Cumulative Deaths

Sweden cumulative deaths were steady until 5weeks ago then surged upwards. The surge stopped early last week and daily deaths returned to reflect effective herd immunity.

The “second wave” was likley imported from Germany and other EU neighbors who had started to use Sweden as a weekend holiday destination of respite.









Daily Deaths

Daily deaths are plotted and then the smoothed daily deaths overlayed (data used is provided at the end of this report).



Daily New Cases

Daily new cases are plotted and the smoothed daily new cases overlayed.


Large Surge in Cases

The large surge in Sweden daily new cases most thought meant for certain a large increase in Covid 19, a “second wave”.


Correlation of Cases to Deaths Found





Daily new cases are scatter plotted against daily deaths. No correlation.

Lagging Deaths to Cases

Death occurs after initial infection and is a lagging indicator. An increase in cases should lead in daily deaths. Daily deaths are lagged 18 days (the severity reports mean for the time required to die after becoming infected).

With daily deaths lagged 18 days, there is no correlation between daily deaths lagged and daily new cases. Cases are not representing the status of infection in Sweden.






There is small correlation between lagged daily new deaths and daily new cases.






Sweden deaths are divided by the assumed Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of 0.5%. This provides the cumulative infections as of 18 days prior to last. This cumulative infections is then divided by the population to give the percentage of Sweden have had Covid 19.






Sweden data is from WHO.


