Red Mullet

Figure 1. Time series, with MSY estimated with a Beverton and Holt stock recruitment relationship.

Figure 2. Reference case projections, for Status Quo, at \(F_{0.1}\) and \(F_{MSY}\).

Figure 3. Production functions and reference points for 50% increase in M from 2020 onwards, points show \(F_{0.1}\) (dashed) and \(F_{MSY}\) (solid).

Figure 4. Regime shift of 50% increase in M from 2020 onwards, for status quo, at \(F_{0.1}\) and \(F_{MSY}\).

Figure 5. Estimates of future SSB for forecasted fishing at \(F_{0.1}\), under the climate change and shock scenarios.

Figure 6. Estimates of future Yield for forecasted fishing at \(F_{0.1}\), under the climate change and shock scenarios.

Figure 7. Summary metrics: A) Minimum stock level reached after the shock compared to initial level; B) Number of years between the shock and the minimum observed stock level; C) Probability of SSB falling below 40% of BMSY; D) Probability that stock level is at or above BMSY in 2030; E) Number of year to reach BMSY

Hake

Figure 8. Time series, with MSY estimated with a Beverton and Holt stock recruitment relationship.

Figure 9. Reference case projections, for Satus Quo, \(F_{0.1}\) and \(F_{MSY}\).

Figure 10. Production functions and reference points for 50% increase in M from 2020 onwards, points show \(F_{0.1}\) (dashed) and \(F_{MSY}\) (solid).

Figure 11. Regime shift of 50% increase in M from 2020 onwards, for status quo, at \(F_{0.1}\) and \(F_{MSY}\).

Figure 12. Estimates of future SSB for forecasted fishing at \(F_{0.1}\), under the climate change and shock scenarios.

Figure 13. Estimates of future SSB for forecasted fishing at Status Quo, under the climate change and shock scenarios.

Metrics

Figure 14. Summary metrics: A) Minimum stock level reached after the shock compared to initial level; B) Number of years between the shock and the minimum observed stock level; C) Probability of SSB falling below 40% of BMSY; D) Probability that stock level is at or above BMSY in 2030; E) Number of year to reach BMSY

Bigeye

   
        1     2     3     4   all
  1 45576     0     0     0 45576
  2     0 45576     0     0 45576
  3     0     0 45576     0 45576
  4     0     0     0 45576 45576

Yellowfin

   
        1     2     3     4   all
  1 10656     0     0     0 10656
  2     0 10656     0     0 10656
  3     0     0 10656     0 10656
  4     0     0     0 10656 10656

Software Versions

Author information

Laurence KELL.