Germany: Second Wave
George Robertson
December, 11, 2020
Cumulative Deaths
Germany cumulative deaths were steady until 5 weeks ago then surged upwards.
Daily Deaths
Daily deaths are plotted and then the smoothed daily deaths overlayed (all data used is provided at the end of this report).
Daily New Cases
Daily new cases are plotted and the smoothed daily new cases overlayed.
Large Surge in Cases
The large surge in Germany daily new cases is thought to mean there is a large increase in Covid 19, a “second wave”.
Correlation of Cases to Deaths Found
Daily new cases are scatter plotted against daily deaths.
Lagging Deaths to Cases
Death occurs after initial infection and is a lagging indicator. An increase in cases should lead in daily deaths. Daily deaths are lagged 18 days (the severity reports mean for the time required to die after becoming infected).
With daily deaths lagged 18 days, there is significant correlation between daily deaths lagged and daily new cases. This means cases are correctly depicting the disease in Germany.
## [1] 266
There is significant correlation between lagged daily new deaths and daily new cases.
Germany deaths are divided by the assumed Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of 0.5%. This gives the cumulative infections as of 18 days prior to last. This cumulative infections is then divided by the population to give the percentage of Germany have had Covid 19.
The f(x), the integral of normalized daily deaths to percentage of population infected:
5.1
For perspecitive, California is currently at an f(x) integral of normalized daily deaths to percentage infected of 28.
Germany data is from Our World in Data
## cn date cases dcases dcasessm death daid daidsm pop l18
## 1 DEU 2020-03-02 159 29 20 NA 0 0.0 83783945 9
## 2 DEU 2020-03-03 196 37 26 NA 0 0.0 83783945 11
## 3 DEU 2020-03-04 262 66 34 NA 0 0.0 83783945 12
## 4 DEU 2020-03-05 482 220 62 NA 0 0.0 83783945 15
## 5 DEU 2020-03-06 670 188 89 NA 0 0.0 83783945 19
## 6 DEU 2020-03-07 799 129 103 NA 0 0.0 83783945 25
## 7 DEU 2020-03-08 1040 241 130 NA 0 0.0 83783945 32
## 8 DEU 2020-03-09 1176 136 145 2 2 0.3 83783945 39
## 9 DEU 2020-03-10 1457 281 180 2 0 0.3 83783945 50
## 10 DEU 2020-03-11 1908 451 235 3 1 0.4 83783945 63
## 11 DEU 2020-03-12 2078 170 228 3 0 0.4 83783945 75
## 12 DEU 2020-03-13 3675 1597 429 7 4 1.0 83783945 88
## 13 DEU 2020-03-14 4585 910 541 9 2 1.3 83783945 102
## 14 DEU 2020-03-15 5795 1210 679 11 2 1.6 83783945 120
## 15 DEU 2020-03-16 7272 1477 871 17 6 2.1 83783945 133
## 16 DEU 2020-03-17 9257 1985 1114 24 7 3.1 83783945 144
## 17 DEU 2020-03-18 12327 3070 1488 28 4 3.6 83783945 150
## 18 DEU 2020-03-19 15320 2993 1892 44 16 5.9 83783945 166
## 19 DEU 2020-03-20 19848 4528 2310 67 23 8.6 83783945 177
## 20 DEU 2020-03-21 22213 2365 2518 84 17 10.7 83783945 204
## 21 DEU 2020-03-22 24873 2660 2725 94 10 11.9 83783945 214
## 22 DEU 2020-03-23 29056 4183 3112 123 29 15.1 83783945 213
## 23 DEU 2020-03-24 32986 3930 3390 157 34 19.0 83783945 185
## 24 DEU 2020-03-25 37323 4337 3571 206 49 25.4 83783945 205
## 25 DEU 2020-03-26 43938 6615 4088 267 61 31.9 83783945 198
## 26 DEU 2020-03-27 50871 6933 4432 342 75 39.3 83783945 183
## 27 DEU 2020-03-28 57695 6824 5069 433 91 49.9 83783945 208
## 28 DEU 2020-03-29 62095 4400 5317 533 100 62.7 83783945 206
## 29 DEU 2020-03-30 66885 4790 5404 645 112 74.6 83783945 226
## 30 DEU 2020-03-31 71808 4923 5546 775 130 88.3 83783945 246
## 31 DEU 2020-04-01 77872 6064 5793 920 145 102.0 83783945 223
## 32 DEU 2020-04-02 84794 6922 5837 1107 187 120.0 83783945 238
## 33 DEU 2020-04-03 91159 6365 5755 1275 168 133.3 83783945 248
## 34 DEU 2020-04-04 96092 4933 5485 1444 169 144.4 83783945 211
## 35 DEU 2020-04-05 100123 4031 5433 1584 140 150.1 83783945 218
## 36 DEU 2020-04-06 103374 3251 5213 1810 226 166.4 83783945 201
## 37 DEU 2020-04-07 107663 4289 5122 2016 