1 Changes from previous version

Added digital ID dummy to the final two coverage regressions to create two new regressions
Added regression of average benefit on coverage alone

2 Coverage regressions


	Dependent variable:

	coverage
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)	(7)	(8)	(9)	(10)

rGDPg2020	-0.023^***		-0.019^***		-0.011^**		-0.010^*		-0.010^*
	(0.006)		(0.006)		(0.005)		(0.005)		(0.005)

log_deaths		0.032		0.030		0.003		0.031		0.030
		(0.020)		(0.020)		(0.019)		(0.021)		(0.020)

dig_id			0.334^***	0.343^***					0.116	-0.008
			(0.080)	(0.095)					(0.091)	(0.080)

dig_reg					0.377^***	0.413^***	0.357^***	0.245^***	0.317^***	0.246^***
					(0.062)	(0.063)	(0.055)	(0.072)	(0.068)	(0.076)

eap							0.285^***	0.313^***	0.285^***	0.311^***
							(0.090)	(0.102)	(0.091)	(0.105)

log_gdp								0.091^**		0.093^**
								(0.042)		(0.044)

regionECA								-0.206^***		-0.207^**
								(0.078)		(0.081)

regionLAC								0.017		0.017
								(0.084)		(0.083)

regionMENA								-0.135		-0.136
								(0.092)		(0.095)

regionSAR								0.031		0.031
								(0.105)		(0.106)

regionSSA


Constant	0.240^***	0.207^**	0.033	-0.016	0.097^***	0.108	0.065^**	-0.726^**	0.008	-0.737^**
	(0.033)	(0.088)	(0.052)	(0.068)	(0.031)	(0.066)	(0.025)	(0.300)	(0.037)	(0.311)


Observations	83	89	83	83	83	83	83	82	83	82
R²	0.151	0.039	0.283	0.220	0.470	0.439	0.577	0.648	0.590	0.648
Adjusted R²	0.140	0.028	0.265	0.200	0.457	0.425	0.561	0.609	0.569	0.604
Residual Std. Error	0.293 (df = 81)	0.317 (df = 87)	0.271 (df = 80)	0.283 (df = 80)	0.233 (df = 80)	0.240 (df = 80)	0.209 (df = 79)	0.198 (df = 73)	0.208 (df = 78)	0.199 (df = 72)
F Statistic	14.375^*** (df = 1; 81)	3.569^* (df = 1; 87)	15.789^*** (df = 2; 80)	11.254^*** (df = 2; 80)	35.530^*** (df = 2; 80)	31.311^*** (df = 2; 80)	35.990^*** (df = 3; 79)	16.789^*** (df = 8; 73)	28.044^*** (df = 4; 78)	14.722^*** (df = 9; 72)

Note:	p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

3 Spending regressions


	Dependent variable:

	spending
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)

pre_spending	0.003^***	0.002^***	0.003^**	0.002
	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)

expansion		0.020^***		0.021^***
		(0.005)		(0.005)

non_ct_spending			0.038	0.073
			(0.067)	(0.058)

Constant	0.005^***	0.001	0.004^**	0.0002
	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.002)	(0.001)


Observations	61	60	61	60
R²	0.156	0.405	0.162	0.428
Adjusted R²	0.142	0.384	0.133	0.398
Residual Std. Error	0.008 (df = 59)	0.007 (df = 57)	0.008 (df = 58)	0.007 (df = 56)
F Statistic	10.896^*** (df = 1; 59)	19.426^*** (df = 2; 57)	5.618^*** (df = 2; 58)	13.988^*** (df = 3; 56)

Note:	p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

4 Average benefit


	Dependent variable:

	avg_ben
	(1)	(2)	(3)

log_gdp	-0.006^**		-0.006^*
	(0.003)		(0.003)

coverage		-0.012	-0.002
		(0.008)	(0.008)

Constant	0.076^***	0.027^***	0.073^**
	(0.026)	(0.005)	(0.028)


Observations	61	61	61
R²	0.089	0.041	0.090
Adjusted R²	0.073	0.024	0.058
Residual Std. Error	0.018 (df = 59)	0.018 (df = 59)	0.018 (df = 58)
F Statistic	5.755^** (df = 1; 59)	2.493 (df = 1; 59)	2.860^* (df = 2; 58)

Note:	p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01