Nuevas funciones package descomponer 1.2

Francisco Parra Rodríguez

Documento tecnico:

http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/07/29/estimacion-con-parametros-dependientes-del-tiempo/

Niveles de significación para el test de Durbin(1969) :

X0.1 <- c(0.4  ,0.35044  ,0.35477   ,0.33435    ,0.31556    ,0.30244    ,0.28991    ,0.27828    ,0.26794    ,0.25884    ,0.25071    ,0.24325    ,0.23639    ,0.2301 ,0.2243 ,0.21895    ,0.21397    ,0.20933    ,0.20498    ,0.20089    ,0.19705    ,0.19343    ,0.19001    ,0.18677    ,0.1837 ,0.18077    ,0.17799    ,0.17037    ,0.1728 ,0.17037    ,0.16805    ,0.16582    ,0.16368    ,0.16162    ,0.15964    ,0.15774    ,0.1559 ,0.15413    ,0.15242    ,0.15076    ,0.14916    ,0.14761    ,0.14011    ,0.14466    ,0.14325    ,0.14188    ,0.14055    ,0.13926    ,0.138  ,0.13678    ,0.13559    ,0.13443    ,0.133  ,0.13221    ,0.13113    ,0.13009    ,0.12907    ,0.12807    ,0.1271 ,0.12615    ,0.12615    ,0.12431    ,0.12431    ,0.12255    ,0.12255    ,0.12087    ,0.12087    ,0.11926    ,0.11926    ,0.11771    ,0.11771    ,0.11622    ,0.11622    ,0.11479    ,0.11479    ,0.11341    ,0.11341    ,0.11208    ,0.11208    ,0.11079    ,0.11079    ,0.10955    ,0.10955    ,0.10835    ,0.10835    ,0.10719    ,0.10719    ,0.10607    ,0.10607    ,0.10499    ,0.10499    ,0.10393    ,0.10393    ,0.10291    ,0.10291    ,0.10192    ,0.10192    ,0.10096    ,0.10096    ,0.10002)

X0.05 <- c(0.45,0.44306,0.41811,0.39075 ,0.37359    ,0.35522    ,0.33905    ,0.32538    ,0.31325    ,0.30221    ,0.29227    ,0.2833 ,0.27515    ,0.26767    ,0.26077    ,0.25439    ,0.24847    ,0.24296    ,0.23781    ,0.23298    ,0.22844    ,0.22416    ,0.22012    ,0.2163 ,0.21268    ,0.20924    ,0.20596    ,0.20283    ,0.19985    ,0.197  ,0.19427    ,0.19166    ,0.18915    ,0.18674    ,0.18442    ,0.18218    ,0.18003    ,0.17796    ,0.17595    ,0.17402    ,0.17215    ,0.17034    ,0.16858    ,0.16688    ,0.16524    ,0.16364    ,0.16208    ,0.16058    ,0.15911    ,0.15769    ,0.1563 ,0.15495    ,0.15363    ,0.15235    ,0.1511 ,0.14989    ,0.1487 ,0.14754    ,0.14641    ,0.1453 ,0.1453 ,0.14361    ,0.14361    ,0.14112    ,0.14112    ,0.13916    ,0.13916    ,0.13728    ,0.13728    ,0.13548    ,0.13548    ,0.13375    ,0.13375    ,0.13208    ,0.13208    ,0.13048    ,0.13048    ,0.12894    ,0.12894    ,0.12745    ,0.12745    ,0.12601    ,0.12601    ,0.12464    ,0.12464    ,0.12327    ,0.12327    ,0.12197    ,0.12197    ,0.12071    ,0.12071    ,0.11949    ,0.11949    ,0.11831    ,0.11831    ,0.11716    ,0.11716    ,0.11604    ,0.11604    ,0.11496)

X0.025 <- c(0.475   ,0.50855    ,0.46702    ,0.44641    ,0.42174    ,0.40045    ,0.38294    ,0.3697 ,0.35277    ,0.34022    ,0.32894    ,0.31869    ,
0.30935 ,0.30081    ,0.29296    ,0.2857 ,0.27897    ,0.2727 ,0.26685    ,0.26137    ,0.25622    ,0.25136    ,0.24679    ,0.24245    ,0.23835    ,0.23445    ,0.23074    ,0.22721    ,0.22383    ,0.22061    ,0.21752    ,0.21457    ,0.21173    ,0.20901    ,0.20639    ,0.20337    ,0.20144    ,0.1991 ,0.19684    ,0.19465    ,0.19254    ,0.1905 ,0.18852    ,0.18661    ,0.18475    ,0.18205    ,0.1812 ,0.1795 ,0.17785    ,0.17624    ,0.17468    ,0.17361    ,0.17168    ,0.17024    ,0.16884    ,0.16748    ,0.16613    ,0.16482    ,0.16355    ,0.1623 ,0.1623 ,0.1599 ,0.1599 ,0.1576 ,0.1576 ,0.1554 ,0.1554 ,0.15329    ,0.15329    ,0.15127    ,0.15127    ,0.14932    ,0.14932    ,0.14745    ,0.14745    ,0.14565    ,0.14565    ,0.14392    ,0.14392    ,0.14224    ,0.14224    ,0.14063    ,0.14063    ,0.13907    ,0.13907    ,0.13756    ,0.13756    ,0.1361 ,0.1361 ,0.13468    ,0.13468    ,0.13331    ,0.13331    ,0.13198    ,0.13198    ,0.1307 ,0.1307 ,0.12944    ,0.12944    ,0.12823)

X0.01 <- c(  0.49   ,0.56667    ,0.53456    ,0.50495    ,0.47629    ,0.4544 ,0.43337    ,0.41522    ,0.39922    ,0.38481    ,0.37187    ,0.36019    ,0.34954    ,0.3398 ,0.33083    ,0.32256    ,0.31489    ,0.30775    ,0.30108    ,0.29484    ,0.28898    ,0.28346    ,0.27825    ,0.27333    ,0.26866    ,0.26423    ,0.26001    ,0.256  ,0.25217    ,0.24851    ,0.24501    ,0.24165    ,0.23843    ,0.23534    ,0.23237    ,0.22951    ,0.22676    ,0.2241 ,0.22154    ,0.21906    ,0.21667    ,0.21436    ,0.21212    ,0.20995    ,0.20785    ,0.20581    ,0.20383    ,0.2119 ,0.20003    ,0.19822    ,0.19645    ,0.19473    ,0.19305    ,0.19142    ,0.18983    ,0.18828    ,0.18677    ,0.18529    ,0.18385    ,0.18245    ,0.18245    ,0.17973    ,0.17973    ,0.17713    ,0.17713    ,0.17464    ,0.17464    ,0.17226    ,0.17226    ,0.16997    ,0.16997    ,0.16777    ,0.16777    ,0.16566    ,0.16566    ,0.16363    ,0.16363    ,0.16167    ,0.16167    ,0.15978    ,0.15978    ,0.15795    ,0.15795    ,0.15619    ,0.15619    ,0.15449    ,0.15449    ,0.15284    ,0.15284    ,0.15124    ,0.15124    ,0.1497 ,0.1497 ,0.1482 ,0.1482 ,0.14674    ,0.14674    ,0.14533    ,0.14533    ,0.14396)

X0.005 <- c(0.495   ,0.59596    ,0.579  ,0.5421 ,0.51576    ,0.48988    ,0.4671 ,0.44819    ,0.43071    ,0.41517    ,0.40122    ,0.38856    ,0.37703    ,0.36649    ,0.35679    ,0.34784    ,0.33953    ,0.33181    ,0.32459    ,0.31784    ,0.31149    ,0.30552    ,0.29989    ,0.29456    ,0.28951    ,0.28472    ,0.28016    ,0.27582    ,0.27168    ,0.26772    ,0.26393    ,0.2603 ,0.25348    ,0.25348    ,0.25027    ,0.24718    ,0.24421    ,0.24134    ,0.23857    ,0.23589    ,0.2331 ,0.23081    ,0.22839    ,0.22605    ,0.22377    ,0.22377    ,0.21943    ,0.21753    ,0.21534    ,0.21337    ,0.21146    ,0.20961    ,0.2078 ,0.20604    ,0.20432    ,0.20265    ,0.20101    ,0.19942    ,0.19786    ,0.19635    ,0.19635    ,0.19341    ,0.19341    ,0.19061    ,0.19061    ,0.18792    ,0.18792    ,0.18534    ,0.18534    ,0.18288    ,0.18288    ,0.18051    ,0.18051    ,0.17823    ,0.17823    ,0.17188    ,0.17188    ,0.17392    ,0.17392    ,0.17188    ,0.17188    ,0.16992    ,0.16992    ,0.16802    ,0.16802    ,0.16618    ,0.16618    ,0.1644 ,0.1644 ,0.16268    ,0.16268    ,0.16101    ,0.16101    ,0.1594 ,0.1594 ,0.15783    ,0.15783    ,0.15631    ,0.15631    ,0.15483)
 

TestD <- data.frame(X0.1,X0.05,X0.025,X0.01,X0.005)

Packages necesarios:

library(taRifx)
## Warning: package 'taRifx' was built under R version 3.2.3
library(vars)
## Warning: package 'vars' was built under R version 3.2.5
## Loading required package: MASS
## Loading required package: strucchange
## Warning: package 'strucchange' was built under R version 3.2.5
## Loading required package: zoo
## Warning: package 'zoo' was built under R version 3.2.3
## 
## Attaching package: 'zoo'
## 
## The following objects are masked from 'package:base':
## 
##     as.Date, as.Date.numeric
## 
## Loading required package: sandwich
## Warning: package 'sandwich' was built under R version 3.2.5
## Loading required package: urca
## Warning: package 'urca' was built under R version 3.2.5
## Loading required package: lmtest
## Warning: package 'lmtest' was built under R version 3.2.5
library (TSA)
## Warning: package 'TSA' was built under R version 3.2.5
## Loading required package: leaps
## Warning: package 'leaps' was built under R version 3.2.4
## Loading required package: locfit
## Warning: package 'locfit' was built under R version 3.2.5
## locfit 1.5-9.1    2013-03-22
## Loading required package: mgcv
## Loading required package: nlme
## This is mgcv 1.8-7. For overview type 'help("mgcv-package")'.
## Loading required package: tseries
## Warning: package 'tseries' was built under R version 3.2.3
## 
## Attaching package: 'TSA'
## 
## The following objects are masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     acf, arima
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:utils':
## 
##     tar
library(sapa)
## Warning: package 'sapa' was built under R version 3.2.5
library(bspec)
## Warning: package 'bspec' was built under R version 3.2.3
## 
## Attaching package: 'bspec'
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:TSA':
## 
##     acf
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:stats':
## 
##     acf
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:base':
## 
##     sample
library(psd)
## Warning: package 'psd' was built under R version 3.2.5
## Loaded psd (1.0.1) -- Adaptive multitaper spectrum estimation
## 
## Attaching package: 'psd'
## 
## The following object is masked from 'package:TSA':
## 
##     prewhiten

Función gdf(a)

Transforma los datos del dominio del tiempo al dominio de la frecuencia pre-multiplicandolos por la matriz ortogonal,\(W\), sugerida por Harvey (1978)

Nerlove (1964) y Granger (1969) fueron los primeros investigadores en aplicar el analisis espectral a las series de tiempo en economía. El uso del analisis espectral requiere un cambio en el modo de ver las series económicas, al pasaser de la perspectiva del tiempo al dominio de la frecuencia. El analisis espectral parte de la supsición de que cuanquier serie {Xt}, puede ser transformada en ciclos formados con senos u cosenos:

\(X_t=\eta+\sum_{j=1}^N[a_j\cos(2\pi\frac{ft}n)+b_j\sin(2\pi\frac{ft}n)]\) (1)

donde \(\eta\) es la media de la serie, \(a_j\) y \(b_j\) son su amplitud,\(f\) son las frecuencias que del conjunto de las \(n\) observaciones,\(t\) es un indice de tiempo que va de 1 a N, siendo N el numero de periodos para los cuales tenemos observaciones en el conjunto de datos, el cociente \(\frac{ft}n)\) convierte cada valor de \(t\) en escala de tiempo en proporciones de \(2n\) y rango \(j\) desde \(1\) hasta \(n\) siendo \(n=\frac{N}2\) (es decir, 0,5 ciclos por intervalo de tiempo). Las dinámica de las altas frecuencias (los valores más altos de f) corresponden a los ciclos cortos en tanto que la dinámica de la bajas frecuencias (pequeños valores de f) van a corresponder con los ciclos largos. Si nosotros hacemos que \(\frac{ft}n=w\) la ecuación (1) quedaría, asi :

\(X_t=\eta+\sum_{j=1}^N[a_j\cos(\omega_j)+b_j\sin(\omega_j)]\)(2)

El analisis espectral puede utilizarse para identificar y cuantificar en procesos aparentemente aperiodicos, sucesiones de cicos de periodo de corto y largo plazo. Una serie dada \({X_t}\) puede contener diversos ciclos de diferentes frecuencias y amplitudes, y esa combinación de frecuencias y amplitudes de carcter cíclico la hacer aparecer como un serie no periodica e irregular. De hecho la ecuación (2), muestra que cada observación \(t\) de una serie de tiempo, es el resultado sumar los valores en \(t\) que resultan de \(N\) ciclos de diferente longitud y amplitud, a los que habría que añadir si cabe un termino de error.

Una manera practica de pasar desde el dominio del tiempo al dominio de la frecuencia es pre-multiplicando los datos originales por una matriz ortogonal, \(W\), sugerida por Harvey (1978), con el elemento (j,t)th :

\[\begin{equation} w_{jt} = \left\lbrace\begin{array}{ll}\left(\frac{1}T\right) ^\frac{1}2 & \forall j=1\\ \left(\frac{2}T\right) ^\frac{1}2 \cos\left[\frac{\pi j(t-1)}T\right] & \forall j=2,4,6,..\frac{(T-2)}{(T-1)}\\ \left(\frac{2}T\right) ^\frac{1}2 \sin\left[\frac{\pi (j-1)(t-1)}T\right] & \forall j=3,5,7,..\frac{(T-2)}T\\ \left(\frac{1}T\right) ^\frac{1}2 (-1)^{t+1} & \forall j=T\end{array}\right.\end{equation}\] (3)

La matriz \(W\) tiene la ventaja de ser ortogonal por lo que \(WW^T=I\).

Matriz \(W\)

MW <- function(n) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodr?guez 
# Some ideas from: Harvey, A.C. (1978), Linear Regression in the Frequency Domain, International Economic Review, 19, 507-512.
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
uno <- as.numeric (1:n)
A <- matrix(rep(sqrt(1/n),n), nrow=1)
if(n%%2==0){
for(i in 3:n-1){ 
if(i%%2==0) {
A1 <- matrix(sqrt(2/n)*cos(pi*(i)*(uno-1)/n), nrow=1)
A <- rbind(A,A1)}
 else {
A2 <- matrix(sqrt(2/n)*sin(pi*(i-1)*(uno-1)/n), nrow=1)
A <- rbind(A,A2)
}} 
AN <- matrix(sqrt(1/n)*(-1)^(uno+1), nrow=1)
A <- rbind(A,AN)
A
} else {
for(i in 3:n-1){ 
if(i%%2==0) {
A1 <- matrix(
sqrt(2/n)*cos(pi*(i)*(uno-1)/n), nrow=1)
A <- rbind(A,A1)}
 else {
A2 <- matrix(sqrt(2/n)*sin(pi*(i-1)*(uno-1)/n), nrow=1)
A <- rbind(A,A2)
}} 
AN <- matrix(
sqrt(2/n)*sin(pi*(n-1)*(uno-1)/n), nrow=1)
A <- rbind(A,AN)
}
}
gdf <- function(y) {
a <- matrix(y,nrow=1)
n <- length(y)
A <- MW(n)
A%*%t(a)
}

Función gdt(a)

Transforma los datos del dominio de frecuencias al dominio del tiempo pre-multiplicandolos por la matriz ortogonal, A, sugerida por Harvey (1978)

gdt <- function(y) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodr?guez 
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
a <- matrix(y,nrow=1)
n <- length(y)
A <- MW(n)
t(A)%*%t(a)
}

Función cdf(a)

Otiene la matriz auxiliar para operaciones con vectores en dominio de tiempo y dominio de la frecuencia, pre-multiplica un vector por la matriz ortogonal, \(W\) y por su transpuesta, Parra F. (2013) La multiplicación de dos series armónicas de diferente frecuencia:

\([a_j\cos (\omega_j)+b_j\sin (\omega_j)]x [a_i\cos (\omega_i)+b_i\sin (\omega_i)]\)

da como resultado la siguiente suma: \[\begin{equation} \begin{array}{c} a_ja_i\cos(\omega_j)\cos(\omega_i)+a_jb_i\cos (\omega_j)\sin (\omega_i)\\ +a_ib_j\sin (\omega_j)\cos (\omega_i)b_i\sin (\omega_i)+b_jb_i\sin(\omega_j)\sin(\omega_i) \end{array} \end{equation}\]

considerando las identidades del producto de senos y cosenos, quedaría:

\[\begin{equation} \begin{array}{c} \frac{a_ja_i+b_jb_i}{2} \cos(\omega_j- \omega_i)+\frac{b_ja_i-b_ja_j}{2}\sin(\omega_j- \omega_i)\\ +\frac{a_ja_i-b_jb_i}{2}\cos(\omega_j+ \omega_i)+\frac{b_ja_i+b_ja_i}{2}\sin(\omega_j+ \omega_i) \end{array} \end{equation}\]

La circularidad de \(\omega\) determina que la serie producto de dos series en \(t\), resulte una nueva serie cuyos coeficientes de Fourier sean una combinación lineal de los coeficientes de Fourier de las series multiplos.

Partiendo de las dos series siguientes:

\[\begin{equation} \begin{array} {cc} y_t=\eta^y+a_0^y\cos(\omega_0)+b_0^y\sin(\omega_0)+a_1^y\cos(\omega_1)+b_1^y\sin(\omega_1)+ a_2^y\cos(\omega_2)+b_2^y\sin(\omega_2)+a_3^y\cos(\omega_3)\\ x_t=\eta^x+a_0^x\cos(\omega_0)+b_0^x\sin(\omega_0)+a_1^x\cos(\omega_1)+b_1^x\sin(\omega_1)+ a_2^x\cos(\omega_2)+b_2^x\sin(\omega_2)+a_3^x\cos(\omega_3) \end{array} \end{equation}\]

Dada una matriz \(\Theta^{\dot x\dot x}\) de tamaño 8x8 :

\[ \Theta^{\dot x\dot x} = \eta^x I_8+\frac{1}2\left( \begin{array}{cccccccc} 0& a_0^x& b_0^x & a_1^x & b_1^x & a_2^x & b_2^x& 2a_3^x \\ 2a_0^x& a_1^x& b_1^x & a_0^x+a_2^x & b_0^x+b_2^x & a_1^x+2a_3^x & b_1^x& 2a_2^x \\ 2b_0^x& b_1^x&- a_1^x & -b_0^x+b_2^x & a_0^x-a_2^x &- b_1^x &a_1^x- a_3^x &- 2b_2^x \\ 2a_1^x& a_0^x+a_2^x&- b_0^x+b_2^x & 2a_3^x &0 & a_0^x+a_2^x & b_0^x-b_2^x& 2a_1^x \\ 2b_1^x& a_0^x+b_2^x&- b_0^x-a_2^x &0& -2a_3^x & -b_0^x+b_2^x & a_0^x-a_2^x& -2b_1^x \\ 2a_2^x& a_1^x+2a_3^x&- b_1^x & a_0^x+a_2^x &-b_0^x-b_2^x & a_1^x &- b_1^x& 2a_0^x \\ 2b_2^x& b_1^x& a_1^x-2a_3^x & b_0^x-b_2^x &a_0^x-a_2^x & -b_1^x &- a_1^x& -2b_0^x \\ 2a_3^x& a_2^x& -b_2^x & a_1^x &- b_1^x & a_0^x & -b_0^x& 0 \end{array} \right) \] Se demuestra que:

\(\dot z=\Theta^{\dot x\dot x}\dot y\)

donde \(\dot y = Wy\),\(\dot x = Wx\), y \(\dot z = Wz\).

En el dominio del tiempo:

\(z_t= x_t y_t=W^T\dot x W^T\dot y=W^T Wx_t W^T\dot y=x_tI_nW^T\dot y\)

\(W^T\dot z=x_tI_nW^T\dot y\)

\(\dot z=Wx_tI_nW^T\dot y\)

Entonces:

\(\Theta^{\dot x\dot x}=W^Tx_tI_nW\)

La matriz cuadrada \(\Theta^{\dot x\dot x}\) puede ser utilizada para obtener los resultados en el dominio de la frecuencia de diversas funciones de series de tiempo . Por ejemplo, si se desea obtener el desarrollo de los coeficientes en fourier de \(z_t=x_t^2\), entonces:

\(\dot z= Wx_tI_nW^T\dot x\)

En consecuencia, si \(z_t=x_t^n\)

\(\dot z= Wx_t^{n-1}I_nW^T\dot x\)

Si ahora queremos obtener el desarrollo en coeficientes de fourier de \(z_t=\frac{x_t}{y_t}\), entonces:

\(\dot z= W[\frac{1}y_t]I_nW^T\dot x\)

cdf <- function(y) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodr?guez 
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
a <- matrix(y, nrow=1)
n <- length(y)
uno <- as.numeric (1:n)
A <- MW(n)
I<- diag(c(a))
B <- A%*%I
B%*%t(A)
}

Función periodograma (a)

Calcula y presenta el espectro de la serie “a”

Sea \(a\) un vector n x 1 el modelo transformado en el dominio de la frecuencia esta dado por:

\(\hat a= Wa\)

Denominando \(p_j\) el ordinal del periodograma de \(\hat a\) en la frecuencia \(\lambda_j=2\pi j/n\), y \(\hat a_j\) el j-th elemento de \(\hat a\), entonces

\[ \left\lbrace \begin{array}{ll} p_j=\hat a_{2j}^{2}+\hat a_{2j+1}^{2} & \forall j = 1,...\frac{n-1}{2}\\ p_j=\hat a_{2j}^{2}& \forall j = \frac{n}{2}-1 \end{array} \right . \]

\[p_0=\hat a_{1}^{2}\]

Entonces el cuadrado del \(\hat a\) puede ser utilizado como un estimador consistente del periodograma de \(a\).

periodograma <- function(y) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodr?guez
# Some ideas from Gretl 
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
cf <- gdf(y)
n <- length(y)
if (n%%2==0) {
m1 <- c(0)
m2 <- c()
for(i in 1:n){
if(i%%2==0) m1 <-c(m1,cf[i]) else m2 <-c(m2,cf[i])}
m2 <-c(m2,0) 
frecuencia <- seq(0:(n/2)) 
frecuencia <- frecuencia-1
omega <- pi*frecuencia/(n/2)
periodos <- n/frecuencia
densidad <- (m1^2+m2^2)/(4*pi)
tabla <- data.frame(omega,frecuencia, periodos,densidad)
tabla$densidad[(n/2+1)] <- 4*tabla$densidad[(n/2+1)]
data.frame(tabla[2:(n/2+1),])}
else {m1 <- c(0)
m2 <- c()
for(i in 1:(n-1)){
if(i%%2==0) m1 <-c(m1,cf[i]) else m2 <-c(m2,cf[i])}
m2 <-c(m2,cf[n]) 
frecuencia <- seq(0:((n-1)/2)) 
frecuencia <- frecuencia-1
omega <- pi*frecuencia/(n/2)
periodos <- n/frecuencia
densidad <- (m1^2+m2^2)/(4*pi)
tabla <- data.frame(omega,frecuencia, periodos,densidad)
data.frame(tabla[2:((n+1)/2),])}
}

Función gperiodogrma (a)

Presenta gráficamente el espectro de la variabe a

gperiodograma <- function(y) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodríguez
# Some ideas from Gretl 
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
tabla <- periodograma(y)
plot(tabla$frecuencia,tabla$densidad,
main = "Espectro", 
ylab = "densidad",
xlab="frecuencia",type = "l",
col="#ff0000")}

Función td (y,significance)

Realiza una prueba estadística para estudiar la dependencia serial sobre el periodograma acumulado de a, con una significación de 0,1(significance=1); 0,05(significance=2); 0,025(significance=3); 0,01(significance=4) y 0,005 (significance=5) (Durbin; 1969)

El test de Durbin esta basado en el siguiente estadistico: \(s_j=\frac{\sum_{r=1} ^j p_r}{\sum_{r=1}^m p_r}\)

donde \(m=\frac{1}{2}n\) para \(n\) par y \(\frac{1}{2}(n-1)\) para \(n\) impar.

El estadístico \(s_j\) ha en encontrarse entre unos límites inferior y superior de valores críticos que han sido tabulados por Durbin (1969). Si bien hay que tener presente que el valor \(p_o\) no se considera en el cálculo del estadístico esto es, \(p_o=\hat v_1=0\)

td <- function(y,significance) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodríguez
# Some ideas from:
#Harvey, A.C. (1978), Linear Regression in the Frequency Domain, International Economic Review, 19, 507-512.
# DURBIN, J., "Tests for Serial Correlation in Regression Analysis based on the Periodogram ofLeast-Squares Residuals," Biometrika, 56, (No. 1, 1969), 1-15.
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
per <- periodograma(y)
p <- as.numeric(per$densidad)
n <- length(p)
s <- p[1]
t <- 1:n
for(i in 2:n) {s1 <-p[i]+s[(i-1)]
s <- c(s,s1)
s2 <- s/s[n]
}
while (n > 100) n <- 100
if (significance==1) c<- c(TestD[n,1]) else {if (significance==2) c <- c(TestD[n,2]) else {if (significance==3) c <- c(TestD[n,3]) else {if (significance==4) c <- c(TestD[n,4]) 
c <- c(TestD[n,5])}}}
min <- -c+(t/length(p))
max <- c+(t/length(p))
data.frame(s2,min,max)
} 

Fuction gtd (a,b)

Presenta graficamente los resultados de la prueba de Durbin (Durbin; 1969) :

gtd <- function (y,significance) {
S <- td(y,significance)
plot(ts(S), plot.type="single", lty=1:3,main = "Test Durbin", 
ylab = "densidad acumulada",
xlab="frecuencia")
}

Función rbs (a,b,A)

Realiza la regresión band spectrum del vector de datos “a”" con el vector de datos “b” con el filtro de frecuencias “A”. “A” debe ser un vector de tamaño \(n\) con 0 en las frecuencias de senos y cosenos que se desean eliminar.

Hannan (1963) fue quien propuso la regresión en dominio de la frecuencia (regresión band spectrum). Engle (1974), demostró que dicha regresión no alteraba los supuestos básicos de la regresión clásica, cuyos estimadores eran Estimadores Lineales Insesgados y Optimos (ELIO).

\[\begin{equation} y=X\beta+u \end{equation}\] (4)

donde \(X\) es una matriz \(n x k\) de observaciones de \(k\) variables independientes, \(\beta\) es un vecto \(k x I\) de parámetros, \(y\) es un vecto \(n x 1\) de observaciones de la variable dependiente, y \(u\) en un vector \(n x I\) de pertubacciones de media cero y varianza constante, \(\sigma^2\).

El modelo puese expresarse en el dominio de la frecuencia aplicando una transformación lineal a las variables dependiente e independientes,por ejemplo, premultiplicando todas las variables por la matriz ortogonal \(W\). La técnica de la “regresión band spectrum”,consiste en realizar el analisis de regresión en el dominio de la frecuencia pero omitinedo determinadas oscilaciones periodicas. Con este procedimiento pueden tratarse problemas derivados de la estacionalidad de las series o de autocorrelación en los residuos. Engle (1974) muesta que si los residuos están correlacionados serialmente y son generados por un procieso estacionario estocastico, la regresión en el dominio de la frecuencia es el estimador asintóticamente más eficiente de \(\beta\).

La transformación de la ecuación (4) del dominio del tiempo al dominio de la frecuencia en Engle (1974), se basa en la matriz \(W\), cuyo elemento \((t, s)\) esta dado por:

\(w_{ts}=\frac{1}{\sqrt n} e^{i\lambda_t s}\),\(s= 0,1,...,n-1\)

donde \(\lambda_t = 2\pi \frac{t}n\), \(t=0,1,...,n-1\), y \(i=\sqrt{-1}\).

Premultiplicando las observaciones de (4) por \(W\), obtenemos: \[\begin{equation} \dot y=\dot X\beta+\dot u \end{equation}\] (5)

donde \(\dot y = Wy\),\(\dot X = WX\), y \(\dot u = Wu\).

Si el vector de las perturbaciones en (4) cumple las hipoteis clásicas del modelo de regresión: \(E[u] = 0\) y \(E[uu']=\sigma^2 I_n\). entonces el vector de perturbaciones transformado al dominio de la frecuencia, \(\dot u\), tendrá las mims propiedades. Por otro lado, dado que la matriz W es ortogonal., \(WW^{T}= I\), entonces \(W^T\) sería la transpuesta de la completa conjugada de W. De forma que las observaciones del modelo (5) acaban conteniendo el mismo tipo de información que las observaciones del modelo inicialmente planteado.

Si aplicamos MCO a (5) , dadas las propiedades de \(\dot u\), obtendríamos el mejor estimador lineal insesgando (ELIO) de \(\dot \beta\). El estimador obtenido sería de hecho identico al estimador MCO de (4).

Estimar (5) manteniendo unicamente determinadas frecuencias, puede llevarse a cabo omitiendo las observaciones correspondientes a las restantes frecuencias, si bien, dado que las variables en (5) son complejas, Engle (1974) sugiere la transformada inversa de Fourier para recomponer el modelo estimado en términos de tiempo.

