Cumulative Deaths

Lithuania cumulative deaths were steady until 5 weeks ago then surged upwards.









Daily Deaths

Daily deaths are plotted and then the smoothed daily deaths overlayed (all data used is provided at the end of this report).



Daily New Cases

Daily new cases are plotted and the smoothed daily new cases overlayed.


Large Surge in Cases

The large surge in Lithuania daily new cases is thought to mean there is a large increase in Covid 19, a “second wave”.


Correlation of Cases to Deaths Found





Daily new cases are scatter plotted against daily deaths.

Lagging Deaths to Cases

Death occurs after initial infection and is a lagging indicator. An increase in cases should lead in daily deaths. Daily deaths are lagged 18 days (the severity reports mean for the time required to die after becoming infected).

With daily deaths lagged 18 days, there is significant correlation between daily deaths lagged and daily new cases. This means cases are correctly depicting the disease in Lithuania.




## [1] 248



There is significant correlation between lagged daily new deaths and daily new cases.






Lithuania deaths are divided by the assumed Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of 0.5%. This gives the cumulative infections as of 18 days prior to last. This cumulative infections is then divided by the population to give the percentage of Lithuania have had Covid 19.






Lithuania data is from WHO.


##           date   country dcases cases daid deaths     pop          daidsm
## 60  2020-03-02 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000007
## 61  2020-03-03 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000 -0.000216901087
## 62  2020-03-04 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 63  2020-03-05 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 64  2020-03-06 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 65  2020-03-07 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 66  2020-03-08 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 67  2020-03-09 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 68  2020-03-10 Lithuania      0     1    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 69  2020-03-11 Lithuania      2     3    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 70  2020-03-12 Lithuania      0     3    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 71  2020-03-13 Lithuania      0     3    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 72  2020-03-14 Lithuania      3     6    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 73  2020-03-15 Lithuania      3     9    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 74  2020-03-16 Lithuania      5    14    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 75  2020-03-17 Lithuania      3    17    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 76  2020-03-18 Lithuania      8    25    0      0 2800000  0.000000000000
## 77  2020-03-19 Lithuania      8    33    0      0 2800000  0.200000000000
## 78  2020-03-20 Lithuania     15    48    0      0 2800000  0.200000000000
## 79  2020-03-21 Lithuania     21    69    1      1 2800000  0.200000000000
## 80  2020-03-22 Lithuania     36   105    0      1 2800000  0.200000000000
## 81  2020-03-23 Lithuania     38   143    0      1 2800000  0.400000000000
## 82  2020-03-24 Lithuania     36   179    0      1 2800000  0.600000000000
## 83  2020-03-25 Lithuania     30   209    1      2 2800000  0.600000000000
## 84  2020-03-26 Lithuania     65   274    2      4 2800000  0.800000000000
## 85  2020-03-27 Lithuania     25   299    0      4 2800000  1.200000000000
## 86  2020-03-28 Lithuania     59   358    1      5 2800000  1.000000000000
## 87  2020-03-29 Lithuania     36   394    2      7 2800000  0.600000000000
## 88  2020-03-30 Lithuania     90   484    0      7 2800000  0.600000000000
## 89  2020-03-31 Lithuania      0   484    0      7 2800000  0.600000000000
## 90  2020-04-01 Lithuania     49   533    0      7 2800000  0.400000000000
## 91  2020-04-02 Lithuania     48   581    1      8 2800000  0.400000000000
## 92  2020-04-03 Lithuania     68   649    1      9 