206 177.3 83783945 203
## 38 DEU 2020-04-08 113296 5633 5061 2349 333 204.1 83783945 199
## 39 DEU 2020-04-09 118181 4885 4770 2607 258 214.3 83783945 181
## 40 DEU 2020-04-10 122171 3990 4430 2767 160 213.1 83783945 183
## 41 DEU 2020-04-11 124908 2737 4117 2736 -31 184.6 83783945 170
## 42 DEU 2020-04-12 127854 2946 3962 3022 286 205.4 83783945 150
## 43 DEU 2020-04-13 130072 2218 3814 3194 172 197.7 83783945 139
## 44 DEU 2020-04-14 131359 1287 3385 3294 100 182.6 83783945 134
## 45 DEU 2020-04-15 134753 3394 3065 3804 510 207.9 83783945 127
## 46 DEU 2020-04-16 137698 2945 2788 4052 248 206.4 83783945 124
## 47 DEU 2020-04-17 141397 3699 2747 4352 300 226.4 83783945 97
## 48 DEU 2020-04-18 143342 1945 2633 4459 107 246.1 83783945 115
## 49 DEU 2020-04-19 145184 1842 2476 4586 127 223.4 83783945 110
## 50 DEU 2020-04-20 147065 1881 2428 4862 276 238.3 83783945 111
## 51 DEU 2020-04-21 148291 1226 2419 5033 171 248.4 83783945 105
## 52 DEU 2020-04-22 150648 2357 2271 5279 246 210.7 83783945 100
## 53 DEU 2020-04-23 153129 2481 2204 5575 296 217.6 83783945 95
## 54 DEU 2020-04-24 154999 1870 1943 5760 185 201.1 83783945 106
## 55 DEU 2020-04-25 156513 1514 1882 5877 117 202.6 83783945 84
## 56 DEU 2020-04-26 157770 1257 1798 5976 99 198.6 83783945 70
## 57 DEU 2020-04-27 158758 988 1670 6126 150 180.6 83783945 55
## 58 DEU 2020-04-28 159912 1154 1660 6314 188 183.0 83783945 56
## 59 DEU 2020-04-29 161539 1627 1556 6467 153 169.7 83783945 56
## 60 DEU 2020-04-30 163009 1470 1411 6623 156 149.7 83783945 49
## 61 DEU 2020-05-01 164077 1068 1297 6736 113 139.4 83783945 49
## 62 DEU 2020-05-02 164967 890 1208 6812 76 133.6 83783945 40
## 63 DEU 2020-05-03 165664 697 1128 6866 54 127.1 83783945 46
## 64 DEU 2020-05-04 166152 488 1056 6993 127 123.9 83783945 47
## 65 DEU 2020-05-05 167007 855 1014 6993 0 97.0 83783945 46
## 66 DEU 2020-05-06 168162 1155 946 7275 282 115.4 83783945 46
## 67 DEU 2020-05-07 169430 1268 917 7392 117 109.9 83783945 44
## 68 DEU 2020-05-08 170588 1158 930 7510 118 110.6 83783945 42
## 69 DEU 2020-05-09 171324 736 908 7549 39 105.3 83783945 41
## 70 DEU 2020-05-10 171879 555 888 7569 20 100.4 83783945 38
## 71 DEU 2020-05-11 172576 697 918 7661 92 95.4 83783945 39
## 72 DEU 2020-05-12 173171 595 881 7738 77 106.4 83783945 38
## 73 DEU 2020-05-13 174098 927 848 7861 123 83.7 83783945 37
## 74 DEU 2020-05-14 174478 380 721 7884 23 70.3 83783945 35
## 75 DEU 2020-05-15 175233 755 664 7897 13 55.3 83783945 27
## 76 DEU 2020-05-16 175752 519 633 7938 41 55.6 83783945 25
## 77 DEU 2020-05-17 176369 617 641 7962 24 56.1 83783945 24
## 78 DEU 2020-05-18 176551 182 568 8003 41 48.9 83783945 22
## 79 DEU 2020-05-19 177778 1227 658 8081 78 49.0 83783945 20
## 80 DEU 2020-05-20 178473 695 625 8144 63 40.4 83783945 21
## 81 DEU 2020-05-21 179021 548 649 8203 59 45.6 83783945 20
## 82 DEU 2020-05-22 179710 689 640 8228 25 47.3 83783945 25
## 83 DEU 2020-05-23 179986 276 605 8261 33 46.1 83783945 21
## 84 DEU 2020-05-24 180328 342 566 8283 22 45.9 83783945 20
## 85 DEU 2020-05-25 180600 272 578 8309 26 43.7 83783945 18
## 86 DEU 2020-05-26 181200 600 489 8372 63 41.6 83783945 17
## 87 DEU 2020-05-27 181524 324 436 8428 56 40.6 83783945 17
## 88 DEU 2020-05-28 182196 672 454 8470 42 38.1 83783945 16
## 89 DEU 2020-05-29 182922 726 459 8504 34 39.4 83783945 12
## 90 DEU 2020-05-30 183189 267 458 8530 26 38.4 83783945 14
## 91 DEU 2020-05-31 183410 221 440 8540 10 36.7 83783945 15
## 92 DEU 2020-06-01 183594 184 428 8555 15 35.1 83783945 15
## 93 DEU 2020-06-02 183879 285 383 8563 8 27.3 83783945 15
## 94 DEU 2020-06-03 184121 242 371 8602 39 24.9 83783945 13
## 95 DEU 2020-06-04 184472 351 325 8635 33 23.6 83783945 13
## 96 DEU 2020-06-05 184924 452 286 8658 23 22.0 83783945 13
## 97 DEU 2020-06-06 185450 526 323 8673 15 20.4 83783945 11
## 98 DEU 2020-06-07 185750 300 334 8685 12 20.7 83783945 9
## 99 DEU 