Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
08/03/2021
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2021-03-06"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 Mexico 2119305 1660786 189578 0.32 8.95 1470
## 2 Syria 15925 10293 1058 0.70 6.64 60
## 3 Sudan 28605 23156 1895 0.21 6.62 43
## 4 Egypt 185922 143575 10954 0.63 5.89 107
## 5 Ecuador 292943 247898 16020 1.11 5.47 908
## 6 China 102064 96767 4848 0.03 4.75 3
## 7 Bolivia 253297 196731 11789 0.37 4.65 1010
## 8 Afghanistan 55869 49369 2449 -0.11 4.38 63
## 9 Zimbabwe 36260 33805 1485 0.10 4.10 100
## 10 Bulgaria 259811 212502 10593 1.73 4.08 1525
## 11 Bosnia and Herzegovina 135513 117885 5228 0.46 3.86 1594
## 12 Swaziland 17173 15211 658 0.26 3.83 NA
## 13 Guatemala 178337 164564 6467 0.83 3.63 361
## 14 Iran 1681682 1435357 60594 0.49 3.60 721
## 15 Peru 1364964 1269365 47681 1.12 3.49 1446
## 16 Tunisia 237028 202123 8167 0.59 3.45 691
## 17 Hungary 459816 333045 15765 1.61 3.43 1632
## 18 South Africa 1520206 1439515 50647 0.17 3.33 854
## 19 Greece 203978 174008 6705 2.25 3.29 643
## 20 Malawi 32398 21932 1067 0.36 3.29 56
## 21 Italy 3046762 2481372 99578 1.59 3.27 1647
## 22 Australia 29030 26192 909 0.03 3.13 36
## 23 El Salvador 60800 56807 1894 0.00 3.12 292
## 24 Republika Severna Makedonija 106832 94461 3185 1.48 2.98 NA
## 25 United Kingdom 4213343 3199565 124419 0.29 2.95 1833
## 26 Lesotho 10523 3888 307 0.01 2.92 143
## 27 Germany 2499554 2299073 72513 0.40 2.90 865
## 28 Belgium 783010 53181 22215 0.35 2.84 1917
## 29 Indonesia 1373836 1189510 37154 0.42 2.70 136
## 30 Democratic Republic of the Congo 26469 22432 712 0.49 2.69 NA
## 31 Colombia 2273245 2172418 60412 0.31 2.66 1187
## 32 Algeria 114104 78946 3010 0.30 2.64 69
## 33 Belize 12335 11926 315 0.05 2.55 792
## 34 Senegal 35632 30369 907 0.46 2.55 54
## 35 Mauritania 17309 16656 442 0.24 2.55 95
## 36 Poland 1781345 1471608 45159 0.84 2.54 1193
## 37 Romania 824995 754335 20854 0.50 2.53 1084
## 38 Canada 884086 831896 22213 0.65 2.51 589
## 39 Chile 850483 801537 21008 1.23 2.47 1099
## 40 Argentina 2146714 1940317 52870 0.60 2.46 1170
## 41 Honduras 173020 67900 4247 0.26 2.45 429
## 42 Angola 21055 19640 512 0.35 2.43 16
## 43 Brazil 10939320 9704351 264446 1.32 2.42 1244
## 44 Slovakia 322104 255300 7739 0.79 2.40 1417
## 45 France 3882408 264909 88444 1.22 2.28 1355
## 46 Croatia 246120 236765 5585 0.27 2.27 1360
## 47 Spain 3149012 2744664 71138 0.21 2.26 1522
## 48 Myanmar 142023 131658 3200 0.02 2.25 59
## 49 Pakistan 588728 558210 13166 0.29 2.24 60
## 50 Philippines 591138 535350 12465 0.58 2.11 114
## 51 Moldova 194605 170468 4091 1.78 2.10 1014
## 52 Russia 4312181 3900348 88726 0.26 2.06 608
## 53 Portugal 809412 730601 16512 0.24 2.04 1619
## 54 Slovenia 195086 180366 3888 0.47 1.99 1870
## 55 Haiti 12536 9828 250 0.00 1.99 22
## 56 Ireland 222699 23364 4419 0.47 1.98 895
## 57 Paraguay 166969 139483 3294 1.62 1.97 462
## 58 Ukraine 1394061 1194373 26919 0.66 1.93 616
## 59 Sweden 684961 4971 13003 0.00 1.90 1288
## 60 Japan 438916 417292 8238 0.24 1.88 65
## 61 Iraq 723189 657032 13548 0.57 1.87 337
## 62 Latvia 90009 78507 1687 0.67 1.87 894
## 63 Armenia 174257 164654 3219 0.29 1.85 1086
## 64 Austria 472871 441309 8694 0.54 1.84 965
## 65 United States 29653190 20273068 537118 0.43 1.81 1623
## 66 Morocco 485974 471919 8676 0.17 1.79 235
## 67 Switzerland 562290 518582 10046 0.00 1.79 1161
## 68 South Korea 92055 82913 1632 0.46 1.77 32
## 69 Jamaica 25303 14159 446 3.51 1.76 151
## 70 Kenya 108362 87550 