Plot A: The M750 Time Series

Some basic forecasting models developed: ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing, Linear Regression, and MARS (Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines)

Plot B: Testing Set Forecast & Accuracy Evaluation

Plot C: Refit to Full Dataset & Forecast Forward

Table 1: Accuracy Metrics

Source of the data: M Open Forecasting Center (MOFC), the 750th Monthly Time Series used in the M4 Competition, Business Science.io