2020-06-08 186109 359 359 8695 10 20.0 83783945 11
## 100 DEU 2020-06-09 186506 397 375 8736 41 24.7 83783945 10
## 101 DEU 2020-06-10 186522 16 343 8752 16 21.4 83783945 10
## 102 DEU 2020-06-11 186691 169 317 8772 20 19.6 83783945 11
## 103 DEU 2020-06-12 187226 535 329 8783 11 17.9 83783945 11
## 104 DEU 2020-06-13 187267 41 260 8793 10 17.1 83783945 10
## 105 DEU 2020-06-14 187518 251 253 8801 8 16.6 83783945 9
## 106 DEU 2020-06-15 187682 164 225 8807 6 16.0 83783945 6
## 107 DEU 2020-06-16 188252 570 249 8820 13 12.0 83783945 7
## 108 DEU 2020-06-17 188604 352 297 8851 31 14.1 83783945 8
## 109 DEU 2020-06-18 189817 1213 447 8875 24 14.7 83783945 7
## 110 DEU 2020-06-19 190299 482 439 8887 12 14.9 83783945 6
## 111 DEU 2020-06-20 190670 371 486 8895 8 14.6 83783945 7
## 112 DEU 2020-06-21 191272 602 536 8895 0 13.4 83783945 7
## 113 DEU 2020-06-22 191768 496 584 8899 4 13.1 83783945 8
## 114 DEU 2020-06-23 192480 712 604 8914 15 13.4 83783945 7
## 115 DEU 2020-06-24 192871 391 610 8928 14 11.0 83783945 7
## 116 DEU 2020-06-25 193371 500 508 8940 12 9.3 83783945 7
## 117 DEU 2020-06-26 194036 665 534 8965 25 11.1 83783945 7
## 118 DEU 2020-06-27 194458 422 541 8968 3 10.4 83783945 5
## 119 DEU 2020-06-28 194693 235 489 8968 0 10.4 83783945 4
## 120 DEU 2020-06-29 195042 349 468 8976 8 11.0 83783945 4
## 121 DEU 2020-06-30 195418 376 420 8990 14 10.9 83783945 3
## 122 DEU 2020-07-01 195893 475 432 8995 5 9.6 83783945 3
## 123 DEU 2020-07-02 196370 477 428 9006 11 9.4 83783945 3
## 124 DEU 2020-07-03 196780 410 392 9010 4 6.4 83783945 3
## 125 DEU 2020-07-04 197198 418 391 9020 10 7.4 83783945 3
## 126 DEU 2020-07-05 197523 325 404 9023 3 7.9 83783945 3
## 127 DEU 2020-07-06 198064 541 432 9022 -1 6.6 83783945 5
## 128 DEU 2020-07-07 198343 279 418 9032 10 6.0 83783945 5
## 129 DEU 2020-07-08 198699 356 401 9046 14 7.3 83783945 5
## 130 DEU 2020-07-09 199001 302 376 9057 11 7.3 83783945 4
## 131 DEU 2020-07-10 199332 331 365 9063 6 7.6 83783945 5
## 132 DEU 2020-07-11 199709 377 359 9070 7 7.1 83783945 5
## 133 DEU 2020-07-12 199919 210 342 9071 1 6.9 83783945 5
## 134 DEU 2020-07-13 200180 261 302 9074 3 7.4 83783945 4
## 135 DEU 2020-07-14 200456 276 302 9078 4 6.6 83783945 4
## 136 DEU 2020-07-15 200890 434 313 9080 2 4.9 83783945 4
## 137 DEU 2020-07-16 201450 560 350 9087 7 4.3 83783945 4
## 138 DEU 2020-07-17 202045 595 388 9088 1 3.6 83783945 5
## 139 DEU 2020-07-18 202426 381 388 9091 3 3.0 83783945 6
## 140 DEU 2020-07-19 202735 309 402 9092 1 3.0 83783945 5
## 141 DEU 2020-07-20 203325 590 449 9094 2 2.9 83783945 7
## 142 DEU 2020-07-21 203717 392 466 9099 5 3.0 83783945 7
## 143 DEU 2020-07-22 204276 559 484 9102 3 3.1 83783945 7
## 144 DEU 2020-07-23 204881 605 490 9110 8 3.3 83783945 7
## 145 DEU 2020-07-24 205623 742 511 9120 10 4.6 83783945 6
## 146 DEU 2020-07-25 206278 655 550 9124 4 4.7 83783945 5
## 147 DEU 2020-07-26 206667 389 562 9124 0 4.6 83783945 5
## 148 DEU 2020-07-27 207112 445 541 9125 1 4.4 83783945 5
## 149 DEU 2020-07-28 207707 595 570 9131 6 4.6 83783945 5
## 150 DEU 2020-07-29 208546 839 610 9135 4 4.7 83783945 5
## 151 DEU 2020-07-30 209535 989 665 9144 9 4.9 83783945 5
## 152 DEU 2020-07-31 210399 864 682 9147 3 3.9 83783945 5
## 153 DEU 2020-08-01 211005 606 675 9154 7 4.3 83783945 5
## 154 DEU 2020-08-02 211220 215 650 9154 0 4.3 83783945 7
## 155 DEU 2020-08-03 212111 891 714 9154 0 4.1 83783945 5
## 156 DEU 2020-08-04 212828 717 732 9163 9 4.6 83783945 5
## 157 DEU 2020-08-05 214113 1285 795 9179 16 6.3 83783945 6
## 158 DEU 2020-08-06 215039 926 786 9181 2 5.3 83783945 6
## 159 DEU 2020-08-07 216196 1157 828 9195 14 6.9 83783945 6
## 160 DEU 2020-08-08 216903 707 843 9201 6 6.7 83783945 5
## 161 DEU 2020-08-09 217288 385 867 9202 1 6.9 83783945 4
## 162 DEU 2020-08-10 218508 1220 914 9203 1 7.0 83783945 3
## 163 DEU 2020-08-11 219540 1032 959 9208 5 6.4 83783945 4
## 164 DEU 