Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
22/02/2021
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2021-02-19"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 Gabon 13553 12262 75 3.40 0.55 34
## 2 Cuba 42547 37206 287 2.06 0.67 25
## 3 Estonia 56246 44248 518 1.72 0.92 390
## 4 Jamaica 20581 12828 391 1.33 1.90 132
## 5 Mozambique 54204 34389 583 1.26 1.08 19
## 6 Uruguay 51377 45398 563 1.23 1.10 162
## 7 Albania 97909 61605 1636 1.11 1.67 568
## 8 Malaysia 277811 239971 1043 1.07 0.38 32
## 9 Czech Republic 1134957 1003739 18913 1.04 1.67 1766
## 10 Zambia 73203 66013 1002 1.02 1.37 55
## 11 Senegal 32378 26624 787 0.87 2.43 47
## 12 Latvia 80040 68967 1533 0.87 1.92 813
## 13 United Arab Emirates 365017 351715 1093 0.87 0.30 111
## 14 Indonesia 1263299 1069005 34152 0.85 2.70 125
## 15 Namibia 36993 34887 399 0.85 1.08 157
## 16 Finland 52653 40000 725 0.85 1.38 131
## 17 Greece 177494 138748 6249 0.82 3.52 600
## 18 Slovakia 287752 255300 6350 0.82 2.21 1163
## 19 Hungary 397116 302689 14145 0.78 3.56 1464
## 20 Malta 20563 17827 301 0.75 1.46 682
## 21 Democratic Republic of the Congo 24964 15736 695 0.69 2.78 NA
## 22 France 3560764 247127 83964 0.68 2.36 1286
## 23 Bahrain 116482 108353 418 0.67 0.36 246
## 24 Côte d'Ivoire 31825 30056 185 0.67 0.58 7
## 25 Sri Lanka 78937 72566 430 0.66 0.54 20
## 26 Sweden 631166 4971 12649 0.66 2.00 1252
## 27 Lebanon 351065 260390 4257 0.65 1.21 624
## 28 Montenegro 71112 61781 932 0.64 1.31 1484
## 29 Bulgaria 235891 199978 9821 0.62 4.16 1413
## 30 Iraq 661477 614529 13232 0.61 2.00 329
## 31 Serbia 431680 31536 4306 0.61 1.00 493
## 32 Belarus 275322 264976 1894 0.61 0.69 200
## 33 Ghana 79165 71025 568 0.60 0.72 18
## 34 Moldova 175183 160619 3739 0.59 2.13 927
## 35 Ethiopia 151016 130566 2259 0.56 1.50 20
## 36 Italy 2780882 2303199 95235 0.56 3.42 1575
## 37 Poland 1623218 1365216 41823 0.54 2.58 1105
## 38 Kuwait 182460 170326 1034 0.54 0.57 242
## 39 Rwanda 17929 16387 245 0.53 1.37 19
## 40 Iran 1558159 1331162 59341 0.52 3.81 706
## 41 Ecuador 271276 230377 15474 0.52 5.70 877
## 42 Thailand 25241 24070 83 0.52 0.33 1
## 43 Ukraine 1293672 1139977 24972 0.51 1.93 571
## 44 Brazil 10081676 8995246 244765 0.51 2.43 1152
## 45 Burkina Faso 11763 11130 139 0.51 1.18 7
## 46 Slovenia 183394 168432 3762 0.50 2.05 1810
## 47 Chile 791939 748920 19897 0.48 2.51 1041
## 48 Zimbabwe 35710 31972 1430 0.47 4.00 96
## 49 Libya 129325 114305 2088 0.45 1.61 304
## 50 Mexico 2022662 1577838 178108 0.45 8.81 1381
## 51 Netherlands 1047400 322 15138 0.45 1.45 883
## 52 Kazakhstan 205825 189750 2540 0.44 1.23 135
## 53 Honduras 163305 63921 3965 0.44 2.43 400
## 54 Bolivia 239524 182534 11353 0.43 4.74 973
## 55 Cape Verde 14948 14470 142 0.42 0.95 NA
## 56 Republika Severna Makedonija 98584 89022 3037 0.42 3.08 NA
## 57 Guinea 15216 14648 86 0.41 0.57 7
## 58 Luxembourg 53782 50386 622 0.41 1.16 994
## 59 Austria 441659 417654 8348 0.41 1.89 927
## 60 Lithuania 192986 178126 3145 0.41 1.63 1155
## 61 Guatemala 170275 157198 6220 0.39 3.65 347
## 62 Argentina 2054681 1855645 51000 0.39 2.48 1128
## 63 Spain 3133122 196958 67101 0.37 2.14 1435
## 64 Israel 744513 693730 5526 0.35 0.74 638
## 65 Egypt 176943 136889 10250 0.35 5.79 100
## 66 Dominican Republic 233598 182603 3024 0.35 1.29 279
## 67 Ireland 213400 23364 4109 0.35 1.93 832
## 68 Romania 774555 719693 19738 0.35 2.55 1026
## 69 Cyprus 33046 2057 229 0.34 0.69 190
## 70 Venezuela 134781 126792 1303 0.34 0.97 46
## 71 Philippines 557058 512789 11829 0.34 2.12 108
## 