Definiendo una matriz de tamaño \(A\) de tamaño n x n de ceros excepto en las posiciones de la diagonal principal correspondientes a las frecuencias que queremos incluir en la regresión y premultiplicando \(\dot y\) y \(\dot X\) por \(A\) eleminamos determindas observaciones y las reemplazamos por ceros para realizar la regresión band spectrum. Devolver al dominio del tiempo estas observaciones requiere:

\[\begin{equation} y^* = W^{T}A\dot y = W^{T}AWy \\ x^* = W^{T}A\dot x = W^{T}AWx \end{equation}\] (6)

Al regresar \(y^*\) sobre \(x^*\) obtenemos un \(\beta\) identico al estimador que obtendríamos al estimar por MCO \(\dot y\) frente a \(\dot x\).

Cuando se realiza la regresión band spectrum de esta mnera, ocurre un problema asociado a los grados de libertad de la regresión de \(y^*\) sobre \(x^*\) que asumen los programas estadisticos convencionales, \(n - k\), en vez de los grados de libertad reales que serían unicamente \(n'- k\), donde \(n'\) es el numero de frecuencias incluidas en la regresión band spectrum.

Si la regresión espectral va a ser usada para obtener un estimador asintóticamente eficiente de \(\beta\) en presencia de autocorrelación en el termino de error, la matriz \(A\) ha de ser reemplazada por otra matriz diagonal, \(V\). En dicha diagonal principal ha de incluirse el estimador de \(\int_u^{1/2}(\lambda)\), donde \(\int_u (\lambda)\) es el la transformación del termino de error obtenido en (4) al dominio de la frecuencia \(\lambda\). Puede utilizarse un programa convencional para obtener \(\beta\) haciendo una transformación análoga a (6); ver Engle and Gardner [1976]. Sin embargo, si el procedimiento va a ser iterativo, lo que podría llevar a una mejora en las propiededes de las muestra pequeñas, la transformada inversa de fourier debería emplearse en cada iteración.

rbs <- function(a,b,A) {
  a <- matrix(a, nrow=1)
  n <- length(a)
  unos <- rep(1,n)
lm1 <- lm(diag(A)%*%gdf(a) ~ 0 + diag(A)%*%gdf(b) + diag(A)%*%gdf(unos))
summary <- summary(lm1)
fitted <- gdt(lm1$fitted)
residuals <- gdt(lm1$residuals)
list(summary=summary,fitted=c(fitted),residuals=c(residuals))
}

Función rdf (a)

Realiza la regresión en el dominio de la frecuencia de los vectores “a” y “b”,seleccionando las frecuencias más relevantes a partir del co-espectro.

Consideramos ahora el modelo de regresión siguiente:

\[\begin{equation} y_t=\beta_tx_t+u_t \end{equation}\] (7)

donde \(x_t\) es un vector n x 1 de observaciones de las variable independiente, \(\beta_t\) es un vector de n x 1 parametros, \(y_t\) es un vector de n x 1 observaciones de la variable depenendiente, y \(u_t\) es un vector de errores distribuidos con media cero y varianza constante.

Asumiendo que las series, \(y_t\),\(x_t\),\(\beta_t\) and \(ut\), pueden ser transformadas en el dominio de la frecuencia:

\[y_t=\eta^y+\sum_{j=1}^N[a^y_j\cos(\omega_j)+b^y_j\sin(\omega_j)\]

\[x_t=\eta^x+\sum_{j=1}^N[a^y_j\cos(\omega_j)+b^y_j\sin(\omega_j)]\]

\[ \beta_t=\eta^\beta+\sum_{j=1}^N[a^\beta_j\cos(\omega_j)+b^\beta_j\sin(\omega_j)]\]

Otenemos dichas series pre-multiplicando (7) por \(W\)

\(\dot y=\dot x\dot\beta+\dot u\) (8)

donde \(\dot y = Wy\),\(\dot x = Wx\), \(\dot \beta = W\beta\) y \(\dot u = Wu\)

El sistema (8) puede reescribirse como:

\[\begin{equation} \dot y=Wx_tI_nW^T\dot \beta + WI_nW^T\dot u \end{equation}\]

Si denominamos \(\dot e=WI_nW^T\dot u\), podrían buscarse los \(\dot \beta\) que minimizaran la suma cuadrática de los errores \(e_t=W^T\dot e\).

Una vez encontrada la solución a dicha optimización, se transformarían las series al dominio del tiempo para obtener el sistema (7).

El algoritmo de calculo se realiza en las siguentes fases:

  1. Calcula el co-espectro de la serie “x” e “y”

Sea \(x\) un vector n x 1 el modelo transformado en el dominio de la frecuencia esta dado por:

\(\hat x= Wx\)

Sea \(y\) un vector n x 1 el modelo transformado en el dominio de la frecuencia esta dado por:

\(\hat y= Wy\)

Denominando \(p_j\) el ordinal del cross-periodograma de \(\hat x\) y \(\hat y\) en la frecuencia \(\lambda_j=2\pi j/n\), y \(\hat x_j\) el j-th elemento de \(\hat x\) y \(\hat y_j\) el j-th elemento de \(\hat y\), entonces

\[ \left\lbrace \begin{array}{ll} p_j=\hat x_{2j}\hat y_{2j}+\hat x_{2j+1}\hat y_{2j+1} & \forall j = 1,...\frac{n-1}{2}\\ p_j=\hat x_{2j}\hat y_{2j}& \forall j = \frac{n}{2}-1 \end{array} \right . \]

\[p_0=\hat x_{1}\hat y_{1}\]

  1. Ordena el co-espectro en base al valor absoluto de \(|p_j|\) y genera un índice en base a ese orden para cada coeficiente de fourier.

  2. Calcula la matriz \(Wx_tI_nW^T\) y la ordena en base a el indice anterior.

  3. Obtiene \(\dot e=WI_nW^T\dot u\), incluyendo el vector correspondiente al parámetro constante, \((1,0,...0)^n\), y calucula el modelo utilizando los dos primeros regresores de la matriz \(Wx_tI_nW^T\) reordenada y ampliadas, calcula el modelo para los 4 primeros, para los 6 primeros, hasta completar los \(n\) regresores de la matriz.

  4. Realiza el test de durbin a los modelos estimados, y selecciona aquellos en donde los \(e_t=W^T\dot e\) están dentro de las bandas elegidas a los niveles de significación \(\alpha=0.1;0.05;0.025;0.01;0.005\).

  5. De todos ellos elige aquel que tiene menos regresores. Si no encuentra modelo ofrece el aviso.

rdf <- function (y,x,significance) {
  # Author: Francisco Parra Rodríguez
  # http://rpubs.com/PacoParra/24432
  # Leemos datos en forma matriz
  a <- matrix(y, nrow=1)
  b <- matrix(x, nrow=1)
  n <- length(a)
  # calculamos el cros espectro mediante la funcion cperiodograma
  cperiodograma <- function(y,x) {
# Author: Francisco Parra Rodríguez
# http://econometria.wordpress.com/2013/08/21/estimation-of-time-varying-regression-coefficients/ 
cfx <- gdf(y)
n <- length(y)
cfy <- gdf(x)
if (n%%2==0) {
m1x <- c(0)
m2x <- c()
for(i in 1:n){
if(i%%2==0) m1x <-c(m1x,cfx[i]) else m2x <-c(m2x,cfx[i])}
m2x <- c(m2x,0)
m1y <- c(0)
m2y <- c()
for(i in 1:n){
if(i%%2==0) m1y <-c(m1y,cfy[i]) else m2y <-c(m2y,cfy[i])}
m2y <-c(m2y,0) 
frecuencia <- seq(0:(n/2)) 
frecuencia <- frecuencia-1
omega <- pi*frecuencia/(n/2)
periodos <- n/frecuencia
densidad <- (m1x*m1y+m2x*m2y)/(4*pi)
tabla <- data.frame(omega,frecuencia, periodos,densidad)
tabla$densidad[(n/2+1)] <- 4*tabla$densidad[(n/2+1)]
data.frame(tabla[2:(n/2+1),])}
else {m1x <- c(0)
m2x <- c()
for(i in 1:(n-1)){
if(i%%2==0) m1x <-c(m1x,cfx[i]) else m2x <-c(m2x,cfx[i])}
m2x <-c(m2x,cfx[n])
m1y <- c(0)
m2y <- c()  
for(i in 1:(n-1)){
if(i%%2==0) m1y <-c(m1y,cfy[i]) else m2y <-c(m2y,cfy[i])}
m2y <-c(m2y,cfy[n])
frecuencia <- seq(0:((n-1)/2)) 
frecuencia <- frecuencia-1
omega <- pi*frecuencia/(n/2)
periodos <- n/frecuencia
densidad <- (m1x*m1y+m2x*m2y)/(4*pi)
tabla <- data.frame(omega,frecuencia, periodos,densidad)
data.frame(tabla[2:((n+1)/2),])}
}
  cper <- cperiodograma(a,b)
# Ordenamos de mayor a menor las densidades absolutas del periodograma, utilizando la funcion "sort.data.frame" function, Kevin Wright. Package taRifx
  S1 <- data.frame(f1=cper$frecuencia,p=abs(cper$densidad))
  S <- S1[order(-S1$p),] 
  id <- seq(2,n)
  m1 <- cbind(S$f1*2,evens(id))
  if (n%%2==0) {m2 <- cbind(S$f1[1:(n/2-1)]*2+1,odds(id))} else 
   {m2 <- cbind(S$f1*2+1,odds(id))}
  m <- rbind(m1,m2)
  colnames(m) <- c("f1","id")
  M <- sort.data.frame (m,formula=~id)
  M <- rbind(c(1,1),M)
  # Obtenemos la funcion auxiliar (cdf) del predictor y se ordena segun el indice de las mayores densidades absolutas del co-espectro.
  cx <- cdf(b)
  id <- seq(1,n)
  S1 <- data.frame(cx,c=id)
  S2 <- merge(M,S1,by.x="id",by.y="c")
  S3 <- sort.data.frame (S2,formula=~f1)
  m <- n+2
  X1 <- S3[,3:m]
  X1 <- rbind(C=c(1,rep(0,(n-1))),S3[,3:m])
  # Se realizan las regresiones en el dominio de la frecuencia utilizando un modelo con constante, pendiente y los arm?nicos correspondientes a las frecuencias mas altas de la densidad del coespectro. Se realiza un test de durbin para el residuo y se seleccionan aquellas que son significativas. 
  par <- evens(id)
  i <- 1
  D <- 1
  resultado <- cbind(i,D)
  for (i in par) {
  X <- as.matrix(X1[1:i,])
  cy <- gdf(a)
  B1 <- solve(X%*%t(X))%*%(X%*%cy)
  Y <- t(X)%*%B1 
  F <- gdt(Y)
  res <- (t(a) - F)
  T <- td(res,significance)
  L <- as.numeric(c(T$min<T$s2,T$s2<T$max))
  LT <- sum(L)
  if (n%%2==0) {D=LT-n} else {D=LT-(n-1)} 
  resultado1 <- cbind(i,D)
  resultado <- rbind(resultado,resultado1)
  resultado}
resultado2 <-data.frame(resultado)
criterio <- resultado2[which(resultado2$D==0),]
sol <- as.numeric(is.na(criterio$i[1]))
if (sol==1) {
  X <- as.matrix(X1[1:2,])
cy <- gdf(a)
  B1 <- solve(X%*%t(X))%*%(X%*%cy)
  Y <- t(X)%*%B1 
  F <- gdt(Y)
  res <- (t(a) - F)
  datos <- data.frame(cbind(t(a),t(b),F,res))
  colnames(datos) <- c("Y","X","F","res")
list(datos=datos,Fregresores=t(X),Tregresores= t(MW(n))%*%t(X),Nregresores=criterio$i[1],Betas=B1) } else {
 X <- as.matrix(X1[1:criterio$i[1],])
cy <- gdf(a)
  B1 <- solve(X%*%t(X))%*%(X%*%cy)
  Y <- t(X)%*%B1 
  F <- gdt(Y)
  res <- (t(a) - F)
  datos <- data.frame(cbind(t(a),t(b),F,res))
  colnames(datos) <- c("Y","X","F","res")
list(datos=datos,Fregresores=t(X),Tregresores= t(MW(n))%*%t(X),Nregresores=criterio$i[1],Betas=B1)}
      }

Función descomponer(y,frequency,type)

En base al modelo de regresión en el dominio de la frecuencia descompone una serie \(y_t\) en los factores de tendencia \(TD\), estacionales \(ST\), e irregulares \(IR\).

La función se desarrolla en los siguientes pasos:

  1. Se calcula el periodograma de la serie, y se ordena según el vector de frecuencias para crear diferentes indices de orden.

  2. Se obtiene un modelo de tendencia, a partir de las frecuencias mayores que \(\frac{n}{2*frequency}\) si la serie es par ó mayeros que \(\frac{n-1}{2*frequency}\) si la serie es impar. Para ello, se realiza la regresión en domininio de la frecuencia entre la serie \(y_t\) y los regresores que se obtienen con la matriz auxiliar \(Wx_tI_nW^T\), donde \(x_t\) es el resultado de ajustar un modelo lineal del tipo \(y_t=a+bt+e_t\) a la serie de datos (tipo=1) ó un modelo cuadrático del tipo \(y_t=a+bt+ct^2+e_t\), en donde solo se consideran los regresores correspondientes a las diferentes frecuencias seleccionadas.Una vez obtenidos los parámetros del modelo, se calcula la serie en el dominio de la frecuencia que una vez convierten al dominio del tiempo da como resultado la serie de tendencia \(TD\).

  3. Se obtiene la serie residual \(IRST=y_t-TD\), se y sobre esa serie se realiza una nueva selección de frecuencias, las correspondientes a los factores estacionales es decir:\(\frac{n}{2*frequency}\), \(\frac{2n}{2*frequency}\),\(\frac{3n}{2*frequency}\), etc….. Se realiza la regresión en el dominio de la frecuencia entre \(IRST\) y los regresores correspondientes a las frecuencias seleccionadas obtenidas a partir de a matriz auxiliar \(Wx_tI_nW^T\), donde \(x_t\) es el resultado de ajustar un modelo lineal del tipo \(IRST=a+bt+e_t\) a la serie de datos (tipo=1) ó un modelo cuadrático del tipo \(IRST=a+bt+ct^2+e_t\). Una vez obtenidos los parámetros del modelo, se calcula la serie en el dominio de la frecuencia que una vez convierten al dominio del tiempo da como resultado la serie de tendencia \(ST\).

  4. Se obtiene la serie irregular a partir de \(IR=IRST-ST\).

Nueva versión de la función descomponer:

descomponer <- function (y,frequency,type) {
  # Author: Francisco Parra Rodriguez
  # http://rpubs.com/PacoParra/24432
  # date:"y", frequency:"frequency". 
  # Use 7 for frequency when the data are sampled daily, and the natural time period is a week, 
  # or 4 and 12 when the data are sampled quarterly and monthly and the natural time period is a year.
  n <- length(y)
  y <- matrix(y,ncol=1)
  f1 <- NULL
  if(n%%2==0) {f2 <- n/(2*frequency)} else {
    f2 <- (n-1)/(2*frequency)}
    #Modelo para obtener serie con tendencia
  c <- seq(from=2, to=(2+(n/frequency) ))
  #Use the "sort.data.frame" function, Kevin Wright. Package taRifx
  i <- seq(1:n)
  i2 <- i*i  
  if (type==1)
  {eq <- lm(y~i)  
   z <- eq$fitted} else {
     if (type==2) eq <- lm(y~i+i2) 
     z <- eq$fitted} 
  cx <- cdf(z)
  id <- seq(1,n)
  S1 <- data.frame(cx)
  S2 <- S1[1:(2+(n/frequency)),]
  X <- as.matrix(S2)
  cy <- gdf(y)
  B <- solve(X%*%t(X))%*%(X%*%cy)
  Y <- t(X)%*%B
  BTD <- B
  XTD <- t(MW(n))%*%t(X)
  TD <- gdt(Y)
  # Genero la serie residual
  IRST <- y-TD
  # Realizo la regresión dependiente de la frecienca utilizando como explicativa IRST.
  # modelo para obtener serie con  estacionalidad con trunc ó round.
 frecuencia <- seq(0:(n/2)) 
 frecuencia <- frecuencia-1
  S <- data.frame(f1=frecuencia)
  sel <- subset(S,f1==trunc(2*f2))
  c <- seq(from=2,to=(n/f2))
  for (i in c) {sel1 <- subset(S,f1==i*trunc(2*f2))
    sel <- rbind(sel,sel1)}
  m1 <- c(sel$f1 * 2)
  m2 <- c(m1+1)
  c <- c(m1,m2)
  n3 <- length(c)
  d <- rep(1,n3)
  s <- data.frame(c,d)
  S <- sort.data.frame (s,formula=~c)
  #Use the "sort.data.frame" function, Kevin Wright. Package taRifx
  # Se realiza el ejercicio con los datos del año completo
  l <- frequency*trunc(n/frequency)
  i <- seq(1:l)
  i2 <- i*i  
  if (type==1)
  {eq <- lm(y[1:l]~i)  
   z <- eq$fitted} else {
     if (type==2) eq <- lm(y[1:l]~i+i2) 
     z <- eq$fitted} 
  cx <- cdf(z)
  id <- seq(1,l)
  S1 <- data.frame(cx,c=id)
  S2 <- merge(S,S1,by.x="c",by.y="c")
  S3 <- rbind(c(1,1,cx[1,]),S2) 
  m <- l+2
  X1 <- S3[,3:m]
  # matriz de regresores a l
  X1 <- as.matrix(X1)
  # la paso al dominio del tiempo
  X2 <- data.frame(t(MW(l))%*%t(X1))
  if (n==l) X3 <- X2 else
  X3 <- rbind(X2,X2[1:(n-l),])
  # la paso al dominio de la frecuencia
  X4 <-MW(n)%*%as.matrix(X3)
  cy <- gdf(IRST)
  B1 <- solve(t(X4)%*%X4)%*%(t(X4)%*%cy)
  Y <- X4%*%B1
  BST <- B1
  XST <- t(MW(n))%*%X4
  ST <- gdt(Y)
  TDST <- TD+ST
  IR <- IRST-ST  
  data <- data.frame(y,TDST,TD,ST,IR)
  regresoresTD <- data.frame(XTD)
  regresoresST <- data.frame(XST)
  list(datos=data,regresoresTD=regresoresTD,regresoresST=regresoresST,coeficientesTD=BTD,coeficientesST=BST)}

Ejemplo: Regresión consumo energía electrica y PIB

Datos de energía y PIB españa:

celec <- c(12458,12822,13345,14288,15309,16207,17290,17805,19037,19915,20867,21543,21935,22253,21757,22409,20636,20663,19952)
PIB <- c(65.726893627466,67.4849070579256,69.9748367116452,72.9879275245349,76.2613328315868,80.2948751495255,83.5075398872297,85.9123891441976,88.6508975712911,91.4582554354157,94.863281682855,98.8229948578551,102.54758058591,103.691935100126,99.9861932591599,100,99.3823739745937,97.3065369287316,96.1097074148)

Analisis PIB

periodograma(PIB)
##        omega frecuencia  periodos   densidad
## 2  0.3306940          1 19.000000 183.834066
## 3  0.6613879          2  9.500000  17.837461
## 4  0.9920819          3  6.333333   9.647461
## 5  1.3227759          4  4.750000   6.704018
## 6  1.6534698          5  3.800000   2.880418
## 7  1.9841638          6  3.166667   2.301889
## 8  2.3148577          7  2.714286   2.662076
## 9  2.6455517          8  2.375000   2.505850
## 10 2.9762457          9  2.111111   1.810210
plot(ts(PIB), plot.type="single", lty=1:3)

gperiodograma (PIB)

gtd (PIB,3)

Periodograma del PIB y representación gráfica a través de la FFT:

densidad <- Mod(fft(PIB))^2/length(PIB)
plot(densidad[2:10],type="l")

# periodogramas acumulados
gtd(PIB,3)

cpgram(PIB)

Analisis Consumo de electricidad

periodograma(celec)
##        omega frecuencia  periodos    densidad
## 2  0.3306940          1 19.000000 13891050.15
## 3  0.6613879          2  9.500000  1211590.40
## 4  0.9920819          3  6.333333   571726.35
## 5  1.3227759          4  4.750000   237655.16
## 6  1.6534698          5  3.800000   204650.06
## 7  1.9841638          6  3.166667   221402.88
## 8  2.3148577          7  2.714286   196405.87
## 9  2.6455517          8  2.375000   192040.45
## 10 2.9762457          9  2.111111    38013.19
plot(ts(celec), plot.type="single", lty=1:3)

gperiodograma (celec)

gtd (celec,3)

Regresión MCO entre el consumo energía electrica y PIB

lm1 <- lm(celec ~ PIB)
plot(PIB,celec,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(PIB,lm1$fitted,lwd=3,col="red")

summary(lm1)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = celec ~ PIB)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -818.00 -233.29  -40.81  190.04  789.55 
## 
## Coefficients:
##              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept) -5167.470    708.616  -7.292 1.26e-06 ***
## PIB           267.869      7.961  33.649  < 2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 428.1 on 17 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9852, Adjusted R-squared:  0.9843 
## F-statistic:  1132 on 1 and 17 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
plot(lm1$residuals,celec,pch=19,col="blue")

gperiodograma (lm1$residuals)

gtd (lm1$residuals,3)

Regresión consumo energía electrica y PIB en el dominio de la frecuencia

unos <- rep(1,19)
lm2 <- lm(gdf(celec) ~ 0 + gdf(PIB) + gdf(unos))
summary(lm2)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = gdf(celec) ~ 0 + gdf(PIB) + gdf(unos))
## 
## Residuals:
##    Min     1Q Median     3Q    Max 
## -888.3 -137.5  116.5  317.9  790.2 
## 
## Coefficients:
##            Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## gdf(PIB)    267.869      7.961  33.649  < 2e-16 ***
## gdf(unos) -5167.470    708.616  -7.292 1.26e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 428.1 on 17 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9995, Adjusted R-squared:  0.9995 
## F-statistic: 1.82e+04 on 2 and 17 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16

Regresión band spectrum del consumo de electricidad y el PIB utilizando el filtro \(A=(1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0,...,0)^{19}\).

A=c(rep(1,9),rep(0,10))
rbs(celec,PIB,A)
## $summary
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = diag(A) %*% gdf(a) ~ 0 + diag(A) %*% gdf(b) + diag(A) %*% 
##     gdf(unos))
## 
## Residuals:
##    Min     1Q Median     3Q    Max 
## -866.9    0.0    0.0  104.1  796.0 
## 
## Coefficients:
##                        Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## diag(A) %*% gdf(b)      268.730      6.719  39.995  < 2e-16 ***
## diag(A) %*% gdf(unos) -5243.346    597.801  -8.771 1.02e-07 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 351.7 on 17 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9997, Adjusted R-squared:  0.9996 
## F-statistic: 2.694e+04 on 2 and 17 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
## 
## 
## $fitted
##  [1] 14556.68 12359.29 12904.91 14630.84 15714.22 16119.88 16844.04
##  [8] 18020.30 18864.25 19220.42 19951.16 21428.08 22615.07 22450.15
## [15] 21537.02 21370.51 21965.95 21437.88 18500.37
## 
## $residuals
##  [1] -107.668995   19.428378 -130.859102 -191.588820  -30.522729
##  [6]   80.672535   -9.719923  -14.562077  332.213390  738.160229
## [11]  652.883983   65.495250 -381.067916 -215.794504  223.979788
## [16]  258.605027 -209.332279 -600.140323 -480.181913
rbs1 <- rbs(celec,PIB,A)
plot(PIB,celec,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(PIB,rbs1$fitted,lwd=3,col="red")

gtd(rbs1$residuals,3)

Regresión band spectrum del consumo de electricidad y el PIB utilizando el filtro \(A=(1,..,1)^{19}\).

A=c(rep(1,19))
rbs(celec,PIB,A)
## $summary
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = diag(A) %*% gdf(a) ~ 0 + diag(A) %*% gdf(b) + diag(A) %*% 
##     gdf(unos))
## 
## Residuals:
##    Min     1Q Median     3Q    Max 
## -888.3 -137.5  116.5  317.9  790.2 
## 
## Coefficients:
##                        Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## diag(A) %*% gdf(b)      267.869      7.961  33.649  < 2e-16 ***
## diag(A) %*% gdf(unos) -5167.470    708.616  -7.292 1.26e-06 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 428.1 on 17 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9995, Adjusted R-squared:  0.9995 
## F-statistic: 1.82e+04 on 2 and 17 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
## 
## 
## $fitted
##  [1] 12438.74 12909.66 13576.63 14383.74 15260.59 16341.05 17201.62
##  [8] 17845.81 18579.37 19331.38 20243.48 21304.16 22301.86 22608.40
## [15] 21615.75 21619.45 21454.00 20897.95 20577.36
## 
## $residuals
##  [1]   19.26218  -87.65540 -231.63076  -95.74486   48.41081 -134.05078
##  [7]   88.37542  -40.80953  457.62852  583.62394  623.52242  238.83738
## [13] -366.86426 -355.40155  141.25240  789.55400 -818.00303 -234.95031
## [19] -625.35659
rbs1 <- rbs(celec,PIB,A)
plot(PIB,celec,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(PIB,rbs1$fitted,lwd=3,col="red")

gtd(rbs1$residuals,3)

Realiza la regresión dependiente de la frecuencia entre el PIB y Celec.