2020-08-12 220859 1319 964 9213 5 4.9 83783945 4
## 165 DEU 2020-08-13 222281 1422 1035 9217 4 5.1 83783945 4
## 166 DEU 2020-08-14 223791 1510 1085 9230 13 5.0 83783945 4
## 167 DEU 2020-08-15 224488 697 1084 9235 5 4.9 83783945 5
## 168 DEU 2020-08-16 225007 519 1103 9235 0 4.7 83783945 5
## 169 DEU 2020-08-17 226700 1693 1170 9236 1 4.7 83783945 5
## 170 DEU 2020-08-18 228120 1420 1226 9241 5 4.7 83783945 4
## 171 DEU 2020-08-19 229706 1586 1264 9249 8 5.1 83783945 4
## 172 DEU 2020-08-20 231292 1586 1287 9263 14 6.6 83783945 4
## 173 DEU 2020-08-21 233029 1737 1320 9266 3 5.1 83783945 4
## 174 DEU 2020-08-22 233861 832 1339 9272 6 5.3 83783945 3
## 175 DEU 2020-08-23 234494 633 1355 9275 3 5.7 83783945 3
## 176 DEU 2020-08-24 236122 1628 1346 9276 1 5.7 83783945 3
## 177 DEU 2020-08-25 237583 1461 1352 9281 5 5.7 83783945 3
## 178 DEU 2020-08-26 239010 1427 1329 9285 4 5.1 83783945 3
## 179 DEU 2020-08-27 240571 1561 1326 9290 5 3.9 83783945 4
## 180 DEU 2020-08-28 242126 1555 1300 9290 0 3.4 83783945 4
## 181 DEU 2020-08-29 242835 709 1282 9299 9 3.9 83783945 4
## 182 DEU 2020-08-30 243305 470 1259 9300 1 3.6 83783945 4
## 183 DEU 2020-08-31 244802 1497 1240 9303 3 3.9 83783945 5
## 184 DEU 2020-09-01 246015 1213 1205 9307 4 3.7 83783945 5
## 185 DEU 2020-09-02 247411 1396 1200 9322 15 5.3 83783945 5
## 186 DEU 2020-09-03 248840 1429 1181 9322 0 4.6 83783945 5
## 187 DEU 2020-09-04 250283 1443 1165 9327 5 5.3 83783945 5
## 188 DEU 2020-09-05 251058 775 1175 9329 2 4.3 83783945 7
## 189 DEU 2020-09-06 251728 670 1203 9330 1 4.3 83783945 9
## 190 DEU 2020-09-07 253626 1898 1261 9331 1 4.0 83783945 9
## 191 DEU 2020-09-08 254957 1331 1277 9336 5 4.1 83783945 10
## 192 DEU 2020-09-09 256433 1476 1289 9342 6 2.9 83783945 11
## 193 DEU 2020-09-10 258149 1716 1330 9345 3 3.3 83783945 11
## 194 DEU 2020-09-11 259735 1586 1350 9348 3 3.0 83783945 11
## 195 DEU 2020-09-12 260817 1082 1394 9352 4 3.3 83783945 10
## 196 DEU 2020-09-13 261737 920 1430 9354 2 3.4 83783945 10
## 197 DEU 2020-09-14 263222 1485 1371 9356 2 3.6 83783945 10
## 198 DEU 2020-09-15 265014 1792 1437 9367 11 4.4 83783945 10
## 199 DEU 2020-09-16 266869 1855 1491 9373 6 4.4 83783945 10
## 200 DEU 2020-09-17 269048 2179 1557 9376 3 4.4 83783945 12
## 201 DEU 2020-09-18 271247 2199 1645 9386 10 5.4 83783945 12
## 202 DEU 2020-09-19 272932 1685 1731 9388 2 5.1 83783945 12
## 203 DEU 2020-09-20 273965 1033 1747 9390 2 5.1 83783945 12
## 204 DEU 2020-09-21 275560 1595 1763 9390 0 4.9 83783945 12
## 205 DEU 2020-09-22 277412 1852 1771 9405 15 5.4 83783945 13
## 206 DEU 2020-09-23 279025 1613 1737 9423 18 7.1 83783945 13
## 207 DEU 2020-09-24 281346 2321 1757 9436 13 8.6 83783945 12
## 208 DEU 2020-09-25 283712 2366 1781 9451 15 9.3 83783945 17
## 209 DEU 2020-09-26 285026 1314 1728 9459 8 10.1 83783945 19
## 210 DEU 2020-09-27 286339 1313 1768 9464 5 10.6 83783945 21
## 211 DEU 2020-09-28 288631 2292 1867 9468 4 11.1 83783945 25
## 212 DEU 2020-09-29 290471 1840 1866 9483 15 11.1 83783945 24
## 213 DEU 2020-09-30 292913 2442 1984 9495 12 10.3 83783945 25
## 214 DEU 2020-10-01 295539 2626 2028 9509 14 10.4 83783945 29
## 215 DEU 2020-10-02 298374 2835 2095 9518 9 9.6 83783945 29
## 216 DEU 2020-10-03 300027 1653 2143 9531 13 10.3 83783945 28
## 217 DEU 2020-10-04 301573 1546 2176 9533 2 9.9 83783945 32
## 218 DEU 2020-10-05 304673 3100 2292 9554 21 12.3 83783945 29
## 219 DEU 2020-10-06 307127 2454 2379 9566 12 11.9 83783945 36
## 220 DEU 2020-10-07 311137 4010 2603 9582 16 12.4 83783945 38
## 221 DEU 2020-10-08 315941 4804 2915 9594 12 12.1 83783945 36
## 222 DEU 2020-10-09 320495 4554 3160 9599 5 11.6 83783945 34
## 223 DEU 2020-10-10 323463 2968 3348 9620 21 12.7 83783945 44
## 224 DEU 2020-10-11 326309 2846 3534 9626 6 13.3 83783945 49
## 225 DEU 2020-10-12 332850 6541 4025 9640 14 12.3 83783945 59
## 226 DEU 2020-10-13 337314 4464 4312 9682 42 16.6 83783945 