1 Changes from previous version

Made the following manual changes to the dataset:

  • Jamaica and Mauritius coded as having digital registrations
  • Kenya and Sri Lanka coded as having manual registrations

2 Coverage regressions

Dependent variable:
coverage
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
pre_coverage 1.147*** 1.055*** 1.105*** 0.955*** 1.018*** 0.784*** 0.830*** 0.645*** 0.640***
(0.117) (0.114) (0.119) (0.123) (0.124) (0.132) (0.144) (0.143) (0.130)
rGDPg2020 -0.010** -0.009** -0.006 -0.006
(0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004)
log_deaths 0.032** 0.026* 0.010 0.040***
(0.015) (0.015) (0.014) (0.012)
dig_id 0.184*** 0.159**
(0.068) (0.072)
dig_reg 0.244*** 0.239*** 0.255*** 0.203***
(0.063) (0.066) (0.058) (0.058)
eap 0.179** 0.290***
(0.084) (0.075)
Constant 0.131*** 0.112*** 0.025 0.010 -0.044 0.052** 0.030 0.040* -0.070*
(0.028) (0.026) (0.051) (0.042) (0.049) (0.024) (0.045) (0.021) (0.037)
Observations 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83
R2 0.506 0.533 0.546 0.569 0.572 0.642 0.637 0.679 0.706
Adjusted R2 0.499 0.521 0.535 0.553 0.556 0.628 0.623 0.662 0.691
Residual Std. Error 0.224 (df = 81) 0.219 (df = 80) 0.216 (df = 80) 0.211 (df = 79) 0.211 (df = 79) 0.193 (df = 79) 0.194 (df = 79) 0.184 (df = 78) 0.176 (df = 78)
F Statistic 82.817*** (df = 1; 81) 45.589*** (df = 2; 80) 48.158*** (df = 2; 80) 34.817*** (df = 3; 79) 35.259*** (df = 3; 79) 47.176*** (df = 3; 79) 46.173*** (df = 3; 79) 41.201*** (df = 4; 78) 46.745*** (df = 4; 78)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

3 Spending regressions

Dependent variable:
coverage
(1) (2) (3) (4)
pre_spending 0.116*** 0.079*** 0.110*** 0.052
(0.027) (0.027) (0.040) (0.032)
expansion 0.993*** 1.021***
(0.092) (0.088)
non_ct_spending 0.538 2.233
(1.954) (1.437)
Constant 0.284*** 0.116*** 0.276*** 0.078**
(0.042) (0.032) (0.048) (0.031)
Observations 61 60 61 60
R2 0.161 0.666 0.162 0.683
Adjusted R2 0.146 0.655 0.133 0.666
Residual Std. Error 0.280 (df = 59) 0.178 (df = 57) 0.282 (df = 58) 0.175 (df = 56)
F Statistic 11.287*** (df = 1; 59) 56.917*** (df = 2; 57) 5.589*** (df = 2; 58) 40.285*** (df = 3; 56)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01