2800000  0.400000000000
## 93  2020-04-04 Lithuania    122   771    0      9 2800000  1.200000000000
## 94  2020-04-05 Lithuania      0   771    0      9 2800000  1.200000000000
## 95  2020-04-06 Lithuania     40   811    4     13 2800000  1.200000000000
## 96  2020-04-07 Lithuania     32   843    1     14 2800000  1.200000000000
## 97  2020-04-08 Lithuania     37   880    1     15 2800000  1.200000000000
## 98  2020-04-09 Lithuania     32   912    0     15 2800000  0.800000000000
## 99  2020-04-10 Lithuania     43   955    0     15 2800000  1.800000000000
## 100 2020-04-11 Lithuania     44   999    2     17 2800000  1.800000000000
## 101 2020-04-12 Lithuania     54  1053    6     23 2800000  1.800000000000
## 102 2020-04-13 Lithuania      9  1062    1     24 2800000  1.800000000000
## 103 2020-04-14 Lithuania      8  1070    0     24 2800000  2.400000000000
## 104 2020-04-15 Lithuania      0  1070    0     24 2800000  1.800000000000
## 105 2020-04-16 Lithuania     21  1091    5     29 2800000  1.800000000000
## 106 2020-04-17 Lithuania     58  1149    3     32 2800000  1.800000000000
## 107 2020-04-18 Lithuania     90  1239    1     33 2800000  2.400000000000
## 108 2020-04-19 Lithuania     59  1298    0     33 2800000  1.600000000000
## 109 2020-04-20 Lithuania     28  1326    3     36 2800000  1.200000000000
## 110 2020-04-21 Lithuania     24  1350    1     37 2800000  1.000000000000
## 111 2020-04-22 Lithuania     20  1370    1     38 2800000  1.400000000000
## 112 2020-04-23 Lithuania     28  1398    0     38 2800000  0.800000000000
## 113 2020-04-24 Lithuania     12  1410    2     40 2800000  0.800000000000
## 114 2020-04-25 Lithuania      0  1410    0     40 2800000  0.600000000000
## 115 2020-04-26 Lithuania     16  1426    1     41 2800000  0.600000000000
## 116 2020-04-27 Lithuania     12  1438    0     41 2800000  0.800000000000
## 117 2020-04-28 Lithuania     11  1449    0     41 2800000  1.000000000000
## 118 2020-04-29 Lithuania   -105  1344    3     44 2800000  0.800000000000
## 119 2020-04-30 Lithuania     31  1375    1     45 2800000  0.800000000000
## 120 2020-05-01 Lithuania     10  1385    0     45 2800000  1.000000000000
## 121 2020-05-02 Lithuania     14  1399    0     45 2800000  0.400000000000
## 122 2020-05-03 Lithuania      7  1406    1     46 2800000  0.200000000000
## 123 2020-05-04 Lithuania      4  1410    0     46 2800000  0.200000000000
## 124 2020-05-05 Lithuania      9  1419    0     46 2800000  0.600000000000
## 125 2020-05-06 Lithuania      4  1423    0     46 2800000  0.600000000000
## 126 2020-05-07 Lithuania      5  1428    2     48 2800000  0.600000000000
## 127 2020-05-08 Lithuania      5  1433    1     49 2800000  0.800000000000
## 128 2020-05-09 Lithuania      3  1436    0     49 2800000  0.800000000000
## 129 2020-05-10 Lithuania      8  1444    1     50 2800000  0.400000000000
## 130 2020-05-11 Lithuania     35  1479    0     50 2800000  0.200000000000
## 131 2020-05-12 Lithuania      6  1485    0     50 2800000  1.000000000000
## 132 2020-05-13 Lithuania      6  1491    0     50 2800000  0.800000000000
## 133 2020-05-14 Lithuania     14  1505    4     54 2800000  0.800000000000
## 134 2020-05-15 Lithuania      6  1511    0     54 2800000  1.000000000000
## 135 2020-05-16 Lithuania     12  1523    0     54 2800000  1.200000000000
## 136 2020-05-17 Lithuania     11  1534    1     55 2800000  1.000000000000
## 137 2020-05-18 Lithuania      7  1541    1     56 2800000  1.200000000000
## 138 2020-05-19 Lithuania      6  1547    3     59 2800000  1.200000000000
## 139 2020-05-20 Lithuania     15  1562    1     60 2800000  1.200000000000
## 140 2020-05-21 Lithuania     15  1577    0     60 2800000  1.000000000000
## 141 2020-05-22 Lithuania     17  1594    1     61 2800000  0.800000000000
## 142 2020-05-23 Lithuania     10  1604    0     61 2800000  0.600000000000
## 143 2020-05-24 Lithuania     12  1616    2     63 2800000  0.600000000000
## 144 2020-05-25 Lithuania      7  1623    0     63 2800000  0.800000000000
## 145 2020-05-26 Lithuania     12  1635    0     63 2800000  1.000000000000
## 146 2020-05-27 Lithuania      4  1639    2     65 2800000  