Ending day prediction of nCoV2019
27/11/2020
options(width = 100)
source('./predict.R')## [1] "2021-01-14"
## country cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead inc_r d_rate d_pm
## 1 Mexico 1571901 1176658 136917 1.02 8.71 1062
## 2 Syria 12760 6329 809 0.79 6.34 46
## 3 Ecuador 226002 193581 14246 0.75 6.30 807
## 4 Sudan 25730 15240 1576 0.00 6.13 36
## 5 Egypt 153741 121072 8421 0.67 5.48 82
## 6 Bolivia 178818 140671 9493 1.16 5.31 813
## 7 China 98290 91760 4803 0.18 4.89 3
## 8 Afghanistan 53831 45298 2324 0.11 4.32 60
## 9 Iran 1311810 1101599 56538 0.50 4.31 673
## 10 Bulgaria 210951 150370 8396 0.25 3.98 1208
## 11 Bosnia and Herzegovina 117011 84650 4411 0.29 3.77 1344
## 12 Peru 1048662 976202 38564 0.81 3.68 1170
## 13 Greece 147283 9989 5387 0.41 3.66 517
## 14 Guatemala 146937 133082 5151 0.65 3.51 288
## 15 Italy 2336279 1694051 80848 0.74 3.46 1337
## 16 Tunisia 170895 124610 5478 1.38 3.21 464
## 17 Hungary 347636 220304 11066 0.56 3.18 1146
## 18 Australia 28658 25874 909 0.04 3.17 36
## 19 Democratic Republic of the Congo 20479 14770 626 2.38 3.06 NA
## 20 Republika Severna Makedonija 87986 69137 2672 0.45 3.04 NA
## 21 Belgium 670249 46417 20250 0.44 3.02 1747
## 22 El Salvador 50157 44304 1459 1.25 2.91 225
## 23 Indonesia 869600 711205 25246 1.35 2.90 92
## 24 South Africa 1296806 1049740 35852 1.45 2.76 604
## 25 Algeria 103127 69992 2822 0.26 2.74 64
## 26 Swaziland 12327 8076 335 1.67 2.72 NA
## 27 United Kingdom 3260258 1406967 86015 1.52 2.64 1267
## 28 Chile 656712 614267 17294 0.64 2.63 905
## 29 Colombia 1849101 1683835 47491 0.93 2.57 933
## 30 Canada 688891 593398 17538 1.11 2.55 465
## 31 Argentina 1770715 1549490 45125 0.76 2.55 998
## 32 Honduras 131009 59647 3320 0.93 2.53 335
## 33 Zimbabwe 25368 14714 636 4.58 2.51 43
## 34 Brazil 8326115 7339703 207160 0.83 2.49 975
## 35 Mauritania 15893 14222 396 0.63 2.49 85
## 36 Romania 684917 614545 17035 0.52 2.49 886
## 37 Belize 11456 10641 280 0.32 2.44 704
## 38 France 2851670 206802 69313 0.75 2.43 1062
## 39 Spain 2211967 196958 53079 1.65 2.40 1135
## 40 Jamaica 13915 11592 322 0.45 2.31 109
## 41 Poland 1414362 1155823 32456 0.67 2.29 858
## 42 Angola 18613 16008 425 1.02 2.28 13
## 43 Germany 2004729 1619483 45535 1.15 2.27 543
## 44 Haiti 10569 8888 238 0.00 2.25 21
## 45 Senegal 22178 18756 496 1.35 2.24 30
## 46 Myanmar 132865 116100 2912 0.46 2.19 54
## 47 Iraq 606186 564359 12922 0.13 2.13 321
## 48 Slovenia 145472 119149 3093 1.25 2.13 1488
## 49 Moldova 151687 140983 3211 0.49 2.12 796
## 50 Pakistan 511921 467234 10818 0.61 2.11 49
## 51 Paraguay 119640 94983 2466 0.88 2.06 346
## 52 Croatia 223097 213370 4517 0.44 2.02 1100
## 53 Philippines 494605 459252 9739 0.39 1.97 89
## 54 Sweden 518783 4971 10185 1.28 1.96 1008
## 55 Albania 65994 39246 1261 1.01 1.91 438
## 56 Russia 3495816 2882044 63940 0.71 1.83 438
## 57 Armenia 163576 151849 2963 0.27 1.81 1000
## 58 Ukraine 1138764 837063 20376 0.70 1.79 466
## 59 Austria 389260 362931 6921 0.91 1.78 768
## 60 Kenya 98693 81933 1723 0.14 1.75 32
## 61 Latvia 52982 38417 920 1.83 1.74 488
## 62 Switzerland 492832 317600 8586 0.50 1.74 992
## 63 Saudi Arabia 364440 356201 6310 0.05 1.73 181
## 64 Morocco 456334 431167 7854 0.28 1.72 213
## 65 South Korea 70728 55772 1195 0.73 1.69 23
## 66 Kyrgyzstan 82723 78563 1378 0.16 1.67 211
## 67 United States 23836911 14087548 397808 0.94 1.67 1202
## 68 Cameroon 27336 24892 451 0.00 1.65 17
## 69 Portugal 517806 387607 8384 2.11 1.62 822
## 70 Czech Republic 866522 