reg1 <- rdf (celec,PIB,3)
reg1
## $datos
##        Y         X        F        res
## 1  12458  65.72689 12438.74   19.26218
## 2  12822  67.48491 12909.66  -87.65540
## 3  13345  69.97484 13576.63 -231.63076
## 4  14288  72.98793 14383.74  -95.74486
## 5  15309  76.26133 15260.59   48.41081
## 6  16207  80.29488 16341.05 -134.05078
## 7  17290  83.50754 17201.62   88.37542
## 8  17805  85.91239 17845.81  -40.80953
## 9  19037  88.65090 18579.37  457.62852
## 10 19915  91.45826 19331.38  583.62394
## 11 20867  94.86328 20243.48  623.52242
## 12 21543  98.82299 21304.16  238.83738
## 13 21935 102.54758 22301.86 -366.86426
## 14 22253 103.69194 22608.40 -355.40155
## 15 21757  99.98619 21615.75  141.25240
## 16 22409 100.00000 21619.45  789.55400
## 17 20636  99.38237 21454.00 -818.00303
## 18 20663  97.30654 20897.95 -234.95031
## 19 19952  96.10971 20577.36 -625.35659
## 
## $Fregresores
##     C           2
## X1  1 88.15633993
## X2  0 -5.68444066
## X3  0 -9.44842664
## X4  0 -2.21612470
## X5  0 -2.62417085
## X6  0 -0.79654035
## X7  0 -2.39713113
## X8  0 -1.53918673
## X9  0 -1.43696240
## X10 0 -1.18967167
## X11 0 -0.69982515
## X12 0 -0.92147259
## X13 0 -0.82056671
## X14 0 -1.14883221
## X15 0 -0.66396512
## X16 0 -1.26963244
## X17 0 -0.21300835
## X18 0 -1.09411224
## X19 0 -0.01302396
## 
## $Tregresores
##               C        2
##  [1,] 0.2294157 15.07878
##  [2,] 0.2294157 15.48210
##  [3,] 0.2294157 16.05333
##  [4,] 0.2294157 16.74458
##  [5,] 0.2294157 17.49555
##  [6,] 0.2294157 18.42091
##  [7,] 0.2294157 19.15794
##  [8,] 0.2294157 19.70965
##  [9,] 0.2294157 20.33791
## [10,] 0.2294157 20.98196
## [11,] 0.2294157 21.76313
## [12,] 0.2294157 22.67155
## [13,] 0.2294157 23.52603
## [14,] 0.2294157 23.78856
## [15,] 0.2294157 22.93841
## [16,] 0.2294157 22.94157
## [17,] 0.2294157 22.79988
## [18,] 0.2294157 22.32365
## [19,] 0.2294157 22.04908
## 
## $Nregresores
## [1] 2
## 
## $Betas
##         [,1]
## C -22524.479
## 2   1167.615
plot(reg1$datos$X,reg1$datos$Y,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(reg1$datos$X,reg1$datos$F,col="red")

gtd (reg1$datos$res,3)

reg2 <- rdf (celec,PIB,2)
reg2
## $datos
##        Y         X        F        res
## 1  12458  65.72689 12438.74   19.26218
## 2  12822  67.48491 12909.66  -87.65540
## 3  13345  69.97484 13576.63 -231.63076
## 4  14288  72.98793 14383.74  -95.74486
## 5  15309  76.26133 15260.59   48.41081
## 6  16207  80.29488 16341.05 -134.05078
## 7  17290  83.50754 17201.62   88.37542
## 8  17805  85.91239 17845.81  -40.80953
## 9  19037  88.65090 18579.37  457.62852
## 10 19915  91.45826 19331.38  583.62394
## 11 20867  94.86328 20243.48  623.52242
## 12 21543  98.82299 21304.16  238.83738
## 13 21935 102.54758 22301.86 -366.86426
## 14 22253 103.69194 22608.40 -355.40155
## 15 21757  99.98619 21615.75  141.25240
## 16 22409 100.00000 21619.45  789.55400
## 17 20636  99.38237 21454.00 -818.00303
## 18 20663  97.30654 20897.95 -234.95031
## 19 19952  96.10971 20577.36 -625.35659
## 
## $Fregresores
##     C           2
## X1  1 88.15633993
## X2  0 -5.68444066
## X3  0 -9.44842664
## X4  0 -2.21612470
## X5  0 -2.62417085
## X6  0 -0.79654035
## X7  0 -2.39713113
## X8  0 -1.53918673
## X9  0 -1.43696240
## X10 0 -1.18967167
## X11 0 -0.69982515
## X12 0 -0.92147259
## X13 0 -0.82056671
## X14 0 -1.14883221
## X15 0 -0.66396512
## X16 0 -1.26963244
## X17 0 -0.21300835
## X18 0 -1.09411224
## X19 0 -0.01302396
## 
## $Tregresores
##               C        2
##  [1,] 0.2294157 15.07878
##  [2,] 0.2294157 15.48210
##  [3,] 0.2294157 16.05333
##  [4,] 0.2294157 16.74458
##  [5,] 0.2294157 17.49555
##  [6,] 0.2294157 18.42091
##  [7,] 0.2294157 19.15794
##  [8,] 0.2294157 19.70965
##  [9,] 0.2294157 20.33791
## [10,] 0.2294157 20.98196
## [11,] 0.2294157 21.76313
## [12,] 0.2294157 22.67155
## [13,] 0.2294157 23.52603
## [14,] 0.2294157 23.78856
## [15,] 0.2294157 22.93841
## [16,] 0.2294157 22.94157
## [17,] 0.2294157 22.79988
## [18,] 0.2294157 22.32365
## [19,] 0.2294157 22.04908
## 
## $Nregresores
## [1] 2
## 
## $Betas
##         [,1]
## C -22524.479
## 2   1167.615
plot(reg2$datos$X,reg2$datos$Y,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(reg2$datos$X,reg2$datos$F,col="red")

gtd (reg2$datos$res,2)

reg3 <- rdf (celec,PIB,1)
reg3
## $datos
##        Y         X        F        res
## 1  12458  65.72689 12438.74   19.26218
## 2  12822  67.48491 12909.66  -87.65540
## 3  13345  69.97484 13576.63 -231.63076
## 4  14288  72.98793 14383.74  -95.74486
## 5  15309  76.26133 15260.59   48.41081
## 6  16207  80.29488 16341.05 -134.05078
## 7  17290  83.50754 17201.62   88.37542
## 8  17805  85.91239 17845.81  -40.80953
## 9  19037  88.65090 18579.37  457.62852
## 10 19915  91.45826 19331.38  583.62394
## 11 20867  94.86328 20243.48  623.52242
## 12 21543  98.82299 21304.16  238.83738
## 13 21935 102.54758 22301.86 -366.86426
## 14 22253 103.69194 22608.40 -355.40155
## 15 21757  99.98619 21615.75  141.25240
## 16 22409 100.00000 21619.45  789.55400
## 17 20636  99.38237 21454.00 -818.00303
## 18 20663  97.30654 20897.95 -234.95031
## 19 19952  96.10971 20577.36 -625.35659
## 
## $Fregresores
##     C           2
## X1  1 88.15633993
## X2  0 -5.68444066
## X3  0 -9.44842664
## X4  0 -2.21612470
## X5  0 -2.62417085
## X6  0 -0.79654035
## X7  0 -2.39713113
## X8  0 -1.53918673
## X9  0 -1.43696240
## X10 0 -1.18967167
## X11 0 -0.69982515
## X12 0 -0.92147259
## X13 0 -0.82056671
## X14 0 -1.14883221
## X15 0 -0.66396512
## X16 0 -1.26963244
## X17 0 -0.21300835
## X18 0 -1.09411224
## X19 0 -0.01302396
## 
## $Tregresores
##               C        2
##  [1,] 0.2294157 15.07878
##  [2,] 0.2294157 15.48210
##  [3,] 0.2294157 16.05333
##  [4,] 0.2294157 16.74458
##  [5,] 0.2294157 17.49555
##  [6,] 0.2294157 18.42091
##  [7,] 0.2294157 19.15794
##  [8,] 0.2294157 19.70965
##  [9,] 0.2294157 20.33791
## [10,] 0.2294157 20.98196
## [11,] 0.2294157 21.76313
## [12,] 0.2294157 22.67155
## [13,] 0.2294157 23.52603
## [14,] 0.2294157 23.78856
## [15,] 0.2294157 22.93841
## [16,] 0.2294157 22.94157
## [17,] 0.2294157 22.79988
## [18,] 0.2294157 22.32365
## [19,] 0.2294157 22.04908
## 
## $Nregresores
## [1] 2
## 
## $Betas
##         [,1]
## C -22524.479
## 2   1167.615
plot(reg3$datos$X,reg3$datos$Y,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(reg3$datos$X,reg3$datos$F,col="red")

gtd (reg3$datos$res,1)

Ejemplo: Regresión entre el empleo y PIB de canada

Leemos los datos del PIB y empleo de Canada.

data("Canada")
summary(Canada)
##        e              prod             rw              U         
##  Min.   :928.6   Min.   :401.3   Min.   :386.1   Min.   : 6.700  
##  1st Qu.:935.4   1st Qu.:404.8   1st Qu.:423.9   1st Qu.: 7.782  
##  Median :946.0   Median :406.5   Median :444.4   Median : 9.450  
##  Mean   :944.3   Mean   :407.8   Mean   :440.8   Mean   : 9.321  
##  3rd Qu.:950.0   3rd Qu.:410.7   3rd Qu.:461.1   3rd Qu.:10.607  
##  Max.   :961.8   Max.   :418.0   Max.   :470.0   Max.   :12.770
PIBC <- as.numeric(Canada[, "prod"])
E <- as.numeric(Canada[, "e"])

Periodograma del PIB de Canada y representación gráfica por diferentes metodos metodos

gperiodograma(PIBC)

densidad <- Mod(fft(PIBC))^2/length(PIB)
plot(densidad[2:43],type="l")

# periodogramas acumulados
gtd(PIBC,3)

cpgram(PIBC)

Analisis del empleo de Canada

gperiodograma (E)

gtd (E,3)

Regresion dependiente de la frecuencia entre el PIBC y E con datos del mercado de trabajo de Canada