1.000000000000
## 147 2020-05-28 Lithuania      8  1647    1     66 2800000  1.000000000000
## 148 2020-05-29 Lithuania      9  1656    2     68 2800000  1.400000000000
## 149 2020-05-30 Lithuania      6  1662    0     68 2800000  1.000000000000
## 150 2020-05-31 Lithuania      8  1670    2     70 2800000  0.800000000000
## 151 2020-06-01 Lithuania      5  1675    0     70 2800000  0.600000000000
## 152 2020-06-02 Lithuania      3  1678    0     70 2800000  0.600000000000
## 153 2020-06-03 Lithuania      4  1682    1     71 2800000  0.200000000000
## 154 2020-06-04 Lithuania      2  1684    0     71 2800000  0.200000000000
## 155 2020-06-05 Lithuania      3  1687    0     71 2800000  0.200000000000
## 156 2020-06-06 Lithuania      7  1694    0     71 2800000  0.000000000000
## 157 2020-06-07 Lithuania     11  1705    0     71 2800000  0.000000000000
## 158 2020-06-08 Lithuania      9  1714    0     71 2800000  0.200000000000
## 159 2020-06-09 Lithuania      6  1720    0     71 2800000  0.600000000000
## 160 2020-06-10 Lithuania      7  1727    1     72 2800000  0.600000000000
## 161 2020-06-11 Lithuania      6  1733    2     74 2800000  0.600000000000
## 162 2020-06-12 Lithuania     19  1752    0     74 2800000  0.800000000000
## 163 2020-06-13 Lithuania      4  1756    0     74 2800000  0.600000000000
## 164 2020-06-14 Lithuania      7  1763    1     75 2800000  0.400000000000
## 165 2020-06-15 Lithuania      5  1768    0     75 2800000  0.400000000000
## 166 2020-06-16 Lithuania      5  1773    1     76 2800000  0.400000000000
## 167 2020-06-17 Lithuania      3  1776    0     76 2800000  0.200000000000
## 168 2020-06-18 Lithuania      2  1778    0     76 2800000  0.200000000000
## 169 2020-06-19 Lithuania      6  1784    0     76 2800000  0.000000000000
## 170 2020-06-20 Lithuania      8  1792    0     76 2800000  0.000000000000
## 171 2020-06-21 Lithuania      3  1795    0     76 2800000  0.000000000000
## 172 2020-06-22 Lithuania      3  1798    0     76 2800000  0.200000000000
## 173 2020-06-23 Lithuania      3  1801    0     76 2800000  0.400000000000
## 174 2020-06-24 Lithuania      2  1803    1     77 2800000  0.400000000000
## 175 2020-06-25 Lithuania      1  1804    1     78 2800000  0.400000000000
## 176 2020-06-26 Lithuania      2  1806    0     78 2800000  0.400000000000
## 177 2020-06-27 Lithuania      2  1808    0     78 2800000  0.200000000000
## 178 2020-06-28 Lithuania      5  1813    0     78 2800000  0.000000000000
## 179 2020-06-29 Lithuania      3  1816    0     78 2800000  0.000000000000
## 180 2020-06-30 Lithuania      0  1816    0     78 2800000  0.000000000000
## 181 2020-07-01 Lithuania      1  1817    0     78 2800000  0.000000000000
## 182 2020-07-02 Lithuania      1  1818    0     78 2800000  0.200000000000
## 183 2020-07-03 Lithuania      7  1825    0     78 2800000  0.200000000000
## 184 2020-07-04 Lithuania      3  1828    1     79 2800000  0.200000000000
## 185 2020-07-05 Lithuania      3  1831    0     79 2800000  0.200000000000
## 186 2020-07-06 Lithuania      5  1836    0     79 2800000  0.200000000000
## 187 2020-07-07 Lithuania      5  1841    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 188 2020-07-08 Lithuania      3  1844    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 189 2020-07-09 Lithuania     10  1854    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 190 2020-07-10 Lithuania      3  1857    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 191 2020-07-11 Lithuania      4  1861    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 192 2020-07-12 Lithuania      4  1865    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 193 2020-07-13 Lithuania      4  1869    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 194 2020-07-14 Lithuania      5  1874    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 195 2020-07-15 Lithuania      1  1875    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 196 2020-07-16 Lithuania      7  1882    0     79 2800000  0.000000000000
## 197 2020-07-17 Lithuania     20  1902    0     79 2800000  0.200000000000
## 198 2020-07-18 Lithuania      6  1908    0     79 2800000  