Overview

Professor: Joe Roith

Email: roith1@stolaf.edu

Note: I will respond to emails as quickly as possible during the week before 5 PM. I may have slower responses to emails in the evenings or on weekends.

Drop-in office hours: You can book appointment slots with me every weekday from 1:30 - 2:30 PM or MWF 10 - 10:30 AM. Each appointment slot is 15 min.

You may also schedule an appointment with me outside of these times (check my calendar for availability).

Class meetings: We will meet synchronously for all class periods on MTWThF 10:40 AM - 12:40 PM.

Course technology:

  • Moodle: All course files and information will be posted on our Moodle site. Check Moodle daily for updates!

  • Zoom: Class meetings will be held via video conference. Recordings can be made available by prior request and my approval.

  • Google Meet: This will be the primary mode for my virtual office hours.

  • Google Docs and Spreadsheet: I will occasionally ask you to work in small groups and submit collaborative work.

  • R and RStudio: This is a free statistical software used by many in the statistical and data science industry. You will use and alter code I provide as well as write your own and run it through our campus RStudio server (the link above).

  • Other: We will use other online resources, applets, and software throughout the semester. Please do not hesitate to seek help with using any of these technologies.

Textbook: Introductory Statistics with Randomization and Simulation (2014), David M. Diez, Christopher D. Barr, Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel

Available free online or from Amazon for under $10

Companion website: https://www.openintro.org/stat/textbook.php

Link to the “real” syllabus: Shadow Syllabus for all your classes

Course Format

This will be a challenging interim. This is a class that covers a lot of material and requires a lot of practice. On top of that, we will deal with being completely online. There will most likely be changes to my plans and schedule that will require flexibility and grace from everyone involved. I appreciate your understanding and I will extend the same to you during our time.

Our class will be entirely online and I envision a combination of synchronous and asynchronous styles. Most days during our scheduled class time we will meet via Zoom. These meetings will consist of lectures at the the beginning of the semester and gradually be replaced with more discussions, activities, and small group work as the semester moves along.

A large part of the content delivery for my classes are interactive online tutorials. You can expect to see 3-4 of these tutorials each week, and their completion is required before we meet. I will update Moodle weekly with the tutorial links and when they need to be completed. Everyone will move through these at their own pace, but typically they are intended to take between 30-60 minutes each. My intent is that you will find these much more engaging and easier to follow than recorded video lectures or readings.

In addition to the tutorials, I do expect you to read the textbook, participate in class worksheets, and complete homework and quizzes. In general, this is what you can expect on a weekly basis for this class:

  • Textbook and article readings

  • Zoom lectures with slides

  • Interactive online tutorials

  • Worksheets, activities, and small group discussions completed during Zoom meetings

  • Homework and Moodle quizzes

  • Mini-projects completed in groups

Course description

Statistics is the science of learning from data. By now you are aware that vast amounts of data are collected every moment in a variety of settings like political polls, clinical trials, stock markets, and social media user metrics to name just a few. Statistical methods are especially critical to the sciences, as they are our only real way to test theories, quantify natural phenomenon, create accurate predictions, and make evidence-based decisions.

Some of the practical ways in which statistics is used in the sciences include:

  • Medicine (monitoring patient information and history for more accurate diagnosis and prognosis)

  • Biostatistics (designing and analyzing clinical trials and epidemiological studies)

  • Bioinformatics (studying DNA data and human genetics as related to disease)

  • Actuary (performing analysis in the insurance and superannuation industry)

  • Ecology (environmental monitoring, species management, land surveying)

  • Climatology (weather forecasting using historical data)

  • Demography (studying the dynamics of human populations)

  • Psychometrics (constructing instruments for educational or psychological measurement)

  • Image processing (aiding in computer vision, facial detection, and remote sensing)

Statistics is a unique field of study as it lends itself equally to any of the areas mentioned above, but is built on its own theories and rules. We constantly evolve approaches to data collection, analysis, and interpretation. Although we use mathematics, statistics is quite different. Be prepared to think and read critically in this class. In addition, there is a language and vocabulary of statistics that is important to use properly.

Course objectives

  1. To learn ways of investigating questions involving statistical concepts.

  2. To develop basic skills in three key areas of statistics:

    • data collection – methods for obtaining meaningful data

    • data analysis – methods for exploring, organizing, describing, and modeling data

    • statistical inference – making decisions with data

  3. To develop an understanding of statistical concepts and an ability to interpret the results of statistical analyses and to communicate those results using clear and precise statistical language.

  4. To receive an exposure to statistical problems from a wide variety of sources (medical studies, newspaper surveys, sociology studies, etc.) and encompassing a variety of data types and collection methodologies.

  5. To obtain practical experience in study planning, data collection, and the written communication of statistical concepts through individual homework assignments and group projects.

