Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
27/11/2020
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2021-02-02"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 United States 27025649 16750130 457856 0.46 1.69 1383
## 2 India 10778206 10461706 154635 0.10 1.43 112
## 3 Brazil 9286256 8160929 226383 0.61 2.44 1065
## 4 Russia 3884730 3340545 74158 0.43 1.91 508
## 5 United Kingdom 3852623 1787706 108013 0.44 2.80 1591
## 6 France 3224798 226896 77238 0.73 2.40 1183
## 7 Spain 2881793 196958 59805 1.02 2.08 1279
## 8 Italy 2570608 2043499 89344 0.38 3.48 1478
## 9 Turkey 2492977 2379070 26237 0.31 1.05 311
## 10 Germany 2241254 1953484 59395 0.33 2.65 709
## 11 Colombia 2114597 1971342 54576 0.48 2.58 1073
## 12 Argentina 1943548 1738768 48426 0.50 2.49 1071
## 13 Mexico 1869708 1425748 159100 0.29 8.51 1234
## 14 Poland 1520215 1281396 37476 0.29 2.47 990
## 15 South Africa 1458958 1318504 44946 0.18 3.08 758
## 16 Iran 1431416 1223197 58110 0.48 4.06 692
## 17 Ukraine 1223879 1035372 22924 0.20 1.87 524
## 18 Peru 1142716 1057145 41181 0.00 3.60 1249
## 19 Indonesia 1099687 896530 30581 0.95 2.78 112
## 20 Czech Republic 994514 885279 16545 0.73 1.66 1545
## 21 Netherlands 985224 322 14108 0.36 1.43 823
## 22 Canada 786420 716646 20213 0.56 2.57 536
## 23 Chile 734035 690653 18559 0.43 2.53 971
## 24 Romania 732732 678473 18513 0.37 2.53 962
## 25 Portugal 731861 551956 13017 0.76 1.78 1277
## 26 Belgium 711417 49061 21124 0.18 2.97 1823
## 27 Israel 659978 582429 4887 1.19 0.74 565
## 28 Iraq 621755 594594 13068 0.18 2.10 325
## 29 Sweden 576606 4971 11815 1.70 2.05 1170
## 30 Pakistan 547648 502537 11746 0.22 2.14 53
## 31 Bangladesh 536107 480728 8149 0.10 1.52 49
## 32 Philippines 528853 487611 10874 0.30 2.06 99
## 33 Switzerland 526728 317600 9489 0.31 1.80 1096
## 34 Morocco 472273 450847 8309 0.18 1.76 225
## 35 Austria 416763 395316 7847 0.30 1.88 871
## 36 Serbia 398905 31536 4056 0.48 1.02 464
## 37 Japan 394087 339377 5952 0.59 1.51 47
## 38 Hungary 369288 268803 12656 0.16 3.43 1310
## 39 Saudi Arabia 368639 360110 6383 0.08 1.73 183
## 40 Jordan 329194 316442 4334 0.35 1.32 425
## 41 Panama 321103 278442 5296 0.00 1.65 1227
## 42 United Arab Emirates 309649 285201 866 1.08 0.28 88
## 43 Lebanon 305842 186052 3226 0.91 1.05 473
## 44 Nepal 271289 266859 2030 0.06 0.75 70
## 45 Georgia 259209 250289 3208 0.33 1.24 804
## 46 Slovakia 252094 222642 4784 0.69 1.90 876
## 47 Ecuador 251279 209814 14915 0.12 5.94 845
## 48 Belarus 249994 237178 1737 0.28 0.69 184
## 49 Croatia 232907 225300 5071 0.17 2.18 1235
## 50 Azerbaijan 230455 223807 3141 0.07 1.36 310
## 51 Malaysia 222628 173990 791 1.58 0.36 24
## 52 Bulgaria 220547 190484 9178 0.44 4.16 1321
## 53 Bolivia 218299 160326 10439 0.68 4.78 894
## 54 Dominican Republic 215920 159606 2704 0.39 1.25 249
## 55 Tunisia 211412 165067 6893 0.65 3.26 583
## 56 Denmark 200041 189553 2161 0.20 1.08 373
## 57 Ireland 198424 23364 3418 0.44 1.72 692
## 58 Costa Rica 195009 154227 2641 0.23 1.35 518
## 59 Kazakhstan 189131 169963 2476 0.62 1.31 132
## 60 Lithuania 183444 131151 2847 0.30 1.55 1046
## 61 Slovenia 168486 147687 3541 1.00 2.10 1703
## 62 Armenia 167231 158335 3089 0.09 1.85 1042
## 63 Egypt 167013 130514 9407 0.31 5.63 92
## 64 Kuwait 166654 158986 960 0.49 0.58 225
## 65 Puerto Rico 164122 78813 1846 0.40 1.12 645
## 66 Moldova 160725 150720 3462 0.40 2.15 858
## 67 Guatemala 160299 146019 5709 0.42 3.56 319
## 68 Palestinian Territory 159956 150123 1849 0.32 1.16 NA
## 69 Greece 158716 138748 5851 0.78 3.69 