0.200000000000
## 199 2020-07-19 Lithuania      7  1915    1     80 2800000  0.200000000000
## 200 2020-07-20 Lithuania     17  1932    0     80 2800000  0.200000000000
## 201 2020-07-21 Lithuania     15  1947    0     80 2800000  0.200000000000
## 202 2020-07-22 Lithuania      2  1949    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 203 2020-07-23 Lithuania     11  1960    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 204 2020-07-24 Lithuania      0  1960    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 205 2020-07-25 Lithuania     26  1986    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 206 2020-07-26 Lithuania     15  2001    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 207 2020-07-27 Lithuania      7  2008    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 208 2020-07-28 Lithuania     11  2019    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 209 2020-07-29 Lithuania      8  2027    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 210 2020-07-30 Lithuania     16  2043    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 211 2020-07-31 Lithuania     19  2062    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 212 2020-08-01 Lithuania     13  2075    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 213 2020-08-02 Lithuania     18  2093    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 214 2020-08-03 Lithuania     17  2110    0     80 2800000  0.000000000000
## 215 2020-08-04 Lithuania     10  2120    0     80 2800000  0.200000000000
## 216 2020-08-05 Lithuania     17  2137    0     80 2800000  0.200000000000
## 217 2020-08-06 Lithuania     10  2147    1     81 2800000  0.200000000000
## 218 2020-08-07 Lithuania     24  2171    0     81 2800000  0.200000000000
## 219 2020-08-08 Lithuania     23  2194    0     81 2800000  0.200000000000
## 220 2020-08-09 Lithuania     37  2231    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 221 2020-08-10 Lithuania     21  2252    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 222 2020-08-11 Lithuania     13  2265    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 223 2020-08-12 Lithuania     18  2283    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 224 2020-08-13 Lithuania     26  2309    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 225 2020-08-14 Lithuania     21  2330    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 226 2020-08-15 Lithuania     22  2352    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 227 2020-08-16 Lithuania     34  2386    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 228 2020-08-17 Lithuania     30  2416    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 229 2020-08-18 Lithuania     20  2436    0     81 2800000  0.000000000000
## 230 2020-08-19 Lithuania     38  2474    0     81 2800000  0.200000000000
## 231 2020-08-20 Lithuania     22  2496    0     81 2800000  0.400000000000
## 232 2020-08-21 Lithuania     32  2528    1     82 2800000  0.600000000000
## 233 2020-08-22 Lithuania     36  2564    1     83 2800000  0.600000000000
## 234 2020-08-23 Lithuania     30  2594    1     84 2800000  0.800000000000
## 235 2020-08-24 Lithuania     41  2635    0     84 2800000  0.600000000000
## 236 2020-08-25 Lithuania     38  2673    1     85 2800000  0.400000000000
## 237 2020-08-26 Lithuania     21  2694    0     85 2800000  0.200000000000
## 238 2020-08-27 Lithuania     32  2726    0     85 2800000  0.400000000000
## 239 2020-08-28 Lithuania     36  2762    0     85 2800000  0.200000000000
## 240 2020-08-29 Lithuania     48  2810    1     86 2800000  0.200000000000
## 241 2020-08-30 Lithuania     29  2839    0     86 2800000  0.200000000000
## 242 2020-08-31 Lithuania     35  2874    0     86 2800000  0.200000000000
## 243 2020-09-01 Lithuania     32  2906    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 244 2020-09-02 Lithuania     23  2929    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 245 2020-09-03 Lithuania     29  2958    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 246 2020-09-04 Lithuania     20  2978    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 247 