The purpose of this analysis was to example the association between accumulated training load and the associated training response in female, university level hockey players.
In your observational design, players (n = 9) recorded repeated measures (k = 4) of training load (independent variables) which were paired with measures of the training response (dependent variables). Training loads derived from heart rate and Global Positioning Systems were accumulated in the the 3 (‘acute) and 7 (’week’) days prior to measurement of the training response, which included the Short Recovery Stress Scale (SRSS) and countermovement jump height (CMJ).
Before we get going, lets take a look at what we are dealing with:
ID | week_adj | CMJ | O_Stress_m | O_Recovery_m | G_Stress_m | G_Recovery_m | S_Stress_m | S_Recovery_m | gen_stress | emo_stress | soc_stress | pressure | fatigue | lack_energy | som_complaints | success | soc_relax | som_relax | wellbeing | sleep | breaks | burnout_ee | injury | fitness | burnout_pa | efficacy | regulation | Week_dur | Week_B1 | Week_B2 | Week_B3 | Week_B4 | Week_B5 | Week_B6 | Week_TD | Week_HR | Week_TRIMP | Days3_dur | Days3_B1 | Days3_B2 | Days3_B3 | Days3_B4 | Days3_B5 | Days3_B6 | Days3_TD | Days3_HR | Days3_TRIMP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 42.5 | 7.8 | 11.000000 | 8.142857 | 10.6 | 7.000000 | 11.50 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 464.26667 | 648.39 | 10865.31 | 6380.75 | 4906.15 | 3110.27 | 952.90 | 26864.706 | 61.32621 | 579.54499 | 236.50000 | 318.07 | 5632.90 | 3373.47 | 2245.08 | 1311.56 | 524.87 | 13406.827 | 61.09581 | 294.77747 |
1 | 2 | 41.2 | 5.6 | 11.111111 | 6.285714 | 10.6 | 4.000000 | 11.75 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 391.76667 | 612.05 | 9336.22 | 5402.73 | 3914.59 | 2683.80 | 1730.22 | 23683.457 | 64.49210 | 566.96078 | 187.68333 | 299.64 | 4851.58 | 2939.04 | 2033.29 | 1201.47 | 780.15 | 12105.399 | 66.65720 | 304.55006 |
1 | 3 | 39.7 | 7.6 | 11.000000 | 8.142857 | 9.4 | 6.333333 | 13.00 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 528.36667 | 751.23 | 13463.69 | 8674.73 | 5818.47 | 3399.45 | 1408.91 | 33517.147 | 67.08676 | 953.67105 | 210.61667 | 313.04 | 5716.53 | 3708.12 | 2755.56 | 1224.95 | 517.88 | 14236.275 | 70.05896 | 485.82685 |
1 | 4 | 43.1 | 6.3 | 14.555556 | 6.428571 | 15.2 | 6.000000 | 13.75 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 175.83333 | 339.41 | 3971.22 | 1235.45 | 794.69 | 392.69 | 207.50 | 6942.019 | 55.45785 | 138.93430 | 83.28333 | 159.80 | 1720.69 | 807.66 | 573.03 | 256.36 | 200.24 | 3718.231 | 66.48040 | 128.72697 |
3 | 1 | 22.8 | 10.3 | 12.555556 | 10.142857 | 14.8 | 10.666667 | 9.75 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 459.78333 | 663.86 | 10091.81 | 7607.94 | 5154.42 | 2515.22 | 542.32 | 26578.723 | 65.08797 | 733.00800 | 236.50000 | 329.62 | 5243.85 | 3860.04 | 2597.41 | 1104.94 | 341.76 | 13480.922 | 64.77750 | 399.06082 |
3 | 2 | 20.6 | 10.0 | 13.111111 | 10.142857 | 14.4 | 9.666667 | 11.50 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 391.76667 | 562.10 | 9517.02 | 6819.90 | 4505.76 | 1970.31 | 1118.38 | 24493.770 | 69.72022 | 801.16348 | 187.68333 | 249.31 | 4604.10 | 3559.16 | 2401.54 | 848.19 | 376.02 | 12038.417 | 69.19230 | 392.49398 |
3 | 3 | NA | 12.5 | 11.444444 | 12.428571 | 12.6 | 12.666667 | 10.00 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 528.36667 | 700.42 | 12254.24 | 9530.65 | 6135.27 | 2407.73 | 988.38 | 32017.530 | 69.21081 | 1021.81735 | 210.61667 | 335.38 | 5545.83 | 4307.70 | 2997.18 | 1017.35 | 306.63 | 14510.554 | 73.04635 | 539.53284 |