##           date country dcases  cases daid deaths      pop  daidsm dcasessm
## 60  2020-03-02  Sweden      3     14    0      0 10230000   0.000       36
## 61  2020-03-03  Sweden      0     14    0      0 10230000  -0.005       33
## 62  2020-03-04  Sweden      5     19    0      0 10230000   0.000       30
## 63  2020-03-05  Sweden     13     32    0      0 10230000   0.000       28
## 64  2020-03-06  Sweden     30     62    0      0 10230000   0.000       29
## 65  2020-03-07  Sweden     25     87    0      0 10230000   0.000       36
## 66  2020-03-08  Sweden     59    146    0      0 10230000   0.000       51
## 67  2020-03-09  Sweden     33    179    0      0 10230000   0.000       68
## 68  2020-03-10  Sweden     46    225    0      0 10230000   0.400       82
## 69  2020-03-11  Sweden    101    326    0      0 10230000   2.800       91
## 70  2020-03-12  Sweden     98    424    2      2 10230000   2.800       95
## 71  2020-03-13  Sweden    196    620   12     14 10230000   3.000       99
## 72  2020-03-14  Sweden    151    771    0     14 10230000   3.200      104
## 73  2020-03-15  Sweden    152    923    1     15 10230000   3.200      114
## 74  2020-03-16  Sweden     71    994    1     16 10230000   1.200      121
## 75  2020-03-17  Sweden     69   1063    2     18 10230000   1.400      127
## 76  2020-03-18  Sweden     83   1146    2     20 10230000   2.400      128
## 77  2020-03-19  Sweden    119   1265    1     21 10230000   3.800      123
## 78  2020-03-20  Sweden    145   1410    6     27 10230000   5.200      123
## 79  2020-03-21  Sweden    143   1553    8     35 10230000   6.400      133
## 80  2020-03-22  Sweden    180   1733    9     44 10230000   8.400      153
## 81  2020-03-23  Sweden    136   1869    8     52 10230000   9.400      175
## 82  2020-03-24  Sweden    118   1987   11     63 10230000  12.000      198
## 83  2020-03-25  Sweden    182   2169   11     74 10230000  14.600      218
## 84  2020-03-26  Sweden    230   2399   21     95 10230000  19.200      232
## 85  2020-03-27  Sweden    314   2713   22    117 10230000  23.400      251
## 86  2020-03-28  Sweden    286   2999   31    148 10230000  28.200      280
## 87  2020-03-29  Sweden    365   3364   32    180 10230000  31.600      315
## 88  2020-03-30  Sweden    300   3664   35    215 10230000  36.200      352
## 89  2020-03-31  Sweden    280   3944   38    253 10230000  39.600      389
## 90  2020-04-01  Sweden    416   4360   45    298 10230000  43.800      410
## 91  2020-04-02  Sweden    475   4835   48    346 10230000  50.800      415
## 92  2020-04-03  Sweden    486   5321   53    399 10230000  59.200      419
## 93  2020-04-04  Sweden    554   5875   70    469 10230000  64.200      442
## 94  2020-04-05  Sweden    601   6476   80    549 10230000  71.600      482
## 95  2020-04-06  Sweden    357   6833   70    619 10230000  79.000      512
## 96  2020-04-07  Sweden    340   7173   85    704 10230000  81.800      523
## 97  2020-04-08  Sweden    389   7562   90    794 10230000  88.800      517
## 98  2020-04-09  Sweden    738   8300   84    878 10230000  92.000      508
## 99  2020-04-10  Sweden    654   8954  115    993 10230000  93.000      496
## 100 2020-04-11  Sweden    645   9599   86   1079 10230000  95.400      493
## 101 2020-04-12  Sweden    454  10053   90   1169 10230000  98.000      513
## 102 2020-04-13  Sweden    395  10448  102   1271 10230000  91.800      538
## 103 2020-04-14  Sweden    464  10912   97   1368 10230000  93.000      547
## 104 2020-04-15  Sweden    437  11349   84   1452 10230000  98.000      538
## 105 2020-04-16  Sweden    479  11828   92   1544 10230000  99.800      519
## 106 2020-04-17  Sweden    604  12432  115   1659 10230000  97.000      507
## 107 2020-04-18  Sweden    623  13055  111   1770 10230000  97.400      523
## 108 2020-04-19  Sweden    688  13743   83   1853 10230000  96.400      551
## 109 2020-04-20  Sweden    532  14275   86   1939 10230000  90.400      580
## 110 2020-04-21  Sweden    388  14663   87   2026 10230000  80.600      611
## 111 2020-04-22  Sweden    461  15124   