2020-09-05 Lithuania     26  3004    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 248 2020-09-06 Lithuania     36  3040    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 249 2020-09-07 Lithuania     43  3083    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 250 2020-09-08 Lithuania     17  3100    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 251 2020-09-09 Lithuania     31  3131    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 252 2020-09-10 Lithuania     32  3163    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 253 2020-09-11 Lithuania     36  3199    0     86 2800000  0.000000000000
## 254 2020-09-12 Lithuania     44  3243    0     86 2800000  0.200000000000
## 255 2020-09-13 Lithuania     53  3296    0     86 2800000  0.200000000000
## 256 2020-09-14 Lithuania     39  3335    1     87 2800000  0.200000000000
## 257 2020-09-15 Lithuania     51  3386    0     87 2800000  0.200000000000
## 258 2020-09-16 Lithuania     56  3442    0     87 2800000  0.200000000000
## 259 2020-09-17 Lithuania      0  3442    0     87 2800000  0.000000000000
## 260 2020-09-18 Lithuania     62  3504    0     87 2800000  0.000000000000
## 261 2020-09-19 Lithuania     61  3565    0     87 2800000  0.000000000000
## 262 2020-09-20 Lithuania     99  3664    0     87 2800000  0.000000000000
## 263 2020-09-21 Lithuania     80  3744    0     87 2800000  0.000000000000
## 264 2020-09-22 Lithuania     70  3814    0     87 2800000  0.000000000000
## 265 2020-09-23 Lithuania     45  3859    0     87 2800000  0.400000000000
## 266 2020-09-24 Lithuania     73  3932    0     87 2800000  0.400000000000
## 267 2020-09-25 Lithuania    138  4070    2     89 2800000  0.400000000000
## 268 2020-09-26 Lithuania    114  4184    0     89 2800000  0.800000000000
## 269 2020-09-27 Lithuania    111  4295    0     89 2800000  1.000000000000
## 270 2020-09-28 Lithuania     90  4385    2     91 2800000  0.600000000000
## 271 2020-09-29 Lithuania    105  4490    1     92 2800000  0.600000000000
## 272 2020-09-30 Lithuania     88  4578    0     92 2800000  0.600000000000
## 273 2020-10-01 Lithuania    115  4693    0     92 2800000  0.400000000000
## 274 2020-10-02 Lithuania     91  4784    0     92 2800000  0.400000000000
## 275 2020-10-03 Lithuania    172  4956    1     93 2800000  0.400000000000
## 276 2020-10-04 Lithuania    125  5081    1     94 2800000  0.400000000000
## 277 2020-10-05 Lithuania    104  5185    0     94 2800000  1.400000000000
## 278 2020-10-06 Lithuania    100  5285    0     94 2800000  1.600000000000
## 279 2020-10-07 Lithuania     81  5366    5     99 2800000  1.600000000000
## 280 2020-10-08 Lithuania    117  5483    2    101 2800000  1.800000000000
## 281 2020-10-09 Lithuania    142  5625    1    102 2800000  1.800000000000
## 282 2020-10-10 Lithuania    133  5758    1    103 2800000  0.800000000000
## 283 2020-10-11 Lithuania    205  5963    0    103 2800000  0.400000000000
## 284 2020-10-12 Lithuania    159  6122    0    103 2800000  0.800000000000
## 285 2020-10-13 Lithuania    126  6248    0    103 2800000  1.200000000000
## 286 2020-10-14 Lithuania    118  6366    3    106 2800000  1.400000000000
## 287 2020-10-15 Lithuania    139  6505    3    109 2800000  1.800000000000
## 288 2020-10-16 Lithuania    255  6760    1    110 2800000  2.000000000000
## 289 2020-10-17 Lithuania    281  7041    2    112 2800000  1.400000000000
## 290 2020-10-18 Lithuania    228  7269    1    113 2800000  0.800000000000
## 291 2020-10-19 Lithuania    252  7521    0    113 2800000  1.600000000000
## 292 2020-10-20 Lithuania    205  7726    0    113 2800000  1.600000000000
## 293 2020-10-21 Lithuania    202  7928    5    118 2800000  2.400000000000
## 294 2020-10-22 Lithuania    311  8239    2    120 2800000  2.600000000000
## 295 2020-10-23 Lithuania    424  8663    5    125 2800000  3.200000000000
## 296 2020-10-24 Lithuania    441  9104    1    126 2800000  3.200000000000
## 297 2020-10-25 Lithuania    474  9578    3    129 2800000  3.200000000000
## 298 2020-10-26 Lithuania    606 10184    5    134 2800000  3.200000000000
## 299 2020-10-27 Lithuania    765 10949    2    136 2800000  