reg4 <- rdf (PIBC,E,3)
reg4
## $datos
##           Y        X        F         res
## 1  405.3665 929.6105 404.9961  0.37032757
## 2  404.6398 929.8040 404.8198 -0.17995416
## 3  403.8149 930.3184 404.6978 -0.88288767
## 4  404.2158 931.4277 404.5063 -0.29048691
## 5  405.0467 932.6620 404.1896  0.85707704
## 6  404.4167 933.5509 403.8066  0.61015563
## 7  402.8191 933.5315 403.0031 -0.18398172
## 8  401.9773 933.0769 402.4956 -0.51825046
## 9  402.0897 932.1238 401.9092  0.18048301
## 10 401.3067 930.6359 401.5777 -0.27103857
## 11 401.6302 929.0971 401.3602  0.26999169
## 12 401.5638 928.5633 401.6122 -0.04842846
## 13 402.8157 929.0694 402.3424  0.47332306
## 14 403.1421 930.2655 403.0546  0.08753953
## 15 403.0786 931.6770 403.9432 -0.86459222
## 16 403.7188 932.1390 404.1755 -0.45674396
## 17 404.8668 932.2767 404.4476  0.41920054
## 18 405.6362 932.8328 404.8733  0.76292632
## 19 405.1363 933.7334 405.4818 -0.34551128
## 20 406.0246 934.1772 405.9949  0.02978268
## 21 406.4123 934.5928 406.1861  0.22620643
## 22 406.3009 935.6067 406.5890 -0.28808010
## 23 406.3354 936.5111 406.4411 -0.10574311
## 24 406.7737 937.4201 406.1879  0.58578703
## 25 405.1525 938.4159 405.7419 -0.58935904
## 26 404.9298 938.9992 405.1420 -0.21217378
## 27 404.5765 939.2354 404.7091 -0.13258853
## 28 404.1995 939.6795 404.4974 -0.29794976
## 29 405.9499 940.2497 404.8916  1.05821803
## 30 405.8221 941.4358 405.5990  0.22311498
## 31 406.4463 942.2981 406.4810 -0.03468387
## 32 407.0512 943.5322 407.4302 -0.37895371
## 33 407.9460 944.3490 408.0807 -0.13469579
## 34 408.1796 944.8215 408.5261 -0.34654753
## 35 408.5998 945.0671 408.5272  0.07264907
## 36 409.0906 945.8067 408.8043  0.28623094
## 37 408.7042 946.8697 408.9007 -0.19645881
## 38 408.9803 946.8766 408.6459  0.33442519
## 39 408.3287 947.2497 408.3568 -0.02812911
## 40 407.8857 947.6513 407.9396 -0.05390408
## 41 407.2605 948.1840 407.5486 -0.28809968
## 42 406.7752 948.3492 406.7285  0.04668511
## 43 406.1794 948.0322 405.9115  0.26791213
## 44 405.4398 947.1065 404.7368  0.70295039
## 45 403.2800 946.0796 403.8920 -0.61204814
## 46 403.3649 946.1838 403.6963 -0.33140603
## 47 403.3807 946.2258 403.7474 -0.36676305
## 48 404.0032 945.9978 404.0227 -0.01950711
## 49 404.4774 945.5183 404.1361  0.34134053
## 50 404.7868 945.3514 404.5999  0.18685349
## 51 405.2710 945.2918 404.8398  0.43122386
## 52 405.3830 945.4008 405.2455  0.13745316
## 53 405.1564 945.9058 405.7174 -0.56101542
## 54 406.4700 945.9035 406.0392  0.43085624
## 55 406.2293 946.3190 406.7634 -0.53409498
## 56 406.7265 946.5796 407.3792 -0.65270514
## 57 408.5785 946.7800 408.2582  0.32028221
## 58 409.6767 947.6283 409.1492  0.52754233
## 59 410.3858 948.6221 410.1035  0.28230103
## 60 410.5395 949.3992 410.6546 -0.11509232
## 61 410.4453 949.9481 410.8648 -0.41950262
## 62 410.6256 949.7945 410.7464 -0.12079706
## 63 410.8672 949.9534 410.5557  0.31150147
## 64 411.2359 950.2502 410.7552  0.48070424
## 65 410.6637 950.5380 410.9421 -0.27841924
## 66 410.8085 950.7871 411.4736 -0.66511726
## 67 412.1160 950.8695 411.9627  0.15323537
## 68 412.9994 950.9281 412.3893  0.61012754
## 69 412.9551 951.8457 413.0895 -0.13441613
## 70 412.8241 952.6005 413.2716 -0.44744275
## 71 413.0489 953.5976 413.4971 -0.44822178
## 72 413.6110 954.1434 413.1449  0.46610866
## 73 413.6048 954.5426 412.8570  0.74779766
## 74 412.9684 955.2631 412.7270  0.24139339
## 75 412.2659 956.0561 412.8285 -0.56259872
## 76 412.9106 956.7966 413.2696 -0.35905584
## 77 413.8294 957.3865 413.6845  0.14488431
## 78 414.2242 958.0634 414.4877 -0.26358148
## 79 415.1678 958.7166 415.1145  0.05330533
## 80 415.7016 959.4881 415.9309 -0.22931482
## 81 416.8674 960.3625 416.6522  0.21517829
## 82 417.6104 960.7834 417.1141  0.49627826
## 83 418.0030 961.0290 417.5492  0.45376867
## 84 417.2667 961.7657 417.9135 -0.64677954
## 
## $Fregresores
##     C             1            2             3            4             5
## X1  1 944.257255028  -0.82104745  -6.332682221   1.18961038 -4.710896e+00
## X2  0  -0.821047451 945.09843659  -3.331106449  -0.51496048 -5.763330e+00
## X3  0  -6.332682221  -3.33110645 943.416073463   3.19243553 -6.461760e-01
## X4  0   1.189610377  -0.51496048   3.192435533 944.35840562 -1.305300e+00
## X5  0  -4.710895918  -5.76332955  -0.646175964  -1.30529972  9.441561e+02
## X6  0   0.092783361   0.94233215   2.025806729  -0.93576216  3.710103e+00
## X7  0  -1.817896593  -4.63640617   0.740030976  -5.24566189 -2.253743e-01
## X8  0   0.143048535  -0.28958619   0.517667661   0.52201628  2.651326e+00
## X9  0  -1.845972568  -2.05322636   0.420801680  -4.01088676  1.160347e+00
## X10 0  -0.502320083  -0.21801470   0.625519406  -0.25268908  6.230375e-01
## X11 0  -1.085803966  -1.98508004   0.420315876  -1.94785647  3.839046e-01
## X12 0  -0.451367877  -0.67349076   0.105369884  -0.22247668  5.833060e-01
## X13 0  -0.961354541  -1.43018881  -0.036897112  -2.02729347  4.247779e-01
## X14 0  -0.450139687  -0.64279256  -0.042213432  -0.72720222  1.183438e-01
## X15 0  -0.936788446  -1.40177406   0.004461984  -1.41721485  1.681435e-02
## X16 0  -0.457678076  -0.69030511   0.012973963  -0.49493991  2.898870e-02
## X17 0  -1.021053349  -1.31184496   0.053711457  -1.33057193 -1.433907e-01
## X18 0  -0.526099158  -0.49940189   0.071202134  -0.44003785  1.866166e-01
## X19 0  -0.918440492  -1.37278536  -0.147852653  -1.13820229 -1.965558e-01
## X20 0  -0.248582850  -0.49374931   0.173642672  -0.49164898  2.943305e-01
## X21 0  -0.920358327  -1.12522833  -0.250267255  -1.14965704 -1.556056e-01
## X22 0  -0.172167811  -0.34379633   0.223128320  -0.52401464  3.095270e-01
## X23 0  -0.672872670  -1.07845491  -0.007752907  -0.98934395 -2.200019e-01
## X24 0  -0.237618583  -0.27374738   0.135884377  -0.33211979  2.980580e-01
## X25 0  -0.604807230  -0.81570128   0.030265328  -1.00352521 -1.942945e-02
## X26 0  -0.214969449  -0.32436688   0.074929697  -0.40356891  2.003975e-01
## X27 0  -0.480703142  -0.78039689  -0.011676542  -0.75118815  1.600869e-01
## X28 0  -0.221105460  -0.43383424   0.064513127  -0.35215697  1.264454e-01
## X29 0  -0.498840636  -0.61530378   0.129821527  -0.72888122  1.611355e-02
## X30 0  -0.398564812  -0.34048043   0.051515674  -0.32999832  8.245974e-02
## X31 0  -0.389467803  -0.65395152   0.027790092  -0.59735716  2.598561e-02
## X32 0  -0.260406585  -0.45981985   0.017946614  -0.29644066  6.873121e-02
## X33 0  -0.425986472  -0.53284403  -0.103835912  -0.63673599 -1.624968e-02
## X34 0  -0.251718657  -0.32423075   0.017215532  -0.46179014  7.191110e-02
## X35 0  -0.364087458  -0.58522031  -0.044039773  -0.47887954 -1.018656e-01
## X36 0  -0.198124941  -0.35795423   0.053964491  -0.36189239  9.454275e-02
## X37 0  -0.401640033  -0.46093293   0.001970290  -0.50789310 -6.378136e-03
## X38 0  -0.254505068  -0.31785262   0.077327218  -0.36991166  6.943969e-02
## X39 0  -0.287770143  -0.49067756   0.037661637  -0.44545773  1.392772e-02
## X40 0  -0.251386539  -0.37188195   0.015475202  -0.33385254  1.048637e-01
## X41 0  -0.292282833  -0.39149324   0.011957431  -0.46314104  5.366156e-02
## X42 0  -0.271415430  -0.37151417   0.027536525  -0.35583730  2.374342e-02
## X43 0  -0.265884902  -0.38581382   0.015999921  -0.38322502 -4.087222e-03
## X44 0  -0.274013845  -0.36779473   0.008268215  -0.35215651  7.196551e-02
## X45 0  -0.253340306  -0.36774982  -0.016044653  -0.34138483 -3.357740e-03
## X46 0  -0.248724863  -0.36815643   0.044428987  -0.39981371  4.277995e-02
## X47 0  -0.254191881  -0.31384831  -0.019357661  -0.33323808  1.597433e-02
## X48 0  -0.246637978  -0.38376906   0.034511737  -0.38056999  4.626851e-02
## X49 0  -0.190508230  -0.32496987   0.032018985  -0.31200878 -6.944105e-03
## X50 0  -0.294006546  -0.36121233   0.001839525  -0.37807986  3.710649e-02
## X51 0  -0.205384915  -0.26757980   0.012413556  -0.32237512  2.632978e-02
## X52 0  -0.264193397  -0.41009884   0.002594752  -0.35517003  1.780977e-02
## X53 0  -0.187906749  -0.28786338  -0.005689202  -0.25160955  6.371252e-03
## X54 0  -0.285960798  -0.36758358   0.015970243  -0.40312097  3.518576e-02
## X55 0  -0.201715381  -0.24977003  -0.006042304  -0.25527237 -1.266708e-02
## X56 0  -0.255648290  -0.39743176   0.032591008  -0.39025382  3.862861e-02
## X57 0  -0.165321415  -0.25267762  -0.006977875  -0.22711167  1.662794e-02
## X58 0  -0.276092593  -0.38421152   0.022658363  -0.38683293  6.378715e-02
## X59 0  -0.155624735  -0.21114142   0.022670239  -0.22148148 -1.757671e-02
## X60 0  -0.287708850  -0.37985506   0.031196137  -0.36692613  3.103046e-02
## X61 0  -0.133277651  -0.18889047  -0.010598831  -0.20276932  5.384850e-03
## X62 0  -0.261103583  -0.38959637   0.008372100  -0.39995146  4.007436e-02
## X63 0  -0.111506735  -0.18011096  -0.017285389  -0.18001226  9.497568e-03
## X64 0  -0.263263618  -0.38935263   0.008878219  -0.40583610  3.473403e-02
## X65 0  -0.121437713  -0.14881612   0.020096399  -0.15374904 -1.045655e-03
## X66 0  -0.289524182  -0.38855071   0.026361925  -0.37176424  2.056755e-02
## X67 0  -0.098951038  -0.14537694   0.016239734  -0.13712679  2.508015e-03
## X68 0  -0.286230070  -0.39186064   0.011689329  -0.38476426  5.568577e-02
## X69 0  -0.084156321  -0.12824857  -0.017588384  -0.11605309  1.245328e-02
## X70 0  -0.264650452  -0.40100400   0.029323842  -0.38905854  2.348262e-02
## X71 0  -0.082419830  -0.08969117  -0.003786449  -0.11645528 -2.039049e-02
## X72 0  -0.280875222  -0.37147015   0.011793289  -0.39659184  3.998213e-02
## X73 0  -0.042686146  -0.10476595  -0.002802103  -0.07903288 -8.198610e-03
## X74 0  -0.260687679  -0.39280539   0.010658286  -0.38893658  3.036963e-02
## X75 0  -0.065741600  -0.04970904  -0.004412161  -0.08618961  1.466432e-02
## X76 0  -0.274635485  -0.38613448   0.018576339  -0.39745699  1.364376e-02
## X77 0  -0.027613053  -0.07439632   0.017466424  -0.04672357  2.394381e-04
## X78 0  -0.285388933  -0.39304483   0.002985474  -0.38001546  4.785441e-02
## X79 0  -0.039470690  -0.03606528   0.004651599  -0.04511826  1.134741e-02
## X80 0  -0.281213839  -0.39748188   0.029278069  -0.38615938  1.952538e-02
## X81 0  -0.023390955  -0.02654192  -0.006119017  -0.01952538 -2.233846e-03
## X82 0  -0.276735336  -0.39081098   0.016539903  -0.39748188  2.654192e-02
## X83 0   0.001934752  -0.01653990  -0.006885445  -0.02927807 -6.119017e-03
## X84 0  -0.191962767  -0.27673534  -0.001934752  -0.28121384  2.339096e-02
##                8             9             6             7           72
## X1    0.14304853 -1.845973e+00   0.092783361 -1.817897e+00  -0.28087522
## X2   -0.28958619 -2.053226e+00   0.942332154 -4.636406e+00  -0.37147015
## X3    0.51766766  4.208017e-01   2.025806729  7.400310e-01   0.01179329
## X4    0.52201628 -4.010887e+00  -0.935762157 -5.245662e+00  -0.39659184
## X5    2.65132613  1.160347e+00   3.710103194 -2.253743e-01   0.03998213
## X6   -0.89886505 -5.140292e+00 943.938089741 -6.797803e-01  -0.40652496
## X7    3.81547308 -2.622714e-01  -0.679780315  9.445764e+02   0.04205896
## X8  943.93362776 -7.219937e-01  -0.898865046  3.815473e+00  -0.38500370
## X9   -0.72199375  9.445809e+02  -5.140292004 -2.622714e-01   0.06932953
## X10  -0.95257650  3.828447e+00   0.517554294  2.609113e+00  -0.38030955
## X11  -5.12731804 -2.085599e-01  -4.053100197  1.164809e+00   0.08021524
## X12   0.66540695  2.680315e+00  -0.306400539  6.360115e-01  -0.39540365
## X13  -3.98189806  1.016956e+00  -1.934882508  4.376160e-01   0.09424153
## X14  -0.05613328  8.096542e-01  -0.074624030  6.545081e-01  -0.39090838
## X15  -1.76123984  1.873488e-01  -1.956091334  2.769252e-01   0.10867523
## X16  -0.06687112  8.776364e-01  -0.476934964  2.919865e-01  -0.37961885
## X17  -1.73296301  2.691723e-01  -1.243572175 -2.334529e-01   0.13343980
## X18  -0.50720029  4.278709e-01  -0.487186998  2.521170e-01  -0.40400527
## X19  -1.10768780 -2.031876e-01  -1.107443609 -1.511436e-01   0.17054431
## X20  -0.47551046  3.270467e-01  -0.470303180  3.225010e-01  -0.38100956
## X21  -1.03251391 -1.628201e-01  -1.002317914 -1.662905e-01   0.15239551
## X22  -0.60012471  3.870141e-01  -0.479972441  3.692602e-01  -0.39222805
## X23  -0.93780479 -3.646894e-02  -1.074727344 -1.672821e-01   0.19171540
## X24  -0.50776253  4.207758e-01  -0.653836164  3.740402e-01  -0.37300816
## X25  -1.02321167 -1.394920e-01  -0.924830824 -9.018040e-02   0.16489332
## X26  -0.55000025  3.919868e-01  -0.359909881  3.495737e-01  -0.36301117
## X27  -0.90688421 -1.940163e-01  -0.952009537  8.360644e-03   0.23802042
## X28  -0.31587011  3.667892e-01  -0.299732996  2.183441e-01  -0.39615227
## X29  -0.93479401 -3.567913e-02  -0.733241538  5.625094e-02   0.23864615
## X30  -0.30170329  2.723086e-01  -0.308117201  1.436609e-01  -0.39664420
## X31  -0.67927705  5.822123e-02  -0.711665685 -2.792622e-02   0.25797797
## X32  -0.34577884  2.209881e-01  -0.331968614  1.364242e-01  -0.36391262
## X33  -0.63433847  9.735415e-03  -0.543392671  2.795590e-02   0.29254460
## X34  -0.34392605  1.518994e-01  -0.334102296  1.460584e-01  -0.36459037
## X35  -0.52791747  3.991334e-02  -0.559408770  2.141196e-02   0.28233139
## X36  -0.35010222  1.735949e-01  -0.473747572  8.738631e-02  -0.34353637
## X37  -0.53187224  3.741188e-02  -0.463404342 -8.990819e-02   0.37824392
## X38  -0.45770292  9.565452e-02  -0.377892310  1.220793e-01  -0.37321891
## X39  -0.45513613 -1.059528e-01  -0.480356571  9.621786e-03   0.36749202
## X40  -0.35853465  1.665083e-01  -0.353867007  7.770791e-02  -0.36490590
## X41  -0.43592758 -9.735875e-03  -0.437189513 -2.116932e-03   0.41811782
## X42  -0.38588599  1.122196e-01  -0.314494876  1.492927e-01  -0.48403270
## X43  -0.40267778  2.990205e-02  -0.418712053  3.430390e-02   0.41802964
## X44  -0.32690843  1.511323e-01  -0.387856282  5.825515e-02  -0.34315811
## X45  -0.41687253  4.671745e-02  -0.348713285  2.793176e-02   0.48560373
## X46  -0.38216708  6.084991e-02  -0.364570069  7.380504e-02  -0.35990038
## X47  -0.34611853  2.224256e-02  -0.339545310  9.055816e-03   0.48513752
## X48  -0.35852777  8.977528e-02  -0.394124511  4.537470e-02  -0.34242110
## X49  -0.32357507  3.013513e-03  -0.330643331  1.028513e-02   0.56237296
## X50  -0.38714664  7.796571e-02  -0.374527687  6.223875e-02  -0.29761606
## X51  -0.29805232  3.307254e-03  -0.296038541 -1.298641e-02   0.65553363
## X52  -0.39719793  8.489712e-02  -0.371101982  6.969750e-02  -0.36953167
## X53  -0.27338018  9.683831e-03  -0.289784108  1.935191e-02   0.82993026
## X54  -0.36050315  1.008936e-01  -0.377840266  4.046813e-02  -0.56392797
## X55  -0.25858797  8.753076e-03  -0.228951192  2.904149e-02   0.83744452
## X56  -0.36055488  4.884023e-02  -0.392522136  6.638190e-02  -0.50138440
## X57  -0.22057909  1.175610e-02  -0.224076234 -2.326591e-02   0.92866892
## X58  -0.41261853  7.526012e-02  -0.372968433  4.700071e-02  -0.49825908
## X59  -0.21519802 -3.169510e-03  -0.218739566 -6.574530e-04   0.86589368
## X60  -0.38920817  7.336263e-02  -0.406929332  7.266536e-02  -0.45926078
## X61  -0.19237764  1.558228e-02  -0.212603264  2.519693e-03   0.96378271
## X62  -0.38934095  8.435469e-02  -0.383165863  5.739239e-02  -0.53318591
## X63  -0.20091393 -1.506869e-02  -0.176407398  2.162458e-02   1.02522806
## X64  -0.37937941  8.671623e-02  -0.382363073  5.176369e-02  -0.08298467
## X65  -0.14708356  1.783814e-02  -0.168322926 -8.090816e-03   1.60651764
## X66  -0.37956097  6.355697e-02  -0.402049653  6.405787e-02  -0.21622014
## X67  -0.15652964 -1.089292e-02  -0.124425194 -4.832104e-03   1.56084233
## X68  -0.39763749  7.471615e-02  -0.368962140  3.236084e-02   0.68483640
## X69  -0.11376691 -9.244265e-03  -0.125333500 -2.940881e-04   3.68384005
## X70  -0.38642856  5.093718e-02  -0.380352103  6.634405e-02  -0.73257458
## X71  -0.10675716  1.717234e-02  -0.105394808  8.041124e-03   4.81779099
## X72  -0.38500370  6.932953e-02  -0.406524962  4.205896e-02 944.08923332
## X73  -0.10240933  1.269272e-02  -0.097878942 -2.924063e-03   0.42766329
## X74  -0.40040595  7.133703e-02  -0.401243436  4.296760e-02  -0.70230925
## X75  -0.06860087 -9.043080e-03  -0.076047408 -3.547011e-03  -4.00208971
## X76  -0.39435799  5.950751e-02  -0.382817561  5.964770e-02   0.66540695
## X77  -0.05950751 -1.043246e-02  -0.056911544  8.545304e-03  -2.68031484
## X78  -0.38281756  5.691154e-02  -0.390571542  3.018366e-02  -0.30640054
## X79  -0.05964770  8.545304e-03  -0.030183663 -6.646007e-03  -0.63601151
## X80  -0.39745699  4.672357e-02  -0.380015458  4.511826e-02  -0.22247668
## X81  -0.01364376  2.394381e-04  -0.047854407  1.134741e-02  -0.58330597
## X82  -0.38613448  7.439632e-02  -0.393044826  3.606528e-02  -0.67349076
## X83  -0.01857634  1.746642e-02  -0.002985474  4.651599e-03  -0.10536988
## X84  -0.27463548  2.761305e-02  -0.285388933  3.947069e-02  -0.45136788
##                73           14            15           12            13
## X1  -4.268615e-02  -0.45013969 -9.367884e-01  -0.45136788 -9.613545e-01
## X2  -1.047660e-01  -0.64279256 -1.401774e+00  -0.67349076 -1.430189e+00
## X3  -2.802103e-03  -0.04221343  4.461984e-03   0.10536988 -3.689711e-02
## X4  -7.903288e-02  -0.72720222 -1.417215e+00  -0.22247668 -2.027293e+00
## X5  -8.198610e-03   0.11834385  1.681435e-02   0.58330597  4.247779e-01
## X6  -9.787894e-02  -0.07462403 -1.956091e+00  -0.30640054 -1.934883e+00
## X7  -2.924063e-03   0.65450811  2.769252e-01   0.63601151  4.376160e-01
## X8  -1.024093e-01  -0.05613328 -1.761240e+00   0.66540695 -3.981898e+00
## X9   1.269272e-02   0.80965418  1.873488e-01   2.68031484  1.016956e+00
## X10 -7.747909e-02   0.67315985 -3.758770e+00  -0.70230925 -4.953675e+00
## X11  1.105332e-02   2.90344316  1.009203e+00   4.00208971 -4.588272e-01
## X12 -9.424153e-02  -0.73257458 -4.817791e+00 944.08923332 -4.276633e-01
## X13 -1.147811e-02   4.13797409 -4.285619e-01  -0.42766329  9.444253e+02
## X14 -1.114114e-01 944.10090986 -3.527336e-01  -0.73257458  4.137974e+00
## X15  4.544878e-04  -0.35273360  9.444136e+02  -4.81779099 -4.285619e-01
## X16 -1.003600e-01  -0.86239610  4.202487e+00   0.68483640  2.978373e+00
## X17  1.807757e-02  -4.75327787 -2.987403e-01  -3.68384005  9.975267e-01
## X18 -1.147243e-01   0.65704630  3.029889e+00  -0.21622014  1.010052e+00
## X19 -4.043702e-04  -3.63232437  1.025317e+00  -1.56084233  3.474356e-01
## X20 -1.133448e-01  -0.11238423  1.027998e+00  -0.08298467  1.004082e+00
## X21  7.383671e-03  -1.54289572  2.435997e-01  -1.60651764  2.852859e-01
## X22 -9.874273e-02  -0.03894490  1.021297e+00  -0.53318591  5.103306e-01
## X23 -2.356000e-02  -1.58930211  2.412461e-01  -1.02522806 -1.772020e-01
## X24 -1.045260e-01  -0.53515620  5.642951e-01  -0.45926078  3.957779e-01
## X25  2.420939e-02  -0.97126357 -1.752317e-01  -0.96378271 -1.790698e-01
## X26 -1.214612e-01  -0.49692241  4.731051e-01  -0.49825908  4.589252e-01
## X27  1.126109e-02  -0.88645549 -1.414082e-01  -0.86589368 -1.383346e-01
## X28 -1.196311e-01  -0.51021652  4.744004e-01  -0.50138440  5.153186e-01
## X29  8.638176e-03  -0.85041848 -1.263771e-01  -0.92866892 -1.458701e-01
## X30 -1.180401e-01  -0.51738432  5.428551e-01  -0.56392797  4.614265e-01
## X31  1.280482e-02  -0.90113240 -1.298702e-01  -0.83744452 -1.800886e-01
## X32 -1.208057e-01  -0.54788332  4.696947e-01  -0.36953167  4.716530e-01
## X33  8.398363e-03  -0.82917630 -1.961332e-01  -0.82993026  1.798243e-02
## X34 -1.246371e-01  -0.35017401  5.160820e-01  -0.29761606  2.960520e-01
## X35  4.665854e-03  -0.78550128 -1.375232e-03  -0.65553363  5.413401e-02
## X36 -1.897609e-01  -0.32963505  3.305638e-01  -0.34242110  2.929536e-01
## X37  6.334539e-02  -0.62102189  8.615300e-02  -0.56237296  6.377675e-03
## X38 -1.474054e-01  -0.35483465  2.947932e-01  -0.35990038  1.946794e-01
## X39  1.723498e-02  -0.56053343  1.879123e-02  -0.48513752  5.588767e-02
## X40 -1.843180e-01  -0.35421117  1.972741e-01  -0.34315811  2.198635e-01
## X41 -3.364623e-03  -0.48254277  5.019846e-02  -0.48560373  3.046777e-02
## X42 -1.327610e-01  -0.33711581  2.358337e-01  -0.48403270  1.327610e-01
## X43 -7.962306e-02  -0.46963349  2.442547e-02  -0.41802964 -7.962306e-02
## X44 -2.198635e-01  -0.47705483  1.653520e-01  -0.36490590  1.843180e-01
## X45  3.046777e-02  -0.38543863 -8.660094e-02  -0.41811782 -3.364623e-03
## X46 -1.946794e-01  -0.38757614  2.069764e-01  -0.37321891  1.474054e-01
## X47  5.588767e-02  -0.39545945  1.930562e-02  -0.36749202  1.723498e-02
## X48 -2.929536e-01  -0.36262008  1.786015e-01  -0.34353637  1.897609e-01
## X49  6.377675e-03  -0.33629588  6.636145e-03  -0.37824392  6.334539e-02
## X50 -2.960520e-01  -0.32625098  1.981330e-01  -0.36459037  1.246371e-01
## X51  5.413401e-02  -0.36987182  4.606000e-02  -0.28233139  4.665854e-03
## X52 -4.716530e-01  -0.38468677  1.335153e-01  -0.36391262  1.208057e-01
## X53  1.798243e-02  -0.27345317  2.476225e-02  -0.29254460  8.398363e-03
## X54 -4.614265e-01  -0.38015235  1.471677e-01  -0.39664420  1.180401e-01
## X55 -1.800886e-01  -0.26618268  2.463810e-02  -0.25797797  1.280482e-02
## X56 -5.153186e-01  -0.37905582  1.297294e-01  -0.39615227  1.196311e-01
## X57 -1.458701e-01  -0.24628864 -4.783562e-03  -0.23864615  8.638176e-03
## X58 -4.589252e-01  -0.39236582  1.489550e-01  -0.36301117  1.214612e-01
## X59 -1.383346e-01  -0.20932231  4.851726e-03  -0.23802042  1.126109e-02
## X60 -3.957779e-01  -0.36020906  1.332545e-01  -0.37300816  1.045260e-01
## X61 -1.790698e-01  -0.22622713  8.458988e-03  -0.16489332  2.420939e-02
## X62 -5.103306e-01  -0.36859600  1.151843e-01  -0.39222805  9.874273e-02
## X63 -1.772020e-01  -0.15423504  1.979723e-02  -0.19171540 -2.356000e-02
## X64 -1.004082e+00  -0.40969447  1.173191e-01  -0.38100956  1.133448e-01
## X65  2.852859e-01  -0.17313906 -6.093573e-03  -0.15239551  7.383671e-03
## X66 -1.010052e+00  -0.38566116  1.163302e-01  -0.40400527  1.147243e-01
## X67  3.474356e-01  -0.14941004  1.203527e-02  -0.17054431 -4.043702e-04
## X68 -2.978373e+00  -0.39788625  1.440024e-01  -0.37961885  1.003600e-01
## X69  9.975267e-01  -0.14126624 -6.523387e-03  -0.13343980  1.807757e-02
## X70 -4.137974e+00  -0.37273341  1.168999e-01  -0.39090838  1.114114e-01
## X71 -4.285619e-01  -0.11689989  1.119213e-02  -0.10867523  4.544878e-04
## X72  4.276633e-01  -0.39090838  1.086752e-01  -0.39540365  9.424153e-02
## X73  9.444253e+02  -0.11141138  4.544878e-04  -0.09424153 -1.147811e-02
## X74  4.953675e+00  -0.40228909  1.107814e-01  -0.38030955  7.747909e-02
## X75 -4.588272e-01  -0.07770163 -4.592666e-03  -0.08021524  1.105332e-02
## X76  3.981898e+00  -0.38642856  1.067572e-01  -0.38500370  1.024093e-01
## X77  1.016956e+00  -0.05093718  1.717234e-02  -0.06932953  1.269272e-02
## X78  1.934883e+00  -0.38035210  1.053948e-01  -0.40652496  9.787894e-02
## X79  4.376160e-01  -0.06634405  8.041124e-03  -0.04205896 -2.924063e-03
## X80  2.027293e+00  -0.38905854  1.164553e-01  -0.39659184  7.903288e-02
## X81  4.247779e-01  -0.02348262 -2.039049e-02  -0.03998213 -8.198610e-03
## X82  1.430189e+00  -0.40100400  8.969117e-02  -0.37147015  1.047660e-01
## X83 -3.689711e-02  -0.02932384 -3.786449e-03  -0.01179329 -2.802103e-03
## X84  9.613545e-01  -0.26465045  8.241983e-02  -0.28087522  4.268615e-02
##               10            11           18            19
## X1   -0.50232008  -1.085803966  -0.52609916 -9.184405e-01
## X2   -0.21801470  -1.985080036  -0.49940189 -1.372785e+00
## X3    0.62551941   0.420315876   0.07120213 -1.478527e-01
## X4   -0.25268908  -1.947856471  -0.44003785 -1.138202e+00
## X5    0.62303755   0.383904569   0.18661663 -1.965558e-01
## X6    0.51755429  -4.053100197  -0.48718700 -1.107444e+00
## X7    2.60911270   1.164808836   0.25211702 -1.511436e-01
## X8   -0.95257650  -5.127318041  -0.50720029 -1.107688e+00
## X9    3.82844704  -0.208559938   0.42787090 -2.031876e-01
## X10 944.08148041  -0.650791614  -0.05519458 -1.658033e+00
## X11  -0.65079161 944.433029647   0.95256612  2.574958e-01
## X12  -0.70230925   4.002089714  -0.21622014 -1.560842e+00
## X13  -4.95367537  -0.458827193   1.01005168  3.474356e-01
## X14   0.67315985   2.903443156   0.65704630 -3.632324e+00
## X15  -3.75876974   1.009203276   3.02988853  1.025317e+00
## X16  -0.08639861   0.945538557  -0.75856019 -4.735331e+00
## X17  -1.62535546   0.217614098   4.22043383 -4.025763e-01
## X18  -0.05519458   0.952566124 944.11715954 -2.840024e-01
## X19  -1.65803332   0.257495759  -0.28400239  9.443974e+02
## X20  -0.63702182   0.492384023  -0.76053048  4.274398e+00
## X21  -1.04317467  -0.073366055  -4.68136676 -4.006060e-01
## X22  -0.50330055   0.378562392   0.66342444  3.124431e+00
## X23  -0.98099824  -0.135030025  -3.53778162  1.018939e+00
## X24  -0.49628879   0.404960752  -0.12631195  1.097438e+00
## X25  -0.91985817  -0.140304856  -1.47345603  2.575274e-01
## X26  -0.46372276   0.437991356  -0.09260646  1.126161e+00
## X27  -1.00599614  -0.183531782  -1.48443837  2.949076e-01
## X28  -0.55197054   0.445951280  -0.53106897  5.880385e-01
## X29  -0.85291972  -0.192046023  -0.94752015 -1.793189e-01
## X30  -0.35353175   0.444116440  -0.49356467  5.450707e-01
## X31  -0.85746679   0.001982508  -0.81448998 -1.447659e-01
## X32  -0.31366072   0.287783810  -0.52619085  5.171804e-01
## X33  -0.66380185   0.070178664  -0.80763853 -1.104028e-01
## X34  -0.36177876   0.248524646  -0.51044021  5.891236e-01
## X35  -0.60680194   0.025735336  -0.85486388 -1.368143e-01
## X36  -0.32788139   0.160167649  -0.57421310  5.068012e-01
## X37  -0.51964925   0.023868683  -0.79206981 -1.698035e-01
## X38  -0.33074456   0.218023935  -0.35654526  5.338917e-01
## X39  -0.48744326   0.018054217  -0.76769151  4.996021e-03
## X40  -0.48972190   0.130166258  -0.31696797  3.657495e-01
## X41  -0.42062439  -0.073933859  -0.58583613  7.348592e-02
## X42  -0.37094820   0.168347787  -0.37146259  3.334218e-01
## X43  -0.43408806   0.002677681  -0.52190482  3.541917e-02
## X44  -0.38019679   0.114814397  -0.33663447  2.610613e-01
## X45  -0.40008302   0.024212850  -0.41875562  3.262176e-02
## X46  -0.32086613   0.167102498  -0.34250066  2.668642e-01
## X47  -0.40090228   0.040675150  -0.43860303  2.981032e-02
## X48  -0.37518920   0.093440914  -0.48655239  2.054264e-01
## X49  -0.31352753   0.015264685  -0.34536427 -7.710337e-02
## X50  -0.38119801   0.112433643  -0.38653049  2.417104e-01
## X51  -0.30091670   0.025683752  -0.36072543  1.825996e-02
## X52  -0.37654780   0.109161849  -0.36512810  1.991691e-01
## X53  -0.26685619  -0.007291577  -0.31572833  9.144160e-03
## X54  -0.37991254   0.093269218  -0.33870426  2.538187e-01
## X55  -0.26500808  -0.007601558  -0.31418605  5.851328e-02
## X56  -0.38059955   0.109771853  -0.36429629  1.569979e-01
## X57  -0.24970975   0.028849475  -0.24997055  4.371766e-03
## X58  -0.37679461   0.075202156  -0.37195374  1.871498e-01
## X59  -0.19421717   0.027995837  -0.22620055  1.643949e-02
## X60  -0.39503015   0.086949445  -0.39372014  1.600990e-01
## X61  -0.20350869  -0.020757893  -0.21591901  9.880759e-03
## X62  -0.38542172   0.102686473  -0.39260526  1.625987e-01
## X63  -0.16305380   0.011795831  -0.19567855  5.091165e-03
## X64  -0.38653885   0.096147983  -0.37155647  1.811089e-01
## X65  -0.18912065  -0.017870794  -0.17837273  1.980639e-02
## X66  -0.37496725   0.097374516  -0.36636215  1.347097e-01
## X67  -0.13642527   0.013425974  -0.13470966  1.756338e-02
## X68  -0.39702739   