85   2111 10230000  79.400      620
## 112 2020-04-23  Sweden    707  15831   62   2173 10230000  79.400      597
## 113 2020-04-24  Sweden    722  16553   77   2250 10230000  79.800      575
## 114 2020-04-25  Sweden    758  17311   86   2336 10230000  77.400      579
## 115 2020-04-26  Sweden    780  18091   89   2425 10230000  79.800      610
## 116 2020-04-27  Sweden    473  18564   73   2498 10230000  79.200      639
## 117 2020-04-28  Sweden    300  18864   74   2572 10230000  78.600      639
## 118 2020-04-29  Sweden    563  19427   74   2646 10230000  77.400      609
## 119 2020-04-30  Sweden    742  20169   83   2729 10230000  78.400      563
## 120 2020-05-01  Sweden    799  20968   83   2812 10230000  79.200      523
## 121 2020-05-02  Sweden    636  21604   78   2890 10230000  79.000      517
## 122 2020-05-03  Sweden    532  22136   78   2968 10230000  77.400      549
## 123 2020-05-04  Sweden    299  22435   73   3041 10230000  77.600      582
## 124 2020-05-05  Sweden    261  22696   75   3116 10230000  76.400      591
## 125 2020-05-06  Sweden    477  23173   84   3200 10230000  75.400      574
## 126 2020-05-07  Sweden    657  23830   72   3272 10230000  76.800      542
## 127 2020-05-08  Sweden    745  24575   73   3345 10230000  73.800      520
## 128 2020-05-09  Sweden    784  25359   80   3425 10230000  70.600      539
## 129 2020-05-10  Sweden    700  26059   60   3485 10230000  70.800      584
## 130 2020-05-11  Sweden    509  26568   68   3553 10230000  69.200      615
## 131 2020-05-12  Sweden    279  26847   73   3626 10230000  65.400      625
## 132 2020-05-13  Sweden    455  27302   65   3691 10230000  63.400      608
## 133 2020-05-14  Sweden    754  28056   61   3752 10230000  59.000      562
## 134 2020-05-15  Sweden    698  28754   50   3802 10230000  56.000      522
## 135 2020-05-16  Sweden    657  29411   46   3848 10230000  52.600      517
## 136 2020-05-17  Sweden    688  30099   58   3906 10230000  51.000      551
## 137 2020-05-18  Sweden    358  30457   48   3954 10230000  52.800      585
## 138 2020-05-19  Sweden    259  30716   53   4007 10230000  51.800      582
## 139 2020-05-20  Sweden    430  31146   59   4066 10230000  50.600      556
## 140 2020-05-21  Sweden    666  31812   41   4107 10230000  51.600      519
## 141 2020-05-22  Sweden    808  32620   52   4159 10230000  52.200      487
## 142 2020-05-23  Sweden    610  33230   53   4212 10230000  51.400      496
## 143 2020-05-24  Sweden    532  33762   56   4268 10230000  52.000      543
## 144 2020-05-25  Sweden    403  34165   55   4323 10230000  50.000      587
## 145 2020-05-26  Sweden    210  34375   44   4367 10230000  45.000      609
## 146 2020-05-27  Sweden    491  34866   42   4409 10230000  41.400      596
## 147 2020-05-28  Sweden    746  35612   28   4437 10230000  38.400      560
## 148 2020-05-29  Sweden    800  36412   38   4475 10230000  37.800      548
## 149 2020-05-30  Sweden    774  37186   40   4515 10230000  37.200      579
## 150 2020-05-31  Sweden    773  37959   41   4556 10230000  40.800      646
## 151 2020-06-01  Sweden    432  38391   39   4595 10230000  41.000      715
## 152 2020-06-02  Sweden    265  38656   46   4641 10230000  40.200      762
## 153 2020-06-03  Sweden    648  39304   39   4680 10230000  37.600      781
## 154 2020-06-04  Sweden    900  40204   36   4716 10230000  38.400      765
## 155 2020-06-05  Sweden   1046  41250   28   4744 10230000  36.600      744
## 156 2020-06-06  Sweden   1039  42289   43   4787 10230000  34.600      765
## 157 2020-06-07  Sweden   1146  43435   37   4824 10230000  34.000      849
## 158 2020-06-08  Sweden    780  44215   29   4853 10230000  36.000      939
## 159 2020-06-09  Sweden    462  44677   33   4886 10230000  34.000      993
## 160 2020-06-10  Sweden    677  45354   38   4924 10230000  34.600     1014
## 161 2020-06-11  Sweden    937  46291   33   4957 10230000  35.800      982
## 162 2020-06-12  Sweden   1437  47728   40   4997 10230000  35.000      928
## 163 2020-06-13  Sweden   1293  49021   35   5032 10230000  34.000      926
## 