3.600000000000
## 300 2020-10-28 Lithuania    413 11362    5    141 2800000  4.200000000000
## 301 2020-10-29 Lithuania    776 12138    3    144 2800000  4.600000000000
## 302 2020-10-30 Lithuania    950 13088    6    150 2800000  5.800000000000
## 303 2020-10-31 Lithuania    735 13823    7    157 2800000  5.000000000000
## 304 2020-11-01 Lithuania   1001 14824    8    165 2800000  5.200000000000
## 305 2020-11-02 Lithuania    895 15719    1    166 2800000  5.000000000000
## 306 2020-11-03 Lithuania    837 16556    4    170 2800000  5.000000000000
## 307 2020-11-04 Lithuania    897 17453    5    175 2800000  4.200000000000
## 308 2020-11-05 Lithuania    639 18092    7    182 2800000  5.200000000000
## 309 2020-11-06 Lithuania    999 19091    4    186 2800000  6.600000000000
## 310 2020-11-07 Lithuania   1656 20747    6    192 2800000  6.400000000000
## 311 2020-11-08 Lithuania   1972 22719   11    203 2800000  5.600000000000
## 312 2020-11-09 Lithuania   1980 24699    4    207 2800000  7.000000000000
## 313 2020-11-10 Lithuania   1056 25755    3    210 2800000  8.600000000000
## 314 2020-11-11 Lithuania   1086 26841   11    221 2800000  8.200000000000
## 315 2020-11-12 Lithuania   1421 28262   14    235 2800000  9.200000000000
## 316 2020-11-13 Lithuania   1550 29812    9    244 2800000 11.200000000000
## 317 2020-11-14 Lithuania   2066 31878    9    253 2800000 11.200000000000
## 318 2020-11-15 Lithuania   1509 33387   13    266 2800000 10.000000000000
## 319 2020-11-16 Lithuania   1371 34758   11    277 2800000 11.000000000000
## 320 2020-11-17 Lithuania   1153 35911    8    285 2800000 14.000000000000
## 321 2020-11-18 Lithuania    965 36876   14    299 2800000 15.000000000000
## 322 2020-11-19 Lithuania   1934 38810   24    323 2800000 16.000000000000
## 323 2020-11-20 Lithuania   1682 40492   18    341 2800000 17.800000000000
## 324 2020-11-21 Lithuania   2265 42757   16    357 2800000 18.591657689220
## 325 2020-11-22 Lithuania   1983 44740   17    374 2800000 19.383315378440
##     dcasessm  l18 cuminf    peri
## 60       0.2  0.2      0 0.00000
## 61       0.2  0.2      0 0.00000
## 62       0.2  0.2      0 0.00000
## 63       0.2  0.4      0 0.00000
## 64       0.2  0.6      0 0.00000
## 65       0.2  0.6      0 0.00000
## 66       0.2  0.8      0 0.00000
## 67       0.4  1.2      0 0.00000
## 68       0.6  1.0      0 0.00000
## 69       1.0  0.6      0 0.00000
## 70       1.4  0.6      0 0.00000
## 71       2.0  0.6      0 0.00000
## 72       2.8  0.4      0 0.00000
## 73       4.0  0.4      0 0.00000
## 74       5.6  0.4      0 0.00000
## 75       8.4  1.2      0 0.00000
## 76      12.1  1.2      0 0.00000
## 77      15.7  1.2      0 0.00000
## 78      18.7  1.2      0 0.00000
## 79      23.0  1.2    200 0.00007
## 80      27.1  0.8    200 0.00007
## 81      30.8  1.8    200 0.00007
## 82      34.7  1.8    200 0.00007
## 83      39.9  1.8    400 0.00014
## 84      42.5  1.8    800 0.00029
## 85      42.1  2.4    800 0.00029
## 86      43.3  1.8   1000 0.00036
## 87      45.4  1.8   1400 0.00050
## 88      51.6  1.8   1400 0.00050
## 89      53.0  2.4   1400 0.00050
## 90      50.5  1.6   1400 0.00050
## 91      49.9  1.2   1600 0.00057
## 92      48.5  1.0   1800 0.00064
## 93      45.7  1.4   1800 0.00064
## 94      44.9  0.8   1800 0.00064
## 95      46.8  0.8   2600 0.00093
## 96      46.9  0.6   2800 0.00100
## 97      44.2  0.6   3000 0.00107
## 98      35.6  0.8   3000 0.00107
## 99      29.9  1.0   3000 0.00107
## 100     28.9  0.8   3400 0.00121
## 101     29.3  0.8   4600 0.00164
## 102     33.2  1.0   4800 0.00171
## 103     37.2  0.4   4800 0.00171
## 104     37.9  0.2   4800 0.00171
## 105     36.1  0.2   5800 0.00207
## 106     33.4  0.6   6400 0.00229
## 107     32.7  0.6   6600 0.00236
## 108     33.8  0.6   6600 0.00236
## 109     34.0  0.8   7200 0.00257
## 110     33.8  0.8   7400 0.00264
## 111     31.2  0.4   7600 0.00271
## 112     25.0  0.2   7600 0.00271
## 113     12.8  1.0   8000 0.00286
## 114      4.8  0.8   8000 0.00286
## 115      4.2  0.8   8200 0.00293
## 116      3.2  1.0   8200 0.00293
## 117      1.8  1.2   8200 0.00293
## 118      0.4  1.0   