Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
25/02/2021
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2021-02-23"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 United States 28897224 19212440 514966 0.46 1.78 1556
## 2 India 11029326 10724144 156598 0.21 1.42 113
## 3 Brazil 10260621 9215164 248646 0.91 2.42 1170
## 4 Russia 4189153 3739344 84047 0.28 2.01 576
## 5 United Kingdom 4134639 2606999 121305 0.46 2.93 1787
## 6 France 3629891 252083 85044 0.69 2.34 1303
## 7 Spain 3161432 2561102 68079 0.90 2.15 1456
## 8 Italy 2832162 2347866 96348 0.82 3.40 1594
## 9 Turkey 2655633 2534996 28213 0.65 1.06 335
## 10 Germany 2405953 2207322 69350 0.36 2.88 828
## 11 Colombia 2233589 2129491 59118 0.33 2.65 1162
## 12 Argentina 2077228 1877898 51510 0.62 2.48 1140
## 13 Mexico 2043632 1602024 180536 0.11 8.83 1400
## 14 Poland 1648962 1389516 42436 0.38 2.57 1121
## 15 Iran 1590605 1358541 59663 0.53 3.75 710
## 16 South Africa 1505586 1419459 49413 0.12 3.28 833
## 17 Ukraine 1311844 1151777 25309 0.32 1.93 579
## 18 Indonesia 1298608 1104990 35014 0.76 2.70 128
## 19 Peru 1293497 1196515 45487 0.79 3.52 1380
## 20 Czech Republic 1168491 1028131 19537 0.98 1.67 1824
## 21 Netherlands 1064598 322 15343 0.75 1.44 895
## 22 Canada 852269 799830 21762 0.78 2.55 577
## 23 Chile 805317 763904 20151 0.73 2.50 1054
## 24 Portugal 799106 705976 16086 0.20 2.01 1578
## 25 Romania 784711 728252 20013 0.43 2.55 1040
## 26 Israel 759572 712555 5634 0.95 0.74 651
## 27 Belgium 755594 51730 21923 0.15 2.90 1892
## 28 Iraq 675982 623337 13311 1.20 1.97 331
## 29 Sweden 642099 4971 12713 1.73 1.98 1259
## 30 Pakistan 573384 536243 12658 0.18 2.21 57
## 31 Philippines 564865 522941 12107 0.25 2.14 110
## 32 Switzerland 551355 499532 9930 0.65 1.80 1147
## 33 Bangladesh 544116 492887 8374 0.07 1.54 51
## 34 Morocco 481709 466105 8574 0.12 1.78 232
## 35 Austria 448371 423014 8434 0.39 1.88 936
## 36 Serbia 442853 400347 4366 1.42 0.99 500
## 37 Japan 427457 401809 7603 0.25 1.78 60
## 38 Hungary 407274 310848 14450 0.40 3.55 1496
## 39 Saudi Arabia 375668 366735 6470 0.18 1.72 186
## 40 United Arab Emirates 375535 366567 1145 0.81 0.30 116
## 41 Jordan 372417 339214 4589 2.39 1.23 450
## 42 Lebanon 359337 275149 4446 1.20 1.24 651
## 43 Panama 337087 321439 5756 0.17 1.71 1334
## 44 Slovakia 294790 255300 6671 0.68 2.26 1222
## 45 Malaysia 288229 256678 1076 0.86 0.37 33
## 46 Belarus 280428 270289 1930 0.35 0.69 204
## 47 Ecuador 275780 238817 15567 0.40 5.64 882
## 48 Nepal 273666 270068 2065 0.04 0.75 71
## 49 Georgia 268995 262796 3457 0.18 1.29 867
## 50 Bolivia 243176 186118 11470 0.36 4.72 983
## 51 Bulgaria 240391 201500 9978 1.57 4.15 1436
## 52 Croatia 240360 232697 5462 0.14 2.27 1330
## 53 Dominican Republic 236210 186703 3057 0.32 1.29 282
## 54 Azerbaijan 233424 228012 3204 0.13 1.37 316
## 55 Tunisia 229781 190155 7843 0.62 3.41 664
## 56 Ireland 216300 23364 4181 0.58 1.93 847
## 57 Denmark 209244 200948 2344 0.47 1.12 405
## 58 Kazakhstan 208809 192733 2540 0.33 1.22 135
## 59 Costa Rica 203097 173591 2785 0.70 1.37 547
## 60 Lithuania 194833 180640 3189 0.26 1.64 1171
## 61 Kuwait 186004 174088 1057 1.04 0.57 248
## 62 Slovenia 185916 170527 3792 0.49 2.04 1824
## 63 Greece 182783 162551 6343 1.66 3.47 609
## 64 Egypt 179407 138683 10443 0.71 5.82 102
## 65 Moldova 178540 163376 3823 1.01 2.14 948
## 66 Puerto Rico 178065 89496 1986 0.73 1.12 694
## 67 Palestinian Territory 176377 162757 1994 0.80 1.13 NA
## 68 Guatemala 172072 159206 6315 0.53 3.67 352
## 69 Armenia 170672 