64
## 227 DEU 2020-10-14 344487 7173 4764 9716 34 19.1 83783945 64
## 228 DEU 2020-10-15 352107 7620 5167 9739 23 20.7 83783945 83
## 229 DEU 2020-10-16 359802 7695 5615 9773 34 24.9 83783945 85
## 230 DEU 2020-10-17 364664 4862 5886 9785 12 23.6 83783945 104
## 231 DEU 2020-10-18 368671 4007 6052 9798 13 24.6 83783945 115
## 232 DEU 2020-10-19 377068 8397 6317 9842 44 28.9 83783945 121
## 233 DEU 2020-10-20 385591 8523 6897 9882 40 28.6 83783945 118
## 234 DEU 2020-10-21 397922 12331 7634 9911 29 27.9 83783945 123
## 235 DEU 2020-10-22 403874 5952 7395 9960 49 31.6 83783945 106
## 236 DEU 2020-10-23 417350 13476 8221 9978 18 29.3 83783945 152
## 237 DEU 2020-10-24 427808 10458 9021 10035 57 35.7 83783945 149
## 238 DEU 2020-10-25 437698 9890 9861 10062 27 37.7 83783945 158
## 239 DEU 2020-10-26 450258 12560 10456 10091 29 35.6 83783945 166
## 240 DEU 2020-10-27 463419 13161 11118 10121 30 34.1 83783945 172
## 241 DEU 2020-10-28 479621 16202 11671 10218 97 43.9 83783945 172
## 242 DEU 2020-10-29 498354 18733 13497 10305 87 49.3 83783945 204
## 243 DEU 2020-10-30 517736 19382 14341 10391 86 59.0 83783945 194
## 244 DEU 2020-10-31 531790 14054 14855 10483 92 64.0 83783945 199
## 245 DEU 2020-11-01 544346 12556 15235 10513 30 64.4 83783945 207
## 246 DEU 2020-11-02 569598 25252 17049 10669 156 82.6 83783945 216
## 247 DEU 2020-11-03 577131 7533 16245 10717 48 85.1 83783945 221
## 248 DEU 2020-11-04 608611 31480 18427 10949 232 104.4 83783945 227
## 249 DEU 2020-11-05 631172 22561 18974 11110 161 115.0 83783945 232
## 250 DEU 2020-11-06 653992 22820 19465 11240 130 121.3 83783945 242
## 251 DEU 2020-11-07 668114 14122 19475 11306 66 117.6 83783945 260
## 252 DEU 2020-11-08 682624 14510 19754 11372 66 122.7 83783945 283
## 253 DEU 2020-11-09 689146 6522 17078 11408 36 105.6 83783945 299
## 254 DEU 2020-11-10 715693 26547 19795 11781 373 152.0 83783945 303
## 255 DEU 2020-11-11 738094 22401 18498 11994 213 149.3 83783945 307
## 256 DEU 2020-11-12 762832 24738 18809 12216 222 158.0 83783945 319
## 257 DEU 2020-11-13 785093 22261 18729 12404 188 166.3 83783945 335
## 258 DEU 2020-11-14 799733 14640 18803 12511 107 172.1 83783945 350
## 259 DEU 2020-11-15 802946 3213 17189 12573 62 171.6 83783945 351
## 260 DEU 2020-11-16 817526 14580 18340 12833 260 203.6 83783945 367
## 261 DEU 2020-11-17 843757 26231 18295 13138 305 193.9 83783945 380
## 262 DEU 2020-11-18 867484 23727 18484 13390 252 199.4 83783945 383
## 263 DEU 2020-11-19 891525 24041 18385 13662 272 206.6 83783945 391
## 264 DEU 2020-11-20 914118 22593 18432 13918 256 216.3 83783945 404
## 265 DEU 2020-11-21 927990 13872 18322 14061 143 221.4 83783945 400
## 266 DEU 2020-11-22 932367 4377 18489 14159 98 226.6 83783945 424
## 267 DEU 2020-11-23 946822 14455 18471 14460 301 232.4 83783945 NA
## 268 DEU 2020-11-24 963192 16370 17062 14832 372 242.0 83783945 NA
## 269 DEU 2020-11-25 995879 32687 18342 15210 378 260.0 83783945 NA
## 270 DEU 2020-11-26 1017830 21951 18044 15640 430 282.6 83783945 NA
## 271 DEU 2020-11-27 1038649 20819 17790 16011 371 299.0 83783945 NA
## 272 DEU 2020-11-28 1052494 13845 17786 16181 170 302.9 83783945 NA
## 273 DEU 2020-11-29 1055691 3197 17618 16306 125 306.7 83783945 NA
## 274 DEU 2020-11-30 1069912 14221 17584 16694 388 319.1 83783945 NA
## 275 DEU 2020-12-01 1094678 24766 18784 17177 483 335.0 83783945 NA
## 276 DEU 2020-12-02 1117953 23275 17439 17659 482 349.9 83783945 NA
## 277 DEU 2020-12-03 1141544 23591 17673 18097 438 351.0 83783945 NA
## 278 DEU 2020-12-04 1157514 15970 16981 18577 480 366.6 83783945 NA
## 279 DEU 2020-12-05 1183640 26126 18735 18839 262 379.7 83783945 NA
## 280 DEU 2020-12-06 1194550 10910 19837 18989 150 383.3 83783945 NA
## 281 DEU 2020-12-07 1200006 5456 18585 19434 445 391.4 83783945 NA
## 282 DEU 2020-12-08 1229269 29263 19227 20002 568 403.6 83783945 NA
## 283 DEU 2020-12-09 1254358 25089 19486 20460 458 