Разработка алгоритмов выбора лучших моделей временных рядов и нейронных сетей для прогнозирования случаев COVID-19

описание данных обучения и данных тестирования

Makarovskikh Tatyana Anatolyevna “Макаровских Татьяна Анатольевна”

Abotaleb mostafa“Аботалеб Мостафа”

Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science

Department of system programming

South ural state university, Chelyabinsk, Russian federation

Daily Covid 19 Infections cases In chelyabinsk (forecasting third wave)
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2021/04/09”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2021/04/10”,“2021/07/30”)
validation_data_days <-30
Number_Neural<-5 # Number of Neural For model NNAR Model

Daily Covid 19 Infections cases In chelyabinsk (forecasting Second wave)
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2020/11/30”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2020/12/01”,“2021/01/31”)
validation_data_days <-30
Number_Neural<-5 # Number of Neural For model NNAR Model

Daily Covid 19 Infections cases In chelyabinsk (forecasting First wave)
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2020/05/31”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2020/06/01”,“2020/08/31”)
validation_data_days <-4
Number_Neural<-50 # Number of Neural For model NNAR Model

Forecasting daily Covid 19 infection cases in Chelyabinsk From 10 till 30 April 2021
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2021/04/09”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2021/04/10”,“2021/04/30”)
validation_data_days <-4
Number_Neural<-5

Cumulative Covid 19 Infections cases In Chelyabinsk
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2021/04/09”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2021/04/10”,“2021/04/30”)
validation_data_days <-7
Number_Neural<-5

Cumulative Covid 19 Recovery cases In Chelyabinsk
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2021/04/09”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2021/04/10”,“2021/04/30”)
validation_data_days <-31
Number_Neural<-5

Cumulative Covid 19 Deaths cases In Chelyabinsk
Actual_date_interval <- c(“2020/03/12”,“2021/04/09”)
Forecast_date_interval <- c(“2021/04/10”,“2021/04/30”)
validation_data_days <-27
Number_Neural<-5 # Number of Neural For model NNAR Model