3 | 4 | 21.4 | 10.7 | 12.555556 | 11.000000 | 13.0 | 10.000000 | 12.00 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 175.83333 | 325.95 | 4020.10 | 1490.51 | 760.81 | 314.21 | 75.62 | 6988.656 | 58.80690 | 128.72213 | 83.28333 | 142.97 | 1531.36 | 698.59 | 467.23 | 248.00 | 73.22 | 3161.768 | 64.76740 | 96.85408 |
7 | 1 | 30.3 | 6.0 | 9.444444 | 6.714286 | 10.8 | 4.333333 | 7.75 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 459.78333 | 651.38 | 9262.47 | 6499.52 | 5932.66 | 2625.72 | 116.82 | 25088.925 | 68.43369 | 772.25127 | 236.50000 | 289.89 | 4464.45 | 3366.61 | 3172.59 | 1054.54 | 47.70 | 12396.169 | 69.90392 | 414.44587 |
7 | 2 | 31.8 | 6.3 | 8.555556 | 7.000000 | 9.2 | 4.666667 | 7.75 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 391.76667 | 575.86 | 8946.56 | 5906.42 | 5076.97 | 2111.24 | 689.64 | 23308.059 | 69.83350 | 697.43186 | 187.68333 | 280.46 | 4084.67 | 3267.48 | 2893.05 | 971.37 | 173.65 | 11671.697 | 70.95850 | 383.03388 |
7 | 3 | 33.4 | 7.1 | 9.000000 | 6.857143 | 9.6 | 7.666667 | 8.25 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 528.36667 | 711.34 | 11544.47 | 7715.76 | 6190.34 | 2618.80 | 612.04 | 29394.462 | 68.41722 | 837.32394 | 210.61667 | 291.07 | 4563.45 | 3045.63 | 2757.55 | 998.46 | 110.44 | 11767.586 | 68.65950 | 311.12999 |
7 | 4 | 33.4 | 5.2 | 8.666667 | 6.000000 | 9.4 | 3.333333 | 7.75 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 175.83333 | 274.84 | 3973.92 | 1426.28 | 809.93 | 412.54 | 53.41 | 6951.099 | 64.11529 | 197.22528 | 83.28333 | 104.03 | 1686.40 | 748.76 | 554.42 | 342.57 | 53.41 | 3489.591 | 70.41276 | 146.89355 |
9 | 1 | 32.0 | 8.6 | 15.444444 | 9.000000 | 15.0 | 7.666667 | 16.00 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 459.78333 | 767.84 | 9723.36 | 5240.13 | 4110.20 | 1777.40 | 169.79 | 21791.793 | 70.98106 | 905.45521 | 236.50000 | 420.91 | 4823.57 | 2313.14 | 1956.12 | 762.18 | 115.46 | 10394.065 | 68.56146 | 394.45629 |
9 | 2 | 32.4 | 8.9 | 16.555556 | 9.285714 | 16.2 | 8.000000 | 17.00 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 391.76667 | 592.32 | 8389.78 | 4263.64 | 3329.55 | 1985.60 | 366.69 | 18928.151 | 74.69649 | 985.13211 | 187.68333 | 285.33 | 3803.56 | 2296.61 | 1863.56 | 746.23 | 138.63 | 9133.929 | 73.89063 | 463.01407 |
9 | 3 | NA | 8.6 | 16.111111 | 9.000000 | 14.6 | 7.666667 | 18.00 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 409.55000 | 637.88 | 9461.60 | 5223.92 | 3605.94 | 1435.64 | 498.95 | 20864.464 | 74.23502 | 995.83809 | 91.80000 | 167.70 | 2155.30 | 833.72 | 649.26 | 198.85 | 33.27 | 4038.204 | 70.15690 | 152.15770 |
9 | 4 | NA | 8.7 | 12.777778 | 9.857143 | 14.8 | 6.000000 | 10.25 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 10 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
10 | 1 | 29.7 | 7.1 | 14.000000 | 6.714286 | 15.0 | 8.000000 | 12.75 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 463.50000 | 677.43 | 10720.36 | 5047.12 | 4931.78 | 2691.30 | 341.09 | 24409.054 | 73.47818 | 1101.99058 | 236.50000 | 349.35 | 5618.94 | 2500.24 | 2231.30 | 1208.95 | 212.82 | 12121.657 | 72.37112 | 527.02642 |
10 | 2 | 30.5 | 7.6 | 14.444444 | 7.285714 | 16.6 | 8.333333 | 11.75 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 391.76667 | 560.78 | 9205.87 | 4357.01 | 4023.77 | 1977.17 | 690.37 | 20815.314 | 77.02251 | 1116.38883 | 187.68333 | 279.25 | 4645.33 | 2295.81 | 2286.27 | 1008.52 | 403.35 | 10918.550 | 77.11554 | 549.65535 |