164 2020-06-14  Sweden   1329  50350   29   5061 10230000  32.800      998
## 165 2020-06-15  Sweden   1032  51382   33   5094 10230000  30.800     1088
## 166 2020-06-16  Sweden    418  51800   27   5121 10230000  29.400     1143
## 167 2020-06-17  Sweden    685  52485   30   5151 10230000  30.000     1119
## 168 2020-06-18  Sweden   1209  53694   28   5179 10230000  29.200     1034
## 169 2020-06-19  Sweden   1457  55151   32   5211 10230000  29.800      959
## 170 2020-06-20  Sweden   1494  56645   29   5240 10230000  29.600      946
## 171 2020-06-21  Sweden   1209  57854   30   5270 10230000  28.400     1024
## 172 2020-06-22  Sweden    698  58552   29   5299 10230000  26.000     1118
## 173 2020-06-23  Sweden    321  58873   22   5321 10230000  25.200     1147
## 174 2020-06-24  Sweden    800  59673   20   5341 10230000  23.600     1112
## 175 2020-06-25  Sweden   1309  60982   25   5366 10230000  22.400     1023
## 176 2020-06-26  Sweden   1698  62680   22   5388 10230000  20.200      945
## 177 2020-06-27  Sweden   1279  63959   23   5411 10230000  19.000      926
## 178 2020-06-28  Sweden   1204  65163   11   5422 10230000  18.600      949
## 179 2020-06-29  Sweden    755  65918   14   5436 10230000  17.400      962
## 180 2020-06-30  Sweden    415  66333   23   5459 10230000  16.800      925
## 181 2020-07-01  Sweden    727  67060   16   5475 10230000  17.600      828
## 182 2020-07-02  Sweden    804  67864   20   5495 10230000  17.800      713
## 183 2020-07-03  Sweden    684  68548   15   5510 10230000  14.800      617
## 184 2020-07-04  Sweden    687  69235   15   5525 10230000  14.600      546
## 185 2020-07-05  Sweden    694  69929    8   5533 10230000  12.400      528
## 186 2020-07-06  Sweden    364  70293   15   5548 10230000  12.400      514
## 187 2020-07-07  Sweden    315  70608    9   5557 10230000  11.800      473
## 188 2020-07-08  Sweden    251  70859   15   5572 10230000  12.400      432
## 189 2020-07-09  Sweden    278  71137   12   5584 10230000  12.400      384
## 190 2020-07-10  Sweden    533  71670   11   5595 10230000  13.400      329
## 191 2020-07-11  Sweden    334  72004   15   5610 10230000  12.400      300
## 192 2020-07-12  Sweden    369  72373   14   5624 10230000  11.600      296
## 193 2020-07-13  Sweden    308  72681   10   5634 10230000  11.800      296
## 194 2020-07-14  Sweden    106  72787    8   5642 10230000  10.400      297
## 195 2020-07-15  Sweden    170  72957   12   5654 10230000   8.800      280
## 196 2020-07-16  Sweden    312  73269    8   5662 10230000   8.000      252
## 197 2020-07-17  Sweden    287  73556    6   5668 10230000   7.800      229
## 198 2020-07-18  Sweden    268  73824    6   5674 10230000   7.600      213
## 199 2020-07-19  Sweden    284  74108    7   5681 10230000   7.400      218
## 200 2020-07-20  Sweden    191  74299   11   5692 10230000   7.400      230
## 201 2020-07-21  Sweden    110  74409    7   5699 10230000   7.600      230
## 202 2020-07-22  Sweden    131  74540    6   5705 10230000   7.400      220
## 203 2020-07-23  Sweden    226  74766    7   5712 10230000   6.200      201
## 204 2020-07-24  Sweden    297  75063    6   5718 10230000   5.400      179
## 205 2020-07-25  Sweden    220  75283    5   5723 10230000   4.400      173
## 206 2020-07-26  Sweden    262  75545    3   5726 10230000   3.400      188
## 207 2020-07-27  Sweden    138  75683    1   5727 10230000   3.400      206
## 208 2020-07-28  Sweden     42  75725    2   5729 10230000   3.200      216
## 209 2020-07-29  Sweden     71  75796    6   5735 10230000   2.800      218
## 210 2020-07-30  Sweden    283  76079    4   5739 10230000   2.600      209
## 211 2020-07-31  Sweden    301  76380    1   5740 10230000   2.600      195
## 212 2020-08-01  Sweden    302  76682    0   5740 10230000   1.800      200
## 213 2020-08-02  Sweden    258  76940    2   5742 10230000   1.600      229
## 214 2020-08-03  Sweden    303  77243    2   5744 10230000   2.200      263
## 215 2020-08-04  Sweden     38  77281    3   5747 10230000   2.600      283
## 216 2020-08-05  Sweden    165  77446    