0.082133313  -0.40357545  1.438610e-01
## X69  -0.13795330   0.006573505  -0.14659714 -1.221259e-02
## X70  -0.40228909   0.077701628  -0.38566116  1.494100e-01
## X71  -0.11078143  -0.004592666  -0.11633023  1.203527e-02
## X72  -0.38030955   0.080215245  -0.40400527  1.705443e-01
## X73  -0.07747909   0.011053318  -0.11472432 -4.043702e-04
## X74  -0.37811826   0.085869430  -0.37496725  1.364253e-01
## X75  -0.08586943   0.005807277  -0.09737452  1.342597e-02
## X76  -0.40040595   0.068600874  -0.37956097  1.565296e-01
## X77  -0.07133703  -0.009043080  -0.06355697 -1.089292e-02
## X78  -0.40124344   0.076047408  -0.40204965  1.244252e-01
## X79  -0.04296760  -0.003547011  -0.06405787 -4.832104e-03
## X80  -0.38893658   0.086189613  -0.37176424  1.371268e-01
## X81  -0.03036963   0.014664321  -0.02056755  2.508015e-03
## X82  -0.39280539   0.049709041  -0.38855071  1.453769e-01
## X83  -0.01065829  -0.004412161  -0.02636193  1.623973e-02
## X84  -0.26068768   0.065741600  -0.28952418  9.895104e-02
## 
## $Tregresores
##               C        1             2             3          4
##  [1,] 0.1091089 101.4288  1.434420e+02  4.371130e-13  143.44202
##  [2,] 0.1091089 101.4499  1.430707e+02  1.072167e+01  141.86941
##  [3,] 0.1091089 101.5061  1.419479e+02  2.139520e+01  137.17366
##  [4,] 0.1091089 101.6271  1.401190e+02  3.198125e+01  129.48942
##  [5,] 0.1091089 101.7618  1.375192e+02  4.241906e+01  118.90639
##  [6,] 0.1091089 101.8588  1.340924e+02  5.262739e+01  105.59615
##  [7,] 0.1091089 101.8566  1.297819e+02  6.249967e+01   89.81186
##  [8,] 0.1091089 101.8070  1.246876e+02  7.198844e+01   71.98844
##  [9,] 0.1091089 101.7030  1.188378e+02  8.102222e+01   52.54693
## [10,] 0.1091089 101.5407  1.122712e+02  8.953329e+01   31.95406
## [11,] 0.1091089 101.3728  1.050924e+02  9.751146e+01   10.71351
## [12,] 0.1091089 101.3146  9.745544e+01  1.050320e+02  -10.70736
## [13,] 0.1091089 101.3698  8.938257e+01  1.120822e+02  -31.90027
## [14,] 0.1091089 101.5003  8.086070e+01  1.186009e+02  -52.44218
## [15,] 0.1091089 101.6543  7.188044e+01  1.245006e+02  -71.88044
## [16,] 0.1091089 101.7047  6.240644e+01  1.295883e+02  -89.67789
## [17,] 0.1091089 101.7197  5.255555e+01  1.339094e+02 -105.45202
## [18,] 0.1091089 101.7804  4.242683e+01  1.375444e+02 -118.92817
## [19,] 0.1091089 101.8787  3.206041e+01  1.404659e+02 -129.80997
## [20,] 0.1091089 101.9271  2.148395e+01  1.425367e+02 -137.74264
## [21,] 0.1091089 101.9724  1.077689e+01  1.438076e+02 -142.60009
## [22,] 0.1091089 102.0831 -7.872626e-13  1.443672e+02 -144.36725
## [23,] 0.1091089 102.1817 -1.079901e+01  1.441027e+02 -142.89278
## [24,] 0.1091089 102.2809 -2.155853e+01  1.430315e+02 -138.22080
## [25,] 0.1091089 102.3896 -3.222119e+01  1.411703e+02 -130.46094
## [26,] 0.1091089 102.4532 -4.270729e+01  1.384536e+02 -119.71433
## [27,] 0.1091089 102.4790 -5.294784e+01  1.349089e+02 -106.23913
## [28,] 0.1091089 102.5274 -6.291127e+01  1.306366e+02  -90.40334
## [29,] 0.1091089 102.5897 -7.254184e+01  1.256461e+02  -72.54184
## [30,] 0.1091089 102.7191 -8.183165e+01  1.200250e+02  -53.07189
## [31,] 0.1091089 102.8132 -9.065526e+01  1.136781e+02  -32.35449
## [32,] 0.1091089 102.9478 -9.902647e+01  1.067252e+02  -10.87997
## [33,] 0.1091089 103.0369 -1.068175e+02  9.911219e+01   10.88939
## [34,] 0.1091089 103.0885 -1.139825e+02  9.089803e+01   32.44113
## [35,] 0.1091089 103.1153 -1.204879e+02  8.214729e+01   53.27659
## [36,] 0.1091089 103.1960 -1.263887e+02  7.297057e+01   72.97057
## [37,] 0.1091089 103.3119 -1.316362e+02  6.339265e+01   91.09508
## [38,] 0.1091089 103.3127 -1.360065e+02  5.337860e+01  107.10345
## [39,] 0.1091089 103.3534 -1.396702e+02  4.308254e+01  120.76620
## [40,] 0.1091089 103.3972 -1.425596e+02  3.253829e+01  131.74486
## [41,] 0.1091089 103.4554 -1.446738e+02  2.180607e+01  139.80791
## [42,] 0.1091089 103.4734 -1.459243e+02  1.093551e+01  144.69904
## [43,] 0.1091089 103.4388 -1.462845e+02  1.030013e-12  146.28454
## [44,] 0.1091089 103.3378 -1.457331e+02 -1.092118e+01  144.50942
## [45,] 0.1091089 103.2257 -1.443527e+02 -2.175767e+01  139.49762
## [46,] 0.1091089 103.2371 -1.423388e+02 -3.248791e+01  131.54085
## [47,] 0.1091089 103.2417 -1.395192e+02 -4.303597e+01  120.63566
## [48,] 0.1091089 103.2168 -1.358802e+02 -5.332906e+01  107.00404
## [49,] 0.1091089 103.1645 -1.314483e+02 -6.330218e+01   90.96507
## [50,] 0.1091089 103.1463 -1.263279e+02 -7.293544e+01   72.93544
## [51,] 0.1091089 103.1398 -1.205166e+02 -8.216682e+01   53.28926
## [52,] 0.1091089 103.1517 -1.140524e+02 -9.095376e+01   32.46102
## [53,] 0.1091089 103.2068 -1.069936e+02 -9.927559e+01   10.90734
## [54,] 0.1091089 103.2065 -9.927534e+01 -1.069934e+02  -10.90731
## [55,] 0.1091089 103.2519 -9.104210e+01 -1.141632e+02  -32.49255
## [56,] 0.1091089 103.2803 -8.227876e+01 -1.206808e+02  -53.36186
## [57,] 0.1091089 103.3022 -7.304567e+01 -1.265188e+02  -73.04567
## [58,] 0.1091089 103.3947 -6.344344e+01 -1.317417e+02  -91.16806
## [59,] 0.1091089 103.5032 -5.347700e+01 -1.362572e+02 -107.30088
## [60,] 0.1091089 103.5879 -4.318030e+01 -1.399871e+02 -121.04024
## [61,] 0.1091089 103.6478 -3.261716e+01 -1.429051e+02 -132.06418
## [62,] 0.1091089 103.6311 -2.184311e+01 -1.449196e+02 -140.04538
## [63,] 0.1091089 103.6484 -1.095401e+01 -1.461711e+02 -144.94380
## [64,] 0.1091089 103.6808  3.152409e-13 -1.466268e+02 -146.62680
## [65,] 0.1091089 103.7122  1.096075e+01 -1.462611e+02 -145.03301
## [66,] 0.1091089 103.7394  2.186594e+01 -1.450710e+02 -140.19174
## [67,] 0.1091089 103.7484  3.264880e+01 -1.430437e+02 -132.19227
## [68,] 0.1091089 103.7548  4.324984e+01 -1.402125e+02 -121.23517
## [69,] 0.1091089 103.8549  5.365873e+01 -1.367202e+02 -107.66552
## [70,] 0.1091089 103.9372  6.377633e+01 -1.324329e+02  -91.64642
## [71,] 0.1091089 104.0460  7.357165e+01 -1.274298e+02  -73.57165
## [72,] 0.1091089 104.1056  8.293622e+01 -1.216451e+02  -53.78825
## [73,] 0.1091089 104.1491  9.183326e+01 -1.151553e+02  -32.77491
## [74,] 0.1091089 104.2278  1.002577e+02 -1.080521e+02  -11.01524
## [75,] 0.1091089 104.3143  1.081418e+02 -1.003409e+02   11.02438
## [76,] 0.1091089 104.3951  1.154272e+02 -9.205011e+01   32.85230
## [77,] 0.1091089 104.4594  1.220586e+02 -8.321811e+01   53.97108
## [78,] 0.1091089 104.5333  1.280266e+02 -7.391620e+01   73.91620
## [79,] 0.1091089 104.6046  1.332832e+02 -6.418580e+01   92.23483
## [80,] 0.1091089 104.6887  1.378179e+02 -5.408956e+01  108.52997
## [81,] 0.1091089 104.7841  1.416036e+02 -4.367893e+01  122.43797
## [82,] 0.1091089 104.8301  1.445351e+02 -3.298919e+01  133.57052
## [83,] 0.1091089 104.8569  1.466337e+02 -2.210148e+01  141.70189
## [84,] 0.1091089 104.9372  1.479887e+02 -1.109022e+01  146.74612
##                   5          8             9             6             7
##  [1,] -8.075246e-13  143.44202  1.208007e-12  1.434420e+02  4.130273e-13
##  [2,]  2.138337e+01  137.09782  4.228908e+01  1.398747e+02  3.192549e+01
##  [3,]  4.231247e+01  118.60760  8.086529e+01  1.293352e+02  6.228455e+01
##  [4,]  6.235882e+01   89.60946  1.123667e+02  1.123667e+02  8.960946e+01
##  [5,]  8.106901e+01   52.57728  1.339647e+02  8.972821e+01  1.125156e+02
##  [6,]  9.797891e+01   10.76487  1.436472e+02  6.250097e+01  1.297846e+02
##  [7,]  1.126205e+02  -32.05348  1.404355e+02  3.205348e+01  1.404355e+02
##  [8,]  1.246876e+02  -71.98844  1.246876e+02 -3.969741e-13  1.439769e+02
##  [9,]  1.338874e+02 -105.43472  9.782912e+01 -3.200515e+01  1.402237e+02
## [10,]  1.399999e+02 -129.37935  6.230581e+01 -6.230581e+01  1.293793e+02
## [11,]  1.429619e+02 -141.76154  2.136711e+01 -8.938524e+01  1.120855e+02
## [12,]  1.428798e+02 -141.68011 -2.135484e+01 -1.120212e+02  8.933389e+01
## [13,]  1.397642e+02 -129.16156 -6.220093e+01 -1.291616e+02  6.220093e+01
## [14,]  1.336205e+02 -105.22453 -9.763409e+01 -1.399442e+02  3.194134e+01
## [15,]  1.245006e+02  -71.88044 -1.245006e+02 -1.437609e+02  1.240067e-14
## [16,]  1.124525e+02  -32.00567 -1.402260e+02 -1.402260e+02 -3.200567e+01
## [17,]  9.784517e+01   10.75018 -1.434512e+02 -1.296074e+02 -6.241566e+01
## [18,]  8.108385e+01   52.58690 -1.339892e+02 -1.125362e+02 -8.974464e+01
## [19,]  6.251319e+01   89.83128 -1.126449e+02 -8.983128e+01 -1.126449e+02
## [20,]  4.248798e+01  119.09957 -8.120071e+01 -6.254290e+01 -1.298717e+02
## [21,]  2.149351e+01  137.80392 -4.250688e+01 -3.208992e+01 -1.405951e+02
## [22,]  1.217822e-12  144.36725  7.362297e-14  7.262940e-13 -1.443672e+02
## [23,] -2.153762e+01  138.08677  4.259413e+01  3.215579e+01 -1.408837e+02
## [24,] -4.263547e+01  119.51301  8.148259e+01  6.276001e+01 -1.303225e+02
## [25,] -6.282668e+01   90.28177  1.132098e+02  9.028177e+01 -1.132098e+02
## [26,] -8.161985e+01   52.93452  1.348750e+02  1.132801e+02 -9.033788e+01
## [27,] -9.857550e+01   10.83042  1.445219e+02  1.305749e+02 -6.288154e+01
## [28,] -1.133622e+02  -32.26458  1.413604e+02  1.413604e+02 -3.226458e+01
## [29,] -1.256461e+02  -72.54184  1.256461e+02  1.450837e+02  9.506562e-13
## [30,] -1.352250e+02 -106.48803  9.880645e+01  1.416246e+02  3.232488e+01
## [31,] -1.417543e+02 -131.00065  6.308659e+01  1.310007e+02  6.308659e+01
## [32,] -1.451831e+02 -143.96406  2.169909e+01  1.138270e+02  9.077399e+01
## [33,] -1.453088e+02 -144.08868 -2.171787e+01  9.085257e+01  1.139255e+02
## [34,] -1.421339e+02 -131.35146 -6.325553e+01  6.325553e+01  1.313515e+02
## [35,] -1.357465e+02 -106.89877 -9.918757e+01  3.244957e+01  1.421708e+02
## [36,] -1.263887e+02  -72.97057 -1.263887e+02 -1.005623e-12  1.459411e+02
## [37,] -1.142296e+02  -32.51146 -1.424420e+02 -3.251146e+01  1.424420e+02
## [38,] -9.937748e+01   10.91853 -1.456977e+02 -6.339312e+01  1.316372e+02
## [39,] -8.233700e+01   53.39963 -1.360600e+02 -9.113164e+01  1.142755e+02
## [40,] -6.344498e+01   91.17027 -1.143239e+02 -1.143239e+02  9.117027e+01
## [41,] -4.312503e+01  120.88531 -8.241821e+01 -1.318189e+02  6.348065e+01
## [42,] -2.180987e+01  139.83228 -4.313255e+01 -1.426646e+02  3.256226e+01
## [43,]  9.507586e-15  146.28454  5.545091e-13 -1.462845e+02  3.488434e-13
## [44,]  2.178129e+01  139.64904  4.307602e+01 -1.424776e+02 -3.251959e+01
## [45,]  4.302932e+01  120.61702  8.223529e+01 -1.315264e+02 -6.333976e+01
## [46,]  6.334674e+01   91.02909  1.141469e+02 -1.141469e+02 -9.102909e+01
## [47,]  8.224800e+01   53.34191  1.359130e+02 -9.103313e+01 -1.141519e+02
## [48,]  9.928524e+01   10.90840  1.455625e+02 -6.333428e+01 -1.315150e+02
## [49,]  1.140666e+02  -32.46506  1.422387e+02 -3.246506e+01 -1.422387e+02
## [50,]  1.263279e+02  -72.93544  1.263279e+02 -1.125315e-12 -1.458709e+02
## [51,]  1.357788e+02 -106.92418  9.921114e+01  3.245728e+01 -1.422046e+02
## [52,]  1.422210e+02 -131.43199  6.329431e+01  6.329431e+01 -1.314320e+02
## [53,]  1.455483e+02 -144.32622  2.175368e+01  9.100235e+01 -1.141133e+02
## [54,]  1.455480e+02 -144.32587 -2.175362e+01  1.141131e+02 -9.100212e+01
## [55,]  1.423592e+02 -131.55965 -6.335579e+01  1.315597e+02 -6.335579e+01
## [56,]  1.359638e+02 -107.06985 -9.934631e+01  1.423984e+02 -3.250150e+01
## [57,]  1.265188e+02  -73.04567 -1.265188e+02  1.460913e+02 -8.359433e-13
## [58,]  1.143211e+02  -32.53750 -1.425561e+02  1.425561e+02  3.253750e+01
## [59,]  9.956067e+01   10.93866 -1.459663e+02  1.318798e+02  6.350998e+01
## [60,]  8.252384e+01   53.52081 -1.363688e+02  1.145348e+02  9.133843e+01
## [61,]  6.359876e+01   91.39125 -1.146010e+02  9.139125e+01  1.146010e+02
## [62,]  4.319828e+01  121.09064 -8.255820e+01  6.358847e+01  1.320428e+02
## [63,]  2.184676e+01  140.06881 -4.320550e+01  3.261734e+01  1.429059e+02
## [64,] -9.732666e-15  146.62680 -1.470699e-13 -1.873571e-13  1.466268e+02
## [65,] -2.186021e+01  140.15501  4.323210e+01 -3.263741e+01  1.429938e+02
## [66,] -4.324343e+01  121.21719  8.264448e+01 -6.365493e+01  1.321808e+02
## [67,] -6.366044e+01   91.47989  1.147122e+02 -9.147989e+01  1.147122e+02
## [68,] -8.265674e+01   53.60700  1.365884e+02 -1.147192e+02  9.148553e+01
## [69,] -9.989900e+01   10.97583  1.464623e+02 -1.323280e+02  6.372580e+01
## [70,] -1.149210e+02  -32.70823  1.433041e+02 -1.433041e+02  3.270823e+01
## [71,] -1.274298e+02  -73.57165  1.274298e+02 -1.471433e+02 -5.143099e-13
## [72,] -1.370502e+02 -107.92541  1.001401e+02 -1.435362e+02 -3.276121e+01
## [73,] -1.435963e+02 -132.70291  6.390635e+01 -1.327029e+02 -6.390635e+01
## [74,] -1.469881e+02 -145.75396  2.196888e+01 -1.152422e+02 -9.190259e+01
## [75,] -1.471101e+02 -145.87495 -2.198711e+01 -9.197887e+01 -1.153379e+02
## [76,] -1.439354e+02 -133.01627 -6.405726e+01 -6.405726e+01 -1.330163e+02
## [77,] -1.375161e+02 -108.29224 -1.004805e+02 -3.287256e+01 -1.440241e+02
## [78,] -1.280266e+02  -73.91620 -1.280266e+02  3.744782e-13 -1.478324e+02
## [79,] -1.156588e+02  -32.91823 -1.442242e+02  3.291823e+01 -1.442242e+02
## [80,] -1.007011e+02   11.06396 -1.476383e+02  6.423746e+01 -1.333905e+02
## [81,] -8.347679e+01   54.13885 -1.379435e+02  9.239318e+01 -1.158574e+02
## [82,] -6.432417e+01   92.43367 -1.159082e+02  1.159082e+02 -9.243367e+01
## [83,] -4.370924e+01  122.52295 -8.353473e+01  1.336047e+02 -6.434062e+01
## [84,] -2.211842e+01  141.81051 -4.374275e+01  1.446829e+02 -3.302292e+01
##               72            73            14            15         12
##  [1,]  143.44202  6.429440e-13  1.434420e+02 -5.902622e-13  143.44202
##  [2,] -129.26369  6.225011e+01  1.242503e+02  7.173593e+01  129.26369
##  [3,]   89.50274 -1.122329e+02  7.177562e+01  1.243190e+02   89.50274
##  [4,]  -31.98125  1.401190e+02  4.008946e-13  1.437224e+02   31.98125
##  [5,]  -32.02363 -1.403047e+02 -7.195644e+01  1.246322e+02  -32.02363
##  [6,]   89.81373  1.126229e+02 -1.247510e+02  7.202502e+01  -89.81373
##  [7,] -129.78190 -6.249967e+01 -1.440470e+02 -4.657906e-14 -129.78190
##  [8,]  143.97689  6.451228e-13 -1.246876e+02 -7.198844e+01 -143.97689
##  [9,] -129.58619  6.240542e+01 -7.191491e+01 -1.245603e+02 -129.58619
## [10,]   89.53329 -1.122712e+02 -1.262272e-12 -1.436002e+02  -89.53329
## [11,]  -31.90122  1.397684e+02  7.168139e+01 -1.241558e+02  -31.90122
## [12,]  -31.88290 -1.396881e+02  1.240845e+02 -7.164022e+01   31.88290
## [13,]   89.38257  1.120822e+02  1.433585e+02  6.528684e-13   89.38257
## [14,] -129.32785 -6.228101e+01  1.243120e+02  7.177154e+01  129.32785
## [15,]  143.76089  2.689238e-13  7.188044e+01  1.245006e+02  143.76089
## [16,] -129.58830  6.240644e+01 -4.310441e-14  1.438322e+02  129.58830
## [17,]   89.69114 -1.124691e+02 -7.192671e+01  1.245807e+02   89.69114
## [18,]  -32.02949  1.403304e+02 -1.246550e+02  7.196961e+01   32.02949
## [19,]  -32.06041 -1.404659e+02 -1.440782e+02  2.918048e-13  -32.06041
## [20,]   89.87398  1.126984e+02 -1.248347e+02 -7.207334e+01  -89.87398
## [21,] -129.92945 -6.257072e+01 -7.210540e+01 -1.248902e+02 -129.92945
## [22,]  144.36725 -2.339795e-13 -9.305716e-13 -1.443672e+02 -144.36725
## [23,] -130.19613  6.269915e+01  7.225340e+01 -1.251466e+02 -130.19613
## [24,]   90.18597 -1.130896e+02  1.252680e+02 -7.232353e+01  -90.18597
## [25,]  -32.22119  1.411703e+02  1.448007e+02 -4.779545e-13  -32.22119
## [26,]  -32.24122 -1.412580e+02  1.254790e+02  7.244536e+01   32.24122
## [27,]   90.36061  1.133086e+02  7.246358e+01  1.255106e+02   90.36061
## [28,] -130.63661 -6.291127e+01  1.273287e-13  1.449957e+02  130.63661
## [29,]  145.08367  7.083917e-13 -7.254184e+01  1.256461e+02  145.08367
## [30,] -130.88077  6.302886e+01 -1.258047e+02  7.263335e+01  130.88077
## [31,]   90.65526 -1.136781e+02 -1.453998e+02  1.167020e-12   90.65526
## [32,]  -32.39686  1.419399e+02 -1.260848e+02 -7.279509e+01   32.39686
## [33,]  -32.42491 -1.420628e+02 -7.285810e+01 -1.261939e+02  -32.42491
## [34,]   90.89803  1.139825e+02  5.404913e-13 -1.457891e+02  -90.89803
## [35,] -131.38561 -6.327197e+01  7.291351e+01 -1.262899e+02 -131.38561
## [36,]  145.94115  2.299216e-12  1.263887e+02 -7.297057e+01 -145.94115
## [37,] -131.63620  6.339265e+01  1.461052e+02 -4.274948e-13 -131.63620
## [38,]   91.09575 -1.142305e+02  1.265317e+02  7.305312e+01  -91.09575
## [39,]  -32.52451  1.424992e+02  7.308190e+01  1.265816e+02  -32.52451
## [40,]  -32.53829 -1.425596e+02 -8.638472e-13  1.462258e+02   32.53829
## [41,]   91.22152  1.143882e+02 -7.315398e+01  1.267064e+02   91.22152
## [42,] -131.84190 -6.349171e+01 -1.267285e+02  7.316673e+01  131.84190
## [43,]  146.28454 -2.469136e-13 -1.462845e+02 -4.902502e-13  146.28454
## [44,] -131.66912  6.340851e+01 -1.265624e+02 -7.307085e+01  131.66912
## [45,]   91.01906 -1.141343e+02 -7.299162e+01 -1.264252e+02   91.01906
## [46,]  -32.48791  1.423388e+02  1.617623e-12 -1.459993e+02   32.48791
## [47,]  -32.48935 -1.423451e+02  7.300291e+01 -1.264447e+02  -32.48935
## [48,]   91.01120  1.141244e+02  1.264143e+02 -7.298531e+01  -91.01120
## [49,] -131.44833 -6.330218e+01  1.458966e+02 -1.706794e-13 -131.44833
## [50,]  145.87089  1.643519e-12  1.263279e+02  7.293544e+01 -145.87089
## [51,] -131.41684  6.328702e+01  7.293084e+01  1.263199e+02 -131.41684
## [52,]   90.95376 -1.140524e+02  1.650086e-12  1.458785e+02  -90.95376
## [53,]  -32.47836  1.422970e+02 -7.297822e+01  1.264020e+02  -32.47836
## [54,]  -32.47828 -1.422967e+02 -1.264017e+02  7.297804e+01   32.47828
## [55,]   91.04210  1.141632e+02 -1.460202e+02 -1.672967e-14   91.04210
## [56,] -131.59588 -6.337324e+01 -1.264920e+02 -7.303020e+01  131.59588
## [57,]  146.09133 -1.258466e-12 -7.304567e+01 -1.265188e+02  146.09133
## [58,] -131.74167  6.344344e+01 -1.254760e-13 -1.462222e+02  131.74167
## [59,]   91.26367 -1.144410e+02  7.318778e+01 -1.267650e+02   91.26367
## [60,]  -32.59831  1.428225e+02  1.268688e+02 -7.324774e+01   32.59831
## [61,]  -32.61716 -1.429051e+02  1.465802e+02  5.585671e-13  -32.61716
## [62,]   91.37647  1.145825e+02  1.269216e+02  7.327824e+01  -91.37647
## [63,] -132.06491 -6.359911e+01  7.329049e+01  1.269429e+02 -132.06491
## [64,]  146.62680 -2.518000e-12 -9.291179e-14  1.466268e+02 -146.62680
## [65,] -132.14619  6.363825e+01 -7.333560e+01  1.270210e+02 -132.14619
## [66,]   91.47196 -1.147022e+02 -1.270543e+02  7.335482e+01  -91.47196
## [67,]  -32.64880  1.430437e+02 -1.467224e+02 -1.003659e-12  -32.64880
## [68,]  -32.65081 -1.430525e+02 -1.270731e+02 -7.336570e+01   32.65081
## [69,]   91.57381  1.148299e+02 -7.343649e+01 -1.271957e+02   91.57381
## [70,] -132.43291 -6.377633e+01 -8.810244e-13 -1.469894e+02  132.43291
## [71,]  147.14330  2.563588e-12  7.357165e+01 -1.274298e+02  147.14330
## [72,] -132.64741  6.387963e+01  1.275028e+02 -7.361376e+01  132.64741
## [73,]   91.83326 -1.151553e+02  1.472891e+02 -8.270589e-13   91.83326
## [74,]  -32.79965  1.437047e+02  1.276524e+02  7.370015e+01   32.79965
## [75,]  -32.82688 -1.438240e+02  7.376133e+01  1.277584e+02  -32.82688
## [76,]   92.05011  1.154272e+02  5.264539e-14  1.476369e+02  -92.05011
## [77,] -133.09828 -6.409675e+01 -7.386397e+01  1.279361e+02 -133.09828
## [78,]  147.83239 -7.542661e-12 -1.280266e+02  7.391620e+01 -147.83239
## [79,] -133.28319  6.418580e+01 -1.479332e+02 -3.225285e-13 -133.28319
## [80,]   92.30906 -1.157519e+02 -1.282170e+02 -7.402612e+01  -92.30906
## [81,]  -32.97474  1.444718e+02 -7.409357e+01 -1.283338e+02  -32.97474
## [82,]  -32.98919 -1.445351e+02 -1.113849e-12 -1.482521e+02   32.98919
## [83,]   92.45730  1.159378e+02  7.414500e+01 -1.284229e+02   92.45730
## [84,] -133.70709 -6.438994e+01  1.285213e+02 -7.420184e+01  133.70709
##                  13            10            11            18
##  [1,] -3.069290e-13  1.434420e+02  7.129653e-13  1.434420e+02
##  [2,]  6.225011e+01  1.335542e+02  5.241616e+01  1.121708e+02
##  [3,]  1.122329e+02  1.052305e+02  9.763964e+01  3.194316e+01
##  [4,]  1.401190e+02  6.235882e+01  1.294894e+02 -6.235882e+01
##  [5,]  1.403047e+02  1.075462e+01  1.435105e+02 -1.296610e+02
##  [6,]  1.126229e+02 -4.245949e+01  1.376503e+02 -1.404384e+02
##  [7,]  6.249967e+01 -8.981186e+01  1.126205e+02 -8.981186e+01
##  [8,]  7.151224e-13 -1.246876e+02  7.198844e+01 -2.363040e-13
##  [9,] -6.240542e+01 -1.422234e+02  2.143672e+01  8.967642e+01
## [10,] -1.122712e+02 -1.399999e+02 -3.195406e+01  1.399999e+02
## [11,] -1.397684e+02 -1.184519e+02 -8.075913e+01  1.291654e+02
## [12,] -1.396881e+02 -8.071274e+01 -1.183838e+02  6.216705e+01
## [13,] -1.120822e+02 -3.190027e+01 -1.397642e+02 -3.190027e+01
## [14,] -6.228101e+01  2.139399e+01 -1.419398e+02 -1.122265e+02
## [15,]  4.068768e-13  7.188044e+01 -1.245006e+02 -1.437609e+02
## [16,]  6.240644e+01  1.124525e+02 -8.967789e+01 -1.124525e+02
## [17,]  1.124691e+02  1.374624e+02 -4.240154e+01 -3.201040e+01
## [18,]  1.403304e+02  1.435367e+02  1.075659e+01  6.245289e+01
## [19,]  1.404659e+02  1.298100e+02  6.251319e+01  1.298100e+02
## [20,]  1.126984e+02  9.804464e+01  1.056670e+02  1.405326e+02
## [21,]  6.257072e+01  5.268612e+01  1.342421e+02  8.991397e+01
## [22,] -1.848062e-13 -4.087009e-14  1.443672e+02  1.185253e-12
## [23,] -6.269915e+01 -5.279426e+01  1.345176e+02 -9.009851e+01
## [24,] -1.130896e+02 -9.838499e+01  1.060338e+02 -1.410205e+02
## [25,] -1.411703e+02 -1.304609e+02  6.282668e+01 -1.304609e+02
## [26,] -1.412580e+02 -1.444856e+02  1.082770e+01 -6.286573e+01
## [27,] -1.133086e+02 -1.384885e+02 -4.271803e+01  3.224933e+01
## [28,] -6.291127e+01 -1.133622e+02 -9.040334e+01  1.133622e+02
## [29,]  4.797248e-13 -7.254184e+01 -1.256461e+02  1.450837e+02
## [30,]  6.302886e+01 -2.165088e+01 -1.436442e+02  1.135741e+02
## [31,]  1.136781e+02  3.235449e+01 -1.417543e+02  3.235449e+01
## [32,]  1.419399e+02  8.201387e+01 -1.202923e+02 -6.316921e+01
## [33,]  1.420628e+02  1.203964e+02 -8.208486e+01 -1.312858e+02
## [34,]  1.139825e+02  1.421339e+02 -3.244113e+01 -1.421339e+02
## [35,]  6.327197e+01  1.441983e+02  2.173439e+01 -9.092166e+01
## [36,]  1.361488e-12  1.263887e+02  7.297057e+01  6.992740e-13
## [37,] -6.339265e+01  9.109508e+01  1.142296e+02  9.109508e+01
## [38,] -1.142305e+02  4.306557e+01  1.396151e+02  1.424430e+02
## [39,] -1.424992e+02 -1.092283e+01  1.457551e+02  1.316890e+02
## [40,] -1.425596e+02 -6.344498e+01  1.317449e+02  6.344498e+01
## [41,] -1.143882e+02 -1.072513e+02  9.951469e+01 -3.255658e+01
## [42,] -6.349171e+01 -1.362180e+02  5.346162e+01 -1.144081e+02
## [43,]  2.460905e-13 -1.462845e+02  4.268304e-13 -1.462845e+02
## [44,]  6.340851e+01 -1.360395e+02 -5.339156e+01 -1.142582e+02
## [45,]  1.141343e+02 -1.070133e+02 -9.929382e+01 -3.248433e+01
## [46,]  1.423388e+02 -6.334674e+01 -1.315409e+02  6.334674e+01
## [47,]  1.423451e+02 -1.091103e+01 -1.455975e+02  1.315467e+02
## [48,]  1.141244e+02  4.302560e+01 -1.394856e+02  1.423108e+02
## [49,]  6.330218e+01  9.096507e+01 -1.140666e+02  9.096507e+01
## [50,] -3.072594e-13  1.263279e+02 -7.293544e+01  1.427539e-13
## [51,] -6.328702e+01  1.442325e+02 -2.173956e+01 -9.094328e+01
## [52,] -1.140524e+02  1.422210e+02  3.246102e+01 -1.422210e+02
## [53,] -1.422970e+02  1.205949e+02  8.222019e+01 -1.315022e+02
## [54,] -1.422967e+02  8.221998e+01  1.205946e+02 -6.332797e+01
## [55,] -1.141632e+02  3.249255e+01  1.423592e+02  3.249255e+01
## [56,] -6.337324e+01 -2.176917e+01  1.444290e+02  1.141946e+02
## [57,] -1.125169e-12 -7.304567e+01  1.265188e+02  1.460913e+02
## [58,]  6.344344e+01 -1.143211e+02  9.116806e+01  1.143211e+02
## [59,]  1.144410e+02 -1.398725e+02  4.314495e+01  3.257163e+01
## [60,]  1.428225e+02 -1.460858e+02 -1.094762e+01 -6.356200e+01
## [61,]  1.429051e+02 -1.320642e+02 -6.359876e+01 -1.320642e+02
## [62,]  1.145825e+02 -9.968372e+01 -1.074335e+02 -1.428820e+02
## [63,]  6.359911e+01 -5.355205e+01 -1.364484e+02 -9.139175e+01
## [64,]  4.979446e-13  2.592371e-14 -1.466268e+02 -1.007278e-12
## [65,] -6.363825e+01  5.358501e+01 -1.365324e+02  9.144800e+01
## [66,] -1.147022e+02  9.978790e+01 -1.075458e+02  1.430313e+02
## [67,] -1.430437e+02  1.321923e+02 -6.366044e+01  1.321923e+02
## [68,] -1.430525e+02  1.463211e+02 -1.096525e+01  6.366437e+01
## [69,] -1.148299e+02  1.403478e+02  4.329157e+01 -3.268231e+01
## [70,] -6.377633e+01  1.149210e+02  9.164642e+01 -1.149210e+02
## [71,]  4.638998e-14  7.357165e+01  1.274298e+02 -1.471433e+02
## [72,]  6.387963e+01  2.194312e+01  1.455831e+02 -1.151071e+02
## [73,]  1.151553e+02 -3.277491e+01  1.435963e+02 -3.277491e+01
## [74,]  1.437047e+02 -8.303355e+01  1.217878e+02  6.395459e+01
## [75,]  1.438240e+02 -1.218889e+02  8.310247e+01  1.329133e+02
## [76,]  1.154272e+02 -1.439354e+02  3.285230e+01  1.439354e+02
## [77,]  6.409675e+01 -1.460779e+02 -2.201771e+01  9.210686e+01
## [78,] -3.431595e-13 -1.280266e+02 -7.391620e+01  4.344164e-13
## [79,] -6.418580e+01 -9.223483e+01 -1.156588e+02 -9.223483e+01
## [80,] -1.157519e+02 -4.363916e+01 -1.414747e+02 -1.443403e+02
## [81,] -1.444718e+02  1.107404e+01 -1.477728e+02 -1.335120e+02
## [82,] -1.445351e+02  6.432417e+01 -1.335705e+02 -6.432417e+01
## [83,] -1.159378e+02  1.087043e+02 -1.008628e+02  3.299763e+01
## [84,] -6.438994e+01  1.381451e+02 -5.421795e+01  1.160267e+02
##                  19
##  [1,]  2.835995e-13
##  [2,]  8.945325e+01
##  [3,]  1.399521e+02
##  [4,]  1.294894e+02
##  [5,]  6.244145e+01
##  [6,] -3.205415e+01
##  [7,] -1.126205e+02
##  [8,] -1.439769e+02
##  [9,] -1.124507e+02
## [10,] -3.195406e+01
## [11,]  6.220278e+01
## [12,]  1.290912e+02
## [13,]  1.397642e+02
## [14,]  8.949765e+01
## [15,]  3.989170e-13
## [16,] -8.967789e+01
## [17,] -1.402467e+02
## [18,] -1.296848e+02
## [19,] -6.251319e+01
## [20,]  3.207565e+01
## [21,]  1.127485e+02
## [22,]  1.443672e+02
## [23,]  1.129800e+02
## [24,]  3.218700e+01
## [25,] -6.282668e+01
## [26,] -1.305420e+02
## [27,] -1.412935e+02
## [28,] -9.040334e+01
## [29,]  2.175378e-13
## [30,]  9.057231e+01
## [31,]  1.417543e+02
## [32,]  1.311722e+02
## [33,]  6.322389e+01
## [34,] -3.244113e+01
## [35,] -1.140122e+02
## [36,] -1.459411e+02
## [37,] -1.142296e+02
## [38,] -3.251170e+01
## [39,]  6.341810e+01
## [40,]  1.317449e+02
## [41,]  1.426397e+02
## [42,]  9.123742e+01
## [43,]  1.720967e-13
## [44,] -9.111786e+01
## [45,] -1.423231e+02
## [46,] -1.315409e+02
## [47,] -6.334955e+01
## [48,]  3.248152e+01
## [49,]  1.140666e+02
## [50,]  1.458709e+02
## [51,]  1.140393e+02
## [52,]  3.246102e+01
## [53,] -6.332812e+01
## [54,] -1.315019e+02
## [55,] -1.423592e+02
## [56,] -9.106717e+01
## [57,]  1.668804e-14
## [58,]  9.116806e+01
## [59,]  1.427056e+02
## [60,]  1.319879e+02
## [61,]  6.359876e+01
## [62,] -3.261188e+01
## [63,] -1.146016e+02
## [64,] -1.466268e+02
## [65,] -1.146722e+02
## [66,] -3.264597e+01
## [67,]  6.366044e+01
## [68,]  1.322004e+02
## [69,]  1.431906e+02
## [70,]  9.164642e+01
## [71,] -3.377576e-13
## [72,] -9.179486e+01
## [73,] -1.435963e+02
## [74,] -1.328031e+02
## [75,] -6.400768e+01
## [76,]  3.285230e+01
## [77,]  1.154984e+02
## [78,]  1.478324e+02
## [79,]  1.156588e+02
## [80,]  3.294472e+01
## [81,] -6.429599e+01
## [82,] -1.335705e+02
## [83,] -1.445721e+02
## [84,] -9.252818e+01
## 
## $Nregresores
## [1] 20
## 
## $Betas
##             [,1]
## C   2.501209e+02
## 1   3.693508e+00
## 2   1.386760e-02
## 3   1.799185e-03
## 4  -5.953325e-03
## 5  -5.820870e-03
## 8   3.911076e-03
## 9  -5.933446e-03
## 6   2.574805e-03
## 7   2.648074e-03
## 72  3.772846e-04
## 73  1.128145e-04
## 14  1.491245e-03
## 15 -1.689340e-03
## 12  6.656558e-04
## 13 -4.256071e-04
## 10  5.329224e-03
## 11  2.937598e-03
## 18 -8.085076e-04
## 19  2.258851e-03