400.1 83783945 NA
## 284 DEU 2020-12-10 1287092 32734 20793 21064 604 423.9 83783945 NA
## cuminf peri ndaidsm cumint
## 1 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 2 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 3 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 4 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 5 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 6 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 7 NA NA 0.000 0.00000000
## 8 400 0.000005 0.003 0.00000001
## 9 400 0.000005 0.003 0.00000003
## 10 600 0.000007 0.004 0.00000006
## 11 600 0.000007 0.004 0.00000009
## 12 1400 0.000017 0.010 0.00000026
## 13 1800 0.000021 0.013 0.00000055
## 14 2200 0.000026 0.016 0.00000097
## 15 3400 0.000041 0.022 0.00000187
## 16 4800 0.000057 0.032 0.00000372
## 17 5600 0.000067 0.037 0.00000618
## 18 8800 0.000105 0.060 0.00001250
## 19 13400 0.000160 0.088 0.00002661
## 20 16800 0.000201 0.110 0.00004871
## 21 18800 0.000224 0.122 0.00007609
## 22 24600 0.000294 0.156 0.00012183
## 23 31400 0.000375 0.195 0.00019509
## 24 41200 0.000492 0.262 0.00032375
## 25 53400 0.000637 0.328 0.00053266
## 26 68400 0.000816 0.404 0.00086264
## 27 86600 0.001034 0.513 0.00139285
## 28 106600 0.001272 0.645 0.00221382
## 29 129000 0.001540 0.767 0.00339512
## 30 155000 0.001850 0.908 0.00507558
## 31 184000 0.002196 1.049 0.00738031
## 32 221400 0.002643 1.235 0.01064289
## 33 255000 0.003044 1.371 0.01481666
## 34 288800 0.003447 1.486 0.01993883
## 35 316800 0.003781 1.545 0.02577991
## 36 362000 0.004321 1.712 0.03317836
## 37 403200 0.004812 1.824 0.04195640
## 38 469800 0.005607 2.100 0.05373383
## 39 521400 0.006223 2.205 0.06745426
## 40 553400 0.006605 2.193 0.08193908
## 41 547200 0.006531 1.899 0.09434167
## 42 604400 0.007214 2.114 0.10958884
## 43 638800 0.007624 2.034 0.12509860
## 44 658800 0.007863 1.878 0.13986887
## 45 760800 0.009080 2.139 0.15928837
## 46 810400 0.009672 2.124 0.17983180
## 47 870400 0.010389 2.330 0.20403395
## 48 891800 0.010644 2.533 0.23099010
## 49 917200 0.010947 2.299 0.25615565
## 50 972400 0.011606 2.452 0.28460985
## 51 1006600 0.012014 2.556 0.31531860
## 52 1055800 0.012601 2.168 0.34263842
## 53 1115000 0.013308 2.239 0.37242899
## 54 1152000 0.013750 2.070 0.40088410
## 55 1175400 0.014029 2.084 0.43012333
## 56 1195200 0.014265 2.043 0.45926801
## 57 1225200 0.014623 1.858 0.48643602
## 58 1262800 0.015072 1.883 0.51481447
## 59 1293400 0.015437 1.746 0.54177034
## 60 1324600 0.015810 1.540 0.56612321
## 61 1347200 0.016079 1.435 0.58919004
## 62 1362400 0.016261 1.374 0.61153707
## 63 1373200 0.016390 1.308 0.63297728
## 64 1398600 0.016693 1.274 0.65424971
## 65 1398600 0.016693 0.998 0.67090945
## 66 1455000 0.017366 1.188 0.69153382
## 67 1478400 0.017645 1.130 0.71147830
## 68 1502000 0.017927 1.138 0.73187284
## 69 1509800 0.018020 1.083 0.75139343
## 70 1513800 0.018068 1.033 0.77006284
## 71 1532200 0.018288 0.982 0.78801839
## 72 1547600 0.018471 1.095 0.80824493
## 73 1572200 0.018765 0.861 0.82440744
## 74 1576800 0.018820 0.723 0.83801714
## 75 1579400 0.018851 0.569 0.84873998
## 76 1587600 0.018949 0.572 0.85957407
## 77 1592400 0.019006 0.578 0.87055276
## 78 1600600 0.019104 0.503 0.88015589
## 79 1616200 0.019290 0.504 0.88988099
## 80 1628800 0.019440 0.416 0.89796754
## 81 1640600 0.019581 0.469 0.90714863
## 82 1645600 0.019641 0.487 0.91670427
## 83 1652200 0.019720 0.475 0.92606633
## 84 1656600 0.019772 0.472 0.93539514
## 85 1661800 0.019834 0.450 0.94431590
## 86 1674400 0.019985 0.428 0.95286367
## 87 1685600 0.020118 0.417 0.96126162
## 88 1694000 0.020219 0.392 0.96919633
## 89 1700800 0.020300 0.406 0.97743149
## 90 1706000 0.020362 0.395 0.98548232
## 91 1708000 0.020386 0.378 0.99318289
## 92 1711000 0.020422 0.362 1.00056689
## 93 1712600 0.020441 0.281 1.00630539
## 94 1720400 0.020534 0.256 1.01155686
## 95 