John Hopkins, NY Times, and COVID Tracking Project all have similar if not same deaths and cases. The following uses John Hopkins data.

The CDC ‘excess deaths’ is used, which is all deaths reported to the National Center of Health Statistics for 2020 less the prior three years average reported deaths. It is likely that the ‘excess deaths’ is a more accurate depiction of Covid 19 deaths than reported Covid 19 Deaths. However excess deaths are lagged by 2 weeks to 3 weeks. This report only uses CDC excess deaths to ‘rlastCDC’ .

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United States is mapped against Sweden. Sweden is the ‘base case’ where there is only mitigation and no suppression such as quarantine or lock-downs. Given the relentless infectiousness of Covid 19 ans while treatment is imporving there is still no cure, it is thought all countries will replicate Sweden status, especially deaths to percentage infected, in time - that supression only serves to pause this process. Of course this does not consider a vaccine.

The cumulative integral, f(x) of normalized daily deaths to percentage of the population that have been infected seeks to summarize the current status of United States.
It is assumed that Sweden is the ‘base case’ and without suppression all countries will to various degrees replicate the Sedish case.