Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
18/02/2021
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2021-02-16"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 Afghanistan 55540 48514 2428 0.04 4.37 62
## 2 Albania 94651 58794 1582 0.85 1.67 550
## 3 Algeria 111069 76330 2945 0.16 2.65 67
## 4 Andorra 10538 9965 107 0.00 1.02 1385
## 5 Angola 20389 18929 494 0.04 2.42 15
## 6 Argentina 2033060 1838291 50432 0.20 2.48 1116
## 7 Armenia 169391 161348 3150 0.08 1.86 1063
## 8 Australia 28905 26128 909 0.02 3.14 36
## 9 Austria 436139 413908 8260 0.33 1.89 917
## 10 Azerbaijan 232337 226951 3185 0.06 1.37 314
## 11 Bahrain 114361 106412 410 0.68 0.36 241
## 12 Bangladesh 541434 488621 8298 0.07 1.53 50
## 13 Belarus 270921 260057 1867 0.42 0.69 198
## 14 Belgium 739488 50897 21702 0.12 2.93 1873
## 15 Belize 12175 11668 313 0.00 2.57 787
## 16 Bolivia 237144 179057 11234 0.17 4.74 962
## 17 Bosnia and Herzegovina 126413 106831 4935 0.22 3.90 1504
## 18 Botswana 25802 21893 226 0.00 0.88 96
## 19 Brazil 9921981 8883191 240983 0.56 2.43 1134
## 20 Bulgaria 232096 198324 9703 0.58 4.18 1396
## 21 Burkina Faso 11630 10979 138 0.00 1.19 7
## 22 Cameroon 32098 29609 479 0.00 1.49 18
## 23 Canada 831577 776208 21397 0.56 2.57 567
## 24 Cape Verde 14785 14282 140 0.16 0.95 NA
## 25 Chile 782039 740465 19644 0.32 2.51 1028
## 26 China 101576 95739 4840 0.01 4.76 3
## 27 Colombia 2202598 2095105 57949 0.18 2.63 1139
## 28 Costa Rica 200454 165439 2737 0.21 1.37 537
## 29 Côte d'Ivoire 31365 29603 179 0.42 0.57 7
## 30 Croatia 237999 230683 5357 0.12 2.25 1305
## 31 Cuba 39941 34716 274 2.40 0.69 24
## 32 Cyprus 32707 2057 225 0.25 0.69 186
## 33 Czech Republic 1099654 978749 18430 0.81 1.68 1721
## 34 Democratic Republic of the Congo 24423 15544 695 0.15 2.85 NA
## 35 Denmark 205871 197942 2309 0.40 1.12 399
## 36 Dominican Republic 231095 179097 2975 0.23 1.29 274
## 37 Ecuador 268073 230377 15392 0.14 5.74 872
## 38 Egypt 175059 135670 10101 0.36 5.77 99
## 39 El Salvador 58023 52688 1758 0.00 3.03 271
## 40 Estonia 53444 42403 508 1.17 0.95 383
## 41 Ethiopia 148490 129145 2223 0.45 1.50 19
## 42 Finland 51047 40000 720 0.76 1.41 130
## 43 France 3489129 244238 82812 0.56 2.37 1269
## 44 French Guiana 16456 9995 80 0.00 0.49 268
## 45 French Polynesia 18299 4842 136 0.03 0.74 484
## 46 Gabon 12865 11750 75 0.00 0.58 34
## 47 Georgia 266462 259228 3377 0.28 1.27 847
## 48 Germany 2353638 2140866 66533 0.36 2.83 794
## 49 Ghana 77046 68713 555 0.72 0.72 18
## 50 Greece 173905 138748 6181 0.63 3.55 593
## 51 Guatemala 168103 155211 6158 0.43 3.66 344
## 52 Guinea 15020 14512 85 0.35 0.57 6
## 53 Haiti 12192 9354 247 0.00 2.03 22
## 54 Honduras 160983 63346 3893 0.51 2.42 393
## 55 Hungary 389622 298773 13837 0.21 3.55 1432
## 56 India 10937106 10642903 155949 0.11 1.43 113
## 57 Indonesia 1233959 1039674 33596 0.82 2.72 123
## 58 Iran 1534034 1310821 59117 0.52 3.85 704
## 59 Iraq 649982 609800 13192 0.52 2.03 328
## 60 Ireland 211113 23364 3980 0.34 1.89 806
## 61 Israel 734575 673908 5441 0.59 0.74 629
## 62 Italy 2739591 2251734 94171 0.38 3.44 1558
## 63 Jamaica 19773 12684 378 2.42 1.91 128
## 64 Japan 419053 387740 7144 0.31 1.70 56
## 65 Jordan 352219 329511 4491 0.76 1.28 440
## 66 Kazakhstan 203259 185205 2540 0.34 1.25 135
## 67 Kenya 103188 85336 1797 0.17 1.74 33
## 68 Kuwait 179488 167601 1014 0.54 0.56 237
## 69 Kyrgyzstan 85564 82391 1444 0.06 1.69 221
## 70 Latvia 77697 65450 1486 0.93 1.91 788