4   5751 10230000   2.400      286
## 217 2020-08-06  Sweden    333  77779    2   5753 10230000   2.800      273
## 218 2020-08-07  Sweden    425  78204    1   5754 10230000   2.600      258
## 219 2020-08-08  Sweden    378  78582    4   5758 10230000   2.000      261
## 220 2020-08-09  Sweden    380  78962    2   5760 10230000   2.400      287
## 221 2020-08-10  Sweden    260  79222    1   5761 10230000   2.600      317
## 222 2020-08-11  Sweden     73  79295    4   5765 10230000   2.600      327
## 223 2020-08-12  Sweden    196  79491    2   5767 10230000   2.800      318
## 224 2020-08-13  Sweden    417  79908    4   5771 10230000   3.600      292
## 225 2020-08-14  Sweden    443  80351    3   5774 10230000   3.000      266
## 226 2020-08-15  Sweden    363  80714    5   5779 10230000   2.800      259
## 227 2020-08-16  Sweden    344  81058    1   5780 10230000   2.000      275
## 228 2020-08-17  Sweden    226  81284    1   5781 10230000   2.000      296
## 229 2020-08-18  Sweden     63  81347    0   5781 10230000   1.800      297
## 230 2020-08-19  Sweden    174  81521    3   5784 10230000   1.800      277
## 231 2020-08-20  Sweden    314  81835    4   5788 10230000   2.000      247
## 232 2020-08-21  Sweden    351  82186    1   5789 10230000   3.000      224
## 233 2020-08-22  Sweden    333  82519    2   5791 10230000   2.600      215
## 234 2020-08-23  Sweden    298  82817    5   5796 10230000   2.400      224
## 235 2020-08-24  Sweden    160  82977    1   5797 10230000   2.400      234
## 236 2020-08-25  Sweden     57  83034    3   5800 10230000   2.200      229
## 237 2020-08-26  Sweden    174  83208    1   5801 10230000   1.600      211
## 238 2020-08-27  Sweden    222  83430    1   5802 10230000   1.600      186
## 239 2020-08-28  Sweden    244  83674    2   5804 10230000   1.200      165
## 240 2020-08-29  Sweden    202  83876    1   5805 10230000   1.200      158
## 241 2020-08-30  Sweden    179  84055    1   5806 10230000   1.600      167
## 242 2020-08-31  Sweden    131  84186    1   5807 10230000   1.600      180
## 243 2020-09-01  Sweden     48  84234    3   5810 10230000   2.000      188
## 244 2020-09-02  Sweden    162  84396    2   5812 10230000   2.200      186
## 245 2020-09-03  Sweden    171  84567    3   5815 10230000   2.400      176
## 246 2020-09-04  Sweden    213  84780    2   5817 10230000   1.800      169
## 247 2020-09-05  Sweden    286  85066    2   5819 10230000   1.400      175
## 248 2020-09-06  Sweden    262  85328    0   5819 10230000   1.400      193
## 249 2020-09-07  Sweden    171  85499    0   5819 10230000   1.200      211
## 250 2020-09-08  Sweden     67  85566    3   5822 10230000   1.000      222
## 251 2020-09-09  Sweden    185  85751    1   5823 10230000   1.400      228
## 252 2020-09-10  Sweden    236  85987    1   5824 10230000   1.800      218
## 253 2020-09-11  Sweden    314  86301    2   5826 10230000   2.000      207
## 254 2020-09-12  Sweden    254  86555    2   5828 10230000   2.000      211
## 255 2020-09-13  Sweden    291  86846    4   5832 10230000   2.200      230
## 256 2020-09-14  Sweden    206  87052    1   5833 10230000   2.200      254
## 257 2020-09-15  Sweden    106  87158    2   5835 10230000   2.000      274
## 258 2020-09-16  Sweden    220  87378    2   5837 10230000   1.600      282
## 259 2020-09-17  Sweden    292  87670    1   5838 10230000   1.600      274
## 260 2020-09-18  Sweden    330  88000    2   5840 10230000   1.400      267
## 261 2020-09-19  Sweden    389  88389    1   5841 10230000   1.200      277
## 262 2020-09-20  Sweden    437  88826    1   5842 10230000   1.800      311
## 263 2020-09-21  Sweden    279  89105    1   5843 10230000   1.800      350
## 264 2020-09-22  Sweden    133  89238    4   5847 10230000   1.800      383
## 265 2020-09-23  Sweden    266  89504    2   5849 10230000   1.600      399
## 266 2020-09-24  Sweden    438  89942    1   5850 10230000   1.600      388
## 267 2020-09-25  Sweden    553  90495    0   5850 10230000   1.600      374
## 268 2020-09-26  Sweden    540  91035    1   5851 10230000   1.600      388
## 269 