Regresion dependiente de la frecuencia entre el PIBC y empleo con datos del mercado de trabajo de Canada

reg5 <- rdf (E,PIBC,4)
reg5
## $datos
##           Y        X        F          res
## 1  929.6105 405.3665 931.7636 -2.153094777
## 2  929.8040 404.6398 930.7738 -0.969818214
## 3  930.3184 403.8149 929.5617  0.756677040
## 4  931.4277 404.2158 931.6228 -0.195107190
## 5  932.6620 405.0467 934.7974 -2.135347526
## 6  933.5509 404.4167 934.4661 -0.915132065
## 7  933.5315 402.8191 932.3376  1.193909516
## 8  933.0769 401.9773 930.8736  2.203262084
## 9  932.1238 402.0897 931.7271  0.396695094
## 10 930.6359 401.3067 929.7421  0.893823968
## 11 929.0971 401.6302 930.1002 -1.003101101
## 12 928.5633 401.5638 929.3738 -0.810503313
## 13 929.0694 402.8157 931.0588 -1.989395049
## 14 930.2655 403.1421 931.1853 -0.919783073
## 15 931.6770 403.0786 929.8379  1.839098684
## 16 932.1390 403.7188 930.7300  1.408991152
## 17 932.2767 404.8668 932.3535 -0.076767512
## 18 932.8328 405.6362 933.6135 -0.780683828
## 19 933.7334 405.1363 932.3819  1.351491371
## 20 934.1772 406.0246 934.1391  0.038143470
## 21 934.5928 406.4123 935.6584 -1.065583304
## 22 935.6067 406.3009 935.7812 -0.174448203
## 23 936.5111 406.3354 937.1611 -0.649990641
## 24 937.4201 406.7737 939.1433 -1.723172017
## 25 938.4159 405.1525 937.0363  1.379608960
## 26 938.9992 404.9298 937.9482  1.050997386
## 27 939.2354 404.5765 938.0848  1.150566215
## 28 939.6795 404.1995 938.3615  1.318013669
## 29 940.2497 405.9499 942.2151 -1.965440531
## 30 941.4358 405.8221 942.1550 -0.719167365
## 31 942.2981 406.4463 942.8315 -0.533400980
## 32 943.5322 407.0512 943.4625  0.069730378
## 33 944.3490 407.9460 944.6470 -0.298066834
## 34 944.8215 408.1796 944.2002  0.621316773
## 35 945.0671 408.5998 944.9913  0.075868255
## 36 945.8067 409.0906 945.7322  0.074561033
## 37 946.8697 408.7042 945.7234  1.146264263
## 38 946.8766 408.9803 947.1466 -0.269977510
## 39 947.2497 408.3287 947.2235  0.026239799
## 40 947.6513 407.8857 948.0178 -0.366495221
## 41 948.1840 407.2605 948.1775  0.006482568
## 42 948.3492 406.7752 949.0606 -0.711367655
## 43 948.0322 406.1794 948.8036 -0.771411385
## 44 947.1065 405.4398 948.5275 -1.420989144
## 45 946.0796 403.2800 944.2414  1.838113878
## 46 946.1838 403.3649 944.8062  1.377563454
## 47 946.2258 403.3807 944.9164  1.309400950
## 48 945.9978 404.0032 945.8010  0.196782599
## 49 945.5183 404.4774 946.6685 -1.150262922
## 50 945.3514 404.7868 946.3548 -1.003355554
## 51 945.2918 405.2710 946.9114 -1.619566883
## 52 945.4008 405.3830 946.0107 -0.609907574
## 53 945.9058 405.1564 944.5228  1.382979806
## 54 945.9035 406.4700 946.3429 -0.439406342
## 55 946.3190 406.2293 944.4210  1.898023449
## 56 946.5796 406.7265 944.6716  1.907983043
## 57 946.7800 408.5785 947.3354 -0.555357544
## 58 947.6283 409.6767 949.1629 -1.534572363
## 59 948.6221 410.3858 949.8444 -1.222310725
## 60 949.3992 410.5395 949.8093 -0.410161010
## 61 949.9481 410.4453 949.4349  0.513222968
## 62 949.7945 410.6256 949.4690  0.325493795
## 63 949.9534 410.8672 950.1949 -0.241502827
## 64 950.2502 411.2359 950.4887 -0.238492409
## 65 950.5380 410.6637 949.2746  1.263437253
## 66 950.7871 410.8085 948.9946  1.792503069
## 67 950.8695 412.1160 951.4451 -0.575575508
## 68 950.9281 412.9994 953.0067 -2.078537355
## 69 951.8457 412.9551 952.3764 -0.530647333
## 70 952.6005 412.8241 952.3269  0.273560215
## 71 953.5976 413.0489 952.6946  0.902998712
## 72 954.1434 413.6110 954.7529 -0.609511069
## 73 954.5426 413.6048 955.3023 -0.759687139
## 74 955.2631 412.9684 954.8611  0.402077365
## 75 956.0561 412.2659 954.2151  1.840936628
## 76 956.7966 412.9106 955.9376  0.858986106
## 77 957.3865 413.8294 958.3763 -0.989836727
## 78 958.0634 414.2242 958.5083 -0.444907632
## 79 958.7166 415.1678 959.9833 -1.266723686
## 80 959.4881 415.7016 959.6417 -0.153546694
## 81 960.3625 416.8674 960.7214 -0.358930865
## 82 960.7834 417.6104 960.8974 -0.113976788
## 83 961.0290 418.0030 960.2399  0.789142112
## 84 961.7657 417.2667 958.1156  3.650076178
## 
## $Fregresores
##     C             1             2             3             4
## X1  1 407.820910977   1.101647001 -2.372322e+00 -1.332132e-01
## X2  0   1.101647001 407.726715019 -1.770789e+00  9.942845e-01
## X3  0  -2.372322091  -1.770789239  4.079151e+02  1.352597e+00
## X4  0  -0.133213202   0.994284539  1.352597e+00  4.081443e+02
## X5  0  -2.504274157  -2.002372720  5.636796e-01 -9.588785e-01
## X6  0   0.304483679   0.229214643  8.119107e-01  1.022470e+00
## X7  0  -0.459460566  -2.729667773 -4.176066e-01 -1.776054e+00
## X8  0   0.457371658   0.458790398  2.263185e-01 -1.754348e-01
## X9  0  -1.356059028  -0.423456819 -2.818545e-02 -2.080014e+00
## X10 0   0.344343923   0.242171715  6.496536e-01  1.948338e-01
## X11 0  -0.139397810  -1.268103487  4.046495e-01 -7.182042e-01
## X12 0  -0.114889135   0.223019254 -2.947474e-01  1.696598e-01
## X13 0  -0.437310122  -0.491885700  2.639566e-01 -1.316347e+00
## X14 0  -0.028947069  -0.234989661 -4.824345e-02  3.396932e-02
## X15 0  -0.556233618  -0.666693355  7.251189e-02 -1.980937e-01
## X16 0  -0.217436431  -0.229987276  2.937920e-01 -1.733080e-01
## X17 0  -0.505536663  -0.492841125  1.890499e-01 -5.833212e-01
## X18 0  -0.296304057  -0.245819865  8.337215e-02 -1.645524e-01
## X19 0  -0.140748986  -0.631564650 -6.168169e-02 -6.065592e-01
## X20 0  -0.130205356  -0.353602353 -1.137181e-01 -2.067007e-01
## X21 0  -0.387630631  -0.312767196 -6.543486e-02 -5.116175e-01
## X22 0  -0.203765186  -0.145019002  1.199471e-01 -3.327174e-01
## X23 0  -0.301570624  -0.428245362 -3.911918e-02 -2.843265e-01
## X24 0  -0.074882484  -0.267282497  2.844071e-02 -1.265830e-01
## X25 0  -0.217999768  -0.398044556 -2.088499e-02 -4.682630e-01
## X26 0  -0.174229346  -0.087463802 -4.001763e-02 -1.912143e-01
## X27 0  -0.261349385  -0.348315856 -1.843602e-02 -3.455260e-01
## X28 0  -0.048810011  -0.170329271  5.251851e-02 -9.687923e-02
## X29 0  -0.274593239  -0.317085334 -7.606823e-02 -2.970466e-01
## X30 0  -0.066652619  -0.078443207  5.126926e-02 -2.775376e-01
## X31 0  -0.187076995  -0.337064222  9.415428e-03 -3.414972e-01
## X32 0  -0.062125436  -0.201469323 -2.441183e-02 -1.063564e-01
## X33 0  -0.202087555  -0.288978656  1.072083e-01 -2.464175e-01
## X34 0  -0.218268029  -0.115771789  9.064668e-02 -8.133376e-02
## X35 0  -0.221600539  -0.195148282  2.791315e-02 -1.891347e-01
## X36 0  -0.101600598  -0.188542043  9.984393e-02 -3.748884e-02
## X37 0  -0.073893792  -0.213546557 -1.201356e-01 -2.347506e-01
## X38 0  -0.048370686  -0.065401990 -3.960230e-02 -1.806714e-01
## X39 0  -0.080399897  -0.144103902 -7.828295e-02 -2.141852e-01
## X40 0   0.009108216  -0.060535859 -6.386325e-04 -1.149145e-01
## X41 0  -0.129899900  -0.114341258 -7.870620e-03 -6.895546e-02
## X42 0  -0.037239947  -0.036631583  7.514844e-02 -1.423532e-01
## X43 0  -0.081303060  -0.108557763  4.951255e-02 -9.825609e-02
## X44 0  -0.060913098  -0.134482614  1.608517e-02 -5.547114e-02
## X45 0  -0.023623961  -0.098894719  8.181738e-02 -1.117372e-01
## X46 0  -0.152947190  -0.104983683 -3.179458e-03 -9.969282e-02
## X47 0  -0.058555192  -0.036588783  1.883955e-02 -1.368533e-01
## X48 0  -0.087556250  -0.181510191 -3.795858e-02 -1.164487e-01
## X49 0  -0.028120393  -0.120768128 -3.478980e-02 -4.475588e-02
## X50 0  -0.103746984  -0.135288273 -8.167094e-03 -1.670569e-01
## X51 0  -0.112236732  -0.047935335  1.146504e-02 -2.230761e-02
## X52 0  -0.103770261  -0.132267056  9.846051e-02 -1.603479e-01
## X53 0  -0.039670408  -0.060266194 -1.445333e-02 -5.269803e-02
## X54 0  -0.083306881  -0.171812964 -4.762692e-03 -1.434749e-01
## X55 0   0.027007463  -0.060865122  2.505965e-02 -1.432642e-01
## X56 0  -0.139209964  -0.129021600 -8.299799e-02 -1.062467e-01
## X57 0  -0.046405872  -0.044803665  1.120788e-02 -3.783239e-02
## X58 0  -0.099157215  -0.131306328  2.303273e-02 -1.567347e-01
## X59 0  -0.090369414  -0.042595086 -6.556629e-02 -2.817290e-02
## X60 0  -0.046485226  -0.167942580  1.663076e-02 -1.728131e-01
## X61 0  -0.013832676  -0.111170890  2.771310e-02 -5.037161e-02
## X62 0  -0.138349459  -0.107246797 -7.776522e-03 -1.024701e-01
## X63 0  -0.066849966  -0.027338881  4.150676e-02 -1.226558e-01
## X64 0  -0.105184648  -0.130183177 -1.148491e-02 -1.155256e-01
## X65 0  -0.024830340  -0.106025041 -6.547250e-02 -3.451017e-03
## X66 0  -0.045757356  -0.157032385  2.388786e-02 -1.770188e-01
## X67 0  -0.083092086  -0.011227539  8.278829e-03 -5.837383e-02
## X68 0  -0.116892680  -0.111546313  4.765121e-02 -1.275784e-01
## X69 0   0.008952201  -0.069858744  4.683564e-02 -2.158890e-02
## X70 0  -0.111992952  -0.135857239 -1.036136e-02 -1.167382e-01
## X71 0  -0.015703097   0.002298968 -2.945397e-02 -3.431219e-02
## X72 0  -0.075238471  -0.163573834  3.554655e-02 -1.860626e-01
## X73 0  -0.005700970   0.013339021  5.191882e-03 -9.404575e-03
## X74 0  -0.119335382  -0.156608614 -1.170354e-02 -1.212562e-01
## X75 0   0.034567321  -0.019765932  5.020535e-02 -3.947051e-02
## X76 0  -0.146239555  -0.126448068 -5.280954e-02 -1.196106e-01
## X77 0  -0.022252279  -0.003923961 -4.231765e-02 -9.219608e-04
## X78 0  -0.059489191  -0.169815898  1.884397e-02 -1.197631e-01
## X79 0  -0.040116640  -0.012625504 -3.699806e-02  1.320891e-02
## X80 0  -0.093916392  -0.077445495  1.713288e-02 -1.826664e-01
## X81 0   0.004397121  -0.039600621 -6.684925e-03 -1.573474e-02
## X82 0  -0.050035279  -0.145668288 -3.109234e-03 -7.744550e-02
## X83 0  -0.015887095   0.003109234  1.285045e-02 -1.713288e-02
## X84 0  -0.079259371  -0.050035279  1.588709e-02 -9.391639e-02
##                 5             8             9             6             7
## X1  -2.504274e+00  4.573717e-01 -1.356059e+00   0.304483679 -4.594606e-01
## X2  -2.002373e+00  4.587904e-01 -4.234568e-01   0.229214643 -2.729668e+00
## X3   5.636796e-01  2.263185e-01 -2.818545e-02   0.811910704 -4.176066e-01
## X4  -9.588785e-01 -1.754348e-01 -2.080014e+00   1.022469988 -1.776054e+00
## X5   4.074975e+02  1.461564e+00 -1.295707e-02   1.578915901  5.354941e-01
## X6   1.578916e+00  7.585134e-01 -2.070802e+00 407.739672091 -3.092250e-01
## X7   5.354941e-01  1.284168e+00  7.994507e-01  -0.309224953  4.079021e+02
## X8   1.461564e+00  4.076672e+02 -3.574684e-01   0.758513396  1.284168e+00
## X9  -1.295707e-02 -3.574684e-01  4.079747e+02  -2.070801601  7.994507e-01
## X10 -6.842888e-02  5.694635e-01  1.577960e+00  -0.247946733  1.413321e+00
## X11  2.357711e-01 -1.777010e+00  9.885007e-01  -2.128257641  5.955482e-02
## X12  6.014101e-01 -1.862650e-01  1.496693e+00   0.005783867  2.253631e-01
## X13  4.771614e-01 -2.044885e+00 -2.126868e-03  -0.424412244  4.248211e-01
## X14 -9.554254e-04  7.121873e-02  1.116450e-01   0.231341511  6.847823e-01
## X15  4.530065e-01 -5.381303e-01  3.593862e-01  -1.232974782  4.154797e-01
## X16  3.512871e-02  2.704607e-01  8.047294e-01   0.099404178 -1.146735e-01
## X17  1.083020e-02 -1.113028e+00  3.763605e-01  -0.311811770  3.875717e-01
## X18  1.800739e-01  1.202892e-01 -8.623279e-02  -0.134188798  1.550758e-01
## X19  1.236151e-01 -2.833711e-01  3.666867e-01  -0.463374067 -2.828897e-02
## X20  2.033193e-01 -1.157528e-01  1.150582e-01  -0.143667421  2.085146e-01
## X21 -1.008009e-01 -5.033917e-01 -4.672500e-02  -0.578118485  1.027301e-01
## X22 -8.527736e-02 -6.759919e-02  2.610332e-01  -0.188264665  1.633017e-01
## X23 -8.631986e-02 -5.256000e-01  2.666185e-02  -0.551635144 -1.192369e-01
## X24  7.992951e-02 -1.976801e-01  2.145709e-01  -0.256649127 -3.275885e-02
## X25 -5.755520e-02 -5.003659e-01 -1.098215e-01  -0.231807974 -1.623881e-01
## X26  8.095922e-02 -3.638574e-01 -5.717068e-02  -0.135998407  1.311988e-01
## X27 -9.695323e-02 -2.562198e-01 -5.517980e-02  -0.416993728 -4.813977e-02
## X28  1.125163e-02 -1.639116e-01  2.218454e-01  -0.298422549  5.654739e-02
## X29 -9.020595e-03 -3.263470e-01 -2.022662e-02  -0.369937878  1.025506e-02
## X30  2.810668e-02 -1.782870e-01  1.563913e-01  -0.124792384  1.018983e-01
## X31  3.114005e-02 -2.700939e-01 -1.098805e-01  -0.206399916  1.889256e-02
## X32  1.419159e-01 -4.650943e-02  6.229601e-02  -0.157401992  1.279506e-01
## X33  3.732858e-02 -2.460022e-01 -5.939039e-02  -0.241653235 -8.899551e-02
## X34  7.543210e-02 -1.495314e-01  1.273120e-01  -0.028073408  1.023136e-01
## X35 -1.292728e-02 -2.422919e-01 -9.686613e-02  -0.286019842 -4.095437e-02
## X36  5.104438e-02 -7.758595e-02  1.774621e-01  -0.073463138  7.479347e-02
## X37 -5.036980e-02 -2.108714e-01  8.558175e-03  -0.189773357 -2.079790e-02
## X38  9.920530e-02 -1.552805e-01  9.087864e-02  -0.087001382  1.261928e-01
## X39 -1.280062e-01 -1.736882e-01  6.101948e-02  -0.159602143 -8.572525e-04
## X40  3.554614e-02 -1.058409e-01  1.230134e-01  -0.262488799  1.152905e-01
## X41 -2.877041e-02 -1.627816e-01  1.798230e-02  -0.198100017 -4.618881e-02
## X42  1.544654e-02 -2.276990e-01  7.733189e-02  -0.133754090  3.236668e-02
## X43  7.394676e-02 -2.360586e-01 -8.097861e-02  -0.072134922 -9.930854e-03
## X44  7.196898e-02 -1.452191e-01  2.419959e-02  -0.107563435 -2.251204e-02
## X45  6.835210e-02 -8.030202e-02  1.534183e-03  -0.136214667  3.915696e-02
## X46 -2.187341e-02 -9.311010e-02  7.594847e-02  -0.066936173  6.380189e-02
## X47  4.702758e-02 -3.775415e-02  2.470362e-02  -0.119904315  7.981714e-02
## X48 -1.134655e-02 -9.199583e-02  5.903919e-02  -0.085239480  7.658711e-02
## X49  3.030459e-02 -1.246670e-01  1.048768e-01  -0.038392785  3.257424e-02
## X50  6.050193e-02 -9.644736e-02 -6.410880e-03  -0.141508374 -1.610924e-02
## X51 -4.924313e-02 -1.213908e-01  4.378212e-02  -0.049518570  5.536424e-02
## X52 -1.292979e-02 -7.594208e-02  6.923484e-03  -0.178264734 -2.249605e-02
## X53  3.652469e-02 -2.648584e-02 -1.020205e-02  -0.105305599 -3.803526e-02
## X54  1.546253e-02 -2.059778e-01 -5.865291e-03  -0.094781637  1.010294e-02
## X55 -3.245456e-03 -8.867484e-02 -1.032215e-02  -0.029665300 -2.904160e-02
## X56  1.827004e-02 -1.362884e-01  2.326419e-03  -0.171188036  3.209329e-02
## X57 -4.050664e-02 -3.744182e-02  1.246516e-02  -0.126633418  2.446764e-02
## X58 -6.636722e-02 -1.057155e-01  2.060838e-02  -0.147753433  1.049351e-02
## X59  3.892098e-02 -1.381183e-01 -4.100486e-02  -0.045608916  1.000123e-03
## X60  1.525621e-02 -1.560323e-01  3.438138e-02  -0.091262197 -7.785214e-02
## X61 -2.405953e-02 -2.172105e-02  9.278952e-03  -0.039657817 -2.655152e-02
## X62  5.145848e-03 -1.380978e-01 -3.020093e-02  -0.181091916  3.914407e-02
## X63 -3.775940e-02  7.993394e-03  2.028412e-02  -0.026483745 -1.578070e-02
## X64  1.611134e-02 -1.516379e-01  2.878271e-02  -0.149305715  5.279706e-02
## X65  4.978559e-02 -3.684510e-02 -4.523468e-02  -0.075004592  9.076237e-03
## X66  3.616630e-02 -1.544976e-01  8.834361e-02  -0.086071652  5.749985e-03
## X67 -1.863686e-02 -3.945804e-02  1.426812e-02  -0.013812374  2.033161e-02
## X68  1.352651e-02 -1.362770e-01 -5.953558e-03  -0.182210698  7.171285e-02
## X69 -2.117515e-02 -2.551592e-02  7.053696e-02  -0.022827277 -1.344498e-02
## X70  8.319776e-02 -1.398931e-01  1.890332e-02  -0.177783759  1.822964e-03
## X71  5.202752e-02 -7.563681e-02 -5.576263e-02  -0.033292439  2.903020e-02
## X72 -2.206490e-02 -1.407857e-01  2.066694e-02  -0.074420547  3.038823e-02
## X73  2.075137e-02 -1.444847e-02 -7.967861e-03  -0.087121725  9.709874e-03
## X74 -1.726298e-02 -6.773562e-02  4.752110e-02  -0.149064524 -3.220929e-03
## X75 -3.712577e-02 -6.998885e-02  3.024949e-03   0.009439396 -1.624669e-02
## X76  7.140428e-03 -1.619150e-01 -6.330162e-03  -0.114571261 -1.301062e-04
## X77  1.320728e-02  6.330162e-03 -3.396236e-03  -0.022337639 -4.381069e-02
## X78 -3.567666e-02 -1.145713e-01  2.233764e-02  -0.132461004  4.031195e-03
## X79 -4.900257e-02  1.301062e-04 -4.381069e-02  -0.004031195  2.605774e-02
## X80  1.573474e-02 -1.196106e-01  9.219608e-04  -0.119763143 -1.320891e-02
## X81 -2.414761e-02 -7.140428e-03  1.320728e-02   0.035676660 -4.900257e-02
## X82  3.960062e-02 -1.264481e-01  3.923961e-03  -0.169815898  1.262550e-02
## X83 -6.684925e-03  5.280954e-02 -4.231765e-02  -0.018843971 -3.699806e-02
## X84 -4.397121e-03 -1.462396e-01  2.225228e-02  -0.059489191  4.011664e-02
##                72            73            14            15            12
## X1   -0.075238471  -0.005700970 -2.894707e-02  -0.556233618  -0.114889135
## X2   -0.163573834   0.013339021 -2.349897e-01  -0.666693355   0.223019254
## X3    0.035546554   0.005191882 -4.824345e-02   0.072511889  -0.294747426
## X4   -0.186062588  -0.009404575  3.396932e-02  -0.198093699   0.169659826
## X5   -0.022064900   0.020751374 -9.554254e-04   0.453006531   0.601410132
## X6   -0.074420547  -0.087121725  2.313415e-01  -1.232974782   0.005783867
## X7    0.030388229   0.009709874  6.847823e-01   0.415479691   0.225363120
## X8   -0.140785695  -0.014448468  7.121873e-02  -0.538130316  -0.186265048
## X9    0.020666935  -0.007967861  1.116450e-01   0.359386220   1.496692991
## X10  -0.133208126  -0.058503937 -1.471459e-01  -1.924938353   0.634898319
## X11   0.036036192  -0.062447555  1.616640e+00  -0.041246046   1.464242405
## X12  -0.112129390  -0.009781179  6.557833e-01  -1.862286960 407.767961065
## X13   0.009781179   0.046389352  1.492683e+00   0.902180817  -0.154149115
## X14  -0.105495024  -0.052666953  4.077864e+02  -0.194166742   0.655783312
## X15   0.075134698  -0.034734454 -1.941667e-01 407.855424867  -1.862286960
## X16  -0.164845227  -0.035923141  7.318515e-01   1.545201627  -0.128709848
## X17   0.029704673  -0.032027392 -1.809768e+00   0.826112583  -1.964955980
## X18  -0.100972071   0.047463909 -1.381253e-01   1.627891758   0.168171956
## X19   0.009269588  -0.016841651 -1.913687e+00  -0.050266641  -0.457171094
## X20  -0.176783636  -0.012316477  6.096367e-02   0.168192438   0.279481284
## X21   0.043785952   0.030030326 -4.815829e-01   0.369641278  -1.101776015
## X22  -0.157743053  -0.103806142  2.515681e-01   0.906627733   0.089149119
## X23   0.054920567   0.011022662 -1.011129e+00   0.395253073  -0.255264381
## X24  -0.115113251  -0.015852926  2.092847e-01   0.041717824  -0.153081358
## X25   0.023915315  -0.008709985 -1.554204e-01   0.277691163  -0.361475754
## X26  -0.187340971  -0.030301007 -7.479840e-02   0.217371852  -0.054671909
## X27   0.052508540  -0.028959019 -4.010781e-01  -0.087679368  -0.450167876
## X28  -0.125727671  -0.023034825 -4.680129e-02   0.335826618  -0.147310294
## X29   0.010374500   0.039583542 -4.508065e-01   0.005863951  -0.449321503
## X30  -0.058687956   0.001265032 -1.968228e-01   0.340763740  -0.235851227
## X31   0.116244922   0.006022717 -3.741731e-01  -0.110678711  -0.157014507
## X32  -0.067936297  -0.074295399 -3.176686e-01   0.058119789  -0.135141155
## X33   0.109410802   0.080817259 -1.409293e-01  -0.101368613  -0.290800910
## X34  -0.132031080  -0.009581249 -1.539807e-01   0.254212127  -0.252233740
## X35   0.104121377   0.063624601 -2.939804e-01  -0.030157472  -0.254647407
## X36  -0.104712491  -0.042469622 -2.174439e-01   0.133879279  -0.114861530
## X37   0.062031981  -0.038972453 -2.926060e-01  -0.070723549  -0.174033235
## X38  -0.224453543  -0.092794419 -1.263266e-01   0.126097900  -0.196558948
## X39   0.220596069  -0.084224064 -1.822003e-01   0.020426743  -0.264165276
## X40  -0.142365626  -0.110083574 -1.821056e-01   0.203899082  -0.107890544
## X41   0.175711387   0.054506992 -1.657048e-01  -0.064291892  -0.222217956
## X42  -0.106037380  -0.151380572 -1.329502e-01   0.161352835  -0.106037380
## X43   0.113186251   0.011776342 -2.269806e-01   0.063922420  -0.113186251
## X44  -0.107890544  -0.166115527 -1.172453e-01   0.068382586  -0.142365626
## X45   0.222217956   0.038862765 -1.961842e-01   0.022984220  -0.175711387
## X46  -0.196558948  -0.105438568 -7.679934e-02   0.133116301  -0.224453543
## X47   0.264165276  -0.049838557 -1.526787e-01  -0.011059298  -0.220596069
## X48  -0.114861530  -0.134264994 -2.521666e-01   0.109425180  -0.104712491
## X49   0.174033235   0.008961706 -2.039653e-01  -0.056510963  -0.062031981
## X50  -0.252233740  -0.171837860 -1.462192e-01   0.034693100  -0.132031080
## X51   0.254647407  -0.035933750 -6.980850e-02   0.002534306  -0.104121377
## X52  -0.135141155  -0.257391585 -6.655858e-02  -0.001903665  -0.067936297
## X53   0.290800910  -0.048997025 -1.156063e-01  -0.001847903  -0.109410802
## X54  -0.235851227  -0.042034617 -7.621513e-02   0.098183263  -0.058687956
## X55   0.157014507  -0.183185988 -8.552294e-02   0.089096088  -0.116244922
## X56  -0.147310294  -0.265615302 -1.055236e-01   0.046386179  -0.125727671
## X57   0.449321503  -0.160191257 -6.859371e-02   0.052858357  -0.010374500
## X58  -0.054671909  -0.336465250 -9.627370e-02   0.012673468  -0.187340971
## X59   0.450167876   0.013734571 -2.073586e-02   0.010129568  -0.052508540
## X60  -0.153081358  -0.256974151 -1.925329e-01   0.065847561  -0.115113251
## X61   0.361475754  -0.009396415 -1.696199e-02  -0.023767137  -0.023915315
## X62   0.089149119   0.058126107 -1.653186e-01   0.004149383  -0.157743053
## X63   0.255264381   0.397826727 -3.561886e-02   0.041495363  -0.054920567
## X64   0.279481284  -0.815981054 -1.154254e-01   0.050996606  -0.176783636
## X65   1.101776015   0.367339918 -1.077301e-01  -0.031294985  -0.043785952
## X66   0.168171956  -0.192604271 -1.397856e-01   0.031160448  -0.100972071
## X67   0.457171094   0.262432993 -2.494198e-02  -0.006967738  -0.009269588
## X68  -0.128709848  -1.576622497 -9.428715e-02  -0.030331033  -0.164845227
## X69   1.964955980  -0.059682069  7.863288e-03  -0.023526576  -0.029704673
## X70   0.655783312  -1.492683116 -1.776957e-01   0.032813907  -0.105495024
## X71   1.862286960   0.902180817 -3.281391e-02  -0.019176938  -0.075134698
## X72 407.767961065   0.154149115 -1.054950e-01   0.075134698  -0.112129390
## X73   0.154149115 407.873860890 -5.266695e-02  -0.034734454  -0.009781179
## X74   0.634898319   1.890727672 -9.927894e-02   0.006671945  -0.133208126
## X75  -1.464242405   0.923065810 -1.289041e-02   0.033538899  -0.036036192
## X76  -0.186265048   2.044885486 -1.398931e-01   0.075636812  -0.140785695
## X77  -1.496692991  -0.002126868 -1.890332e-02  -0.055762630  -0.020666935
## X78   0.005783867   0.424412244 -1.777838e-01   0.033292439  -0.074420547
## X79  -0.225363120   0.424821082 -1.822964e-03   0.029030203  -0.030388229
## X80   0.169659826   1.316346937 -1.167382e-01   0.034312190  -0.186062588
## X81  -0.601410132   0.477161376 -8.319776e-02   0.052027521   0.022064900
## X82   0.223019254   0.491885700 -1.358572e-01  -0.002298968  -0.163573834
## X83   0.294747426   0.263956592  1.036136e-02  -0.029453974  -0.035546554
## X84  -0.114889135   0.437310122 -1.119930e-01   0.015703097  -0.075238471
##                13            10            11
## X1   -0.437310122   0.344343923 -1.393978e-01
## X2   -0.491885700   0.242171715 -1.268103e+00
## X3    0.263956592   0.649653582  4.046495e-01
## X4   -1.316346937   0.194833806 -7.182042e-01
## X5    0.477161376  -0.068428881  2.357711e-01
## X6   -0.424412244  -0.247946733 -2.128258e+00
## X7    0.424821082   1.413320836  5.955482e-02
## X8   -2.044885486   0.569463457 -1.777010e+00
## X9   -0.002126868   1.577960476  9.885007e-01
## X10  -1.890727672 407.728841887 -2.740962e-01
## X11   0.923065810  -0.274096248  4.079130e+02
## X12  -0.154149115   0.634898319  1.464242e+00
## X13 407.873860890  -1.890727672  9.230658e-01
## X14   1.492683116  -0.147145870  1.616640e+00
## X15   0.902180817  -1.924938353 -4.124605e-02
## X16   1.576622497   0.092103722  1.400858e-01
## X17  -0.059682069  -0.509689604  3.385012e-01
## X18   0.192604271   0.288896712  7.647118e-01
## X19   0.262432993  -1.153045276  3.579245e-01
## X20   0.815981054   0.196357404 -3.371427e-02
## X21   0.367339918  -0.230852548  2.906184e-01
## X22  -0.058126107  -0.125168203  1.663275e-01
## X23   0.397826727  -0.452122433 -3.730957e-02
## X24   0.256974151  -0.174807472  2.366213e-01
## X25  -0.009396415  -0.550011807  1.338701e-01
## X26   0.336465250  -0.225593247  3.052176e-01
## X27   0.013734571  -0.409719204 -8.190830e-02
## X28   0.265615302  -0.243721848  4.267325e-02
## X29  -0.160191257  -0.156375875 -1.753154e-01
## X30   0.042034617  -0.085628608  1.822431e-01
## X31  -0.183185988  -0.365949348 -9.850957e-02
## X32   0.257391585  -0.170416365  1.557527e-01
## X33  -0.048997025  -0.270732579 -1.177511e-01
## X34   0.171837860  -0.096021977  1.374445e-01
## X35  -0.035933750  -0.170853777 -9.877848e-03
## X36   0.134264994  -0.231348747  1.433971e-01
## X37   0.008961706  -0.226206696 -1.504876e-02
## X38   0.105438568  -0.096425507  1.742826e-01
## X39  -0.049838557  -0.214050862  2.739773e-02
## X40   0.166115527  -0.120490714  5.292006e-02
## X41   0.038862765  -0.211646766  2.622968e-02
## X42   0.151380572  -0.117305972  1.148463e-01
## X43   0.011776342  -0.170948695  2.944734e-02
## X44   0.110083574  -0.213245664  1.757924e-01
## X45   0.054506992  -0.137598084 -9.543194e-02
## X46   0.092794419  -0.170278781  