72 Russia 4139031 3679949 82396 0.33 1.99 565
## 73 Syria 15094 9064 994 0.33 6.59 57
## 74 Palestinian Territory 171717 160172 1961 0.33 1.14 NA
## 75 Belgium 746302 51232 21821 0.33 2.92 1883
## 76 Bosnia and Herzegovina 127537 111991 4979 0.32 3.90 1518
## 77 Tunisia 226740 187753 7719 0.32 3.40 653
## 78 Japan 423336 395492 7365 0.31 1.74 58
## 79 Qatar 159518 149320 256 0.29 0.16 89
## 80 United Kingdom 4095269 2331001 119920 0.29 2.93 1766
## 81 Turkey 2624019 2511548 27903 0.28 1.06 331
## 82 Norway 68000 63783 607 0.26 0.89 112
## 83 Canada 839605 785959 21560 0.25 2.57 571
## 84 United States 28595976 18780465 507445 0.25 1.77 1533
## 85 Jordan 357611 332892 4528 0.24 1.27 444
## 86 Portugal 794769 691866 15821 0.24 1.99 1552
## 87 Costa Rica 201678 169053 2763 0.22 1.37 542
## 88 Pakistan 568506 531840 12527 0.22 2.20 57
## 89 Kenya 103841 85512 1813 0.22 1.75 34
## 90 Colombia 2217001 2110562 58511 0.20 2.64 1150
## 91 Swaziland 16742 12769 644 0.20 3.85 NA
## 92 Switzerland 547775 485615 9883 0.19 1.80 1142
## 93 Croatia 239254 231534 5407 0.16 2.26 1317
## 94 Algeria 111600 76797 2954 0.16 2.65 67
## 95 Germany 2376563 2175798 67865 0.15 2.86 810
## 96 Georgia 267701 260597 3406 0.15 1.27 854
## 97 South Africa 1500677 1406907 48859 0.13 3.26 824
## 98 India 10976388 10675478 156237 0.13 1.42 113
## 99 Armenia 170011 161790 3158 0.11 1.86 1066
## 100 Kyrgyzstan 85772 82583 1450 0.10 1.69 222
## 101 Morocco 480504 463271 8540 0.09 1.78 231
## 102 Saudi Arabia 374366 365363 6454 0.09 1.72 185
## 103 Azerbaijan 232829 227472 3193 0.08 1.37 315
## 104 Bangladesh 542674 490468 8337 0.07 1.54 51
## 105 Uzbekistan 79598 78100 622 0.06 0.78 19
## 106 Nepal 273263 269619 2061 0.04 0.75 71
## 107 Uganda 40168 14578 331 0.03 0.82 7
## 108 China 101646 95998 4842 0.02 4.76 3
## 109 Singapore 59846 59697 29 0.02 0.05 5
## 110 Australia 28918 26138 909 0.02 3.14 36
## 111 Myanmar 141728 131209 3194 0.01 2.25 59
## 112 Afghanistan 55580 48803 2430 0.01 4.37 62
## 113 Denmark 206753 198863 2320 0.00 1.12 401
## 114 Belize 12207 11725 314 0.00 2.57 790
## 115 Botswana 26524 22363 254 0.00 0.96 108
## 116 Cameroon 33749 31362 523 0.00 1.55 20
## 117 Tajikistan 13308 13218 90 0.00 0.68 9
## 118 Angola 20452 18972 498 0.00 2.43 15
## 119 Andorra 10610 10101 107 0.00 1.01 1385
## 120 Nigeria 150246 126417 1803 0.00 1.20 9
## 121 Paraguay 148622 124105 3008 0.00 2.02 422
## 122 Panama 334463 317432 5694 0.00 1.70 1320
## 123 Mauritania 17058 16346 433 0.00 2.54 93
## 124 French Guiana 16456 9995 80 0.00 0.49 268
## 125 French Polynesia 18335 4842 136 0.00 0.74 484
## 126 Puerto Rico 174891 88997 1940 0.00 1.11 678
## 127 Haiti 12206 9363 247 0.00 2.02 22
## 128 Réunion 11562 10576 48 0.00 0.42 54
## 129 Peru 1261804 1163153 44489 0.00 3.53 1349
## 130 Sudan 28038 22638 1864 0.00 6.65 43
## 131 Lesotho 10455 3260 285 0.00 2.73 133
## 132 El Salvador 58546 53385 1785 0.00 3.05 275
## 133 Oman 138494 130084 1549 0.00 1.12 303
## 134 South Korea 85567 75896 1544 0.00 1.80 30
## 135 Maldives 18340 15863 58 0.00 0.32 107
## 136 Malawi 29837 15568 984 0.00 3.30 51
## 137 Mayotte 14492 2964 89 0.00 0.61 326
## 138 Madagascar 19598 18915 292 0.00 1.49 11
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2021-02-19 China Hong Kong 10833 10329 197 13
## 2 2021-02-19 China Guangdong 2183 2126 8 3
## 3 2021-02-19 China Shanghai 1778 1686 7 2
## 4 2021-02-19 China Hunan 1035 1023 4 1
## 5 2021-02-19 China Taiwan 941 888 9 1
## 6 2021-02-19 China Sichuan 883 869 3 1
## 7 2021-02-19 China Liaoning 405 401 2 1