Polarization

Formula 1:

\[ P = \frac{2(2T - G)}{mtan} \]

with \(T = 0.5 - L(0.5)\) and \(mtan = \frac{md}{\mu}\), where \(L(0.5)\) is the income share of the bottom 50%, \(mtan\) is the slope of tangent to the Lorenz curve at the 50th percentile (median), \(md\) is the median, \(\mu\) is the mean, and \(G\) is the Gini coefficient (Wolfson 1994).

Formula 2:

\[ P = \frac{2({\mu}^* - {\mu}^L) }{md}, \]

where \(\mu^*\) is the distribution-correction mean (i.e. \(\mu(1 - G)\)), \(\mu^L\) is the mean of the bottom 50% of the population, and \(md\) is the median (Ravallion and Chen 1996).

Proof

\[\begin{align} P = &\frac{2(2T - G)}{mtan} \\ \\ = &\frac{2(2(0.5 - L(0.5)) - G)}{md} * \mu \\ \\ = &\frac{2(1 - G -2L(0.5))}{md} * \mu \\ \\ = &\frac{2(\mu(1 - G) -2\mu L(0.5))}{md} \\ \\ = &\frac{2( {\mu}^* - {\mu}^L)}{md} \end{align} \]

Thus, \({\mu}^* = \mu(1 - G)\) and \({\mu}^L = 2\mu L(0.5)\).

Alternatively, \({\mu}^L = md*(1 - P_1(md)/0.5)\).

Mean of bottom 50%

  1. Illustrate \({\mu}^L = 2\mu L(0.5)\) with a synthetic distribution, \(y = [1, 2, 3,…,100]\)

  2. With the same distribution, \({\mu}^L = md*(1 - P_1(md)/0.5) = 50.5*(1 - 0.2475/0.5) = 25.5\)

Polarization (ARE, 2014)

Distribution

Compare polarization numbers

Polarization (own) Polarization (PovcalNet) Difference
100 bins .3206248 .3232931 .0026683
1000 bins .3230165 .3232931 .0002766

Polarization (BWA, 1985)

Distribution

Compare polarization numbers

Polarization (own) Polarization (PovcalNet) Difference
100 bins .9759203 .5229876 -.4529327
1000 bins .5826452 .5229876 -.0596576

Polarization (BWA, 1993)

Distribution

Compare polarization numbers

Polarization (own) Polarization (PovcalNet) Difference
100 bins .3384343 .5302069 .1917726
1000 bins .2754785 .5302069 .2547285

Polarization (BWA, 2002)

Distribution

Compare polarization numbers

Polarization (own) Polarization (PovcalNet) Difference
100 bins 1.222001 N/A N/A
1000 bins .8247571 N/A N/A

Polarization (BWA, 2009)

Distribution

Compare polarization numbers

Polarization (own) Polarization (PovcalNet) Difference
100 bins 1.172724 N/A N/A
1000 bins .6927239 N/A N/A

Polarization (BWA, 2015)

Distribution

Compare polarization numbers

Polarization (own) Polarization (PovcalNet) Difference
100 bins 1.281611 N/A N/A
1000 bins .7016693 N/A N/A

Bins and slope at the median

Source: Wolfson (1994)

Gini vs. polarization - latest surveys

Gini vs. polarization - regional trends

Gini vs. polarization - country trends

References