2020-09-27  Sweden    629  91664    4   5855 10230000   1.600      432
## 270 2020-09-28  Sweden    325  91989    2   5857 10230000   1.800      478
## 271 2020-09-29  Sweden    167  92156    1   5858 10230000   2.000      510
## 272 2020-09-30  Sweden    378  92534    1   5859 10230000   2.000      519
## 273 2020-10-01  Sweden    613  93147    2   5861 10230000   1.800      495
## 274 2020-10-02  Sweden    688  93835    4   5865 10230000   2.200      463
## 275 2020-10-03  Sweden    633  94468    1   5866 10230000   2.600      474
## 276 2020-10-04  Sweden    712  95180    3   5869 10230000   2.800      530
## 277 2020-10-05  Sweden    461  95641    3   5872 10230000   2.400      586
## 278 2020-10-06  Sweden    156  95797    3   5875 10230000   3.000      617
## 279 2020-10-07  Sweden    374  96171    2   5877 10230000   3.000      617
## 280 2020-10-08  Sweden    786  96957    4   5881 10230000   2.600      584
## 281 2020-10-09  Sweden    831  97788    3   5884 10230000   3.000      557
## 282 2020-10-10  Sweden    834  98622    1   5885 10230000   3.600      576
## 283 2020-10-11  Sweden    783  99405    5   5890 10230000   3.200      639
## 284 2020-10-12  Sweden    509  99914    5   5895 10230000   3.200      706
## 285 2020-10-13  Sweden    161 100075    2   5897 10230000   3.200      752
## 286 2020-10-14  Sweden    637 100712    3   5900 10230000   2.600      765
## 287 2020-10-15  Sweden    916 101628    1   5901 10230000   2.200      733
## 288 2020-10-16  Sweden    968 102596    2   5903 10230000   2.200      707
## 289 2020-10-17  Sweden    902 103498    3   5906 10230000   2.400      745
## 290 2020-10-18  Sweden   1179 104677    2   5908 10230000   2.400      855
## 291 2020-10-19  Sweden    697 105374    4   5912 10230000   2.800      977
## 292 2020-10-20  Sweden    321 105695    1   5913 10230000   3.000     1076
## 293 2020-10-21  Sweden    771 106466    4   5917 10230000   3.200     1149
## 294 2020-10-22  Sweden   1290 107756    4   5921 10230000   4.200     1155
## 295 2020-10-23  Sweden   1570 109326    3   5924 10230000   5.400     1130
## 296 2020-10-24  Sweden   1666 110992    9   5933 10230000   6.200     1210
## 297 2020-10-25  Sweden   1868 112860    7   5940 10230000   7.000     1449
## 298 2020-10-26  Sweden   1477 114337    8   5948 10230000   8.600     1727
## 299 2020-10-27  Sweden    514 114851    8   5956 10230000   8.800     1990
## 300 2020-10-28  Sweden   1068 115919   11   5967 10230000   9.000     2199
## 301 2020-10-29  Sweden   2415 118334   10   5977 10230000   9.000     2252
## 302 2020-10-30  Sweden   3390 121724    8   5985 10230000   9.200     2219
## 303 2020-10-31  Sweden   3263 124987    8   5993 10230000   9.200     2310
## 304 2020-11-01  Sweden   4055 129042    9   6002 10230000  11.600     2616
## 305 2020-11-02  Sweden   2987 132029   11   6013 10230000  14.000     2998
## 306 2020-11-03  Sweden   1298 133327   22   6035 10230000  16.200     3284
## 307 2020-11-04  Sweden   1570 134897   20   6055 10230000  18.600     3439
## 308 2020-11-05  Sweden   3609 138506   19   6074 10230000  21.000     3434
## 309 2020-11-06  Sweden   4486 142992   21   6095 10230000  21.600     3359
## 310 2020-11-07  Sweden   4746 147738   23   6118 10230000  22.400     3418
## 311 2020-11-08  Sweden   4454 152192   25   6143 10230000  22.200     3715
## 312 2020-11-09  Sweden   4453 156645   24   6167 10230000  24.600     4135
## 313 2020-11-10  Sweden   2098 158743   18   6185 10230000  26.200     4492
## 314 2020-11-11  Sweden   3727 162470   33   6218 10230000  25.800     4600
## 315 2020-11-12  Sweden   4500 166970   31   6249 10230000  24.400     4393
## 316 2020-11-13  Sweden   5711 172681   23   6272 10230000  24.400     4139
## 317 2020-11-14  Sweden   5570 178251   17   6289 10230000  21.800     4044
## 318 2020-11-15  Sweden   6737 184988   18   6307 10230000  19.000     4188
## 319 2020-11-16  Sweden   3515 188503   20   6327 10230000  19.400     4457
## 320 2020-11-17  Sweden   1582 190085   17   6344 10230000  20.000     4358
## 321 2020-11-18  Sweden   2547 192632   25   