Features of this course

Philosophy

This course is centered on the idea that you will better understand and retain important statistical concepts if you build your own knowledge and practice using it, rather than by memorizing and regurgitating a set of facts. In order to actively construct knowledge in statistics, you must:

  • Engage in the material and think carefully about it; there are rarely rote, black and white solutions in statistics.

  • Become skillful at using R, a software package for exploring, modeling, and making decisions with data. You’ll have opportunities to use R inside and outside of class.

  • Expect small amounts of daily homework, decent-sized weekly homework sets, and longer projects which allow you to pull your knowledge together.

Class Preparation and Participation

My expectations of you before each class:

  1. Read the appropriate sections in the textbook (reading guides are available on Moodle, but I will not collect/grade them).

  2. Complete any online tutorials assigned for that day.

  3. Read any supplemental material posted.

I expect your participation in our classes. They will often include small and large group work. Occasionally you will be asked to lead a small group on a worksheet or task. This is not meant to intimidate you, put you on the spot, or force you to be the only contributor that day. It is meant to develop your leadership skills, promote interaction with classmates, and give me a chance to hear everyone’s voice. This will be a safe environment where mistakes and uncertainty are welcome!

Zoom behavior

Zoom is terrible… I’d much rather see you in person and watch your eyes roll at my awful jokes. But, we’re doing the right thing this semester by not meeting in person. The hardest thing for me as a teacher is the mute button. Class is so much better when I can see and hear you. I’m not requiring you to have your video on during class, but I highly encourage it (feel free to use a background if you’d like). And please unmute yourself when you have something to say.

Computing

This course will use R extensively. Course datasets and code are easily available on the R server which can be accessed by the link on Moodle. Supplemental materials will be provided on Moodle for learning to use R. Further instructions will be provided during class.

Learning R is necessary to do statistics. There is a learning curve and you will make mistakes, it just happens (and still happens to me). It is important that you take a breath, step back, and remember to seek help to resolve your issue. Come to my office hours, ask classmates for help, and ask me questions in class. Past students have found learning R to be ultimately very useful and even fun. R is freely downloadable for both Mac and PC at https://cran.r-project.org/, and it’s available on a St. Olaf server!

Often during our classes, I will ask you to share your screen and code. That means you may have to split your screen to watch and type at the same time. Keep up with the class or your group and be prepared to talk through your code or output.

Grading

Your course grade will be determined as follows:

Grade Subgroup Weight
Homework Assignments 15%
Quizzes 15%
Mini-Exams (2) 10% each
Mini-Projects (4) 10% each
Participation 10%

College wide grading benchmarks can be found at: http://catalog.stolaf.edu/academic-regulations-procedures/grades/

Homework

There will be weekly homework assignments. Homework assignments are designed to give you practice applying new statistical concepts to new data contexts. Homework will be drawn from the exercises at the end of each chapter as well as additional questions. The homework assignments are long, so you should work through them as we go along. Many of the problems require computation. Code snippets in these cases will usually be provided.

  • You are encouraged to discuss problems together, but each person must hand in their own work.

  • You must show your work for full credit.

  • Homework is ALWAYS due by 11:59 PM on the posted due date. Anything after this will be assessed a late penalty. This includes late assignments due to technical issues. Plan ahead.

  • I expect that you will start soon after receiving the assignment. The assignments are definitely not designed to be one-night jobs.

  • Homework is completed using RMarkdown and you are required to upload both the RMarkdown (.Rmd) file and knitted pdf file to Moodle.

Quizzes

We will have several short Moodle quizzes throughout the week (typically due Wednesdays and Fridays). You will have 1 hour to complete each quiz and two attempts. You must complete quizzes independently. You may use the textbook, notes, slides, worksheets, tutorials, or any other materials when taking the quizzes. All quizzes must be completed by 11:59 PM on their due date.

Mini-Exams

We will have two (2) short exams throughout the semester administered through Moodle. These will essentially be long quizzes with only one attempt. You will have 2 hours to complete each exam and one attempts. You must complete exams independently. You may use the textbook, notes, slides, worksheets, tutorials, or any other materials when taking the quizzes.

These exams will focus on your abilities to interpret results, to express an understanding of statistical concepts, and to engage in statistical thinking on several open-ended questions. They will not focus on plug-and-chug mathematics or hairy mathematical proofs. Make-up exams will be granted only under very special circumstances, and only if arranged in advance.

Exams will be available on Moodle to complete over the course of 48 hours.

  • Mini-Exam #1: January 16 - 17

  • Mini-Exam #2: January 28 - 29

Mini-Projects

Each week, you will have a short project to complete in small groups. The goal of these projects is to:

  • reinforce the material learned from each week

  • expose you to dealing with real data

  • experience working within a team on a statistical problem

  • practice formal statistical writing

Groups of 2-3 will be assigned by myself for the first project and there may be an opportunity to choose your own group members for the remaining. More information will be posted on Moodle and discussed throughout the semester. I will provide some time during class to work on the projects, but most of the work needs to be completed outside of class. I will be available during office hours and by appointment for help with the projects.