10 | 3 | NA | 7.4 | 14.111111 | 7.571429 | 16.0 | 7.000000 | 11.75 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 528.36667 | 836.00 | 12435.40 | 5653.03 | 4858.48 | 3228.51 | 1013.10 | 28028.072 | 75.88619 | 1411.91490 | 210.61667 | 349.89 | 4736.98 | 2217.88 | 2191.29 | 1447.05 | 199.66 | 11144.360 | 76.01313 | 536.70074 |
10 | 4 | NA | 8.0 | 8.444444 | 10.000000 | 13.0 | 3.333333 | 2.75 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
12 | 1 | 32.9 | 12.1 | 9.444444 | 11.285714 | 9.4 | 14.000000 | 9.50 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 459.78333 | 691.01 | 10852.08 | 5556.69 | 3886.55 | 1998.09 | 420.35 | 23404.954 | 76.36112 | 1274.87809 | 236.50000 | 324.68 | 5177.63 | 2554.68 | 1689.18 | 759.21 | 192.66 | 10698.130 | 75.35232 | 613.48843 |
12 | 2 | 34.0 | 12.5 | 14.000000 | 12.000000 | 14.4 | 13.666667 | 13.50 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 296.90000 | 536.33 | 7646.70 | 3488.74 | 2397.69 | 1183.24 | 451.10 | 15704.152 | 79.42422 | 851.40800 | 187.68333 | 303.66 | 4579.60 | 2446.24 | 1693.97 | 814.22 | 344.66 | 10182.588 | 78.37101 | 509.82333 |
13 | 1 | 36.7 | 5.5 | 10.666667 | 6.142857 | 12.4 | 4.000000 | 8.50 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 317.25000 | 444.47 | 7874.85 | 5829.23 | 3719.67 | 1395.93 | 524.40 | 19789.272 | 78.91602 | 1045.18092 | 113.20000 | 151.63 | 3687.00 | 2954.95 | 1865.75 | 681.77 | 281.33 | 9622.504 | 87.02074 | 515.75345 |
13 | 2 | 39.3 | 7.8 | 12.222222 | 8.857143 | 13.0 | 5.333333 | 11.25 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 335.41667 | 474.93 | 7466.73 | 5763.32 | 4496.44 | 2612.73 | 1608.24 | 22422.805 | 77.13007 | 980.49924 | 111.55000 | 149.03 | 2733.94 | 2107.00 | 1617.46 | 797.52 | 587.94 | 7993.249 | 82.46223 | 417.59732 |
13 | 3 | NA | 7.9 | 11.444444 | 9.000000 | 11.8 | 5.333333 | 11.00 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 422.65000 | 557.40 | 10029.85 | 7705.11 | 4857.76 | 1933.30 | 1354.68 | 26439.782 | 76.15047 | 1192.14298 | 210.61667 | 300.26 | 6042.65 | 4272.84 | 2676.08 | 922.98 | 485.54 | 14700.637 | 78.94224 | 694.42960 |
13 | 4 | 39.3 | 6.3 | 10.222222 | 8.142857 | 12.2 | 2.000000 | 7.75 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 83.28333 | 97.69 | 988.04 | 647.18 | 268.24 | 142.38 | 128.61 | 2272.185 | 75.05696 | 126.59226 | 83.28333 | 97.69 | 988.04 | 647.18 | 268.24 | 142.38 | 128.61 | 2272.185 | 75.05696 | 126.59226 |
14 | 1 | 26.8 | 13.2 | 12.111111 | 14.428571 | 10.8 | 10.333333 | 13.75 | 17 | 21 | 10 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 463.50000 | 602.37 | 10131.73 | 6945.02 | 5693.17 | 3200.42 | 558.95 | 27133.009 | 68.08356 | 804.16308 | 236.50000 | 307.76 | 5439.93 | 3748.04 | 3054.26 | 1461.58 | 308.62 | 14320.828 | 69.02373 | 441.41078 |
14 | 2 | 27.2 | 13.0 | 15.000000 | 13.714286 | 15.8 | 11.333333 | 14.00 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 296.90000 | 400.02 | 6164.80 | 4110.56 | 3419.18 | 1517.09 | 436.69 | 16048.447 | 69.78215 | 594.39978 | 187.68333 | 220.14 | 3687.67 | 2631.22 | 2346.55 | 1100.75 | 356.38 | 10342.699 | 68.96503 | 360.93639 |
14 | 3 | 32.5 | 17.6 | 12.555556 | 15.428571 | 12.8 | 22.666667 | 12.25 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 528.36667 | 689.91 | 11790.48 | 8892.92 | 7527.74 | 3416.37 | 1042.46 | 33360.627 | 72.14374 | 1219.45830 | 210.61667 | 283.39 | 4635.19 | 3130.42 | 3021.74 | 1441.80 | 244.18 | 12757.464 | 71.26352 | 422.23451 |