6369 10230000  18.600     3847
## 322 2020-11-19  Sweden   4460 197092   20   6389 10230000  15.800     3336
## 323 2020-11-20  Sweden   4960 202052   11   6400 10230000  12.400     2826
## 324 2020-11-21  Sweden   6243 208295    6   6406 10230000   7.400     2315
## 325 2020-11-22  Sweden      0 208295    0   6406 10230000   4.022     1805
## 326 2020-11-23  Sweden      0 208295    0   6406 10230000   0.645     1294
##       l18  cuminf    peri
## 60    5.2       0 0.00000
## 61    6.4       0 0.00000
## 62    8.4       0 0.00000
## 63    9.4       0 0.00000
## 64   12.0       0 0.00000
## 65   14.6       0 0.00000
## 66   19.2       0 0.00000
## 67   23.4       0 0.00000
## 68   28.2       0 0.00000
## 69   31.6       0 0.00000
## 70   36.2     400 0.00004
## 71   39.6    2800 0.00027
## 72   43.8    2800 0.00027
## 73   50.8    3000 0.00029
## 74   59.2    3200 0.00031
## 75   64.2    3600 0.00035
## 76   71.6    4000 0.00039
## 77   79.0    4200 0.00041
## 78   81.8    5400 0.00053
## 79   88.8    7000 0.00068
## 80   92.0    8800 0.00086
## 81   93.0   10400 0.00102
## 82   95.4   12600 0.00123
## 83   98.0   14800 0.00145
## 84   91.8   19000 0.00186
## 85   93.0   23400 0.00229
## 86   98.0   29600 0.00289
## 87   99.8   36000 0.00352
## 88   97.0   43000 0.00420
## 89   97.4   50600 0.00495
## 90   96.4   59600 0.00583
## 91   90.4   69200 0.00676
## 92   80.6   79800 0.00780
## 93   79.4   93800 0.00917
## 94   79.4  109800 0.01073
## 95   79.8  123800 0.01210
## 96   77.4  140800 0.01376
## 97   79.8  158800 0.01552
## 98   79.2  175600 0.01717
## 99   78.6  198600 0.01941
## 100  77.4  215800 0.02109
## 101  78.4  233800 0.02285
## 102  79.2  254200 0.02485
## 103  79.0  273600 0.02674
## 104  77.4  290400 0.02839
## 105  77.6  308800 0.03019
## 106  76.4  331800 0.03243
## 107  75.4  354000 0.03460
## 108  76.8  370600 0.03623
## 109  73.8  387800 0.03791
## 110  70.6  405200 0.03961
## 111  70.8  422200 0.04127
## 112  69.2  434600 0.04248
## 113  65.4  450000 0.04399
## 114  63.4  467200 0.04567
## 115  59.0  485000 0.04741
## 116  56.0  499600 0.04884
## 117  52.6  514400 0.05028
## 118  51.0  529200 0.05173
## 119  52.8  545800 0.05335
## 120  51.8  562400 0.05498
## 121  50.6  578000 0.05650
## 122  51.6  593600 0.05803
## 123  52.2  608200 0.05945
## 124  51.4  623200 0.06092
## 125  52.0  640000 0.06256
## 126  50.0  654400 0.06397
## 127  45.0  669000 0.06540
## 128  41.4  685000 0.06696
## 129  38.4  697000 0.06813
## 130  37.8  710600 0.06946
## 131  37.2  725200 0.07089
## 132  40.8  738200 0.07216
## 133  41.0  750400 0.07335
## 134  40.2  760400 0.07433
## 135  37.6  769600 0.07523
## 136  38.4  781200 0.07636
## 137  36.6  790800 0.07730
## 138  34.6  801400 0.07834
## 139  34.0  813200 0.07949
## 140  36.0  821400 0.08029
## 141  34.0  831800 0.08131
## 142  34.6  842400 0.08235
## 143  35.8  853600 0.08344
## 144  35.0  864600 0.08452
## 145  34.0  873400 0.08538
## 146  32.8  881800 0.08620
## 147  30.8  887400 0.08674
## 148  29.4  895000 0.08749
## 149  30.0  903000 0.08827
## 150  29.2  911200 0.08907
## 151  29.8  919000 0.08983
## 152  29.6  928200 0.09073
## 153  28.4  936000 0.09150
## 154  26.0  943200 0.09220
## 155  25.2  948800 0.09275
## 156  23.6  957400 0.09359
## 157  22.4  964800 0.09431
## 158  20.2  970600 0.09488
## 159  19.0  977200 0.09552
## 160  18.6  984800 0.09627
## 161  17.4  991400 0.09691
## 162  16.8  999400 0.09769
## 163  17.6 1006400 0.09838
## 164  17.8 1012200 0.09894
## 165  14.8 1018800 0.09959
## 166  14.6 1024200 0.10012
## 167  12.4 1030200 0.10070
## 168  12.4 1035800 0.10125
## 169  11.8 1042200 0.10188
## 170  12.4 1048000 0.10244
## 171  12.4 1054000 0.10303
## 172  13.4 1059800 0.10360
## 173  12.4 1064200 0.10403
## 174  11.6 1068200 0.10442
## 175  11.8 1073200 0.10491
## 176  10.4 1077600 0.10534
## 177   8.8 1082200 0.10579
## 178   8.0 1084400 0.10600
## 179   7.8 1087200 0.10628
## 180   7.6 1091800 0.10673
## 181   7.4 1095000 0.10704
## 182   7.4 1099000 0.10743
## 183   7.6 1102000 0.10772
## 184   7.4 1105000 0.10802
## 185   6.2 1106600 