1727000 0.020613 0.243 1.01655575
## 96 1731600 0.020667 0.226 1.02123389
## 97 1734600 0.020703 0.210 1.02558549
## 98 1737000 0.020732 0.213 1.03000391
## 99 1739000 0.020756 0.206 1.03427494
## 100 1747200 0.020854 0.254 1.03957753
## 101 1750400 0.020892 0.220 1.04418373
## 102 1754400 0.020940 0.201 1.04840015
## 103 1756600 0.020966 0.184 1.05225214
## 104 1758600 0.020990 0.176 1.05595431
## 105 1760200 0.021009 0.170 1.05953621
## 106 1761400 0.021023 0.165 1.06299705
## 107 1764000 0.021054 0.123 1.06559650
## 108 1770200 0.021128 0.146 1.06867095
## 109 1775000 0.021185 0.151 1.07187819
## 110 1777400 0.021214 0.153 1.07512098
## 111 1779000 0.021233 0.150 1.07830422
## 112 1779000 0.021233 0.138 1.08123796
## 113 1779800 0.021243 0.135 1.08411052
## 114 1782800 0.021279 0.138 1.08705053
## 115 1785600 0.021312 0.113 1.08946255
## 116 1788000 0.021341 0.096 1.09150146
## 117 1793000 0.021400 0.115 1.09395496
## 118 1793600 0.021407 0.107 1.09625201
## 119 1793600 0.021407 0.107 1.09854906
## 120 1795200 0.021427 0.113 1.10097405
## 121 1798000 0.021460 0.112 1.10337123
## 122 1799000 0.021472 0.098 1.10548566
## 123 1801200 0.021498 0.097 1.10757125
## 124 1802000 0.021508 0.066 1.10899391
## 125 1804000 0.021532 0.076 1.11063969
## 126 1804600 0.021539 0.081 1.11238085
## 127 1804400 0.021536 0.068 1.11383687
## 128 1806400 0.021560 0.062 1.11516784
## 129 1809200 0.021594 0.075 1.11678659
## 130 1811400 0.021620 0.075 1.11840730
## 131 1812600 0.021634 0.078 1.12009253
## 132 1814000 0.021651 0.073 1.12168371
## 133 1814200 0.021653 0.071 1.12321136
## 134 1814800 0.021660 0.076 1.12486698
## 135 1815600 0.021670 0.068 1.12633204
## 136 1816000 0.021675 0.050 1.12741519
## 137 1817400 0.021692 0.044 1.12837173
## 138 1817600 0.021694 0.037 1.12916879
## 139 1818200 0.021701 0.031 1.12983862
## 140 1818400 0.021703 0.031 1.13050853
## 141 1818800 0.021708 0.029 1.13114664
## 142 1819800 0.021720 0.031 1.13181706
## 143 1820400 0.021727 0.032 1.13251967
## 144 1822000 0.021746 0.034 1.13325490
## 145 1824000 0.021770 0.047 1.13427875
## 146 1824800 0.021780 0.049 1.13533510
## 147 1824800 0.021780 0.047 1.13635941
## 148 1825000 0.021782 0.046 1.13735200
## 149 1826200 0.021797 0.047 1.13837709
## 150 1827000 0.021806 0.049 1.13943471
## 151 1828800 0.021828 0.050 1.14052549
## 152 1829400 0.021835 0.040 1.14139198
## 153 1830800 0.021851 0.044 1.14235558
## 154 1830800 0.021851 0.044 1.14331918
## 155 1830800 0.021851 0.043 1.14425062
## 156 1832600 0.021873 0.047 1.14527931
## 157 1835800 0.021911 0.065 1.14669642
## 158 1836200 0.021916 0.054 1.14788834
## 159 1839000 0.021949 0.071 1.14943687
## 160 1840200 0.021964 0.069 1.15095409
## 161 1840400 0.021966 0.071 1.15250380
## 162 1840600 0.021968 0.072 1.15408599
## 163 1841600 0.021980 0.066 1.15553992
## 164 1842600 0.021992 0.050 1.15663893
## 165 1843400 0.022002 0.053 1.15780316
## 166 1846000 0.022033 0.051 1.15893662
## 167 1847000 0.022045 0.050 1.16003825
## 168 1847000 0.022045 0.049 1.16110745
## 169 1847200 0.022047 0.049 1.16217677
## 170 1848200 0.022059 0.049 1.16324666
## 171 1849800 0.022078 0.053 1.16441494
## 172 1852600 0.022112 0.068 1.16590985
## 173 1853200 0.022119 0.053 1.16708027
## 174 1854400 0.022133 0.054 1.16828401
## 175 1855000 0.022140 0.059 1.16958564
## 176 1855200 0.022143 0.059 1.17088741
## 177 1856200 0.022155 0.059 1.17218988
## 178 1857000 0.022164 0.053 1.17336270
## 179 1858000 0.022176 0.040 1.17424273
## 180 1858000 0.022176 0.035 1.17502511
## 181 1859800 0.022198 0.040 1.17590599
## 182 1860000 0.022200 0.037 1.17672165
## 183 1860600 0.022207 0.040 1.17760291
## 184 1861400 0.022217 0.038 1.17845186
## 185 1864400 0.022252 0.054 1.17966210
## 186 1864400 0.022252 0.047 1.18070863
## 187 1865400 0.022264 0.054 1.18191951
## 188 1865800 0.022269 0.044 1.18290153
## 189 1866000 0.022272 0.044 1.18388366
## 190 