Mini-Projects will be due by the end of the day every Friday.

  • Mini-Project #1 due January 8

  • Mini-Project #2 due January 15

  • Mini-Project #3 due January 22

  • Mini-Project #4 due January 29

Participation

Participation in this class can take several different forms: participation in discussions, contributing to small group activities, contributions to worksheet keys and class study guides, attending office hours, and plenty of other ways. Be prepared to actively engage in all of these areas for full participation credit.

Available help

You can all be successful in this class! If you are struggling or if you’re feeling good about things but have some questions, there are several resources:

Notes and Statements

Note about Disabilities

I am committed to supporting the learning of all students in my class. If you have already registered with Disability and Access (DAC) and have your letter of accommodations, please meet with me as soon as possible to discuss, plan, and implement your accommodations in the course. If you have or think you have a disability (learning, sensory, physical, chronic health, mental health or attention), please contact Disability and Access staff at 507-786-3288 or by visiting wp.stolaf.edu/academic-support/dac.

Statement of Inclusivity

In keeping with St. Olaf College’s mission statement, this class strives to be an inclusive learning community, respecting those of differing backgrounds and beliefs. As a community, we aim to be respectful to all citizens in this class, regardless of race, ethnicity, religion, gender or sexual orientation.

I acknowledge that my gender, race, and education contributes to my privilege hazard. I am committed to learning of and about inherent biases in my teaching and my field, and while they may not be intentional, they are not acceptable. I hope you will be comfortable approaching me if you feel any aspect of this class inhibits your ability to be equally heard and represented. Statistics can be a powerful tool to place a spotlight on the societal inequities we face, but we also need to confront the ways that data are racist, sexist, and classist. Throughout this course, we will use and discuss data that may make you feel slightly uncomfortable, but the goal is to approach important, complex questions through empirical data analysis.

Note about Academic Integrity

Plagiarism, the unacknowledged appropriation of another person’s words or ideas, is a serious academic offense. It is imperative that you hand in work that is your own, and that cites or gives credit to others whenever you draw from their work. Please see St. Olaf’s statements on academic integrity and plagiarism at: https://wp.stolaf.edu/thebook/academic/integrity/. See also the description of St. Olaf’s honor system at: https://wp.stolaf.edu/honorcouncil/

St. Olaf’s Academic Integrity Policy, including the Honor System, is an integral part of your academic experience. I consider any violation of this code to be extremely serious and will handle each case appropriately. Here are some guidelines for this class. They do not cover all eventualities so if you have any doubts about a course of action you can ask me.

  • Homework assignments may be done in collaboration with other students (this is highly encouraged). However, the final product must written by you, in your own words, unless group assignments have been specifically allowed.

  • In no event can you copy answers from another student, a website, solutions manuals, or elsewhere.

  • Exams and quizzes MUST be completed independently. Any suspicion of collaborative work will result in reporting to the Honor Council and potential for immediate failure of the course.

  • When you sign your pledge on an exam that you have “neither given nor received assistance, and seen no dishonest work” I treat your signature as your solemn pledge that all your actions have been honorable. For example, if we have a take-home exam, you are assuring me that you shared no information with others, that you did not solicit or receive help from anyone besides me, etc.

  • Don’t treat the honor code lightly; if you’re in doubt about a possible violation, ask me.

Schedule

Tentative Outline of topics: The following table provides a rough sketch of the topics we’ll cover during specific weeks, along with the associated reading assignments in our textbook:

Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Monday Ch. 1: Intro to R, Big Picture ideas Ch. 2.1-2.4: Randomization tests Ch. 3.3-3.4: Chi-square tests Ch. 5.1: Correlation and intro to regression
Tuesday Ch. 1: Data, Variables, CUSSing, EDA, Data Wrangling Ch. 2.5-2.7: Normal distribution and CLT Ch. 4.1-4.2: Inference for one mean Ch. 5.2-5.3: Regression line
Wednesday Ch. 1: Populations/samples, experiments/observational studies Ch. 2.5-2.8: Normal distribution examples, confidence intervals Ch. 4.3: Inference for two means Ch. 5.4: Regression inference
Thursday Ch. 1: More EDA examples, work time for mini-project #1 Ch. 3.1: Inference for one proportion Ch. 4.4: ANOVA Additional topic: Regression transformations
Friday Ch. 2.1-2.3: Symbols, inference, hypothesis testing, p-values Ch. 3.2: Inference for two proportions Ch. 4.1-4.4: Examples from Ch. 4 and mini-project work time More examples and work on mini-projects