14 | 4 | 30.4 | 11.9 | 15.222222 | 12.285714 | 15.4 | 11.000000 | 15.00 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 175.83333 | 295.15 | 3767.68 | 1416.30 | 698.27 | 382.71 | 37.35 | 6597.518 | 64.34072 | 188.91125 | 83.28333 | 117.63 | 1430.18 | 620.79 | 419.88 | 229.09 | 29.81 | 2847.391 | 71.41411 | 132.62357 |
17 | 1 | 30.6 | 5.4 | 16.666667 | 6.000000 | 16.8 | 4.000000 | 16.50 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 440.55000 | 670.96 | 8948.28 | 5604.37 | 4168.84 | 2022.06 | 570.03 | 21985.058 | 66.40104 | 694.23677 | 236.50000 | 345.37 | 4530.29 | 2710.87 | 2274.69 | 1270.21 | 418.45 | 11550.384 | 65.47243 | 369.66087 |
17 | 2 | 27.2 | 4.5 | 16.777778 | 4.428571 | 16.0 | 4.666667 | 17.75 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 410.60000 | 638.36 | 8250.84 | 5693.62 | 4755.11 | 2776.89 | 1182.37 | 23297.526 | 68.87203 | 716.13278 | 187.68333 | 282.88 | 3503.01 | 2658.55 | 2223.86 | 1184.10 | 544.52 | 10396.884 | 68.85390 | 335.58361 |
17 | 4 | 27.4 | 4.9 | 15.000000 | 6.142857 | 14.2 | 2.000000 | 16.00 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 92.55000 | 170.95 | 1924.11 | 614.69 | 422.07 | 138.45 | 38.48 | 3309.375 | 61.21334 | 69.99502 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Most, if not all of your independent and dependent variables can be classed as continuous (ratio) level data. There’s an argument to say we should treat items of the SRSS different, but we’ll take an ‘innocent until proven guilty’ approach in the first instance.
We are dealing with a fair few variables here—more than the number of players and observations, which is always a bit of a warning sign. Before we start number crunching, lets see if we can make informed decisions to trim the independent and dependent variables down, to reduce the amount of univariate associations (and, hopefully, the risk of making a Type I error!).
In a recent systematic review, we found a lack of evidence for face and content validity of all current Athlete Reported Outcome Measures (AROMs) of the training response. But, the good news is… the SRSS, along with the Acute Recovery Stress Scale, came up trumps on most of the other key measurement properties:
“…Among these AROMs, a few have been developed specifically for athletic populations, such as MTDS, RESTQ-Sport, ARSS, and SRSS, with some showing good evidence, at least in some measurement properties (e.g.,, ARSS and SRSS). The main area requiring improvement is certainly the content validity, in which all studies were rated inadequate.”
We have to remember the purpose of the SRSS a proxy of the training response is to capture the potential consequences of training stress on the body’s systems. I think the best approach when applying this tool in the context of training dose-response is to select the physical sub-domains (those with a more likely causal link to training load), and omit the other domains:
“With that being said, we remind that, within sport science, AROMs should be implemented to quantify physical symptoms of the training response as opposed to psychological aspects (where psychology experts should be consulted). Coaches and practitioners might therefore consider restricting domains of the RESTQ-S, ARSS, SRSS and MTDS to physical symptoms only.” McLaren et al. (2021), p. 247
This logic leaves with us Recovery (overall, sport-specific and general), Fatigue and (probably) Fitness. CMJ height can be retained as it is—that’s an obvious one!