561
## 70 Qatar 152095 146111 249 0.25 0.16 86
## 71 Honduras 148951 60979 3614 0.75 2.43 365
## 72 Myanmar 140354 125324 3138 0.15 2.24 58
## 73 Ethiopia 138861 123806 2116 0.34 1.52 18
## 74 Oman 134685 127054 1532 0.12 1.14 300
## 75 Paraguay 134482 110041 2750 0.52 2.04 386
## 76 Nigeria 133552 107551 1613 1.24 1.21 8
## 77 Venezuela 127346 119291 1196 0.33 0.94 42
## 78 Bosnia and Herzegovina 122461 95569 4737 0.21 3.87 1444
## 79 Libya 120434 100593 1896 0.86 1.57 276
## 80 Algeria 107841 73732 2898 0.24 2.69 66
## 81 Bahrain 104239 99285 376 0.63 0.36 221
## 82 China 101092 93894 4828 0.12 4.78 3
## 83 Kenya 101009 83990 1766 0.15 1.75 33
## 84 Republika Severna Makedonija 93160 82520 2873 0.44 3.08 NA
## 85 Kyrgyzstan 84646 81102 1414 0.07 1.67 217
## 86 Albania 79934 48377 1398 1.19 1.75 486
## 87 South Korea 79311 69299 1441 1.02 1.82 28
## 88 Uzbekistan 78801 77286 621 0.06 0.79 19
## 89 Ghana 67782 61843 424 1.15 0.63 14
## 90 Latvia 67427 55708 1219 1.16 1.81 646
## 91 Sri Lanka 65698 59043 330 1.10 0.50 15
## 92 Norway 63553 57004 568 0.69 0.89 105
## 93 Montenegro 62476 54529 818 0.81 1.31 1302
## 94 Singapore 59584 59301 29 0.03 0.05 5
## 95 Zambia 56233 49696 794 2.16 1.41 43
## 96 El Salvador 55195 49037 1638 0.00 2.97 253
## 97 Afghanistan 55174 47798 2406 0.10 4.36 62
## 98 Luxembourg 50923 48006 586 0.37 1.15 936
## 99 Finland 45784 31000 684 0.66 1.49 123
## 100 Estonia 44978 34927 424 0.90 0.94 320
## 101 Uruguay 42667 36178 453 1.28 1.06 130
## 102 Mozambique 40260 25010 403 2.03 1.00 13
## 103 Uganda 39651 14229 325 0.11 0.82 7
## 104 Namibia 34270 32739 355 0.30 1.04 140
## 105 Zimbabwe 33814 26794 1254 0.79 3.71 84
## 106 Cyprus 31124 2057 202 0.41 0.65 167
## 107 Cameroon 30313 28045 474 2.35 1.56 18
## 108 Australia 28824 26070 909 0.02 3.15 36
## 109 Cuba 28636 22921 218 3.78 0.76 19
## 110 Côte d'Ivoire 28607 26724 158 0.46 0.55 6
## 111 Sudan 27402 21614 1829 0.47 6.67 42
## 112 Senegal 27080 22363 641 0.57 2.37 38
## 113 Malawi 24903 9518 726 2.21 2.92 38
## 114 Democratic Republic of the Congo 23043 15050 675 0.88 2.93 NA
## 115 Botswana 22738 18468 148 0.00 0.65 63
## 116 Thailand 20454 13217 79 4.26 0.39 1
## 117 Angola 19900 18232 468 0.36 2.35 14
## 118 Madagascar 19065 18215 281 0.00 1.47 10
## 119 Malta 18168 15233 270 0.78 1.49 611
## 120 French Polynesia 18101 4842 132 0.00 0.73 470
## 121 Mauritania 16689 15799 423 0.16 2.53 91
## 122 French Guiana 16185 9995 77 0.32 0.48 258
## 123 Maldives 16155 14263 52 0.62 0.32 96
## 124 Jamaica 15973 12108 353 1.24 2.21 119
## 125 Swaziland 15878 10839 583 0.47 3.67 NA
## 126 Rwanda 15688 10745 205 1.48 1.31 16
## 127 Guinea 14555 14228 83 0.00 0.57 6
## 128 Cape Verde 14152 13335 134 0.38 0.95 NA
## 129 Syria 14142 7725 929 0.33 6.57 53
## 130 Tajikistan 13308 13218 90 0.00 0.68 9
## 131 Belize 11957 11378 303 0.41 2.53 762
## 132 Haiti 11672 9114 245 0.71 2.10 21
## 133 Gabon 10952 10419 68 1.90 0.62 31
## 134 Burkina Faso 10904 9585 126 2.08 1.16 6
## 135 Réunion 10194 9528 46 1.98 0.45 51
## 136 Andorra 10017 9252 102 0.45 1.02 1320
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2021-02-02 China Hong Kong 10511 9549 184 25
## 2 2021-02-02 China Jilin 563 222 3 8
## 3 2021-02-02 China Heilongjiang 1597 1060 13 6
## 4 2021-02-02 China Shanghai 1709 1572 7 4
## 5 2021-02-02 China Taiwan 915 832 8 3
## 6 2021-02-02 China Guangdong 2129 2077 8 2
## 7 2021-02-02 China Sichuan 873 857 3 2
## 8 2021-02-02 China Hebei 1314 1015 7 1
## 9 2021-02-02 China Jiangsu 698 686 0 1
## 10 2021-02-02 China Shaanxi 540 512 3 1