Thursday | 12 July 1900 | 12 | 7 | 1900 |
| Friday | 10 August 1900 | 10 | 8 | 1900 |
| Sunday | 9 September 1900 | 9 | 9 | 1900 |
| Monday | 8 October 1900 | 8 | 10 | 1900 |
| Tuesday | 6 November 1900 | 6 | 11 | 1900 |
| Thursday | 6 December 1900 | 6 | 12 | 1900 |
| Saturday | 5 January 1901 | 5 | 1 | 1901 |
| Sunday | 3 February 1901 | 3 | 2 | 1901 |
| Tuesday | 5 March 1901 | 5 | 3 | 1901 |
| Thursday | 4 April 1901 | 4 | 4 | 1901 |
| Friday | 3 May 1901 | 3 | 5 | 1901 |
| Sunday | 2 June 1901 | 2 | 6 | 1901 |
| Tuesday | 2 July 1901 | 2 | 7 | 1901 |
| Wednesday | 31 July 1901 | 31 | 7 | 1901 |
| Thursday | 29 August 1901 | 29 | 8 | 1901 |
| Saturday | 28 September 1901 | 28 | 9 | 1901 |
| Sunday | 27 October 1901 | 27 | 10 | 1901 |
| Tuesday | 26 November 1901 | 26 | 11 | 1901 |
| Wednesday | 25 December 1901 | 25 | 12 | 1901 |
Highest Birth Count By Year (Top 6)
Group By Year, Sum of births and sorted descending
| year | sum |
|---|---|
| 2007 | 4380784 |
| 2006 | 4335154 |
| 2008 | 4310737 |
| 2005 | 4211941 |
| 2009 | 4190991 |
| 2004 | 4186863 |
Year 2007 has highest number of births
Mean birth count by month
| month | mean |
|---|---|
| 1 | 11629.71 |
| 2 | 11843.46 |
| 3 | 11802.84 |
| 4 | 11432.70 |
| 5 | 11854.55 |
| 6 | 12116.20 |
| 7 | 12414.87 |
| 8 | 12785.65 |
| 9 | 12425.80 |
| 10 | 12105.55 |
| 11 | 11977.83 |
| 12 | 11619.45 |
[1] "Total Births(mean) in 2007 is 144008.61"
[1] "Mean Birth per day in 2007 is 12000.72"
Full Moon Births in 2007
Year 2007 has highest number of births
| year | month | date_of_month | day_of_week | births | FM_Day | FM_Full_Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13687 | Wednesday | 3 January 2007 |
| 2007 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13305 | Friday | 2 February 2007 |
| 2007 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7566 | Sunday | 4 March 2007 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12450 | Monday | 2 April 2007 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13325 | Wednesday | 2 May 2007 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13714 | Friday | 1 June 2007 |
| 2007 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 9016 | Saturday | 30 June 2007 |
| 2007 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 13439 | Monday | 30 July 2007 |
| 2007 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 14959 | Tuesday | 28 August 2007 |
| 2007 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 14417 | Wednesday | 26 September 2007 |
| 2007 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 13223 | Friday | 26 October 2007 |
| 2007 | 11 | 24 | 6 | 8380 | Saturday | 24 November 2007 |
| 2007 | 12 | 24 | 1 | 7727 | Monday | 24 December 2007 |
[1] "Mean Birth per full moon day in 2007 is 12934.00"
Test differences in means
One of the most common statistical tasks is to compare an outcome between two groups.
Data Analysis