1.943689e-02
## X47  -0.084224064  -0.085064708  2.659384e-02
## X48   0.042469622  -0.104317979 -7.049513e-03
## X49  -0.038972453  -0.120752138  3.591150e-02
## X50   0.009581249  -0.026429537  8.207192e-02
## X51   0.063624601  -0.101634280  3.931050e-02
## X52   0.074295399  -0.124160460  1.021988e-02
## X53   0.080817259  -0.104760009  7.149522e-02
## X54  -0.001265032  -0.117448843 -8.530388e-04
## X55   0.006022717  -0.034262364  3.130471e-02
## X56   0.023034825  -0.140505332 -1.735020e-02
## X57   0.039583542  -0.100159751 -7.579466e-02
## X58   0.030301007  -0.144567225  2.621428e-02
## X59  -0.028959019  -0.013553958  2.074399e-02
## X60   0.015852926  -0.152551172  6.825959e-02
## X61  -0.008709985  -0.090467121  5.830780e-03
## X62   0.103806142  -0.126578288  2.402002e-02
## X63   0.011022662  -0.032082409 -2.017502e-02
## X64   0.012316477  -0.143289719  5.345627e-03
## X65   0.030030326   0.043539948  2.547600e-02
## X66  -0.047463909  -0.201843290  1.707917e-02
## X67  -0.016841651  -0.048548644  4.970672e-03
## X68   0.035923141  -0.112179949  3.553408e-02
## X69  -0.032027392  -0.092267574 -2.804953e-02
## X70   0.052666953  -0.099278936  1.289041e-02
## X71  -0.034734454  -0.006671945  3.353890e-02
## X72   0.009781179  -0.133208126  3.603619e-02
## X73   0.046389352  -0.058503937 -6.244756e-02
## X74   0.058503937  -0.153636149  1.755770e-02
## X75  -0.062447555  -0.017557702  4.882593e-03
## X76   0.014448468  -0.067735622  6.998885e-02
## X77  -0.007967861  -0.047521105  3.024949e-03
## X78   0.087121725  -0.149064524 -9.439396e-03
## X79   0.009709874   0.003220929 -1.624669e-02
## X80   0.009404575  -0.121256186  3.947051e-02
## X81   0.020751374   0.017262982 -3.712577e-02
## X82  -0.013339021  -0.156608614  1.976593e-02
## X83   0.005191882   0.011703543  5.020535e-02
## X84   0.005700970  -0.119335382 -3.456732e-02
## 
## $Tregresores
##               C        1             2             3          4
##  [1,] 0.1091089 44.22911  6.254940e+01  1.796827e-13  62.549404
##  [2,] 0.1091089 44.14983  6.226269e+01  4.665944e+00  61.739909
##  [3,] 0.1091089 44.05982  6.161404e+01  9.286822e+00  59.541731
##  [4,] 0.1091089 44.10356  6.080806e+01  1.387904e+01  56.195093
##  [5,] 0.1091089 44.19422  5.972336e+01  1.842222e+01  51.639977
##  [6,] 0.1091089 44.12548  5.808918e+01  2.279832e+01  45.744532
##  [7,] 0.1091089 43.95117  5.600093e+01  2.696863e+01  38.753845
##  [8,] 0.1091089 43.85932  5.371648e+01  3.101322e+01  31.013225
##  [9,] 0.1091089 43.87159  5.126299e+01  3.495051e+01  22.667142
## [10,] 0.1091089 43.78615  4.841332e+01  3.860834e+01  13.779156
## [11,] 0.1091089 43.82144  4.542934e+01  4.215226e+01   4.631239
## [12,] 0.1091089 43.81420  4.214529e+01  4.542182e+01  -4.630473
## [13,] 0.1091089 43.95080  3.875351e+01  4.859537e+01 -13.830969
## [14,] 0.1091089 43.98641  3.504199e+01  5.139716e+01 -22.726469
## [15,] 0.1091089 43.97948  3.109819e+01  5.386365e+01 -31.098191
## [16,] 0.1091089 44.04933  2.702886e+01  5.612600e+01 -38.840398
## [17,] 0.1091089 44.17459  2.282370e+01  5.815383e+01 -45.795439
## [18,] 0.1091089 44.25854  1.844903e+01  5.981028e+01 -51.715130
## [19,] 0.1091089 44.20399  1.391065e+01  6.094653e+01 -56.323065
## [20,] 0.1091089 44.30092  9.337641e+00  6.195120e+01 -59.867556
## [21,] 0.1091089 44.34321  4.686382e+00  6.253542e+01 -62.010347
## [22,] 0.1091089 44.33107 -3.496882e-13  6.269359e+01 -62.693595
## [23,] 0.1091089 44.33482 -4.685495e+00  6.252359e+01 -61.998611
## [24,] 0.1091089 44.38265 -9.354868e+00  6.206549e+01 -59.978002
## [25,] 0.1091089 44.20577 -1.391121e+01  6.094898e+01 -56.325326
## [26,] 0.1091089 44.18147 -1.841690e+01  5.970613e+01 -51.625075
## [27,] 0.1091089 44.14292 -2.280733e+01  5.811214e+01 -45.762608
## [28,] 0.1091089 44.10178 -2.706104e+01  5.619283e+01 -38.886645
## [29,] 0.1091089 44.29276 -3.131971e+01  5.424733e+01 -31.319711
## [30,] 0.1091089 44.27882 -3.527494e+01  5.173883e+01 -22.877548
## [31,] 0.1091089 44.34693 -3.910280e+01  4.903336e+01 -13.955628
## [32,] 0.1091089 44.41293 -4.272122e+01  4.604253e+01  -4.693750
## [33,] 0.1091089 44.51056 -4.614374e+01  4.281513e+01   4.704068
## [34,] 0.1091089 44.53604 -4.924247e+01  3.926956e+01  14.015142
## [35,] 0.1091089 44.58189 -5.209297e+01  3.551638e+01  23.034138
## [36,] 0.1091089 44.63544 -5.466703e+01  3.156202e+01  31.562022
## [37,] 0.1091089 44.59329 -5.681909e+01  2.736263e+01  39.320029
## [38,] 0.1091089 44.62341 -5.874467e+01  2.305559e+01  46.260724
## [39,] 0.1091089 44.55231 -6.020728e+01  1.857149e+01  52.058401
## [40,] 0.1091089 44.50398 -6.136014e+01  1.400505e+01  56.705295
## [41,] 0.1091089 44.43577 -6.213977e+01  9.366064e+00  60.049786
## [42,] 0.1091089 44.38281 -6.259126e+01  4.690566e+00  62.065716
## [43,] 0.1091089 44.31781 -6.267484e+01  4.473936e-13  62.674844
## [44,] 0.1091089 44.23711 -6.238579e+01 -4.675168e+00  61.861967
## [45,] 0.1091089 44.00145 -6.153242e+01 -9.274520e+00  59.462859
## [46,] 0.1091089 44.01071 -6.068005e+01 -1.384982e+01  56.076797
## [47,] 0.1091089 44.01244 -5.947771e+01 -1.834644e+01  51.427572
## [48,] 0.1091089 44.08036 -5.802978e+01 -2.277501e+01  45.697753
## [49,] 0.1091089 44.13210 -5.623146e+01 -2.707965e+01  38.913381
## [50,] 0.1091089 44.16586 -5.409191e+01 -3.122998e+01  31.229978
## [51,] 0.1091089 44.21869 -5.166857e+01 -3.522704e+01  22.846482
## [52,] 0.1091089 44.23091 -4.890509e+01 -3.900051e+01  13.919119
## [53,] 0.1091089 44.20619 -4.582820e+01 -4.252235e+01   4.671901
## [54,] 0.1091089 44.34952 -4.266022e+01 -4.597679e+01  -4.687048
## [55,] 0.1091089 44.32325 -3.908193e+01 -4.900719e+01 -13.948178
## [56,] 0.1091089 44.37750 -3.535355e+01 -5.185413e+01 -22.928532
## [57,] 0.1091089 44.57957 -3.152252e+01 -5.459860e+01 -31.522516
## [58,] 0.1091089 44.69939 -2.742774e+01 -5.695429e+01 -39.413589
## [59,] 0.1091089 44.77676 -2.313482e+01 -5.894655e+01 -46.419702
## [60,] 0.1091089 44.79353 -1.867204e+01 -6.053327e+01 -52.340263
## [61,] 0.1091089 44.78325 -1.409294e+01 -6.174519e+01 -57.061132
## [62,] 0.1091089 44.80293 -9.443453e+00 -6.265322e+01 -60.545959
## [63,] 0.1091089 44.82929 -4.737753e+00 -6.322092e+01 -62.690086
## [64,] 0.1091089 44.86952  1.530234e-13 -6.345508e+01 -63.455080
## [65,] 0.1091089 44.80708  4.735405e+00 -6.318959e+01 -62.659023
## [66,] 0.1091089 44.82288  9.447659e+00 -6.268112e+01 -60.572928
## [67,] 0.1091089 44.96554  1.415030e+01 -6.199652e+01 -57.293397
## [68,] 0.1091089 45.06193  1.878392e+01 -6.089597e+01 -52.653877
## [69,] 0.1091089 45.05709  2.327966e+01 -5.931560e+01 -46.710321
## [70,] 0.1091089 45.04281  2.763846e+01 -5.739185e+01 -39.716392
## [71,] 0.1091089 45.06733  3.186741e+01 -5.519598e+01 -31.867413
## [72,] 0.1091089 45.12866  3.595197e+01 -5.273185e+01 -23.316636
## [73,] 0.1091089 45.12798  3.979150e+01 -4.989696e+01 -14.201420
## [74,] 0.1091089 45.05855  4.334224e+01 -4.671183e+01  -4.761981
## [75,] 0.1091089 44.98190  4.663237e+01 -4.326851e+01   4.753881
## [76,] 0.1091089 45.05224  4.981321e+01 -3.972471e+01  14.177585
## [77,] 0.1091089 45.15249  5.275970e+01 -3.597095e+01  23.328948
## [78,] 0.1091089 45.19556  5.535303e+01 -3.195809e+01  31.958087
## [79,] 0.1091089 45.29852  5.771767e+01 -2.779536e+01  39.941865
## [80,] 0.1091089 45.35676  5.971010e+01 -2.343449e+01  47.020987
## [81,] 0.1091089 45.48396  6.146630e+01 -1.895984e+01  53.147014
## [82,] 0.1091089 45.56503  6.282307e+01 -1.433896e+01  58.057248
## [83,] 0.1091089 45.60786  6.377886e+01 -9.613116e+00  61.633739
## [84,] 0.1091089 45.52753  6.420561e+01 -4.811545e+00  63.666512
##                   5          8             9             6             7
##  [1,] -3.312882e-13  62.549404  5.365170e-13  6.254940e+01  2.005123e-13
##  [2,]  9.305794e+00  59.663369  1.840371e+01  6.087185e+01  1.389360e+01
##  [3,]  1.836619e+01  51.482929  3.510047e+01  5.613936e+01  2.703529e+01
##  [4,]  2.706213e+01  38.888211  4.876427e+01  4.876427e+01  3.888821e+01
##  [5,]  3.520754e+01  22.833838  5.817967e+01  3.896815e+01  4.886452e+01
##  [6,]  4.244472e+01   4.663371  6.222837e+01  2.707559e+01  5.622303e+01
##  [7,]  4.859578e+01 -13.831087  6.059795e+01  1.383109e+01  6.059795e+01
##  [8,]  5.371648e+01 -31.013225  5.371648e+01 -1.635705e-13  6.202645e+01
##  [9,]  5.775494e+01 -45.481318  4.220050e+01 -1.380604e+01  6.048822e+01
## [10,]  6.037043e+01 -55.790665  2.686737e+01 -2.686737e+01  5.579066e+01
## [11,]  6.179959e+01 -61.280695  9.236579e+00 -3.863946e+01  4.845235e+01
## [12,]  6.178937e+01 -61.270561 -9.235051e+00 -4.844434e+01  3.863307e+01
## [13,]  6.059744e+01 -56.000451 -2.696840e+01 -5.600045e+01  2.696840e+01
## [14,]  5.790610e+01 -45.600355 -4.231095e+01 -6.064654e+01  1.384218e+01
## [15,]  5.386365e+01 -31.098191 -5.386365e+01 -6.219638e+01 -1.130693e-14
## [16,]  4.870432e+01 -13.861977 -6.073329e+01 -6.073329e+01 -1.386198e+01
## [17,]  4.249196e+01   4.668561 -6.229762e+01 -5.628560e+01 -2.710572e+01
## [18,]  3.525878e+01  22.867068 -5.826434e+01 -4.893563e+01 -3.902486e+01
## [19,]  2.712376e+01  38.976770 -4.887532e+01 -3.897677e+01 -4.887532e+01
## [20,]  1.846670e+01  51.764654 -3.529254e+01 -2.718323e+01 -5.644657e+01
## [21,]  9.346556e+00  59.924711 -1.848433e+01 -1.395446e+01 -6.113848e+01
## [22,]  5.372072e-13  62.693595  2.192474e-14  3.022834e-13 -6.269359e+01
## [23,] -9.344787e+00  59.913370  1.848083e+01  1.395182e+01 -6.112691e+01
## [24,] -1.850076e+01  51.860152  3.535765e+01  2.723338e+01 -5.655070e+01
## [25,] -2.712485e+01  38.978335  4.887729e+01  3.897833e+01 -4.887729e+01
## [26,] -3.519738e+01  22.827249  5.816288e+01  4.885042e+01 -3.895691e+01
## [27,] -4.246149e+01   4.665214  6.225296e+01  5.624525e+01 -2.708628e+01
## [28,] -4.876231e+01 -13.878483  6.080561e+01  6.080561e+01 -1.387848e+01
## [29,] -5.424733e+01 -31.319711  5.424733e+01  6.263942e+01  4.116698e-13
## [30,] -5.829104e+01 -45.903494  4.259222e+01  6.104970e+01  1.393420e+01
## [31,] -6.114360e+01 -56.505184  2.721146e+01  5.650518e+01  2.721146e+01
## [32,] -6.263374e+01 -62.107842  9.361251e+00  4.910634e+01  3.916100e+01
## [33,] -6.277142e+01 -62.244367 -9.381829e+00  3.924709e+01  4.921429e+01
## [34,] -6.140435e+01 -56.746152 -2.732751e+01  2.732751e+01  5.674615e+01
## [35,] -5.869003e+01 -46.217689 -4.288375e+01  1.402957e+01  6.146757e+01
## [36,] -5.466703e+01 -31.562022 -5.466703e+01 -4.411116e-13  6.312404e+01
## [37,] -4.930576e+01 -14.033156 -6.148327e+01 -1.403316e+01  6.148327e+01
## [38,] -4.292368e+01   4.715994 -6.293057e+01 -2.738111e+01  5.685747e+01
## [39,] -3.549282e+01  23.018854 -5.865108e+01 -3.928390e+01  4.926045e+01
## [40,] -2.730783e+01  39.241282 -4.920701e+01 -4.920701e+01  3.924128e+01
## [41,] -1.852291e+01  51.922220 -3.539997e+01 -5.661838e+01  2.726598e+01
## [42,] -9.354901e+00  59.978217 -1.850083e+01 -6.119307e+01  1.396692e+01
## [43,] -6.299540e-15  62.674844  2.136403e-13 -6.267484e+01  1.574357e-13
## [44,]  9.324191e+00  59.781321  1.844010e+01 -6.099219e+01 -1.392107e+01
## [45,]  1.834186e+01  51.414732  3.505397e+01 -5.606500e+01 -2.699948e+01
## [46,]  2.700516e+01  38.806347  4.866162e+01 -4.866162e+01 -3.880635e+01
## [47,]  3.506272e+01  22.739918  5.794037e+01 -3.880787e+01 -4.866353e+01
## [48,]  4.240132e+01   4.658603  6.216473e+01 -2.704790e+01 -5.616554e+01
## [49,]  4.879584e+01 -13.888025  6.084741e+01 -1.388802e+01 -6.084741e+01
## [50,]  5.409191e+01 -31.229978  5.409191e+01 -4.767029e-13 -6.245996e+01
## [51,]  5.821189e+01 -45.841159  4.253438e+01  1.391527e+01 -6.096680e+01
## [52,]  6.098365e+01 -56.357363  2.714028e+01  2.714028e+01 -5.635736e+01
## [53,]  6.234218e+01 -61.818729  9.317674e+00  3.897871e+01 -4.887775e+01
## [54,]  6.254431e+01 -62.019162 -9.347885e+00  4.903623e+01 -3.910509e+01
## [55,]  6.111096e+01 -56.475020 -2.719694e+01  5.647502e+01 -2.719694e+01
## [56,]  5.842095e+01 -46.005792 -4.268714e+01  6.118575e+01 -1.396525e+01
## [57,]  5.459860e+01 -31.522516 -5.459860e+01  6.304503e+01 -3.738797e-13
## [58,]  4.942308e+01 -14.066547 -6.162957e+01  6.162957e+01  1.406655e+01
## [59,]  4.307119e+01   4.732201 -6.314683e+01  5.705286e+01  2.747521e+01
## [60,]  3.568499e+01  23.143486 -5.896864e+01  4.952717e+01  3.949660e+01
## [61,]  2.747919e+01  39.487528 -4.951579e+01  3.948753e+01  4.951579e+01
## [62,]  1.867596e+01  52.351238 -3.569247e+01  2.749127e+01  5.708620e+01
## [63,]  9.449010e+00  60.581588 -1.868694e+01  1.410742e+01  6.180867e+01
## [64,] -7.960212e-15  63.455080 -4.957276e-14 -7.378126e-14  6.345508e+01
## [65,] -9.444328e+00  60.551570  1.867769e+01 -1.410043e+01  6.177804e+01
## [66,] -1.868427e+01  52.374556  3.570837e+01 -2.750351e+01  5.711163e+01
## [67,] -2.759105e+01  39.648261  4.971735e+01 -3.964826e+01  4.971735e+01
## [68,] -3.589881e+01  23.282158  5.932197e+01 -4.982393e+01  3.973325e+01
## [69,] -4.334084e+01   4.761828  6.354217e+01 -5.741005e+01  2.764722e+01
## [70,] -4.980278e+01 -14.174616  6.210305e+01 -6.210305e+01  1.417462e+01
## [71,] -5.519598e+01 -31.867413  5.519598e+01 -6.373483e+01 -2.123119e-13
## [72,] -5.940982e+01 -46.784518  4.340969e+01 -6.222143e+01 -1.420163e+01
## [73,] -6.222049e+01 -57.500377  2.769072e+01 -5.750038e+01 -2.769072e+01
## [74,] -6.354422e+01 -63.010679  9.497332e+00 -4.982018e+01 -3.973027e+01
## [75,] -6.343613e+01 -62.903491 -9.481176e+00 -3.966268e+01 -4.973543e+01
## [76,] -6.211606e+01 -57.403869 -2.764425e+01 -2.764425e+01 -5.740387e+01
## [77,] -5.944119e+01 -46.809222 -4.343261e+01 -1.420913e+01 -6.225428e+01
## [78,] -5.535303e+01 -31.958087 -5.535303e+01  1.558805e-13 -6.391617e+01
## [79,] -5.008551e+01 -14.255087 -6.245562e+01  1.425509e+01 -6.245562e+01
## [80,] -4.362910e+01   4.793498 -6.396479e+01  2.783110e+01 -5.779188e+01
## [81,] -3.623502e+01  23.500210 -5.987756e+01  4.010538e+01 -5.029056e+01
## [82,] -2.795890e+01  40.176862 -5.038019e+01  5.038019e+01 -4.017686e+01
## [83,] -1.901149e+01  53.291790 -3.633373e+01  5.811183e+01 -2.798518e+01
## [84,] -9.596183e+00  61.525173 -1.897800e+01  6.277136e+01 -1.432715e+01
##              72            73            14            15        12
##  [1,]  62.54940  2.673348e-13  6.254940e+01 -2.499743e-13  62.54940
##  [2,] -56.25405  2.709052e+01  5.407227e+01  3.121864e+01  56.25405
##  [3,]  38.84964 -4.871591e+01  3.115499e+01  5.396203e+01  38.84964
##  [4,] -13.87904  6.080806e+01  1.950592e-13  6.237185e+01  13.87904
##  [5,] -13.90757 -6.093306e+01 -3.125003e+01  5.412664e+01 -13.90757
##  [6,]  38.90755  4.878852e+01 -5.404246e+01  3.120143e+01 -38.90755
##  [7,] -56.00093 -2.696863e+01 -6.215634e+01 -2.420395e-14 -56.00093
##  [8,]  62.02645  2.792558e-13 -5.371648e+01 -3.101322e+01 -62.02645
##  [9,] -55.89952  2.691979e+01 -3.102190e+01 -5.373150e+01 -55.89952
## [10,]  38.60834 -4.841332e+01 -5.641113e-13 -6.192297e+01 -38.60834
## [11,] -13.79026  6.041909e+01  3.098644e+01 -5.367009e+01 -13.79026
## [12,] -13.78798 -6.040910e+01  5.366121e+01 -3.098132e+01  13.78798
## [13,]  38.75351  4.859537e+01  6.215581e+01  2.941933e-13  38.75351
## [14,] -56.04583 -2.699025e+01  5.387213e+01  3.110309e+01  56.04583
## [15,]  62.19638  1.182665e-13  3.109819e+01  5.386365e+01  62.19638
## [16,] -56.12600  2.702886e+01 -1.670886e-14  6.229516e+01  56.12600
## [17,]  38.95084 -4.884281e+01 -3.123615e+01  5.410260e+01  38.95084
## [18,] -13.92781  6.102173e+01 -5.420542e+01  3.129551e+01  13.92781
## [19,] -13.91065 -6.094653e+01 -6.251389e+01  1.141832e-13 -13.91065
## [20,]  39.06224  4.898249e+01 -5.425732e+01 -3.132548e+01 -39.06224
## [21,] -56.50046 -2.720919e+01 -3.135539e+01 -5.430912e+01 -56.50046
## [22,]  62.69359 -9.033052e-14 -3.916624e-13 -6.269359e+01 -62.69359
## [23,] -56.48976  2.720404e+01  3.134945e+01 -5.429885e+01 -56.48976
## [24,]  39.13430 -4.907286e+01  5.435742e+01 -3.138327e+01 -39.13430
## [25,] -13.91121  6.094898e+01  6.251640e+01 -2.027699e-13 -13.91121
## [26,] -13.90356 -6.091547e+01  5.411102e+01  3.124101e+01  13.90356
## [27,]  38.92292  4.880780e+01  3.121376e+01  5.406382e+01  38.92292
## [28,] -56.19283 -2.706104e+01  3.890985e-14  6.236934e+01  56.19283
## [29,]  62.63942  3.102865e-13 -3.131971e+01  5.424733e+01  62.63942
## [30,] -56.41841  2.716967e+01 -5.423026e+01  3.130985e+01  56.41841
## [31,]  39.10280 -4.903336e+01 -6.271602e+01  4.998868e-13  39.10280
## [32,] -13.97640  6.123461e+01 -5.439451e+01 -3.140469e+01  13.97640
## [33,] -14.00712 -6.136921e+01 -3.147372e+01 -5.451408e+01 -14.00712
## [34,]  39.26956  4.924247e+01  2.449221e-13 -6.298348e+01 -39.26956
## [35,] -56.80457 -2.735564e+01  3.152416e+01 -5.460145e+01 -56.80457
## [36,]  63.12404  9.839143e-13  5.466703e+01 -3.156202e+01 -63.12404
## [37,] -56.81909  2.736263e+01  6.306443e+01 -1.973502e-13 -56.81909
## [38,]  39.34659 -4.933906e+01  5.465229e+01  3.155351e+01 -39.34659
## [39,] -14.02026  6.142678e+01  3.150324e+01  5.456522e+01 -14.02026
## [40,] -14.00505 -6.136014e+01 -4.085031e-13  6.293813e+01  14.00505
## [41,]  39.18114  4.913159e+01 -3.142083e+01  5.442248e+01  39.18114
## [42,] -56.55090 -2.723348e+01 -5.435762e+01  3.138338e+01  56.55090
## [43,]  62.67484 -1.137770e-13 -6.267484e+01 -1.962237e-13  62.67484
## [44,] -56.36526  2.714408e+01 -5.417917e+01 -3.128036e+01  56.36526
## [45,]  38.79818 -4.865138e+01 -3.111373e+01 -5.389055e+01  38.79818
## [46,] -13.84982  6.068005e+01  7.243806e-13 -6.224055e+01  13.84982
## [47,] -13.85037 -6.068243e+01  3.112150e+01 -5.390401e+01 -13.85037
## [48,]  38.86776  4.873863e+01  5.398720e+01 -3.116952e+01 -38.86776
## [49,] -56.23146 -2.707965e+01  6.241222e+01 -8.350460e-14 -56.23146
## [50,]  62.45996  6.984066e-13  5.409191e+01  3.122998e+01 -62.45996
## [51,] -56.34179  2.713278e+01  3.126734e+01  5.415662e+01 -56.34179
## [52,]  39.00051 -4.890509e+01  7.022265e-13  6.255195e+01 -39.00051
## [53,] -13.91134  6.094956e+01 -3.125850e+01  5.414130e+01 -13.91134
## [54,] -13.95644 -6.114718e+01 -5.431684e+01  3.135984e+01  13.95644
## [55,]  39.08193  4.900719e+01 -6.268254e+01 -5.574317e-15  39.08193
## [56,] -56.54414 -2.723022e+01 -5.435111e+01 -3.137963e+01  56.54414
## [57,]  63.04503 -5.396725e-13 -3.152252e+01 -5.459860e+01  63.04503
## [58,] -56.95429  2.742774e+01 -3.526346e-14 -6.321449e+01  56.95429
## [59,]  39.48180 -4.950862e+01  3.166195e+01 -5.484010e+01  39.48180
## [60,] -14.09617  6.175937e+01  5.486065e+01 -3.167381e+01  14.09617
## [61,] -14.09294 -6.174519e+01  6.333308e+01  2.515689e-13 -14.09294
## [62,]  39.50488  4.953755e+01  5.487215e+01  3.168045e+01 -39.50488
## [63,] -57.11980 -2.750744e+01  3.169910e+01  5.490444e+01 -57.11980
## [64,]  63.45508 -1.080122e-12 -3.754635e-14  6.345508e+01 -63.45508
## [65,] -57.09149  2.749381e+01 -3.168339e+01  5.487724e+01 -57.09149
## [66,]  39.52248 -4.955962e+01 -5.489660e+01  3.169456e+01 -39.52248
## [67,] -14.15030  6.199652e+01 -6.359087e+01 -4.325891e-13 -14.15030
## [68,] -14.18063 -6.212942e+01 -5.518937e+01 -3.186360e+01  14.18063
## [69,]  39.72899  4.981857e+01 -3.186017e+01 -5.518344e+01  39.72899
## [70,] -57.39185 -2.763846e+01 -3.917144e-13 -6.370015e+01  57.39185
## [71,]  63.73483  1.123095e-12  3.186741e+01 -5.519598e+01  63.73483
## [72,] -57.50124  2.769114e+01  5.527110e+01 -3.191078e+01  57.50124
## [73,]  39.79150 -4.989696e+01  6.382060e+01 -3.615563e-13  39.79150
## [74,] -14.17957  6.212475e+01  5.518522e+01  3.186120e+01  14.17957
## [75,] -14.15545 -6.201907e+01  3.180700e+01  5.509135e+01 -14.15545
## [76,]  39.72471  4.981321e+01  4.530057e-14  6.371349e+01 -39.72471
## [77,] -57.53161 -2.770576e+01 -3.192763e+01  5.530028e+01 -57.53161
## [78,]  63.91617 -3.243843e-12 -5.535303e+01  3.195809e+01 -63.91617
## [79,] -57.71767  2.779536e+01 -6.406178e+01 -1.351850e-13 -57.71767
## [80,]  39.99322 -5.014991e+01 -5.555046e+01 -3.207207e+01 -39.99322
## [81,] -14.31344  6.271130e+01 -3.216202e+01 -5.570625e+01 -14.31344
## [82,] -14.33896 -6.282307e+01 -5.224484e-13 -6.443868e+01  14.33896
## [83,]  40.21463  5.042755e+01  3.224963e+01 -5.585800e+01  40.21463
## [84,] -58.00946 -2.793589e+01  5.575961e+01 -3.219282e+01  58.00946
##                  13            10            11
##  [1,] -1.215226e-13  6.254940e+01  3.050737e-13
##  [2,]  2.709052e+01  5.812123e+01  2.281090e+01
##  [3,]  4.871591e+01  4.567645e+01  4.238156e+01
##  [4,]  6.080806e+01  2.706213e+01  5.619509e+01
##  [5,]  6.093306e+01  4.670636e+00  6.232530e+01
##  [6,]  4.878852e+01 -1.839357e+01  5.963047e+01
##  [7,]  2.696863e+01 -3.875384e+01  4.859578e+01
##  [8,]  2.970332e-13 -5.371648e+01  3.101322e+01
##  [9,] -2.691979e+01 -6.135081e+01  9.247147e+00
## [10,] -4.841332e+01 -6.037043e+01 -1.377916e+01
## [11,] -6.041909e+01 -5.120440e+01 -3.491057e+01
## [12,] -6.040910e+01 -3.490479e+01 -5.119593e+01
## [13,] -4.859537e+01 -1.383097e+01 -6.059744e+01
## [14,] -2.699025e+01  9.271350e+00 -6.151139e+01
## [15,]  1.885669e-13  3.109819e+01 -5.386365e+01
## [16,]  2.702886e+01  4.870432e+01 -3.884040e+01
## [17,]  4.884281e+01  5.969683e+01 -1.841403e+01
## [18,]  6.102173e+01  6.241601e+01  4.677433e+00
## [19,]  6.094653e+01  5.632307e+01  2.712376e+01
## [20,]  4.898249e+01  4.261348e+01  4.592641e+01
## [21,]  2.720919e+01  2.291082e+01  5.837581e+01
## [22,] -6.232157e-14 -2.048188e-14  6.269359e+01
## [23,] -2.720404e+01 -2.290648e+01  5.836477e+01
## [24,] -4.907286e+01 -4.269209e+01  4.601113e+01
## [25,] -6.094898e+01 -5.632533e+01  2.712485e+01
## [26,] -6.091547e+01 -6.230732e+01  4.669288e+00
## [27,] -4.880780e+01 -5.965404e+01 -1.840083e+01
## [28,] -2.706104e+01 -4.876231e+01 -3.888664e+01
## [29,]  1.929890e-13 -3.131971e+01 -5.424733e+01
## [30,]  2.716967e+01 -9.332983e+00 -6.192030e+01
## [31,]  4.903336e+01  1.395563e+01 -6.114360e+01
## [32,]  6.123461e+01  3.538178e+01 -5.189554e+01
## [33,]  6.136921e+01  5.200961e+01 -3.545955e+01
## [34,]  4.924247e+01  6.140435e+01 -1.401514e+01
## [35,]  2.735564e+01  6.234412e+01  9.396864e+00
## [36,]  5.951783e-13  5.466703e+01  3.156202e+01
## [37,] -2.736263e+01  3.932003e+01  4.930576e+01
## [38,] -4.933906e+01  1.860112e+01  6.030336e+01
## [39,] -6.142678e+01 -4.708481e+00  6.283031e+01
## [40,] -6.136014e+01 -2.730783e+01  5.670530e+01
## [41,] -4.913159e+01 -4.606620e+01  4.274319e+01
## [42,] -2.723348e+01 -5.842794e+01  2.293128e+01
## [43,]  9.656794e-14 -6.267484e+01  1.727923e-13
## [44,]  2.714408e+01 -5.823613e+01 -2.285600e+01
## [45,]  4.865138e+01 -4.561595e+01 -4.232542e+01
## [46,]  6.068005e+01 -2.700516e+01 -5.607680e+01
## [47,]  6.068243e+01 -4.651424e+00 -6.206895e+01
## [48,]  4.873863e+01  1.837476e+01 -5.956950e+01
## [49,]  2.707965e+01  3.891338e+01 -4.879584e+01
## [50,] -1.278127e-13  5.409191e+01 -3.122998e+01
## [51,] -2.713278e+01  6.183621e+01 -9.320309e+00
## [52,] -4.890509e+01  6.098365e+01  1.391912e+01
## [53,] -6.094956e+01  5.165396e+01  3.521708e+01
## [54,] -6.114718e+01  3.533126e+01  5.182144e+01
## [55,] -4.900719e+01  1.394818e+01  6.111096e+01
## [56,] -2.723022e+01 -9.353782e+00  6.205829e+01
## [57,] -4.973634e-13 -3.152252e+01  5.459860e+01
## [58,]  2.742774e+01 -4.942308e+01  3.941359e+01
## [59,]  4.950862e+01 -6.051059e+01  1.866505e+01
## [60,]  6.175937e+01 -6.317049e+01 -4.733974e+00
## [61,]  6.174519e+01 -5.706113e+01 -2.747919e+01
## [62,]  4.953755e+01 -4.309636e+01 -4.644683e+01
## [63,]  2.750744e+01 -2.316196e+01 -5.901571e+01
## [64,]  2.253224e-13  8.291978e-15 -6.345508e+01
## [65,] -2.749381e+01  2.315048e+01 -5.898647e+01
## [66,] -4.955962e+01  4.311556e+01 -4.646752e+01
## [67,] -6.199652e+01  5.729340e+01 -2.759105e+01
## [68,] -6.212942e+01  6.354900e+01 -4.762339e+00
## [69,] -4.981857e+01  6.088943e+01  1.878190e+01
## [70,] -2.763846e+01  4.980278e+01  3.971639e+01
## [71,]  3.418609e-14  3.186741e+01  5.519598e+01
## [72,]  2.769114e+01  9.512111e+00  6.310873e+01
## [73,]  4.989696e+01 -1.420142e+01  6.222049e+01
## [74,]  6.212475e+01 -3.589611e+01  5.264992e+01
## [75,]  6.201907e+01 -5.256036e+01  3.583505e+01
## [76,]  4.981321e+01 -6.211606e+01  1.417758e+01
## [77,]  2.770576e+01 -6.314205e+01 -9.517133e+00
## [78,] -1.563680e-13 -5.535303e+01 -3.195809e+01
## [79,] -2.779536e+01 -3.994187e+01 -5.008551e+01
## [80,] -5.014991e+01 -1.890682e+01 -6.129440e+01
## [81,] -6.271130e+01  4.806941e+00 -6.414417e+01
## [82,] -6.282307e+01  2.795890e+01 -5.805725e+01
## [83,] -5.042755e+01  4.728130e+01 -4.387064e+01
## [84,] -2.793589e+01  5.993491e+01 -2.352272e+01
## 
## $Nregresores
## [1] 18
## 
## $Betas
##             [,1]
## C   5.123715e+02
## 1   1.996464e+01
## 2  -7.257998e-02
## 3  -2.654528e-02
## 4   3.362878e-02
## 5   1.663995e-02
## 8  -1.903189e-02
## 9   2.508835e-02
## 6  -1.278271e-02
## 7  -1.862982e-02
## 72 -2.682056e-03
## 73 -6.815002e-04
## 14 -8.551309e-03
## 15  5.852293e-03
## 12 -4.443794e-03
## 13 -3.542513e-04
## 10 -2.801267e-02
## 11 -1.791192e-02
plot(reg5$datos$X,reg5$datos$Y,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(reg5$datos$X,reg5$datos$F,col="red")