1866200 0.022274 0.041 1.18480035
## 191 1867200 0.022286 0.043 1.18575031
## 192 1868400 0.022300 0.029 1.18640583
## 193 1869000 0.022307 0.034 1.18716002
## 194 1869600 0.022315 0.031 1.18784878
## 195 1870400 0.022324 0.034 1.18860354
## 196 1870800 0.022329 0.035 1.18939130
## 197 1871200 0.022334 0.037 1.19021187
## 198 1873400 0.022360 0.046 1.19123079
## 199 1874600 0.022374 0.046 1.19225036
## 200 1875200 0.022381 0.046 1.19327025
## 201 1877200 0.022405 0.056 1.19452176
## 202 1877600 0.022410 0.053 1.19570759
## 203 1878000 0.022415 0.053 1.19689367
## 204 1878000 0.022415 0.050 1.19801380
## 205 1881000 0.022451 0.056 1.19926784
## 206 1884600 0.022494 0.073 1.20092095
## 207 1887200 0.022525 0.088 1.20290729
## 208 1890200 0.022560 0.096 1.20506275
## 209 1891800 0.022580 0.104 1.20741912
## 210 1892800 0.022591 0.109 1.20987623
## 211 1893600 0.022601 0.115 1.21246738
## 212 1896600 0.022637 0.115 1.21506264
## 213 1899000 0.022665 0.106 1.21746133
## 214 1901800 0.022699 0.107 1.21989696
## 215 1903600 0.022720 0.098 1.22213432
## 216 1906200 0.022751 0.106 1.22454210
## 217 1906600 0.022756 0.101 1.22684995
## 218 1910800 0.022806 0.126 1.22973284
## 219 1913200 0.022835 0.122 1.23251857
## 220 1916400 0.022873 0.128 1.23544356
## 221 1918800 0.022902 0.125 1.23830483
## 222 1919800 0.022914 0.119 1.24103274
## 223 1924000 0.022964 0.131 1.24403667
## 224 1925200 0.022978 0.137 1.24717771
## 225 1928000 0.023012 0.126 1.25008655
## 226 1936400 0.023112 0.170 1.25402701
## 227 1943200 0.023193 0.197 1.25859506
## 228 1947800 0.023248 0.213 1.26354969
## 229 1954600 0.023329 0.256 1.26951605
## 230 1957000 0.023358 0.243 1.27518068
## 231 1959600 0.023389 0.253 1.28109348
## 232 1968400 0.023494 0.297 1.28806885
## 233 1976400 0.023589 0.294 1.29500316
## 234 1982200 0.023658 0.287 1.30178402
## 235 1992000 0.023775 0.325 1.30950692
## 236 1995600 0.023818 0.301 1.31668382
## 237 2007000 0.023954 0.367 1.32548597
## 238 2012400 0.024019 0.388 1.33480605
## 239 2018200 0.024088 0.366 1.34362188
## 240 2024200 0.024160 0.351 1.35210895
## 241 2043600 0.024391 0.451 1.36311516
## 242 2061000 0.024599 0.507 1.37558912
## 243 2078200 0.024804 0.607 1.39064626
## 244 2096600 0.025024 0.658 1.40712403
## 245 2102600 0.025096 0.663 1.42375972
## 246 2133800 0.025468 0.850 1.44539608
## 247 2143400 0.025582 0.876 1.46780676
## 248 2189800 0.026136 1.074 1.49588879
## 249 2222000 0.026521 1.183 1.52726820
## 250 2248000 0.026831 1.248 1.56075008
## 251 2261200 0.026988 1.210 1.59339699
## 252 2274400 0.027146 1.263 1.62767092
## 253 2281600 0.027232 1.086 1.65725016
## 254 2356200 0.028122 1.564 1.70123051
## 255 2398800 0.028631 1.536 1.74520654
## 256 2443200 0.029161 1.626 1.79261098
## 257 2480800 0.029609 1.711 1.84326924
## 258 2502200 0.029865 1.771 1.89616420
## 259 2514600 0.030013 1.765 1.94914466
## 260 2566600 0.030634 2.094 2.01330653
## 261 2627600 0.031362 1.995 2.07585888
## 262 2678000 0.031963 2.052 2.14144346
## 263 2732400 0.032612 2.125 2.21075676
## 264 2783600 0.033224 2.225 2.28468972
## 265 2812200 0.033565 2.278 2.36115840
## 266 2831800 0.033799 2.331 2.43994817
## 267 2892000 0.034517 2.391 2.52249331
## 268 2966400 0.035405 2.490 2.61064852
## 269 3042000 0.036308 2.675 2.70777450
## 270 3128000 0.037334 2.907 2.81631636
## 271 3202200 0.038220 3.076 2.93389340
## 272 3236200 0.038626 3.116 3.05425165
## 273 3261200 0.038924 3.156 3.17708433
## 274 3338800 0.039850 3.284 3.30793581
## 275 3435400 0.041003 3.447 3.44926277
## 276 3531800 0.042154 3.600 3.60099910
## 277 3619400 0.043199 3.611 3.75700700
## 278 3715400 0.044345 3.772 3.92425717
## 279 3767800 0.044970 3.907 4.09994730
## 280 3797800 0.045328 3.944 4.27870219
## 281 3886800 0.046391 4.027 4.46553283
## 282 4000400 0.047747 4.152 4.66378880
## 283 4092000 0.048840 4.117 4.86486179
## 284 4212800 0.050282 4.361 5.08413880