708842 13856 1.28 1.60 1294
## 71 Panama 288408 227141 4594 0.00 1.59 1065
## 72 Zambia 32800 22504 514 5.47 1.57 28
## 73 Finland 39593 31000 616 0.66 1.56 111
## 74 Malta 15079 12250 235 0.81 1.56 532
## 75 Ethiopia 129922 114749 2008 0.36 1.55 17
## 76 Libya 107434 84245 1645 0.72 1.53 239
## 77 Ireland 163057 23364 2488 2.46 1.53 504
## 78 Slovakia 217978 160401 3260 1.36 1.50 597
## 79 Bangladesh 525723 470405 7849 0.15 1.49 48
## 80 Madagascar 18001 17447 267 0.00 1.48 10
## 81 India 10528346 10161868 151954 0.15 1.44 110
## 82 Lithuania 164414 97511 2346 0.84 1.43 862
## 83 Netherlands 895687 322 12774 0.73 1.43 745
## 84 Kazakhstan 165311 151172 2349 0.51 1.42 125
## 85 Japan 310641 233665 4340 2.17 1.40 34
## 86 Montenegro 54316 43940 740 0.88 1.36 1178
## 87 Nigeria 105478 83830 1405 1.42 1.33 7
## 88 Jordan 312043 294802 4107 0.35 1.32 403
## 89 Costa Rica 183242 140573 2401 0.60 1.31 471
## 90 Azerbaijan 226200 213279 2971 0.17 1.31 293
## 91 Dominican Republic 187487 140524 2428 0.59 1.30 224
## 92 Rwanda 10316 6974 133 1.92 1.29 10
## 93 Georgia 244612 228359 2867 0.56 1.17 719
## 94 Puerto Rico 145119 73760 1679 0.23 1.16 587
## 95 Oman 131264 123593 1509 0.14 1.15 295
## 96 Luxembourg 48486 45449 545 0.24 1.12 871
## 97 Palestinian Territory 150505 136247 1665 0.49 1.11 NA
## 98 Serbia 368072 31536 3687 0.51 1.00 422
## 99 Turkey 2364801 2236938 23495 0.38 0.99 279
## 100 Cuba 16549 12699 160 3.15 0.97 14
## 101 Uruguay 29989 21685 280 5.32 0.93 81
## 102 Namibia 29570 25845 275 1.33 0.93 108
## 103 Venezuela 117811 111616 1084 0.44 0.92 38
## 104 Cape Verde 12664 11989 115 0.57 0.91 NA
## 105 Denmark 185836 161846 1661 0.00 0.89 287
## 106 Norway 57736 46611 511 0.79 0.89 94
## 107 Estonia 35621 25032 311 1.80 0.87 234
## 108 Mozambique 24269 18352 211 2.29 0.87 7
## 109 Uganda 38085 13083 304 0.00 0.80 7
## 110 Uzbekistan 77777 76276 618 0.08 0.79 18
## 111 Lebanon 237132 147746 1781 2.24 0.75 261
## 112 Israel 529814 447308 3870 1.88 0.73 447
## 113 Nepal 266546 260177 1943 0.15 0.73 67
## 114 French Polynesia 17590 4842 126 0.61 0.72 449
## 115 Belarus 219663 202446 1554 0.90 0.71 164
## 116 Tajikistan 13308 13218 90 0.00 0.68 9
## 117 Thailand 11262 7660 69 2.47 0.61 1
## 118 Ghana 56981 55236 341 0.00 0.60 11
## 119 Kuwait 156434 150061 946 0.36 0.60 222
## 120 Guinea 14051 13301 81 0.00 0.58 6
## 121 Cyprus 28124 2057 163 0.00 0.58 135
## 122 Côte d'Ivoire 24578 22856 140 0.86 0.57 5
## 123 French Guiana 14526 9995 74 0.00 0.51 248
## 124 Sri Lanka 50899 43747 251 1.33 0.49 12
## 125 Botswana 17365 13519 71 3.56 0.41 30
## 126 Malaysia 147855 113288 578 2.31 0.39 18
## 127 Bahrain 96812 93329 356 0.35 0.37 209
## 128 Maldives 14325 13463 49 0.34 0.34 91
## 129 United Arab Emirates 242969 215820 726 1.41 0.30 73
## 130 Qatar 146689 143261 246 0.14 0.17 85
## 131 Singapore 59029 58757 29 0.08 0.05 5
## [1] "Pakistan leading 1 cum_confirm == 0 trimed"
## [1] "Provinces added more than 0 cases in last 1-day:"
## time country province cum_confirm cum_heal cum_dead added
## 1 2021-01-14 China Jiangxi 935 934 1 71
## 2 2021-01-14 China Heilongjiang 1074 951 13 43
## 3 2021-01-14 China Hong Kong 9414 8631 161 29
## 4 2021-01-14 China Shandong 864 855 7 7
## 5 2021-01-14 China Sichuan 858 845 3 7
## 6 2021-01-14 China Hebei 941 379 7 6
## 7 2021-01-14 China Guangdong 2084 2031 8 3
## 8 2021-01-14 China Shanghai 1583 1489 7 2
## 9 2021-01-14 China Zhejiang 1309 1296 1 1
## 10 2021-01-14 China Jiangsu 688 684 0 1
## 11 2021-01-14 China Guangxi 266 261 2 1