## 71 Lebanon 343601 248720 4092 0.80 1.19 600
## 72 Lesotho 10254 2990 243 0.00 2.37 113
## 73 Libya 128036 111864 2051 0.26 1.60 298
## 74 Lithuania 191264 175278 3095 0.17 1.62 1137
## 75 Luxembourg 53062 49807 612 0.26 1.15 978
## 76 Madagascar 19598 18915 292 0.00 1.49 11
## 77 Malawi 29421 14803 968 0.82 3.29 51
## 78 Malaysia 269165 224053 983 1.02 0.37 30
## 79 Maldives 18082 15633 58 0.72 0.32 107
## 80 Malta 20047 17434 297 0.51 1.48 673
## 81 Mauritania 17016 16296 431 0.12 2.53 93
## 82 Mayotte 13670 2964 81 0.00 0.59 297
## 83 Mexico 1995892 1555923 174657 0.16 8.75 1355
## 84 Moldova 171514 158619 3678 0.57 2.14 912
## 85 Montenegro 69770 60299 910 0.69 1.30 1449
## 86 Morocco 479071 460628 8504 0.10 1.78 230
## 87 Mozambique 51800 32262 551 2.19 1.06 18
## 88 Myanmar 141659 130859 3192 0.02 2.25 59
## 89 Namibia 36366 34363 392 0.39 1.08 154
## 90 Nepal 272945 269303 2055 0.04 0.75 71
## 91 Netherlands 1034795 322 14929 0.26 1.44 871
## 92 Nigeria 148296 124483 1777 0.93 1.20 9
## 93 Norway 67014 61614 593 0.24 0.88 109
## 94 Oman 137929 129543 1544 0.24 1.12 302
## 95 Pakistan 564824 527061 12380 0.13 2.19 56
## 96 Palestinian Territory 169487 157982 1942 0.62 1.15 NA
## 97 Panama 332679 313783 5642 0.15 1.70 1308
## 98 Paraguay 146216 122493 2971 0.77 2.03 417
## 99 Peru 1238501 1149367 43880 0.26 3.54 1331
## 100 Philippines 552246 511796 11524 0.25 2.09 105
## 101 Poland 1596673 1352443 41028 0.33 2.57 1084
## 102 Portugal 788561 677719 15522 0.36 1.97 1522
## 103 Puerto Rico 174297 88084 1924 0.87 1.10 673
## 104 Qatar 158138 148638 256 0.00 0.16 89
## 105 Republika Severna Makedonija 97456 88301 3003 0.37 3.08 NA
## 106 Réunion 10907 10049 47 0.00 0.43 52
## 107 Romania 765970 711977 19526 0.35 2.55 1015
## 108 Russia 4099323 3624663 80979 0.32 1.98 555
## 109 Rwanda 17594 15475 240 0.63 1.36 19
## 110 Saudi Arabia 373368 364297 6441 0.09 1.73 185
## 111 Senegal 31476 25685 760 0.64 2.41 45
## 112 Serbia 424020 31536 4261 0.43 1.00 488
## 113 Singapore 59810 59661 29 0.00 0.05 5
## 114 Slovakia 279696 255300 6063 0.52 2.17 1111
## 115 Slovenia 180520 164676 3733 0.41 2.07 1796
## 116 South Africa 1494119 1396951 48313 0.08 3.23 815
## 117 South Korea 84325 74551 1534 0.54 1.82 30
## 118 Spain 3096343 196958 65979 0.33 2.13 1411
## 119 Sri Lanka 77184 70429 409 0.99 0.53 19
## 120 Sudan 27985 22523 1863 0.10 6.66 42
## 121 Swaziland 16606 12383 634 0.18 3.82 NA
## 122 Sweden 617869 4971 12487 1.55 2.02 1236
## 123 Switzerland 544282 485615 9817 0.20 1.80 1134
## 124 Syria 14951 8826 984 0.30 6.58 56
## 125 Tajikistan 13308 13218 90 0.00 0.68 9
## 126 Thailand 24786 23563 82 0.29 0.33 1
## 127 Tunisia 224329 184499 7617 0.35 3.40 644
## 128 Turkey 2602034 2489624 27652 0.30 1.06 328
## 129 Uganda 40063 14545 331 0.02 0.83 7
## 130 Ukraine 1276618 1122968 24542 0.25 1.92 561
## 131 United Arab Emirates 355131 340365 1041 0.92 0.29 105
## 132 United Kingdom 4058468 2231199 118195 0.26 2.91 1741
## 133 United States 28374971 18460757 499745 0.21 1.76 1510
## 134 Uruguay 49725 44060 546 0.74 1.10 157
## 135 Uzbekistan 79461 77969 622 0.02 0.78 19
## 136 Venezuela 133577 125565 1285 0.00 0.96 45
## 137 Zambia 70823 63609 974 0.82 1.38 53
## 138 Zimbabwe 35315 30979 1414 0.26 4.00 95
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2021-02-16 China Hong Kong 10796 10232 195 8
## 2 2021-02-16 China Guangdong 2177 2111 8 6
## 3 2021-02-16 China Shaanxi 547 531 3 2
## 4 2021-02-16 China Sichuan 880 866 3 1