The training load measures are a bit more straightforward. We can keep TRIMP as the sole measure of internal load and total distance (TD) as one external load measure. We’ll also take a look at a measure of high-speed running distance, but for that we’ll need to sum the banded distances above whatever threshold we set. We can chat about this to determine which you feel are the most appropriate for your population.
OK, enough talk, lets check some distributions!
Most of the training response measures look OK. One or two outliers at the extremes and we might consider removing General Recovery. There seems to be a bit of a skew in the training load data. Looks like there was a particularly ‘low’ week (including the 3 days of that week) which is creating a bimodal distribution. We’ll keep this in mind going forward. I’m reluctant to remove at the moment because we’re already dealing with a very small sample. Once we’ve fit our models we can check the distribution of their residuals.
For the remainder of this analysis, I’ll retain Overall Recovery as the dependent variable, just for exploration purposes. We can then apply the full strategy to all our dependent variables once we’ve chatted through things.
Going back to our aims, we need to build a model that plots the load~response relationship on an individual level, then combines the fit of all individuals to give us an overall model. Before we do this, lets have a look at whats going on at an individual level. We’ll fit individual linear models with TD as the independent (x) variable and Overall Recovery as the dependent (y) variable.
Fairly interesting! So, taking things with a pinch of salt, we’ve got quite a mixed bag here. First, there seems to be stronger associations to Overall Recovery with Week TD when compared to all other training load measures. But this relationship is fairly representative of all the others: we can see its a bit of a mixed bag between the 9 players. Looking into a bit more detail:
Player 14 is very well behaved… that is, their data follows a pattern that we would expect based on physiological theory (higher accumulated TD is associated with lower overall recovery).
Players 1 and 3 also follow this pattern to an extent, but you can see the bimodal distribution creating some range effects (think of this like a long leaver… that data point way out on the left has so much influence on the magnitude of the relationship).
Players 9, 10 and 12 seem to fit our theoretical framework too, but they have fairly limited span of data.
Players 7 and 17 don’t want to play ball!
The process we are going through here is really good practice to help inform our model selection and how we best deal with the data going forward. Using Overall Recovery vs Week TD as an example, I think we can expect some negative, but small/weak associations between the two constructs. The other training load measures seem to render a ‘flatter’ (null or trivial) relationship and therefore these may not have a clear or substantial association.
In an ideal world, we would have our model consider each participant as fully independent from one another. That is, their modeled parameters (the intercept and the slope) would be allowed to vary, best fitting their own data. Visually and conceptually, this would be analogous to stacking all 9 charts from above on top of one another. The only issue here is it requires lots of degrees of freedom (both n and k), which we don’t have.
So lets try a random intercept model. We will build a linear regression where each participant has their own line through their own data. The y intercept of this line is allowed to cross wherever is best for the player. The slope of their relationship, however, has to be fixed, meaning it takes the value that is ‘the best for everyone’. This is sometimes called a parallel slopes model.
Lets run the repeated measures correlation see what we are dealing with. I’ll also plot these models so we have a better idea of what the statistical estimates are telling us. I’ll tidy these plots up (unlike the previous, which are sloppy!) so we can have a look at how this might present in your results section.
Our analyses confirm earlier thoughts—there is a small, negative, within-player association between training load and Overall Recovery. This time, our conclusions are supported by overall, pooled estimates (r values) and their associated 90% confidence limits (CL) as markers of uncertainty. Our CL are somewhat wide… at least wider than we would like to make inference on the true effect. Take 3-day TD with Overall recovery, for example. The correlation is moderate (-0.38) but the CL span from trivial (-0.03) to very large (-0.70). Of course, we could speculate as to reasons why this might be the case and I would edge my bets on the sample size.
If these associations were more pronounced (for example, the lower CL being < -0.10 to suggest the true relationship is at least small and negative) then we might consider running the full linear model to determine the regression coefficients, which can be really useful in giving practical interpretation to the outputs (e.g., what change in training load is associated with a 1 unit reduction in Overall Recovery). But, given what we know about the size and uncertainty of the correlations, we could make a reasonable assumption that we wouldn’t find any useful information here (we would need unrealistically large changes to see a meaningful change in Overall Recovery).
Nonetheless, running these models will let us check the model diagnostics and in particular, the distribution of model residuals. If these are normal then we know the above plot and r values are a good representation of the data.
Really promising! These residuals look well behaved enough to suggest that the models we ran give an accurate description of our data.
I would love to hear what you think of the above and how you think we can best move forward with the results. I can show you how to run all of the above analyses in SPSS, R or SAS—whichever you prefer!