0.10817
## 186   5.4 1109600 0.10847
## 187   4.4 1111400 0.10864
## 188   3.4 1114400 0.10893
## 189   3.4 1116800 0.10917
## 190   3.2 1119000 0.10938
## 191   2.8 1122000 0.10968
## 192   2.6 1124800 0.10995
## 193   2.6 1126800 0.11015
## 194   1.8 1128400 0.11030
## 195   1.6 1130800 0.11054
## 196   2.2 1132400 0.11069
## 197   2.6 1133600 0.11081
## 198   2.4 1134800 0.11093
## 199   2.8 1136200 0.11107
## 200   2.6 1138400 0.11128
## 201   2.0 1139800 0.11142
## 202   2.4 1141000 0.11153
## 203   2.6 1142400 0.11167
## 204   2.6 1143600 0.11179
## 205   2.8 1144600 0.11189
## 206   3.6 1145200 0.11195
## 207   3.0 1145400 0.11196
## 208   2.8 1145800 0.11200
## 209   2.0 1147000 0.11212
## 210   2.0 1147800 0.11220
## 211   1.8 1148000 0.11222
## 212   1.8 1148000 0.11222
## 213   2.0 1148400 0.11226
## 214   3.0 1148800 0.11230
## 215   2.6 1149400 0.11236
## 216   2.4 1150200 0.11243
## 217   2.4 1150600 0.11247
## 218   2.2 1150800 0.11249
## 219   1.6 1151600 0.11257
## 220   1.6 1152000 0.11261
## 221   1.2 1152200 0.11263
## 222   1.2 1153000 0.11271
## 223   1.6 1153400 0.11275
## 224   1.6 1154200 0.11283
## 225   2.0 1154800 0.11288
## 226   2.2 1155800 0.11298
## 227   2.4 1156000 0.11300
## 228   1.8 1156200 0.11302
## 229   1.4 1156200 0.11302
## 230   1.4 1156800 0.11308
## 231   1.2 1157600 0.11316
## 232   1.0 1157800 0.11318
## 233   1.4 1158200 0.11322
## 234   1.8 1159200 0.11331
## 235   2.0 1159400 0.11333
## 236   2.0 1160000 0.11339
## 237   2.2 1160200 0.11341
## 238   2.2 1160400 0.11343
## 239   2.0 1160800 0.11347
## 240   1.6 1161000 0.11349
## 241   1.6 1161200 0.11351
## 242   1.4 1161400 0.11353
## 243   1.2 1162000 0.11359
## 244   1.8 1162400 0.11363
## 245   1.8 1163000 0.11369
## 246   1.8 1163400 0.11372
## 247   1.6 1163800 0.11376
## 248   1.6 1163800 0.11376
## 249   1.6 1163800 0.11376
## 250   1.6 1164400 0.11382
## 251   1.6 1164600 0.11384
## 252   1.8 1164800 0.11386
## 253   2.0 1165200 0.11390
## 254   2.0 1165600 0.11394
## 255   1.8 1166400 0.11402
## 256   2.2 1166600 0.11404
## 257   2.6 1167000 0.11408
## 258   2.8 1167400 0.11412
## 259   2.4 1167600 0.11413
## 260   3.0 1168000 0.11417
## 261   3.0 1168200 0.11419
## 262   2.6 1168400 0.11421
## 263   3.0 1168600 0.11423
## 264   3.6 1169400 0.11431
## 265   3.2 1169800 0.11435
## 266   3.2 1170000 0.11437
## 267   3.2 1170000 0.11437
## 268   2.6 1170200 0.11439
## 269   2.2 1171000 0.11447
## 270   2.2 1171400 0.11451
## 271   2.4 1171600 0.11453
## 272   2.4 1171800 0.11455
## 273   2.8 1172200 0.11458
## 274   3.0 1173000 0.11466
## 275   3.2 1173200 0.11468
## 276   4.2 1173800 0.11474
## 277   5.4 1174400 0.11480
## 278   6.2 1175000 0.11486
## 279   7.0 1175400 0.11490
## 280   8.6 1176200 0.11498
## 281   8.8 1176800 0.11503
## 282   9.0 1177000 0.11505
## 283   9.0 1178000 0.11515
## 284   9.2 1179000 0.11525
## 285   9.2 1179400 0.11529
## 286  11.6 1180000 0.11535
## 287  14.0 1180200 0.11537
## 288  16.2 1180600 0.11541
## 289  18.6 1181200 0.11546
## 290  21.0 1181600 0.11550
## 291  21.6 1182400 0.11558
## 292  22.4 1182600 0.11560
## 293  22.2 1183400 0.11568
## 294  24.6 1184200 0.11576
## 295  26.2 1184800 0.11582
## 296  25.8 1186600 0.11599
## 297  24.4 1188000 0.11613
## 298  24.4 1189600 0.11629
## 299  21.8 1191200 0.11644
## 300  19.0 1193400 0.11666
## 301  19.4 1195400 0.11685
## 302  20.0 1197000 0.11701
## 303  18.6 1198600 0.11717
## 304  15.8 1200400 0.11734
## 305  12.4 1202600 0.11756
## 306   7.4 1207000 0.11799
## 307   4.0 1211000 0.11838
## 308   0.6 1214800 0.11875
## 309    NA 1219000 0.11916
## 310    NA 1223600 0.11961
## 311    NA 1228600 0.12010
## 312    NA 1233400 0.12057
## 313    NA 1237000 0.12092
## 314    NA 1243600 0.12156
## 315    NA 1249800 0.12217
## 316    NA 1254400 0.12262
## 317    NA 1257800 0.12295
## 318    NA 1261400 0.12330
## 319    NA 1265400 0.12370
## 320    NA 1268800 0.12403
## 321    NA 1273800 0.12452
## 322    NA 1277800 0.12491
## 323    NA 1280000 0.12512
## 324    NA 1281200 0.12524
## 325    NA 1281200 0.12524
## 326    NA 1281200 0.12524