8800 0.00314
## 119      0.5  1.2   9000 0.00321
## 120      0.3  1.2   9000 0.00321
## 121     -0.6  1.2   9000 0.00321
## 122     -1.3  1.0   9200 0.00329
## 123      3.8  0.8   9200 0.00329
## 124      8.1  0.6   9200 0.00329
## 125      8.2  0.6   9200 0.00329
## 126      9.0  0.8   9600 0.00343
## 127      8.6  1.0   9800 0.00350
## 128      9.0  1.0   9800 0.00350
## 129      9.3  1.0  10000 0.00357
## 130      9.6  1.4  10000 0.00357
## 131     10.3  1.0  10000 0.00357
## 132     10.7  0.8  10000 0.00357
## 133     11.0  0.6  10800 0.00386
## 134     11.5  0.6  10800 0.00386
## 135     10.8  0.2  10800 0.00386
## 136     10.4  0.2  11000 0.00393
## 137     11.1  0.2  11200 0.00400
## 138     11.2  0.0  11800 0.00421
## 139     11.1  0.0  12000 0.00429
## 140     11.2  0.2  12000 0.00429
## 141     10.8  0.6  12200 0.00436
## 142     10.6  0.6  12200 0.00436
## 143     10.8  0.6  12600 0.00450
## 144     10.4  0.8  12600 0.00450
## 145      9.7  0.6  12600 0.00450
## 146      8.7  0.4  13000 0.00464
## 147      7.8  0.4  13200 0.00471
## 148      7.0  0.4  13600 0.00486
## 149      6.4  0.2  13600 0.00486
## 150      5.6  0.2  14000 0.00500
## 151      5.3  0.0  14000 0.00500
## 152      5.6  0.0  14000 0.00500
## 153      5.8  0.0  14200 0.00507
## 154      5.8  0.2  14200 0.00507
## 155      5.8  0.4  14200 0.00507
## 156      5.8  0.4  14200 0.00507
## 157      6.6  0.4  14200 0.00507
## 158      7.4  0.4  14200 0.00507
## 159      7.6  0.2  14200 0.00507
## 160      8.0  0.0  14400 0.00514
## 161      8.0  0.0  14800 0.00529
## 162      7.5  0.0  14800 0.00529
## 163      6.8  0.0  14800 0.00529
## 164      6.4  0.2  15000 0.00536
## 165      6.4  0.2  15000 0.00536
## 166      6.4  0.2  15200 0.00543
## 167      5.4  0.2  15200 0.00543
## 168      4.6  0.2  15200 0.00543
## 169      4.2  0.0  15200 0.00543
## 170      3.8  0.0  15200 0.00543
## 171      3.4  0.0  15200 0.00543
## 172      3.2  0.0  15200 0.00543
## 173      3.4  0.0  15200 0.00543
## 174      3.3  0.0  15400 0.00550
## 175      2.8  0.0  15600 0.00557
## 176      2.3  0.0  15600 0.00557
## 177      2.1  0.0  15600 0.00557
## 178      2.2  0.0  15600 0.00557
## 179      2.5  0.2  15600 0.00557
## 180      2.6  0.2  15600 0.00557
## 181      2.9  0.2  15600 0.00557
## 182      3.2  0.2  15600 0.00557
## 183      3.2  0.2  15600 0.00557
## 184      3.5  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 185      4.0  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 186      4.2  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 187      4.5  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 188      4.5  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 189      4.5  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 190      4.5  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 191      4.5  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 192      5.3  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 193      6.3  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 194      6.3  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 195      6.8  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 196      8.1  0.0  15800 0.00564
## 197      8.5  0.2  15800 0.00564
## 198      8.8  0.2  15800 0.00564
## 199      8.8  0.2  16000 0.00571
## 200      9.9  0.2  16000 0.00571
## 201     11.5  0.2  16000 0.00571
## 202     11.2  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 203     10.8  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 204     11.2  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 205     11.1  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 206     11.3  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 207     12.0  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 208     13.0  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 209     14.2  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 210     14.2  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 211     13.5  0.0  16000 0.00571
## 212     13.8  0.2  16000 0.00571
## 213     14.6  0.4  16000 0.00571
## 214     16.0  0.6  16000 0.00571
## 215     17.8  0.6  