1874 0.96 1.73 35
## 71 Panama 344477 331233 5910 0.35 1.72 1370
## 72 Saudi Arabia 379474 370300 6524 0.10 1.72 187
## 73 Albania 112078 74352 1918 1.41 1.71 666
## 74 Kyrgyzstan 86506 83484 1471 0.06 1.70 225
## 75 Lithuania 201799 188103 3321 0.23 1.65 1220
## 76 Czech Republic 1312164 1126420 21558 1.01 1.64 2013
## 77 Libya 137482 124712 2236 0.00 1.63 325
## 78 Guadeloupe 10149 2242 162 0.00 1.60 405
## 79 Cameroon 35714 32594 551 0.00 1.54 21
## 80 Bangladesh 549724 501966 8451 0.10 1.54 51
## 81 Madagascar 20155 19543 300 1.63 1.49 11
## 82 Ethiopia 165029 137785 2420 1.27 1.47 21
## 83 Netherlands 1115549 322 15803 0.90 1.42 922
## 84 India 11210580 10866536 157791 0.33 1.41 114
## 85 Rwanda 19509 17810 267 0.91 1.37 21
## 86 Costa Rica 206640 187484 2833 0.17 1.37 556
## 87 Azerbaijan 236365 229591 3238 0.15 1.37 319
## 88 Zambia 82011 77609 1116 0.82 1.36 61
## 89 Malta 24216 20484 329 1.45 1.36 745
## 90 Montenegro 79237 69209 1059 1.51 1.34 1686
## 91 Georgia 272617 266344 3567 0.13 1.31 894
## 92 Dominican Republic 242660 196484 3162 0.53 1.30 291
## 93 Kazakhstan 217299 201182 2799 0.38 1.29 149
## 94 Lebanon 393228 307256 5013 1.64 1.27 734
## 95 Finland 61552 46000 767 1.06 1.25 138
## 96 Nigeria 158237 137645 1964 0.36 1.24 10
## 97 Burkina Faso 12153 11754 143 0.41 1.18 7
## 98 Luxembourg 56506 52662 657 0.71 1.16 1050
## 99 Jordan 421415 362765 4900 1.95 1.16 480
## 100 Botswana 31746 26760 359 0.00 1.13 153
## 101 Denmark 214621 205170 2378 0.00 1.11 411
## 102 Puerto Rico 184405 91833 2056 0.00 1.11 719
## 103 Oman 142896 133491 1583 0.00 1.11 310
## 104 Nepal 274655 270828 3010 0.06 1.10 103
## 105 Namibia 39877 37366 437 1.04 1.10 172
## 106 Mozambique 62131 46294 686 1.57 1.10 22
## 107 Palestinian Territory 194548 173732 2127 0.79 1.09 NA
## 108 Turkey 2769230 2616139 28965 0.84 1.05 343
## 109 Uruguay 63010 54175 645 3.39 1.02 186
## 110 Andorra 11019 10599 112 0.39 1.02 1450
## 111 Cape Verde 15724 15022 152 0.66 0.97 NA
## 112 Venezuela 141356 133454 1371 0.28 0.97 48
## 113 Serbia 482397 400347 4542 1.60 0.94 520
## 114 Estonia 73684 55161 644 2.13 0.87 485
## 115 Norway 74546 66014 632 1.43 0.85 117
## 116 Uganda 40452 15065 334 0.06 0.83 7
## 117 Uzbekistan 80125 78802 622 0.05 0.78 19
## 118 French Polynesia 18459 4842 140 0.00 0.76 498
## 119 Ghana 86092 80619 640 1.00 0.74 21
## 120 Israel 799727 753306 5856 0.54 0.73 677
## 121 Belarus 294432 285036 2029 0.45 0.69 215
## 122 Mayotte 18140 2964 126 0.48 0.69 462
## 123 Tajikistan 13308 13218 90 0.00 0.68 9
## 124 Cuba 54835 49889 344 2.86 0.63 30
## 125 Cyprus 36575 2057 232 1.59 0.63 192
## 126 Gabon 15625 13495 90 2.43 0.58 40
## 127 Sri Lanka 85150 81769 493 0.42 0.58 23
## 128 Côte d'Ivoire 34935 32513 200 2.82 0.57 8
## 129 Guinea 16540 15130 93 0.73 0.56 7
## 130 Kuwait 199428 185231 1120 1.49 0.56 262
## 131 French Guiana 16693 9995 87 0.40 0.52 291
## 132 Réunion 13125 11956 59 0.00 0.45 66
## 133 Bahrain 126126 119047 469 1.02 0.37 276
## 134 Malaysia 311777 289452 1166 0.54 0.37 36
## 135 Thailand 26305 25686 85 0.24 0.32 1
## 136 United Arab Emirates 408236 391205 1310 0.73 0.32 132
## 137 Maldives 20663 17979 64 1.06 0.31 118
## 138 Qatar 166475 155700 262 0.56 0.16 91
## 139 Singapore 60020 59879 29 0.02 0.05 5
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2021-03-06 China Hong Kong 11074 10622 202 8
## 2 2021-03-06 China Taiwan 967 932 10 7
## 3 2021-03-06 China Guangdong 2229 2178 8 4
## 4 2021-03-06 China Shanghai 1811 1768 7 2
## 5 2021-03-06 China Shaanxi 555 542 3 2