162329 3171 0.16 1.86 1070
## 70 Honduras 165737 64781 4024 0.39 2.43 406
## 71 Qatar 161344 151225 257 0.28 0.16 89
## 72 Ethiopia 154257 133051 2305 0.95 1.49 20
## 73 Paraguay 153790 128731 3101 1.37 2.02 435
## 74 Nigeria 153187 129943 1874 0.73 1.22 9
## 75 Myanmar 141783 131358 3197 0.02 2.25 59
## 76 Oman 139989 131143 1557 0.21 1.11 305
## 77 Venezuela 136986 129027 1325 0.67 0.97 47
## 78 Libya 130701 117017 2125 0.38 1.63 309
## 79 Bosnia and Herzegovina 129176 113688 5034 1.29 3.90 1534
## 80 Bahrain 119205 111691 433 1.18 0.36 254
## 81 Algeria 112279 77382 2967 0.32 2.64 68
## 82 Kenya 104500 85665 1837 0.29 1.76 34
## 83 Albania 102306 65403 1696 2.05 1.66 589
## 84 China 101750 96225 4842 0.02 4.76 3
## 85 Republika Severna Makedonija 99917 90096 3085 0.64 3.09 NA
## 86 South Korea 87681 78394 1573 0.41 1.79 31
## 87 Kyrgyzstan 86001 82879 1460 0.08 1.70 224
## 88 Latvia 82462 71506 1570 0.82 1.90 832
## 89 Sri Lanka 81009 75842 453 1.26 0.56 21
## 90 Ghana 80759 73365 582 0.63 0.72 19
## 91 Uzbekistan 79717 78185 622 0.05 0.78 19
## 92 Zambia 75582 69436 1040 0.74 1.38 57
## 93 Montenegro 72969 63738 969 1.35 1.33 1543
## 94 Norway 69148 63783 608 0.90 0.88 112
## 95 Singapore 59883 59753 29 0.01 0.05 5
## 96 Estonia 59407 46335 553 1.65 0.93 417
## 97 El Salvador 59235 54324 1815 1.18 3.06 280
## 98 Mozambique 56595 37570 606 1.71 1.07 19
## 99 Afghanistan 55664 48967 2436 0.08 4.38 63
## 100 Finland 54532 40000 734 0.74 1.35 132
## 101 Luxembourg 54354 50945 629 0.40 1.16 1005
## 102 Uruguay 53973 47512 588 2.19 1.09 169
## 103 Cuba 46197 40979 304 3.76 0.66 27
## 104 Uganda 40243 14615 333 0.07 0.83 7
## 105 Namibia 37896 35419 411 1.10 1.08 162
## 106 Zimbabwe 35910 32288 1448 0.32 4.03 97
## 107 Cameroon 33749 31362 523 0.00 1.55 20
## 108 Cyprus 33567 2057 230 0.92 0.69 190
## 109 Senegal 33242 27694 832 0.43 2.50 50
## 110 Côte d'Ivoire 32124 31096 188 0.31 0.59 7
## 111 Malawi 31106 17445 1024 1.18 3.29 54
## 112 Australia 28937 26149 909 0.02 3.14 36
## 113 Sudan 28210 22823 1876 0.61 6.65 43
## 114 Botswana 27721 22773 300 4.51 1.08 128
## 115 Thailand 25599 24446 83 0.37 0.32 1
## 116 Democratic Republic of the Congo 25144 16135 700 0.26 2.78 NA
## 117 Jamaica 21826 13046 405 2.08 1.86 137
## 118 Malta 21306 18500 306 1.05 1.44 693
## 119 Angola 20584 19207 500 0.32 2.43 15
## 120 Madagascar 19831 19296 297 0.00 1.50 11
## 121 Maldives 19038 16542 60 1.43 0.32 111
## 122 French Polynesia 18362 4842 138 0.09 0.75 491
## 123 Rwanda 18325 17251 253 1.51 1.38 20
## 124 Mauritania 17130 16472 437 0.20 2.55 94
## 125 Swaziland 16839 13613 647 0.30 3.84 NA
## 126 French Guiana 16529 9995 83 0.00 0.50 278
## 127 Mayotte 16349 2964 95 3.53 0.58 348
## 128 Guinea 15487 14785 87 0.39 0.56 7
## 129 Syria 15282 9389 1004 0.68 6.57 57
## 130 Cape Verde 15089 14608 144 0.27 0.95 NA
## 131 Gabon 13884 12561 76 2.44 0.55 34
## 132 Tajikistan 13308 13218 90 0.00 0.68 9
## 133 Haiti 12325 9536 247 0.13 2.00 22
## 134 Belize 12264 11799 314 0.16 2.56 790
## 135 Burkina Faso 11868 11293 141 0.60 1.19 7
## 136 Réunion 11562 10576 48 0.00 0.42 54
## 137 Andorra 10739 10285 110 0.37 1.02 1424
## 138 Lesotho 10467 3418 291 0.06 2.78 136
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2021-02-23 China Hong Kong 10896 10427 197 12
## 2 2021-02-23 China Shanghai 1786 1713 7 3
## 3 2021-02-23 China Sichuan 889 869 3 2
## 4 2021-02-23 China Guangdong 2197 2141 8 1
## 5 2021-02-23 China Zhejiang 1321 1310 1 1
## 6 2021-02-23 China Shandong 868 860 7 1
## 7 2021-02-23 China Jiangsu 704 698 0 1