16000 0.00571
## 216     18.9  0.8  16000 0.00571
## 217     19.0  0.6  16200 0.00579
## 218     19.0  0.4  16200 0.00579
## 219     19.5  0.2  16200 0.00579
## 220     20.4  0.4  16200 0.00579
## 221     21.2  0.2  16200 0.00579
## 222     22.7  0.2  16200 0.00579
## 223     24.2  0.2  16200 0.00579
## 224     24.4  0.2  16200 0.00579
## 225     24.3  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 226     24.4  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 227     25.4  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 228     27.2  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 229     28.3  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 230     29.5  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 231     31.3  0.0  16200 0.00579
## 232     31.4  0.0  16400 0.00586
## 233     30.9  0.0  16600 0.00593
## 234     31.8  0.0  16800 0.00600
## 235     33.1  0.0  16800 0.00600
## 236     34.0  0.2  17000 0.00607
## 237     34.5  0.2  17000 0.00607
## 238     34.4  0.2  17000 0.00607
## 239     33.9  0.2  17000 0.00607
## 240     32.9  0.2  17200 0.00614
## 241     31.4  0.0  17200 0.00614
## 242     30.8  0.0  17200 0.00614
## 243     31.2  0.0  17200 0.00614
## 244     31.8  0.0  17200 0.00614
## 245     30.5  0.0  17200 0.00614
## 246     29.1  0.0  17200 0.00614
## 247     29.0  0.4  17200 0.00614
## 248     29.1  0.4  17200 0.00614
## 249     30.4  0.4  17200 0.00614
## 250     32.6  0.8  17200 0.00614
## 251     34.8  1.0  17200 0.00614
## 252     37.0  0.6  17200 0.00614
## 253     39.2  0.6  17200 0.00614
## 254     38.1  0.6  17200 0.00614
## 255     38.2  0.4  17200 0.00614
## 256     41.9  0.4  17400 0.00621
## 257     46.8  0.4  17400 0.00621
## 258     52.3  0.4  17400 0.00621
## 259     55.8  1.4  17400 0.00621
## 260     56.7  1.6  17400 0.00621
## 261     58.0  1.6  17400 0.00621
## 262     64.1  1.8  17400 0.00621
## 263     71.3  1.8  17400 0.00621
## 264     79.8  0.8  17400 0.00621
## 265     86.7  0.4  17400 0.00621
## 266     90.3  0.8  17400 0.00621
## 267     92.0  1.2  17800 0.00636
## 268     93.1  1.4  17800 0.00636
## 269     96.0  1.8  17800 0.00636
## 270    103.3  2.0  18200 0.00650
## 271    112.3  1.4  18400 0.00657
## 272    113.2  0.8  18400 0.00657
## 273    110.8  1.6  18400 0.00657
## 274    108.6  1.6  18400 0.00657
## 275    108.4  2.4  18600 0.00664
## 276    111.6  2.6  18800 0.00671
## 277    115.8  3.2  18800 0.00671
## 278    122.5  3.2  18800 0.00671
## 279    130.4  3.2  19800 0.00707
## 280    131.5  3.2  20200 0.00721
## 281    128.9  3.6  20400 0.00729
## 282    130.2  4.2  20600 0.00736
## 283    139.8  4.6  20600 0.00736
## 284    157.5  5.8  20600 0.00736
## 285    173.1  5.0  20600 0.00736
## 286    184.1  5.2  21200 0.00757
## 287    193.2  5.0  21800 0.00779
## 288    196.7  5.0  22000 0.00786
## 289    204.1  4.2  22400 0.00800
## 290    226.6  5.2  22600 0.00807
## 291    257.6  6.6  22600 0.00807
## 292    290.6  6.4  22600 0.00807
## 293    324.9  5.6  23600 0.00843
## 294    366.6  7.0  24000 0.00857
## 295    400.0  8.6  25000 0.00893
## 296    435.5  8.2  25200 0.00900
## 297    498.9  9.2  25800 0.00921
## 298    562.9 11.2  26800 0.00957
## 299    624.0 11.2  27200 0.00971
## 300    682.1 10.0  28200 0.01007
## 301    725.4 11.0  28800 0.01029
## 302    766.4 14.0  30000 0.01071
## 303    789.1 15.0  31400 0.01121
## 304    802.5 16.0  33000 0.01179
## 305    876.4 17.8  33200 0.01186
## 306    998.3 18.6  34000 0.01214
## 307   1109.6 19.4  35000 0.01250
## 308   1177.2   NA  36400 0.01300
## 309   1197.5   NA  37200 0.01329
## 310   1228.0   NA  38400 0.01371
## 311   1290.0   NA  40600 0.01450
## 312   1384.1   NA  41400 0.01479
## 313   1486.0   NA  42000 0.01500
## 314   1548.1   NA  44200 0.01579
## 315   1541.5   NA  47000 0.01679
## 316   1466.0   NA  48800 0.01743
## 317   1413.4   NA  50600 0.01807
## 318   1442.4   NA  53200 0.01900
## 319   1532.6   NA  55400 0.01979
## 320   1619.7   NA  57000 0.02036
## 321   1706.8   NA  59800 0.02136
## 322   1793.8   NA  64600 0.02307
## 323   1880.9   NA  68200 0.02436
## 324   1967.9   NA  71400 0.02550
## 325   2055.0   NA  74800 0.02671