gtd (reg5$datos$res,4)

plot(ts(E, frequency=4))
lines(ts(reg5$datos$F,frequency=4),col="red")

reg6 <- lm(E~PIBC)
reg6
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = E ~ PIBC)
## 
## Coefficients:
## (Intercept)         PIBC  
##     171.507        1.895
plot(PIBC,E,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(PIBC,reg6$fitted,col="red")

gtd (reg6$resid,4)

plot(ts(E, frequency=4))
lines(ts(reg6$fitted,frequency=4),col="red")

Se comprueba que el resultado es el mismo realizando la estimación MCO con los regresores seleccionados de la matriz auxiliar \(WX_tIW^T\), una vez convertidos estos en series de tiempo:

regresores1 <- data.frame(reg5$Tregresores)
eq5 <- lm(E~0+.,data=regresores1)
plot(PIBC,E,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(PIBC,eq5$fitted,col="red")
lines(PIBC,reg5$datos$F,col="green")

summary(eq5)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = E ~ 0 + ., data = regresores1)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -2.1531 -0.7737 -0.1848  0.8961  3.6501 
## 
## Coefficients:
##       Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## C    5.124e+02  4.510e+02   1.136 0.260019    
## X1   1.996e+01  1.106e+00  18.052  < 2e-16 ***
## X2  -7.258e-02  4.337e-03 -16.736  < 2e-16 ***
## X3  -2.655e-02  7.170e-03  -3.702 0.000438 ***
## X4   3.363e-02  3.226e-03  10.423 1.39e-15 ***
## X5   1.664e-02  7.498e-03   2.219 0.029919 *  
## X8  -1.903e-02  3.448e-03  -5.520 6.13e-07 ***
## X9   2.509e-02  4.873e-03   5.148 2.57e-06 ***
## X6  -1.278e-02  3.316e-03  -3.855 0.000265 ***
## X7  -1.863e-02  3.431e-03  -5.430 8.72e-07 ***
## X72 -2.682e-03  3.212e-03  -0.835 0.406767    
## X73 -6.815e-04  3.205e-03  -0.213 0.832269    
## X14 -8.551e-03  3.206e-03  -2.667 0.009618 ** 
## X15  5.852e-03  3.536e-03   1.655 0.102678    
## X12 -4.444e-03  3.219e-03  -1.381 0.172069    
## X13 -3.543e-04  3.409e-03  -0.104 0.917552    
## X10 -2.801e-02  3.346e-03  -8.372 5.73e-12 ***
## X11 -1.791e-02  3.223e-03  -5.557 5.32e-07 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 1.307 on 66 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:      1,  Adjusted R-squared:      1 
## F-statistic: 2.435e+06 on 18 and 66 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
data.frame(E,eq5$fitted,reg5$datos$F)
##           E eq5.fitted reg5.datos.F
## 1  929.6105   931.7636     931.7636
## 2  929.8040   930.7738     930.7738
## 3  930.3184   929.5617     929.5617
## 4  931.4277   931.6228     931.6228
## 5  932.6620   934.7974     934.7974
## 6  933.5509   934.4661     934.4661
## 7  933.5315   932.3376     932.3376
## 8  933.0769   930.8736     930.8736
## 9  932.1238   931.7271     931.7271
## 10 930.6359   929.7421     929.7421
## 11 929.0971   930.1002     930.1002
## 12 928.5633   929.3738     929.3738
## 13 929.0694   931.0588     931.0588
## 14 930.2655   931.1853     931.1853
## 15 931.6770   929.8379     929.8379
## 16 932.1390   930.7300     930.7300
## 17 932.2767   932.3535     932.3535
## 18 932.8328   933.6135     933.6135
## 19 933.7334   932.3819     932.3819
## 20 934.1772   934.1391     934.1391
## 21 934.5928   935.6584     935.6584
## 22 935.6067   935.7812     935.7812
## 23 936.5111   937.1611     937.1611
## 24 937.4201   939.1433     939.1433
## 25 938.4159   937.0363     937.0363
## 26 938.9992   937.9482     937.9482
## 27 939.2354   938.0848     938.0848
## 28 939.6795   938.3615     938.3615
## 29 940.2497   942.2151     942.2151
## 30 941.4358   942.1550     942.1550
## 31 942.2981   942.8315     942.8315
## 32 943.5322   943.4625     943.4625
## 33 944.3490   944.6470     944.6470
## 34 944.8215   944.2002     944.2002
## 35 945.0671   944.9913     944.9913
## 36 945.8067   945.7322     945.7322
## 37 946.8697   945.7234     945.7234
## 38 946.8766   947.1466     947.1466
## 39 947.2497   947.2235     947.2235
## 40 947.6513   948.0178     948.0178
## 41 948.1840   948.1775     948.1775
## 42 948.3492   949.0606     949.0606
## 43 948.0322   948.8036     948.8036
## 44 947.1065   948.5275     948.5275
## 45 946.0796   944.2414     944.2414
## 46 946.1838   944.8062     944.8062
## 47 946.2258   944.9164     944.9164
## 48 945.9978   945.8010     945.8010
## 49 945.5183   946.6685     946.6685
## 50 945.3514   946.3548     946.3548
## 51 945.2918   946.9114     946.9114
## 52 945.4008   946.0107     946.0107
## 53 945.9058   944.5228     944.5228
## 54 945.9035   946.3429     946.3429
## 55 946.3190   944.4210     944.4210
## 56 946.5796   944.6716     944.6716
## 57 946.7800   947.3354     947.3354
## 58 947.6283   949.1629     949.1629
## 59 948.6221   949.8444     949.8444
## 60 949.3992   949.8093     949.8093
## 61 949.9481   949.4349     949.4349
## 62 949.7945   949.4690     949.4690
## 63 949.9534   950.1949     950.1949
## 64 950.2502   950.4887     950.4887
## 65 950.5380   949.2746     949.2746
## 66 950.7871   948.9946     948.9946
## 67 950.8695   951.4451     951.4451
## 68 950.9281   953.0067     953.0067
## 69 951.8457   952.3764     952.3764
## 70 952.6005   952.3269     952.3269
## 71 953.5976   952.6946     952.6946
## 72 954.1434   954.7529     954.7529
## 73 954.5426   955.3023     955.3023
## 74 955.2631   954.8611     954.8611
## 75 956.0561   954.2151     954.2151
## 76 956.7966   955.9376     955.9376
## 77 957.3865   958.3763     958.3763
## 78 958.0634   958.5083     958.5083
## 79 958.7166   959.9833     959.9833
## 80 959.4881   959.6417     959.6417
## 81 960.3625   960.7214     960.7214
## 82 960.7834   960.8974     960.8974
## 83 961.0290   960.2399     960.2399
## 84 961.7657   958.1156     958.1156

Inferencia en la estimación en el dominio de la frecuencia entre el PIB y el empleo de Canada.

La inferencia en la estimación de un modelo en el dominio de la frecuencia, cuando se utilizan como variables auxiliares las frecuencias relevantes para acercar el regresor a la serie observada, presenta el problema del desfase que existe entre la serie en \(X_t\) en las frecuencias elegidas y la serie \(x_{t+m}\) para esas mismas frecuencias.

En el ejercicio siguiente se realiza la regresion dependiente de la frecuencia entre el PIBC y empleo con datos del mercado de trabajo de Canada, con los 80 primeros datos:

reg6 <- rdf (E[1:80],PIBC[1:80],4)
plot(reg6$datos$X,reg6$datos$Y,pch=19,col="blue")
lines(reg6$datos$X,reg6$datos$F,col="red")

gtd (reg6$datos$res,4)

plot(ts(E, frequency=4))
lines(ts(reg6$datos$F,frequency=4),col="red")

Realizamos ahora esa misma estimación en dominio del tiempo realizando la transformación en el dominio del tiempo de los regresores seleccionados, y comprobamos que los resultados son los mismos.

regresores2 <- data.frame(reg6$Tregresores)
eq6 <- lm(E[1:80]~X1+X2+X3+X4+X5+X8+X9+X6+X7+X34+X35+X12+X13+X22+X23+X14+X15+X10+X11+X16+X17,data=regresores2)
plot(PIBC[1:80],E[1:80],pch=19,col="blue")
lines(PIBC[1:80],eq6$fitted,col="red")
lines(PIBC[1:80],reg6$datos$F,col="green")

summary(eq6)
## 
## Call:
## lm(formula = E[1:80] ~ X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 + X5 + X8 + X9 + X6 + 
##     X7 + X34 + X35 + X12 + X13 + X22 + X23 + X14 + X15 + X10 + 
##     X11 + X16 + X17, data = regresores2)
## 
## Residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -2.4517 -0.5675 -0.0340  0.6326  2.5639 
## 
## Coefficients:
##              Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept) 39.622195  55.316667   0.716 0.476693    
## X1          19.845578   1.214719  16.338  < 2e-16 ***
## X2          -0.065941   0.003700 -17.821  < 2e-16 ***
## X3          -0.035659   0.006582  -5.417 1.22e-06 ***
## X4           0.027535   0.002816   9.778 7.10e-14 ***
## X5           0.029274   0.007836   3.736 0.000430 ***
## X8          -0.025839   0.003441  -7.508 4.10e-10 ***
## X9           0.016738   0.004072   4.110 0.000126 ***
## X6           0.005184   0.002851   1.818 0.074174 .  
## X7          -0.018402   0.003031  -6.072 1.04e-07 ***
## X34         -0.004402   0.002816  -1.563 0.123531    
## X35         -0.005713   0.002825  -2.022 0.047796 *  
## X12         -0.004364   0.002849  -1.532 0.131063    
## X13         -0.007552   0.002929  -2.578 0.012500 *  
## X22         -0.002420   0.002820  -0.858 0.394265    
## X23          0.003076   0.002991   1.028 0.307991    
## X14         -0.013600   0.002819  -4.824 1.06e-05 ***
## X15         -0.008523   0.002889  -2.950 0.004575 ** 
## X10         -0.011295   0.002818  -4.008 0.000177 ***
## X11         -0.027320   0.002820  -9.689 9.89e-14 ***
## X16         -0.013892   0.002839  -4.893 8.27e-06 ***
## X17         -0.003379   0.002977  -1.135 0.260990    
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Residual standard error: 1.147 on 58 degrees of freedom
## Multiple R-squared:  0.9868, Adjusted R-squared:  0.982 
## F-statistic: 206.6 on 21 and 58 DF,  p-value: < 2.2e-16
data.frame(E[1:80],eq6$fitted,reg6$datos$F)
##     E.1.80. eq6.fitted reg6.datos.F
## 1  929.6105   932.0622     932.0622
## 2  929.8040   929.8432     929.8432
## 3  930.3184   929.0454     929.0454
## 4  931.4277   931.5471     931.5471
## 5  932.6620   934.6540     934.6540
## 6  933.5509   934.3330     934.3330
## 7  933.5315   932.1978     932.1978
## 8  933.0769   931.7487     931.7487
## 9  932.1238   932.4680     932.4680
## 10 930.6359   929.9689     929.9689
## 11 929.0971   929.5350     929.5350
## 12 928.5633   928.6755     928.6755
## 13 929.0694   930.9842     930.9842
## 14 930.2655   930.8712     930.8712
## 15 931.6770   929.6508     929.6508
## 16 932.1390   930.5025     930.5025
## 17 932.2767   933.1493     933.1493
## 18 932.8328   934.7914     934.7914
## 19 933.7334   932.8161     932.8161
## 20 934.1772   933.6959     933.6959
## 21 934.5928   934.4473     934.4473
## 22 935.6067   935.3418     935.3418
## 23 936.5111   936.9801     936.9801
## 24 937.4201   939.2983     939.2983
## 25 938.4159   937.1056     937.1056
## 26 938.9992   938.3677     938.3677
## 27 939.2354   939.1288     939.1288
## 28 939.6795   938.7276     938.7276
## 29 940.2497   942.0001     942.0001
## 30 941.4358   941.0487     941.0487
## 31 942.2981   942.3268     942.3268
## 32 943.5322   943.5806     943.5806
## 33 944.3490   944.7906     944.7906
## 34 944.8215   944.1970     944.1970
## 35 945.0671   944.7069     944.7069
## 36 945.8067   946.3668     946.3668
## 37 946.8697   946.3548     946.3548
## 38 946.8766   947.5375     947.5375
## 39 947.2497   946.8392     946.8392
## 40 947.6513   947.4306     947.4306
## 41 948.1840   948.1415     948.1415
## 42 948.3492   948.7607     948.7607
## 43 948.0322   948.4813     948.4813
## 44 947.1065   947.9116     947.9116
## 45 946.0796   944.5752     944.5752
## 46 946.1838   945.9564     945.9564
## 47 946.2258   945.9004     945.9004
## 48 945.9978   946.0669     946.0669
## 49 945.5183   945.8488     945.8488
## 50 945.3514   945.8293     945.8293
## 51 945.2918   946.3258     946.3258
## 52 945.4008   945.5979     945.5979
## 53 945.9058   944.0544     944.0544
## 54 945.9035   946.4640     946.4640
## 55 946.3190   945.6220     945.6220
## 56 946.5796   945.7052     945.7052
## 57 946.7800   947.8771     947.8771
## 58 947.6283   948.4362     948.4362
## 59 948.6221   949.1711     949.1711
## 60 949.3992   949.4798     949.4798
## 61 949.9481   949.1474     949.1474
## 62 949.7945   949.1506     949.1506
## 63 949.9534   949.6592     949.6592
## 64 950.2502   951.0461     951.0461
## 65 950.5380   950.1564     950.1564
## 66 950.7871   949.8888     949.8888
## 67 950.8695   951.5676     951.5676
## 68 950.9281   952.6469     952.6469
## 69 951.8457   952.2905     952.2905
## 70 952.6005   951.7949     951.7949
## 71 953.5976   951.9520     951.9520
## 72 954.1434   953.5076     953.5076
## 73 954.5426   955.1312     955.1312
## 74 955.2631   956.0166     956.0166
## 75 956.0561   955.9302     955.9302
## 76 956.7966   957.3131     957.3131
## 77 957.3865   958.3134     958.3134
## 78 958.0634   957.8100     957.8100
## 79 958.7166   958.0994     958.0994
## 80 959.4881   956.9243     956.9243

Dada la transformación sugerida por Harvey (1978) utiliza en \(w_{1,t}\), \((\frac{1}T) ^\frac{1}2\), poner en fase el regresor \(X_{1,t}\), simplemente requiere
\(\frac{(\frac{1}T) ^\frac{1}2}{(\frac{1}{T+m}) ^\frac{1}2}\). En el resto de regresores, el desfase es una función de función de t.

Se representa el desfase del regresor \(X_{2,t}\)

plot(ts(regresores1[,3],frequency=4))
lines(ts(regresores2[,3],frequency=4),col="red")

Dado que la transformación de Harvey (1978) es ortogonal, pueden utilizarse como regresores los armónicos auxiliares seleccionados de \(X_{j,t}\) extendidos con los \(m\) primeros datos.

NX <- data.frame(cdf(PIBC))
regresores3 <- data.frame(
XC=c(rep(1,84)),
X1=gdt(NX$X1)*((1/80)^(1/2))/((1/84)^(1/2)),
X2=c(regresores2$X2,regresores2$X2[1:4]),
X3=c(regresores2$X3,regresores2$X3[1:4]),
X4=c(regresores2$X4,regresores2$X4[1:4]),
X5=c(regresores2$X5,regresores2$X5[1:4]),
X8=c(regresores2$X8,regresores2$X8[1:4]),
X9=c(regresores2$X9,regresores2$X9[1:4]),
X6=c(regresores2$X6,regresores2$X6[1:4]),
X7=c(regresores2$X7,regresores2$X7[1:4]),
X34=c(regresores2$X34,regresores2$X34[1:4]),
X35=c(regresores2$X35,regresores2$X35[1:4]),
X12=c(regresores2$X12,regresores2$X12[1:4]),
X13=c(regresores2$X13,regresores2$X13[1:4]),
X22=c(regresores2$X22,regresores2$X22[1:4]),
X23=c(regresores2$X23,regresores2$X23[1:4]),
X14=c(regresores2$X14,regresores2$X14[1:4]),
X15=c(regresores2$X15,regresores2$X15[1:4]),
X10=c(regresores2$X10,regresores2$X10[1:4]),
X11=c(regresores2$X11,regresores2$X11[1:4]),
X16=c(regresores2$X11,regresores2$X16[1:4]),
X17=c(regresores2$X11,regresores2$X17[1:4])
)
regresores3 <- as.matrix(regresores3,nrow=84)
coeficientes <- as.matrix(eq6$coefficient)
proyectados2 <-regresores3%*%coeficientes
plot(ts(proyectados2,frequency=4))
lines(ts(E,frequency=4),col="red")
lines(ts(reg6$datos$F,frequency=4),col="green")

Esta forma de obtener la predicción lógicamente no incorpora la información en \(T+m\) de las oscilaciones armnónicas del regresor \(X_{T+m}\). Para ello, habría que poner el fase dichas oscilaciones armónicas.

En base a las identidades trigonometricas, la matriz \(Z\), cuyo elemento \(z_{j,t}\) se define como: \[\begin{equation} z_{jt} = \left\lbrace\begin{array}{ll}\left( \frac{T}{T+m}\right)^\frac{1}2 & \forall j=1\\ \left(\frac{T}{T+m}\right) ^\frac{1}2 \cos\left[\pi j (t-1)\left(\frac{1}{T}-\frac{1}{T+m}\right)\right] - \tan\left[\pi j (t-1)T\right] \sin\left[\pi j (t-1)\left(\frac{1}{T}-\frac{1}{T+m}\right)\right] & \forall j=2,4,6,..\frac{(T+m-2)}{(T+m-1)}\\ \left(\frac{T}{T+m}\right) ^\frac{1}2 \cos\left[\pi j (t-1)\left(\frac{1}{T}+\frac{1}{T+m}\right)\right] -\frac{1}{\tan\left[\pi j (t-1)T\right]} \sin\left[\pi j (t-1)\left(\frac{1}{T}-\frac{1}{T+m}\right)\right] & \forall j=3,5,7,..\frac{(T-2)}T\\ \left( \frac{T}{T+m}\right)^\frac{1}2 (-1)^\frac{1}2 & \forall j=T\end{array}\right.\end{equation}\]

Serviría para poner en fase \(T\) los regresores \(T+m\) que utilizamos en el MCO en dominio temporal.

Se plantea solo una proyección de los predictores correspondientes a los armónicos utilizados en la ecuación. No presentan indeterminación, pero en todo caso habría que ofrecer una solución en base a distancias cuando se presentara. Se representan los resultados y se comparan con el anterior pronóstico. No obstante, esta conversión tiene indeterminaciones, en los angulos en los que el seno o coseno \(\left[\frac{\pi j (t-1})T\right]\) sea cero \(\pi\), \(2\pi\), \(3\pi\), etc…

Se realiza este pronostico para el PIBC

NX <- data.frame(cdf(PIBC))
regresores4 <- data.frame(
XC=c(rep(1,84)),
X1=gdt(NX$X1),
X2=gdt(NX$X2),
X3=gdt(NX$X3),
X4=gdt(NX$X4),
X5=gdt(NX$X5),
X8=gdt(NX$X8),
X9=gdt(NX$X9),
X6=gdt(NX$X6),
X7=gdt(NX$X7),
X34=gdt(NX$X4),
X35=gdt(NX$X35),
X12=gdt(NX$X12),
X13=gdt(NX$X13),
X22=gdt(NX$X22),
X23=gdt(NX$X23),
X14=gdt(NX$X14),
X15=gdt(NX$X15),
X10=gdt(NX$X10),
X11=gdt(NX$X11),
X16=gdt(NX$X16),
X17=gdt(NX$X17)
)
# parametrizacion de los regresores
#lista <- as.list(data.frame(regresores1))
# 2,3,4,5,8,9,6,7,34,35,12,13,22,23,14,15,10,11,16,17
names <- c(colnames(regresores2))
L <- substring(names, 2)
L <- as.numeric(L)
#Lista2 <- as.list(matrix(L,nrow=1))
m<- 84
n <- (m-4)
uno <- as.numeric (1:m)
Xf <- c(rep(1,4))
X1f <- c(rep(sqrt(n/m),4))
X1f <- rbind(Xf,X1f)
L <- L[3:length(L)]
for (i in L)
{if(i%%2==0) {
A1f <- matrix(sqrt(n/m)*(cos(pi*(i)*(uno-1)*(1/m-1/n))-tan(pi*(i)*(uno-1)/n)*sin(pi*(i)*(uno-1)*(1/m-1/n))), nrow=1)
X2f <- A1f[(n+1):m]
X1f <- rbind(X1f,X2f)} else {
j=i-1
A2f <- matrix(sqrt(n/m)*(cos(pi*(j)*(uno-1)*(1/m-1/n))+(1/tan(pi*(j)*(uno-1)/n))*sin(pi*(j)*(uno-1)*(1/m-1/n))), nrow=1)
X3f <- A2f[(n+1):m]
X1f <- rbind(X1f,X3f)}
 }
# Final
predict <- t(regresores4[81:84,])/X1f
t(predict)
##    XC       X1       X2            X3       X4            X5       X8
## 81  1 46.60719 65.91252 -1.614391e-14 65.91252 -3.228782e-14 65.91252
## 82  1 46.69026 65.82645  5.180654e+00 65.21706  1.032937e+01 62.79826
## 83  1 46.73415 65.27837  1.033908e+01 62.85730  2.042357e+01 53.46961
## 84  1 46.65183 64.15274  1.540171e+01 58.78474  2.995232e+01 38.77952
##               X9       X6            X7        X34           X35      X12
## 81 -6.457565e-14 65.91252 -4.843174e-14  149.06479  1.938901e-13 65.91252
## 82  2.040439e+01 64.20559  1.541440e+01  -17.76328  6.420559e+01 58.83316
## 83  3.884795e+01 58.88847  3.000517e+01   68.10649  3.000517e+01 38.84795
## 84  5.337543e+01 50.16828  4.284776e+01 -143.74366 -5.016828e+01 10.32087
##              X13       X22           X23      X14           X15      X10
## 81 -9.686347e-14  65.91252 -6.459197e-13 65.91252 -1.130074e-13 65.91252
## 82  2.997699e+01  42.88306  5.020961e+01 65.18109  3.450058e+01 61.00377
## 83  5.346961e+01 -10.33908  6.527837e+01 30.00517  5.888847e+01 46.73415
## 84  6.516339e+01 -56.25349  3.447219e+01 -5.17639  6.577227e+01 25.24779
##              X11       X16           X17
## 81 -8.071956e-14  65.91252 -1.291513e-13
## 82  2.526859e+01  53.41939  3.881146e+01
## 83  4.673415e+01  20.42357  6.285730e+01
## 84  6.095356e+01 -20.38760  6.274658e+01
proyectados3 <-t(predict)%*%coeficientes
EE <- c(reg6$datos$F,proyectados3)
plot(ts(E,frequency=4))
lines(ts(EE,frequency=4),col="red")

Descomposición temporal de las series de PIB y empleo de Canada.

Se calcula la tendencia, factores estacionales e irregular del PIB y se realiza el test de durbin sobre la serie irregular,se representan los resultados y se comparan con los procedimientos “descompose” y “stl” de R

Analisis con el PIB y empleo de Canada:

desc <- descomponer(PIBC,4,1)
str(desc)
## List of 5
##  $ datos         :'data.frame':  84 obs. of  5 variables:
##   ..$ y   : num [1:84] 405 405 404 404 405 ...
##   ..$ TDST: num [1:84] 405 405 404 404 404 ...
##   ..$ TD  : num [1:84] 405 405 405 405 404 ...
##   ..$ ST  : num [1:84] 0.0896 0.0377 -0.0987 -0.0285 0.0897 ...
##   ..$ IR  : num [1:84] 0.4826 -0.0228 -0.6433 -0.2657 0.6218 ...
##  $ regresoresTD  :'data.frame':  84 obs. of  23 variables:
##   ..$ X1 : num [1:84] 43.8 43.8 43.9 43.9 43.9 ...
##   ..$ X2 : num [1:84] 62 61.8 61.3 60.5 59.3 ...
##   ..$ X3 : num [1:84] 1.90e-13 4.63 9.24 1.38e+01 1.83e+01 ...
##   ..$ X4 : num [1:84] 62 61.3 59.3 55.9 51.3 ...
##   ..$ X5 : num [1:84] -3.33e-13 9.24 1.83e+01 2.69e+01 3.50e+01 ...
##   ..$ X6 : num [1:84] 62 60.4 55.9 48.5 38.7 ...
##   ..$ X7 : num [1:84] 2.01e-13 1.38e+01 2.69e+01 3.87e+01 4.85e+01 ...
##   ..$ X8 : num [1:84] 62 59.2 51.2 38.7 22.7 ...
##   ..$ X9 : num [1:84] 5.13e-13 1.83e+01 3.49e+01 4.85e+01 5.78e+01 ...
##   ..$ X10: num [1:84] 61.98 57.72 45.47 26.92 4.64 ...
##   ..$ X11: num [1:84] 3.28e-13 2.27e+01 4.22e+01 5.59e+01 6.19e+01 ...
##   ..$ X12: num [1:84] 62 55.9 38.7 13.8 -13.8 ...
##   ..$ X13: num [1:84] -1.07e-13 2.69e+01 4.85e+01 6.05e+01 6.05e+01 ...
##   ..$ X14: num [1:84] 6.20e+01 5.37e+01 3.10e+01 1.99e-13 -3.10e+01 ...
##   ..$ X15: num [1:84] -2.69e-13 3.10e+01 5.37e+01 6.20e+01 5.38e+01 ...
##   ..$ X16: num [1:84] 62 51.2 22.7 -13.8 -45.5 ...
##   ..$ X17: num [1:84] 2.55e-13 3.49e+01 5.77e+01 6.05e+01 4.22e+01 ...
##   ..$ X18: num [1:84] 62 48.5 13.8 -26.9 -55.9 ...
##   ..$ X19: num [1:84] 1.26e-13 3.87e+01 6.05e+01 5.59e+01 2.69e+01 ...
##   ..$ X20: num [1:84] 61.98 45.45 4.64 -38.69 -61.38 ...
##   ..$ X21: num [1:84] -1.53e-13 4.22e+01 6.19e+01 4.85e+01 9.25 ...
##   ..$ X22: num [1:84] 61.98 42.17 -4.64 -48.51 -61.38 ...
##   ..$ X23: num [1:84] -3.93e-14 4.55e+01 6.19e+01 3.87e+01 -9.25 ...
##  $ regresoresST  :'data.frame':  84 obs. of  4 variables:
##   ..$ X1: num [1:84] 43.8 43.8 43.9 43.9 43.9 ...
##   ..$ X2: num [1:84] 6.20e+01 -2.78e-14 -6.20e+01 -1.17e-13 6.21e+01 ...
##   ..$ X3: num [1:84] -9.11e-13 6.20e+01 9.75e-13 -6.20e+01 3.48e-13 ...
##   ..$ X4: num [1:84] 43.8 -43.8 43.9 -43.9 43.9 ...
##  $ coeficientesTD: num [1:23, 1] 9.16515 0.026997 0.009631 -0.000658 -0.024758 ...
##   ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
##   .. ..$ : chr [1:23] "1" "2" "3" "4" ...
##   .. ..$ : NULL
##  $ coeficientesST: num [1:4, 1] 1.02e-06 1.52e-03 5.34e-04 -1.04e-04
##   ..- attr(*, "dimnames")=List of 2
##   .. ..$ : chr [1:4] "X1" "X2" "X3" "X4"
##   .. ..$ : NULL
gtd(desc$datos$IR,3)

plot(ts(descomponer(PIBC,4,1)$datos,frequency=4))

plot(ts(descomponer(E,4,1)$datos,frequency=4))

plot(decompose(ts(PIBC,frequency=4),type="additive"))

plot(stl(ts(PIBC,frequency=4), s.window=4))

plot(decompose(ts(E,frequency=4),type="additive"))

plot(stl(ts(E,frequency=4), s.window=4))

Bibliografia

DURBIN, J., “Tests for Serial Correlation in Regression Analysis based on the Periodogram ofLeast-Squares Residuals,” Biometrika, 56, (No. 1, 1969), 1-15.

Engle, Robert F. (1974), Band Spectrum Regression,International Economic Review 15,1-11.

Harvey, A.C. (1978), Linear Regression in the Frequency Domain, International Economic Review, 19, 507-512.

Parra F (2014): Seasonal Adjustment by Frequency Analysis. Package R Version 1.1. URL:http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/descomponer/index.html